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Uncertainty in climate change impacts on water resources in the Rio Grande Basin, Brazil

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Figure

Fig. 1. Maps of (a) regional drainage including the study area (Rio Grande basin) and (b) main hydropower plants in the Rio Grande basin.
Table 1. Skill metrics of the hydrological model run with observedprecipitation data during the calibration (1970–1980) and validation(1981–2001) periods (NS: Nash-Sutcliffe coefficient of efficiencyof daily discharge values; NSlog: Nash-Sutcliffe coefficient of ef-ficiency of the logarithms of daily discharge values; �V : volumebias).
Fig. 2. Calculated stream flow hydrographs at Agua Vermelha reservoir using CRU and raingauge data compared to the observed naturalizedhydrograph.
Table 3 presents projected changes in average river flowat Agua Vermelha reservoir for the model runs which em-ploy results of the HadCM3 GCM and four greenhouse-gas emission scenarios
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