• No results found

Distributed Decision Support Using a Web-based Interface:

N/A
N/A
Protected

Academic year: 2021

Share "Distributed Decision Support Using a Web-based Interface:"

Copied!
10
0
0

Loading.... (view fulltext now)

Full text

(1)

157

Distributed

Decision

Support Using

a

Web-based Interface:

Prevention

of

Sudden Cardiac Death

GILLIAN

D.

SANDERS,

PhD,

C. GREG

HAGERTY,

MS,

FRANK A.

SONNENBERG, MD,

MARK

A.

HLATKY,

MD,

DOUGLAS

K.

OWENS, MD,

MSc

Although decision models can provide a formal foundation for guideline development

and clinical decision support, their widespread use is often limited by the lack of

plat-form-independent

software that

geographically

dispersed users can access and use

easily

without extensive

training.

To address these limitations the authors developed

a World Wide Web-based interface for previously developed decision models. They

describe the use and functionality of the interface using a decision model that evaluates

the cost-effectiveness of strategies for preventing sudden cardiac death. The system

allows an analyst to use a web browser to interact with the decision model and to

change the values of input variables within pre-specified ranges, to specify sensitivity

or threshold analyses, to evaluate the decision model, and to view the results

gener-ated dynamically. The web site also provides

linkages

to an explanation of the model, and evidence tables for input variables. The system demonstrates a method for

pro-viding distributed decision support to remote users such as guideline developers,

de-cision analysts, and potentially practicing physicians. The web interface provides

plat-form-independent and almost universal access to a decision model. This approach can

make distributed decision support both practical and economical, and has the potential

to increase the usefulness of decision models

by enabling

a broader audience to

in-corporate systematic analyses into both policy and clinical decisions. Key words:

de-cision-support techniques; practice guidelines; user-computer interface; decision

anal-ysis. (Med Decis Making 1999;19:157-166)

Decision models

provide

an

analytic

framework for

representing

the

evidence,

outcomes, and

prefer-ences in a clinical

decision.&dquo;’

They

represent

the available alternatives and events of

interest,

and

combine these elements in an

objective

and

pre-dictable way to

produce

recommendations that are

consistent with

underlying

data and

assumptions.

Decision models enable

analysts

and

guideline

de-velopers

to

perform sensitivity analyses

that

identify

critical variables and

highlight

the

importance

(or lack of

importance)

of

uncertainty

about these

var-iables.

Thus,

decision models

provide

a

systematic

method for

representing

what is known about a

clinical

problem,

and an

approach

for

determining

whether what is not known is

important.

Because of these

advantages,

authors of

practice

guidelines

in-creasingly depend

on decision models to inform the

guideline

recommendations.3-18

Although

use of decision models has several

advantages,l’19-Zl

development

of clinical decision

Received April 17, 1998, from the Center for Primary Care and

Outcomes Research, Department of Medicine, Stanford

Univer-sity, Stanford, California (GDS, DKO); the UMDNJ/Robert Wood Johnson Medical School, New Brunswick, New Jersey (CGH, FAS); the Department of Health Research and Policy, Stanford

University, Stanford, California (MAH); the VA Palo Alto Health Care System, Palo Alto, California (DKO); and Stanford Medical

Informatics, Department of Medicine, Stanford University (GDS,

DKO). Revision accepted for publication November 5, 1998.

Pre-sented at the 19th annual meeting of the Society for Medical Decision Making, Houston, Texas, October 26-29, 1997. Sup-ported in part by the Cardiac Arrhythmia and Risk of Death

Pa-tient Outcomes Research Team grant (HS 08362) to Stanford

Uni-versity from the Agency for Health Care Policy and Research, Rockville, Maryland. Dr. Owens is supported by a Career

Devel-opment Award from the Health Services Research and

Devel-opment Service, Department of Veterans Affairs.

Address correspondence and reprint requests to Dr. Sanders: Stanford University School of Medicine, HRP Redwood Building,

Room T242, Stanford, CA 94305-5405; telephone: (650)723-5656;

(2)

FIGURE 1 Schematic representation of the ICD

cost-effective-ness decision model The square node represents a decision to

use one of an implantable cardioverter defibrillator (ICD),

amio-darone, or a combination strategy of amiodarone-to-ICD The circle represents a chance node. After a regimen is chosen, the

patient enters a Markov tree (denoted by rectangles containing

circles and an arrow) An ICD patient enters the Markov tree

only if he or she survives ICD implantation. The Markov trees represent the clinical events that can occur during each

one-month period as a patient is followed until death. For example,

a patient receiving the ICD regimen is at risk each month for ventricular tachycardia (VT), ventricular fibrillation (VF),

nonar-rhythmic cardiac death, and noncardiac death. If none of these

events occurs, the patient remains well for the one-month pe-riod. A patient who is well at the end of a given month reenters

the Markov tree Subtrees are denoted by rounded rectangles. Patients receiving the amiodarone regimen are at risk for V’T,

