2007
Results and Outlook
Agenda
Q4’07 and FY’07 review
Valeo strategic positioning
Q4-07 Key Figures
nm
42
(3)
Non strategic activities
- 16.7%
-
0.4 pt
60
2.5%
50
2.1%
Net income
as % of total op. revenues
+ 72.5%
+ 1.5 pt
51
2.1%
88
3.6%
Operating income*
as % of total op. revenues
+ 2.6%
2,376
2,438
Total operating revenues*
Change
Q4-2006
Q4-2007
In euro million
Q4 operating margin walkdown
% of Total operating revenues
+0.1
+0.2
+0.8
2.8%
3.9%
Q4-06
Raw materials
Selling price
Q4-07
adjustments
Activity /
Productivity
2007 Highlights
Sales & margin recovery acceleration
Operational excellence demonstrated further
Innovation gains market traction
2007 Key Figures
+ 10.0%
120
132
Net income excl. impact from divestitures**
- 49.7%
-
0.9 pt
161
1.7%
81
0.8%
Net income
as a % of total op. revenues
- 17.5%
968
799
Net financial debt
+ 0.6%
1.81
1.82
EPS from contd. operations (€)***
+ 17.7%
+ 0.5 pt
271
2.8%
319
3.3%
Operating income*
as a % of total op. revenues
+ 1.5%
9,550
9,689
Total operating revenues*
Change
2006
2007
In euro million
Total operating revenues
In euro million
9,550
9,689
8000
9000
10000
2006
2007
+6.2%
Volume/mix
-3.0%
Prices*
-1.5%
Currencies
-0.2%
Perimeter
* at identical functions+3.2%
Like-for-Like
+1.5%
Revenue growth acceleration in H2
TOTAL OPERATING REVENUE - YOY CHANGES
at same perimeter & exchange rate (2007)
H1
H2
+2.3%
+1.6%
+2.0%
+4.3%
+4.8%
5%
4%
+3.8%
3%
2%
1%
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
2007 net sales
Geographical trends
+1%
Europe
67% of total Sales
+12%*
Asia
12% of total Sales
+18%*
South America
6% of total Sales
+6%*
North America
14% of total Sales
Incl. D3: -5%Market +7%
Market +4%
Market +18%
Market -2%
Valeo sales
+15%
+5%
=
+3%
-3%
+13%
+3%
-1%
+14% +1% -11%
Customer performance2006 2007
SALES by customers
+4% +3% +5% = -2% +14% +6% -1% +17% +6% +5% +x%Original Equipment
Touring Cars
Rebalancing customer exposure
OE SALES
(2001- 2007)*
4.4 %
5.0 %
Fiat
26.7 %
28.1 %
PSA & Renault
10.6 %
7.5 %
Mercedes & BMW
24.5 %
22.5 %
German
21.8 %
31.7 %
Big 3
14.7 %
5.7 %
Asians
2007
2001
Automaker
Results
+ 2.3%
+ 0.2 pt
1,463
15.5%
1,497
15.7%
Gross margin
as % of sales
+ 1.5%
9,550
9,689
Total operating revenues
Change
2006
2007
LME Average Price (Spot)
1800 1900 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 2500 2600 2700 2800Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec
2006
2007
H1
Q3
Q4
H1
Q3
Q4
€2,262
€2,440
Euro / ton
LME Average: CU + AL + AA + ZN*Average
2007
Average 2006
Raw material tailwinds in Q4
Ppt of sales - cumulative
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
3.5
2.7
1.6
4.4
4.3
4.7
3.8
1.6
1.9
2.1
1.9
2.2
2.2
1.8
4.3
0.7
0.5
2.1
1.1
4.7
2007
2006
2005
2004
Gross impact
Net impact
Results (cont.)
+ 0.7%
(0.1
pt)
(1,143)
12.0%
(1,151)
11.9%
Total overhead
as % of total op. revenues
+ 17.7%
+
0.5 pt
271
2.8%
319
3.3%
Operating income
as % of total op. revenues
- 44.9%
(
0.2 pt)
(49)
0.5%
(27)
0.3%
Other income (expenses)
as % of total op. revenues
=
(
0.1 pt)
(617)
6.5%
(617)
6.4%
SG&A
as % of total op. revenues
+ 1.5%
=
(526)
5.5%
(534)
5.5%
R&D expenses (net)*
as % of total op. revenues
Change
2006
2007
In euro million
Margin improvement accelerates in Q4
Quarterly YOY change in operating margin (2007)
+ 1.1
- 0.4
+ 0.3
0
-1 pt
0 pt
1 pt
2 pt
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Results (cont.)
