Forward Looking Statements
Forward Looking Statements
This presentation contains forward-looking statements which are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. The
forward-looking statements in this presentation do not constitute guarantees of future performance. Those statements involve a number of factors that could cause actual results to differ materially, including risks associated with the company's business involving the company's products, their development and distribution, economic and competitive factors and the company's key strategic relationships, and other risks detailed in the company's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. First Solar assumes no obligation to update any forward-looking information contained in this presentation or with respect to the announcements described herein.
CONFIDENTIAL
Michael Ahearn
Michael Ahearn
President & Chief Executive Officer President & Chief Executive Officer
99MW 60MW 21MW 6MW 2MW 2003 2004 2005 2006 Q4'06 Run Rate
Introduction
Introduction
Formed to build a technology platform capable of reducing solar electricity costs to levels competitive with conventional electricity
Realizing Economies of Scale
Key Milestones:
}Formed in 1999 by True North Partners
}Goal: Near-term path to conventional energy parity }Lowest cost PV manufacturer
in the world
$1.59/W $2.94/W
$1.40/W
Introduction
Introduction
Proprietary process revolutionizes production platform
9 99% reduction in high-cost semiconductor material
9 Fully integrated, continuous process vs. batch processing 9 Large (2’x4’) substrate vs. 6” wafers Cell Definition Final Assembly & Test Deposition Glass in
Polysilicon Ingot Wafer Solar Cell Solar Modules
Module out
Introduction
Introduction
Source: Company filings, Wall Street research and Solarbuzz.
Note: Data based on last available quarter. x-Si pricing data based on Suntech’s disclosed module pricing.
~1.25 ~2.40 x-Si FSLR 20.8% 24.4% 19.2% 22.8% 48.6% FSLR STP ENER SPWR ESLR x-Si FSLR ~ $2.75 $1.25
Significant Cost Per Watt Advantage Pricing Power (ASP $ / W)
Lower Capex ($MM / MW) Superior Gross Margin
$2.45 $3.64
Introduction
Introduction
$1.25/W
90 Watts
$113.00
First Solar$2.70/W
130 Watts
$351.00
13%
Poly x-Si Cost/Watt Module Wattage/ Sq Meter Module Cost / Sq Meter Efficiency/
/
=
=
Competitive cost/watt advantage achieved despite current delta in conversion efficiency
Introduction
Introduction
$3.73 [1] $3.42 [1] $2.35 [3] $2.43 [2] x-Si First SolarLeading the industry to pricing power competitive with conventional electricity
1) x-Si module pricing based on Suntech’s 2005 and 6 mo. 2006. 2) Jan 1, 2005 through Dec 31, 2005.
3) Year Ended December 30, 2006. }Targeting conventional electricity over 2010 -2012 }~$2.6BN long-term sales contracts }Rapidly expanding capacity 2006 - 75MW 2007 - 175MW 2008 - 275MW Pricing Power $2.00 $3.00 $4.00 $1.00 $ / Watt 2005 2006 2010 2012
Investment Highlights
Investment Highlights
Global Mass Market Opportunity
Strong Market Position Superior Technology Manufacturing Excellence 1 3 2 4
Compelling Financial Model
6
High Performing Team
Global Mass Market Opportunity
Global Mass Market Opportunity
}Increasing market incentive programs in EU, U.S. and Asia
}Shortage of polysilicon supply
}Customers seeking multi-year volume visibility at viable price points
Subsidy markets provide an opportunity to rapidly increase volumes and reduce cost
598 1,086 1,460 1,600 1,795 2,255 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2003-2 008 CA GR: 3 0%
Annual PV Installations (in MW)
Source: Solarbuzz. $9.8B $7.0B $3.8B $11.0B $11.3B $14.5B
Global Mass Market Opportunity
Global Mass Market Opportunity
Using subsidized markets to migrate from large to smaller applications