VF, nonarrhythmic cardiac death, noncardiac death, and toxicity from amiodarone. If toxicity from amiodarone occurs, the pa-tient enters the amiodarone-toxicity subtree.3’ Reproduced with

permission from Owens DK et al., Cost-effectiveness of implant-able cardioverter defibrillators relative to amiodarone for pre-vention of sudden cardiac death, Annals of Internal Medicine, 1997,126:1-12. Copyright American College of Physicians.

models also

requires

extensive

training

and exper-tise in decision

analysis,

clinical

medicine,

and

evi-dence

synthesis.

As an

example,

it took two years for

a

multidisciplinary

team to

develop

a decision model

that evaluated the cost-effectiveness of

using

an

im-plantable

cardioverter defibrillator (ICD) to

prevent

sudden cardiac death.22-z4

Furthermore,

the

evi-dence used in a decision model may

require

updat-ing

as new evidence is

published.

For

example,

sev-eral clinical trials that will estimate the effectiveness of ICDs were still in progress when the model was

developed.&dquo;&dquo;

Because

paper-based publications

are

brief,

sensitivity

or threshold

analyses

that may be

of interest to a

particular

user may not have been included in the

published analysis.

Thus,

guideline

developers

or

practicing

physicians

may

question

whether a

published

cost-effectiveness

analysis

ap-plies

to their

practices.

A

potential

solution to these limitations is to make

the decision model available for use

by analysts,

cli-nicians,

or

guideline developers.

Until

recently,

sub-stantial technical barriers

(e.g.,

need for users to

have

expertise

in

decision-analytic

software,

the

di-versity

of

computing

platforms,

and the

disperse

lo-cations of

potential

users)

prevented

such use of the

model. But now it is feasible to

provide

an interface

to the model that enables remote users to

perform

analyses.

The existence of such a distributed

deci-sion-support

system

would allow

guideline

devel-opers or clinicians to use the decision model in the

development

of recommendations or

guidelines,

to

update

the model as new evidence becomes

avail-able,

and to

adapt

the model to reflect a

particular

patient

population

or clinical

setting.1,27

In

previous

work,

we have shown that such

site-specific

guide-lines

potentially provide

greater

health

benefit,

en-hance economic

efficiency,

or

both,

when

com-pared

with

global

guidelines.

1

We describe here our

development

of an

inter-active web-based interface for a decision model that

enables remote use of decision models. We

dem-onstrate the use of this interface with the Cardiac

Arrhythmia

and Risk of Death Patient Outcomes

Re-search

Project

(CARD PORT) decision model to

analyze

the cost-effectiveness of

strategies

to

prevent

sud-den cardiac

death.22-24

Methods

We chose to illustrate the use of our

system,

named PORTAL, with the CARD PORT ICD

cost-effec-tiveness decision model because new clinical data are

becoming

available

rapidly,28,29

making

especially

important

the

ability

to

adapt

existing

analyses easily.

The ICD cost-effectiveness decision model

evalu-ates the cost-effectiveness of

strategies

for

prevent-ing

sudden cardiac death (SCD)

(figure

1). The two

strategies

are

therapy

with a

third-generation

ICD versus administration of

amiodarone,

the most

promising pharmocologic

alternative. The Markov

(3)

im-planting

an

ICD,

administering

amiodarone,

or first

administering

amiodarone and then

implanting

an

ICD after an

arrhythmic

event occurs.

Assuming

a

patient

survives the ICD

operation,

he or she is at

risk for an

arrhythmic

event and

potential

death,

for

nonarrhythmic

cardiac

death,

or for noncardiac

death,

each month. Patients who receive the

amio-darone

regimen

are also at risk for amiodarone

tox-icity.

The ICD cost-effectiveness decision model is

im-plemented

in the Decision Maker

analytic

software. 30

To

perform

remote

analyses,

we created PORTAL, an interactive web-based interface for this decision

model

(figure

2). PORTAL uses Windows

common-gateway

interface (Win-CGI)

scripts

written in Visual

Basic (Microsoft Visual Basic 4.0). PORTAL has two

main modules: the web-interface control module

and the

analytic-software (e.g.,

Decision Maker)

driver. The web-interface control module manages

the

organization

and content of the web

pages,

as

well as interactions with the user. The web interface

allows the user to browse

through

the many

com-ponents

of the decision

model,

the model’s

under-lying

data,

and the

analytic

results. When a user

en-ters data into the

analytic-results

section of the web page, the control module interacts with the

analytic-software driver to

perform dynamic

remote

analy-ses.

