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Monthly Forecast of Indian Southwest Monsoon Rainfall Based on NCEP’s Coupled Forecast System

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Figure

Figure 1. (a) Climatological observed June rainfall (mm/day) for 25 years period from 1981 to 2005 with more than 7 mm/day is shaded and (e) the corresponding CFS forecast climatology for June with lag-1 (May initial conditions here)
Table 1. Mean, Correlation Coefficients (CC) and the Coefficient of Variability (CV).
Figure 2. (a)Year-to-year variation of % departure of observed June rainfall over India along with that of rainfall from CFS forecast with one month lead for the month of June over Indian land mass (May ICs); (b), (c) and (d) for observed and CFS
Figure 4. Schematic diagram shows how the probability forecast is generated from the CFS forecast
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