Turnkey PV System Price
$3.00/W Wholesale Distributed Generation Commercial Residential Off Grid Subsidized Non-subsidized Non-subsidized Non-subsidized Subsidized Subsidized
Superior Technology
Superior Technology
CdTe Attributes:
}Superior light absorption properties }Suited for robust / high volume
manufacturing
}Capable of relatively high efficiency, stable modules
}Available in TW level production quantities
Superior Technology
Superior Technology
Process technology created in reaching high scale production: }Over 90 U.S. / foreign
patents granted and pending
}Substantial trade
secrets / know-how surrounding process, device design and product packaging
}Proprietary equipment
designs
}Exclusive relationships
Superior Technology
Superior Technology
First Solar’s technology is early in the maturation cycle and has significant “headroom” for continued efficiency improvements
Program Plan Program Potential
16.5% NREL Cell Efficiency
14.5% First Solar Cell Efficiency }Theoretical efficiencies
equivalent to poly crystalline silicon devices
}Efficiency programs in place in excess of plan requirements
Efficiency Improvement: Plan / Potential
Current Collection Carrier Transport Light Collection Baseline
Superior Technology
Superior Technology
Proven track record of translating development programs into higher production conversion efficiencies
50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000 250,000 300,000 350,000 400,000 6.0% 7.0% 8.0% 9.0% 10.0% 11.0% Modules Produced Conversion Efficiency
Manufacturing Excellence
Manufacturing Excellence
Infrastructure in place to support rapid and efficient growth in production volumes
Ohio Base Plant Ohio Expansion German Facility Asia Facility
2005 2006 2007 2008+ 25 25 50 25 50 100 25 50 100 100 50MW Ohio Expansion successfully ramped in Q3 – 40% GM }Proven replication in Ohio }Continuous improvement methodologies }“Copy Smart” replication process 75MW 175MW 275MW
Capacity Expansion Plan
Capacity Expansion Plan
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Base Plant
Ohio Expansion QUAL
Germany Go
Asia Plant Go QUAL Ramp
Construction QUAL Construction Ramp 2008 2006 2007 Ramp
Ohio Expansion:
}Ahead of scheduleStrong Market Position
Strong Market Position
Channel strategy designed for sustainable market leadership
}Strong Market Position in Germany
103 145 156 164 174 50 55 64 71 254 50 59 75 80
Orig Contract Puts Excercised New w/volume
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Strong Market Position
Strong Market Position
Objectives Long Term Contracts
103
MW 195MW 262MW 287MW 320MW 334MW
}Repay new plant investment }Strengthen competitive
position
}Geographic market expansion
Strong Market Position
Strong Market Position
Germany
Spain U.S.
Greece France South Korea Italy
Strong Market Position
Strong Market Position
Pricing strategy that maximizes risk-adjusted returns
Strategy
}Price floor set by return on investment targets
}Currently “long” in the
market for strategic reasons
ASP
Contract Term (years)
0-1 2-3 5 +
Sales Under Contract
<25 MW
>1 GW
Financial Model
Financial Model
–
–
20% RONA
20% RONA
Gross margin Operating Expense Production start-up Operating margin Stock Based Comp
2004 2004 (39.4%) (39.4%) 78.0% 78.0% 6.6% 6.6% (124%) (124%) 8.4% 8.4% 2005 2005 34.5% 34.5% 37.9% 37.9% 6.6% 6.6% (10.0%) (10.0%) 10.2% 10.2% Target Target 35 35––40%40% 8 8––12%12% 2 2––3%3% 25% 25% 2 2––4%4% 2006 2006 40.2% 40.2% 29.4% 29.4% 8.7% 8.7% 2.1% 2.1% 8.8% 8.8% Q4’06 Q4’06 48.6% 48.6% 23.9% 23.9% 7.5% 7.5% 17.2% 17.2% 7.1% 7.1%
Summary
Summary
Global Mass Market Opportunity
Strong Market Position Superior Technology Manufacturing Excellence 1 3 2 4
Compelling Financial Model
6
High Performing Team