The

analytic-software

driver uses

object linking

and

embedding

(OLE) commands to interact with

the

underlying

decision model. The driver has nu-merous

capabilities, including

opening

the software

package, setting required

default values

(e.g.,

indi-cating

whether or not the decision model is a

cost-effectiveness

model),

returning

the values of model

parameters

or software

settings, changing

base-case

values,

analyzing

the tree with or without

cost-ef-fectiveness,

setting

up and

performing

sensitivity

and threshold

analyses,

and

saving

the

analytic

re-sults.

Once the

analytic-software

driver has

performed

the needed

analyses,

the web-interface control

mod-ule formats and

displays

the results for the user. This module also creates

dynamically

a

graphic

dis-play

of the

sensitivity-analysis

results. Much of the

parsing

and

graphing

of the results is

currently

done

through

interaction of the control module with

Ex-cel (Microsoft Excel 97)

spreadsheets.

The web

in-terface controls these

spreadsheets

as

well,

through

OLE commands. For

example,

the

analytic-software

driver for Decision Maker saves the results of

sen-sitivity

analyses

in a table format. This table is loaded

into Excel

and,

using

OLE

commands,

the control

module indicates the desired columns and rows to

create a

graph

of the

sensitivity-analysis

results. This

graph

is saved as a

graphics interchange

format

(GIF) file that the user may view

using

our web

in-FIGURE 2. Schematic representation of poRTnr,’s architecture.

The PORTAL system (the ellipse) has two main modules: the web-interface control module and the analytic software module. The web-interface control module interacts with the user (A),

allow-ing the user to browse the analysis, enter new input data, and view custom-tailored analyses. The web-interface control mod-ule interacts with the analytic-software driver (B) to perform the

needed remote analyses. The analytic-software driver uses object

linking and embedding commands to interact with the

under-lying decision model (C). Although in this paper we describe the Decision Maker software module and the Cardiac Arrhythmia

decision model, other analytic-software modules and decision models can interact with the PORTAL system.

terface.

Currently

we have

developed

the Decision

Maker

analytic-software

driver;

we have the

capa-bility

to

develop

other drivers for different decision-model formats.

System Description

and

Example

Scenario

A user is able to

perform

several actions

using

PORTAL. He or she can browse the model

descrip-tion,

assumptions,

data,

evidence

tables,

and

base-case results. As

part

of the interactive

interface,

the

user can make

changes

to the base-case

input

var-iables and then view the

changed

health and

eco-nomic results. PORTAL also can calculate the

mar-ginal

cost-effectiveness of the

competing strategies.

Finally,

the user can

perform

and view

sensitivity

and threshold

analyses

on the numerous model

var-iables.

As an

example,

suppose that a

guideline

devel-oper at a remote site identifies a

patient

population

that he or she believes to be at risk for SCD. The

developer

wants information

regarding

the use of an

ICD for this

particular population.

He or she locates the

published

cost-effectiveness

analysis

comparing

the use of an ICD and administration of

amioda-rone,24 noticing

that the values of some variables are

different from those for the

patient

population

in

question.

He or she wants to see how

changing

these

values affect the results of the decision

analysis.

First,

at the

guideline developer’s

institution,

the

cost of ICD

implantation

is much lower

($20,000)

than that listed in the

published

analysis

input

table

($44,600). Second,

the

probability

of an ICD-related

(4)

FIGURE 3 Home page of the Sudden Cardiac Death (SCD) Decision Modeling Group The menu on the left side allows the user to

navigate through a description of the cost-effectiveness decision model for the implantable cardioverter defibrillator (ICD) vs amio-darone and of other related projects The user is able to browse the modeling definitions, assumptions, schematics of the model, input

data, evidence tables, main results, and sensitivity analyses These noninteractme capabilities are detailed elsewhere 3°

The home page also provides links for the user to perform interactive analyses

FIGURE 4 Input variable best-estimate values and sources The input table lists the variable name (with links to the corresponding evidence tables where appropriate), the base-case values, the range used for sensitivity analyses, the level of evidence based on a rating

system developed by the U S Preventive Services Task Force, and the sources used to determine the chosen values The user is then able to enter a new value for a given variable This screen shows the user changing the perioperative mortality from 1 8% to 0 5%

(5)

FIGURE 5 Parameters for sensitivity analysis. The sensitivity-analysis section of the web interface allows a user to choose an input

variable, and then to set the desired minimum and maximum values for the sensitivity analysis as well as the incremental step This

user uses the pull-down menu to choose the decision-model variable of Frequency of battery replacement as the variable on which to

perform the sensitivity analysis. Notice that the base-case value is listed in square brackets-[4 years]-after the variable name After

choosing the variable on which to perform the sensitivity analysis, the user sets the remaining parameters (minimum value, maximum

value, and incremental step) This screen shows the user choosing a minimum frequency of battery replacement of every three years,

a maximum value of every eight years, and an incremental step of every one year

but a recent

study

has determined that

perioperative

mortality

is 0.5% at the

developer’s

institution.

Fi-nally,

the

published analysis

uses four years for the

frequency

of ICD

battery

replacement.

The

guideline

developer

has read a recent

report

from the ICD

manufacturers that claims that the ICD

battery

life

is now

reaching eight

years. Because the

developer

is still uncertain about this

value,

he or she wants

to

perform

a

sensitivity analysis

on the

frequency

of

battery replacement

while

taking

into account the lower ICD cost and lower

perioperative

death rate.

Our

guideline developer

goes to the SCD decision

modeling

group home page

(figure

3). On the left side is a menu that is consistent

throughout

the

website and that enables the user to

navigate

through

the

modeling

assumptions, input

data,

evi-dence,

and results. It also

provides

links to the in-teractive

analyses.

CHANGING BASE-CASE VALUES

The

guideline developer

clicks on the

Input

Data

link under the

Perform Analyses heading

in the menu. An

input-variable

table similar to the one

found in the

published

cost-effectiveness

analysis

appears. In addition to the variable name, base-case

value,

sensitivity-analysis

range, level of

evidence,

and source, there is a field for the user to enter a new value for any of the variables. For

example,

the

probability

of ICD

perioperative

death is listed as

1.8%. The

guideline developer changes

this value to

0.5% to reflect the institution’s lower

perioperative

mortality (figure

4).

Similarly,

he or she

changes

the initial cost of the ICD device from $44,600 to

$20,000.

The

developer

does not

change

the

frequency

of

bat-tery

replacement

because he or she would rather see the effect of this variable in a

sensitivity

analysis

over a range of values.

SENSITIVITY ANALYSES

The

guideline developer

uses the

pull-down

menu

to choose the

frequency

of

battery replacement

as

the variable to be tested in

sensitivity analyses.

He

or she chooses a minimum

frequency

of every three

years and a maximum

frequency

of every

eight

years, with an incremental

step

of one year

(fig.

5). The

guideline developer

then submits the

analy-ses. He or she checks the boxes

corresponding

to

Main

Results,

Marginal

Cost

Effectiveness,

and

Sen-sitivity

Analyses

to

identify

those

analyses

he or she would like

performed

(not shown). The PORTAL

sys-tem interacts with the Decision Maker OLE interface and the

underlying

decision model to return the

re-quested

results.

ANALYTIC RESULTS

PORTAL returns a web page with the

performed

analyses (figure

6). The

top

table lists the main

re-sults. Each row

corresponds

to one of the three

strategies

(ICD

only,

amiodarone

only,

and an

amio-darone-to-ICD

strategy).

The columns indicate the

expected

costs and

quality-adjusted

life years asso-ciated with these different

strategies.

The second

ta-ble shows the

marginal

cost-effectiveness

expressed

in cost per

quality-adjusted

life years saved when the

(6)

FIGURE 6 Results of the interactive analysis The system returns the results in a tabular form. For example, the Mam Results table shown here lists the three strategies (ICD only, amiodarone only, and amiodarone-to-ICD) The remaining columns list the costs and the quality-adjusted life expectancies associated with the different strategies The second table lists the Marginal Cost Effectiveness

(7)

FIGURE 7 (bottom of facing page) Results of interactive sensitivity analysis The web interface returns a table of the sensitivity-analysis results The columns (from left to right) mdicate the chosen variable and values possible strategies, corresponding costs, effectiveness,,

average cost-effectiveness marginal costs, marginal effectiveness, and marginal cost-effectiveness This screen shows the

sensitivity-analysis results for varying the frequency of battery replacement from every three years to every eight years At the bottom of the table is a link that allows the user to mew a graph of these sensitivity-analysis results

I

FIGURE 8 Graph of the performed sensitivity analysis Our system creates dynamically a graph of the performed sensitivity analysis

On the X-axis is the variable chosen for the analysis (here, BattRepl for the frequency of battery replacement), on the Y-axis is the

marginal cost-effectiveness of ICD versus amiodarone, expressed in dollars per quahty-adjusted life year saved

PORTAL’S web interface has allowed the user to

ex-plore

the

published

decision model and to

adapt

that model to

represent

patients

in his or her insti-tution. For

example,

the

marginal

cost-effectiveness of ICD versus amiodarone in the

previously

pub-lished

analyses

was $74,662 per

QALY

saved. In the scenario

described,

using

the new

data,

the

mar-ginal

cost-effectiveness has been reduced to $35,341

per

QALY

saved. PORTAL’S interactive abilities have

allowed the user to tailor the

underlying

decision model to

represent

more

accurately

the

patient

pop-ulation in

question.

In this

example,

the customi-zation of the decision model has

produced

a

mar-ginal

cost-effectiveness that is lower than the

published expected

result and could

potentially

change

the recommended treatment in this popu-lation.

The third table shows the results of the

sensitivity

analysis

on the

frequency

of

battery

replacement.

For the

specified

sensitivity-analysis

range of three

to

eight

years, this table lists the

corresponding

cost,

effectiveness,

average

cost-effectiveness,

marginal

cost,

marginal

effectiveness,

and

marginal

cost-ef-fectiveness of each

strategy

(figure

7). The user can

also view an

accompanying

graph

of these

sensitiv-ity-analysis

results that is created

dynamically

for the

requested

results

(figure

8).

SYSTEM EXTENSIONS

To aid in the

development

of

site-specific

guide-lines,

Sanders and

colleagues

have

developed

ALCHE-MisT, a

computer-based

tool that extends the PORTAL

system

by

using

decision models to

generate

anno-tated clinical

algorithms

automatically.31

The ALCHE-MisT

system

obtains information from the decision

model and the decision

analyst

to

automatically

cre-ate an annotated

algorithm

of the

optimal

test or

treatment

strategy,

as determined

by

the decision model. As with the PORTAL

system,

a remote user can tailor the

input

values of the decision model. ALCHE-MIST then

automatically

creates an

updated

algo-rithm that reflects the

optimal

strategy

based on

these new

inputs.

The

system

dynamically

creates a web page that

displays

the

updated

algorithm

to the

remote user.

Thus,

the ALCHEMIST

system

provides

a

method for

creating

evidence-based,

site-specific

clinical

algorithms

that reflect the characteristics of

a user’s

practice setting

or

patient

population.

This

system

is an

important

extension of PORTAL because

it

provides

a method for

automatically analyzing

a

decision model and

displaying

the results of the

analysis

in an intuitive

compact

format-a clinical

algorithm. Preliminary

evaluation of the ALCHEMIST

system

demonstrated that users

strongly

and

signif-icantly preferred guidelines developed

within this

(8)

framework to

guidelines

published by nationally

recognized

organizations. 31-33

Discussion

As the

example

scenario

demonstrates,

our

web-based interface to a decision model can

provide

dis-tributed

dynamic

decision

support

to remote users

such as decision

analysts,

guideline

developers,

peer

reviewers,

and clinicians. PORTAL’S interface allows

users to browse and

interrogate

a

developed

deci-sion model and to

adapt

the

input

variables and

analyses

to

represent

their

patient

populations,

and

therefore we believe may

provide

important

health

benefits. Prior to the

development

of a

technology

such as PORTAL,

provision

of decision

support

was

difficult because use of models

required

extensive

experience

with the available

software,

the models could not be used

easily

across different

computing

platforms,

and it was not

possible

to

analyze

models from a remote site. In

addition,

each user had to

own

decision-analytic

software,

obtain the decision

model,

and

perform analyses locally.

PORTAL enables

any user who has a web browser to

analyze

a de-cision model

remotely. Although

much of the

infor-mation needed to create the

original

interface to a

decision model can be obtained

directly

from the

decision

model,

the PORTAL

system

requires

some

additional information from the decision

analyst.

For

example,

the PORTAL

system

requires

the

analyst

to

complete

a list of

modeling

assumptions,

the valid

sensitivity

analysis

ranges, necessary

definitions,

and references used in the

analysis.34

This information

can be obtained

directly

over the web

using

a

de-cision-model annotation

editor.31

Although

complet-ing

this information is additional work for the de-cision

analyst,

it is information that should be

readily

available. In

addition,

the

implementation

of the annotation editor on the web allows decision

analysts

access to the editor from different

institu-tions,

and allows

decision-analysis

teams to share

decision-modeling

tasks among members located at

geographically

disparate

institutions who are

using

different

computing

platforms.31

Similar interactive sites are

being developed

else-where. Kattan and

colleagues developed

a

system

that allows a user to load a

developed

decision

model,

to

specify

which variables should be

inter-active,

and to

publish

this interactive decision model

on his or her

website.35

Similarly,

users of the DATA

decision-analytic

software

by

TreeAge

can create a

&dquo;Custom Interface&dquo; to a

developed

decision model.

TreeAge

is beta

testing

a web-based version of its

system.36

Currently,

PORTAL treats

utility

variables the

same as any other

input

variable. An extension of

our work would

incorporate

research on

computer-based

utility

assessments to

help

the user to

deter-mine his or her

patient’s

utilities.34 3’-40

Web interfaces to decision models such as that

described in this article will

provide

a means for

distributed decision

support34

and

potentially

for

guideline development.

A

centrally

located

guide-line-resource

group

could

develop

a decision

model,

and could disseminate that model

using

an

interactive web interface to

potential guideline

de-velopers.

These users could then make modifica-tions to the evidence

underlying

the decision model and

subsequently

could

modify

the

corresponding

guideline.41

The

availability

of distributed decision

support

with a web-based interface to a decision model

raises several

questions.

Should interactive decision

models be peer reviewed? How should such peer

review occur?

Then,

after access to an interactive

decision model is

provided

on the

web,

who is

re-sponsible

for

keeping

the model up to date with

the latest clinical evidence? Previous researchers

have studied methods of

critiquing

decision

anal-yses.42-46

Although

most of these studies concentrate

on

paper-based

decision

analyses,

their criteria

apply

to web-based decision

analyses.23

We

suggest

that a

comprehensive

checklist of desirable

ele-ments of any decision

analysis

be

compiled

and

used to evaluate web-based decision models before

they

are used. For

example,

a checklist of desirable

elements would include peer review of the

analysis,

discussion of the

quality

of the

evidence,

clear

state-ment of the

underlying

assumptions,

listing

of the

data sources, and well-defined and relevant

strate-gies.

Conclusions

Our

approach,

demonstrated here for the Cardiac

Arrhythmia

PORT ICD cost-effectiveness decision

model,

is

generalizable

to any decision model in any

domain.&dquo;

It

provides

distributed decision

support

to remote users such as

guideline developers,

decision

analysts,

and

practicing

physicians.

PORTAL’S web

in-terface

provides platform-independent

and almost

universal access to the decision model. This

ap-proach

can make distributed decision

support

and

decision-model

sharing

both

practical

and

econom-ical. The

approach

will increase the usefulness of

decision

models,

and enable a broader audience to

incorporate

systematic analyses

into both

policy

and clinical decisions.

The authors thank Kathryn McDonald, Robert F. Nease Jr., and

Lyn Duprd for comments on the manuscript and editorial

(9)

References

1. Owens DK, Nease RF. A normative analytic framework for

development of practice

guidelines

for specific clinical pop-ulations Med Decis Making. 1997;17:409-26

2. Carter AO, Battista RN, Hodge MJ, et al. Proceedings of the

1994 Canadian clinical practice guidelines network

work-shop. Can Med Assoc J. 1995;153.

3. Aggleton P,

O’Reilly

K, Slutkin G, Davies P. Risking

every-thing? Risk behavior, behavior change, and AIDS Science.

1994;265:341-5.

4. Schapira MM, Matchar DB, Young MJ. The effectiveness of ovarian cancer screening. A decision analysis model. Ann Intern Med. 1993;118:838-43.

5. Singer DE, Samet JH, Coley CM, Nathan DM. Screening for diabetes mellitus. In: Eddy DM (ed). Common Screening

Tests. Philadelphia, PA: American College of Physicians, 1991:

154-78.

6. Sox HC Jr., Garber AM, Littenberg B. The resting

electrocar-diogram as a screening test: a clinical analysis. In: Eddy DM

(ed). Common Screening Tests. Philadelphia, PA: American

College of Physicians, 1991:47-80.

7. Sox HC Jr., Littenberg B, Garber AM. The role of exercise

testing in screening for coronary artery disease. In: Eddy DM

(ed). Common Screening Tests. Philadelphia, PA: American

College of Physicians, 1991:81-112.

8. Carlson KJ, Skates SJ, Singer DE. Screening for ovarian can-cer. Ann Intern Med. 1994;121:124-32.

9. American College of Physicians. Guidelines for counseling

postmenopausal women about preventive hormone therapy.

Ann Intern Med. 1992;117:1038-41.

10. American College of Physicians. Screening for ovarian can-cer : Recommendations and rationale. Ann Intern Med. 1994;

121:141-42.

11. Eddy DM. Screening for breast cancer. In: Eddy DM (ed).

Common Screening Tests. Philadelphia, PA: American

Col-lege of Physicians, 1991:229-54.

12. Eddy DM. Screening for lung cancer. In: Eddy DM (ed).

Com-mon Screening Tests. Philadelphia, PA: American College of

Physicians, 1991:312-25.

13. Eddy DM. Screening for cervical cancer. In: Eddy DM (ed).

Common Screening Tests. Philadelphia, PA: American

Col-lege of Physicians, 1991:255-85.

14. Eddy DM. Screening for colorectal cancer. In: Eddy DM (ed).

Common Screening Tests. Philadelphia, PA: American

Col-lege of Physicians, 1991:286-311.

15. Fahs MC, Mandelblatt J, Schechter C, Muller C. Cost effec-tiveness of cervical cancer screening for the elderly. Ann In-tern Med. 1992;117:520-7.

16. Grady D, Rubin SM, Petitti DB, et al. Hormone therapy to prevent disease and prolong life in postmenopausal women. Ann Intern Med. 1992;117:1016-37.

17. Melton JL III, Eddy DM, Johnston CC. Screening for

osteo-porosis. In: Eddy DM (ed). Common Screening Tests.

Phila-delphia, PA: American College of Physicians, 1991:202-28.

18. Littenberg B, Garber AM, Sox HC Jr. Screening for hyperten-sion. In: Eddy DM (ed). Common Screening Tests.

Philadel-phia, PA: American College of Physicians, 1991:22-46.

19. Nease RF, Owens DK. A method for estimating the

cost-effectiveness of incorporating patient preferences into prac-tice guidelines. Med Decis Making. 1994;14:382-92.

20. Owens DK, Nease RF. Development of outcome-based prac-tice guidelines: a method for structuring problems and

syn-thesizing evidence. Joint Commission J Quality

Improve-ment. 1993;19:248-63.

21. Eddy DM. Guideline for policy statements: the explicit

ap-proach. JAMA. 1990;263:2239-43.

22. Sanders GD, Harris RA, Hlatky MA, Owens DK. Prevention of

sudden cardiac death. a probabilistic model for decision

support. Proceedings of the Nineteenth Annual Symposium

on Computer Applications in Medical Care, New Orleans, LA,

1995. J Am Med Informat Assoc 1995; 2, symposium suppl:

258-62.

23 Sanders GD, Dembitzer AD, Heidenreich PA, McDonald KM,

Owens DK Presentation and explanation of medical decision models using the World Wide Web. Proceedings of the 1996

AMIA Annual Fall Symposium, Washington, DC, 1996. J Am

Med Informat Assoc. 1996; 3, symposium suppl:60-4.

24 Owens DK, Sanders GD, Harris RA, et al. Cost effectiveness of implantable cardioverter defibrillators relative to amio-darone for prevention of sudden cardiac death. Ann Intern Med. 1997;126:1-12.

25. Connolly SJ, Gent M, Roberts RS, et al. Canadian Implantable Defibrillator Study (CIDS): study design and organization. CIDS Co-Investigators. Am J Cardiol. 1993;72:103F-108F.

26. Siebels J, Kuck KH. Implantable cardioverter defibrillator

compared with antiarrhythmic drug treatment in cardiac ar-rest survivors (the Cardiac Arrest Study Hamburg). Am Heart

J. 1994;127:1139-44.

27. Sanders GD, Hagerty CG, Sonnenberg FA, Hlatky MA, Owens

DK. Distributed dynamic decision support using a web-based interface for prevention of sudden cardiac death

(abstr). Med Decis Making. 1997;17:524.

28. The Antiarrhythmics versus Implantable Defibrillators (AVID)

Investigators. A comparison of antiarrhythmic-drug therapy with implantable defibrillators in patients resuscitated from near-fatal ventricular arrhythmias. N Engl J Med. 1997;337:

1576-83.

29. Bigger JT Prophylactic use of implanted cardiac

defibrilla-tors in patients at high risk for ventricular arrhythmias after

coronary-artery bypass graft surgery. N Engl J Med. 1997;337:

1569-75.

30. Sonnenberg FA, Pauker SG. Decision maker: an advanced

personal computer tool for clinical decision analysis.

Pro-ceedings of the Eleventh Annual Symposium Computer

Ap-plications in Medical Care. Washington, DC: IEEE Computer Society, 1987.

31. Sanders GD. Automated creation of clinical-practice guide-lines from decision models. PhD Dissertation. Stanford Med-ical Informatics. SMI Report No. SMI-98-0712, Department of

Computer Science Report No. STAN-CS-TR-98-1609.

Stan-ford, CA: Stanford University, 1998.

32. Sanders GD, Nease RF, Owens DK. Development and pilot evaluation of automated computer-based creation of

site-specific clinical-practice guidelines from decision models

(abstr). Med Decis Making. 1998;18:462.

33. Sanders GD, Nease RF, Owens DK. Design and

implemen-tation of a computer-based system to annotate decision mod-els for use in guideline development (abstr). Med Decis

Mak-ing. 1998;18:469.

34. Scott GC, Cher DJ, Lenert LA. SecondOpinion: interactive web-based access to a decision model. Proceedings of the AMIA Annual Fall Symposium, Nashville, TN, 1997. J Am Med Informat Assoc. 1997; 4, symposium supplement:769-73.

35. Kattan M. Decision Analysis/Utility Assessment over the

In-ternet [Web document]. 1998: http://utility.urol.bcm.tmc.edu. 36. TreeAge Software Inc. Product Info: Client-Server Edition

[Web document]. 1998: http://www.treeage.com/activex.htm. 37. Lenert LA, Michelson D, Flowers C, Bergen MR. IMPACT: an

object-oriented graphical environment for construction of multimedia patient interviewing software. Proceedings of the Nineteenth Annual Symposium on Computer Applications in Medical Care, New Orleans, LA, 1995 J Am Med Informat Assoc. 1995; 2, symposium suppl:319-23.

38 Nease RF, Hynes LH, Littenberg B. Automated utility assess-ment of global health. Qual Life Res 1996;5:175-82.

(10)

39. Sanders GD, Owens DK, Padian N, Cardinalli AB, Sullivan AN,

Nease RF. A computer-based interview to identify HIV risk behaviors and to assess patient preferences for HIV-related health states. Proceedings of the Annual Symposium on

Computer Applications in Medical Care. Philadelphia, PA:

Hanley & Belfus, Inc.; 1994:20-4.

40. Sumner W, Nease R, Littenberg B. U-titer: a utility assess-ment tool. Proceedings of the Fifteenth Annual Symposium on Computer Applications in Medical Care. New York:

McGraw-Hill, 1991:701-5.

41. Owens DK. The use of medical informatics to implement and

develop clinical-practice guidelines. West J Med. 1998;168: 166-75.

42. Sonnenberg FA, Beck JR. Markov models in medical decision

making: a practical guide. Med Decis Making.

1993;13:322-38.

43. Hayward RS, Wilson MC, Tunis SR, Bass EB, Guyatt G. User’s

guides to the medical literature. VIII. How to use the clinical

practice guidelines. A. Are the recommendations valid? Evi-dence-Based Medicine Working Group. JAMA. 1995;274:

570-4.

44. Richardson WS, Detsky AS. Users’ guides to the medical

lit-erature. VII. How to use a clinical decision analysis. B. What

are the results and will they help me in caring for my pa-tients? Evidence-based Medicine Working Group. JAMA.

1995;273:1610-3.

45. Richardson WS, Detsky AS. Users’ guides to the medical

lit-erature. VII. How to use a clinical decision analysis. A. Are the results of the study valid? Evidence-based Medicine

Working Group. JAMA. 1995;271:1292-5.

46. Wilson MC, Hayward RS, Tunis SR, Bass EB, Guyatt G. User’s

guides to the medical literature. VIII. How to use clinical

practice guidelines. B. What are the recommendations and will they help you in caring for your patients? Evidence-Based Medicine Working Group. JAMA. 1995;275:1630-2.

47. Cheng CHF, Sanders GD, McDonald KM, Heidenreich PA,

Hlatky MA, Owens DK. Design of a modular, extensible de-cision support system for arrhythmia therapy. Proceedings of the 1998 AMIA Fall Symposium. Orlando, FL, 1998. J Am

Med Informat Assoc. 1998; 5, symposium

References

Related documents

No statistically significant differences were found between the mean scores of the control group students who had not attended hypoglycemia management education (first year) and

Socket is now ready to read / write data to the remote server or for receiving data from the remote server AT+USOWR=0,2 @ Request to write 2 bytes of data into socket

After serious initial doubts about PRINCE2’s suitability for such a large infrastructure project, the Authority’s Chief Executive, members of the Authority’s Procurement Office

Note: The Express edition or better, of Microsoft Visual Studio 2012 or Microsoft Visual Studio 2013, is required to debug FlexPendant SDK applications running in the

64- node cluster, or 1000x speedup in per-node throughput. • Uses the SDDMM matrix primitive and interleaved conjugate gradient updates (KDD

For getting advantages of flexibility of cloud computing, GMS (Guardian Media Group) has moved its IT to cloud [15]. From above research it is observed that there is an

Sprietsma , and Bates. Recall that the plaintiff’s pacemaker in Lohr had been exempted from the FDA’s pre-market approval process because it was “substantially equivalent” to

Control risk self-assessment techniques can be used to identify and assess inherent and residual risks in an area or function and to help develop an action plan for the