+ 40%
(5)
(7)
Minorities
+ 9.0%
211
230
Income before taxes
- 49.7%
161
81
Net income
+ 23.9%
nm
(67)
31.6%
22
(83)
37.4%
(59)
Taxes
Effective tax rate
Non strategic activities
=
nm
nm
(51)
(8)
(1)
(51)
(46)
8
Cost of net debt
Other financial inc./(expenses)
Associates
+ 17.7%
271
319
Operating income
Change
2006
2007
In euro million
Valeo weathered the raw material shock
OPERATING MARGIN
% of total operating revenues
(2003-2007)
OPERATING MARGIN
adjusted for cumulative
raw material headwinds (2004-2007*)
2,0% 3,0% 4,0% 5,0% 6,0% 2004 2005 2006 2007
Operating margin (reported)
Operating margin (adjusted)
Operating margin 2007 Operating margin 2003 Supplier productivity & product ineering Customer contribu-tions Price deflation**
5.0%
-9.0%
+4.5%
+2,5%
+15,8%
3.6%
-15.2%
Valeo productivity Raw material reeng price increasesNet financial debt walkdown
In euro million
Net debt @ Jan. 1, 2007 Free cash flow VCS disposal Other M&A Others Net debt @ Dec.31, 2007 Dividends968
-66
-237
+29
+89
+16
799
10 pt gearing reduction in 2007
1,551
1,263
1,752
968
1,782
Gearing
55%
Gearing
45%
Gearing
81%
1,263
968
799
In euro million
Shareholder’s Equity incl. minority interests Net DebtReturn on capital employed analysis*
3.7
3.4
3.6
Operating margin (%)
13.4
13.2
14.3
ROCE (%)
3.7
3.9
4.0
Asset turn (x)
2005
2006
2007
Success factors
COST
COST
QUALITY
QUALITY
GLOBAL
PRESENCE
GLOBAL
PRESENCE
TECHNOLO
GY
TECHNOLO
GY
Valeo Domains address industry opportunities
Driving
Assistance
Powertrain
Efficiency
Comfort
Enhancement
Reconciling automobiles and
the environment by contributing
to the creation of cleaner,
more fuel-efficient vehicles
Reconciling automobiles
and well-being by making
vehicles easier to use
and enhancing driver
and passenger comfort
Reconciling automobiles
and safety by reinforcing
the active aspects of
accident prevention and
avoidance
Other
€9.6bn
CO
2
Regulation
Europe:
120g CO
2
/km
by 2012
95g CO
2
/km
by 2020
European Commission
Europe:
120g CO
2
/km
by 2012
95g CO
2
/km
by 2020
European Commission
Japan:
16.8 km/l
by 2015
Council for transport
Policy
February 2007
Japan:
16.8 km/l
by 2015
Council for transport
Policy
February 2007
USA:
35 MPG
by 2020
CAFE
USA:
35 MPG
by 2020
CAFE
Fuel Economy solutions portfolio
Low consumption
A/C compressor
UltimateCooling™
THEMIS™
DUAL CLUTCH
transmission
Cooled EGR system
MICRO HYBRID
(from Stop-Start
to Regenerative braking)
CAMLESS System
- 40%
Feasible!
-3%
-3-5%
-4%
-4-6%
-5-7%
-6-15%
-15-20%
Power on
Demand
Thermal
Management
Transmission
Automation
Air Systems
Hybridization
Engine
Powertrain Efficiency growth drivers
CO
2AND POLLUTANT REDUCTION
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
2006
2010
2015
2020
EGR gasoline
Micro hybrid
Turbo
gasoline
% fitment rate
Source ValeoSuccessful innovations
StARS micro hybrid
▌
Offered on Citroën C2/C3
▌
Development contracts
with 5 other customers
Accident Statistics
ROAD SAFETY EVOLUTION
in Europe
Evolution 1990-2010 EU road fatalities
More than 100 people do not come back home everyday
Driving assistance growth drivers
DRIVING ASSISTANCE
0
15
30
45
2006
2010
2015
LED rear lighting
Park Assist (including Park4U)
All around Cameras
Successful innovations
Blind spot detection system
▌2007 PACE Award winner
▌28 cars equipped by 2010
▌Best-in-class multi-beam radar system
Successful innovations
Park4U™
▌Ultrasonic technology-based
driving assistance system
▌World premiere on the VW Touran.
Now on VW Tiguan and Cross Touran
▌12 models to be equipped
Significant increase in potential content
per vehicle through the Domain approach
MAXIMUM CONTENT per vehicle
2010
2005
€680
€1,480
Comfort Enhancement
Powertrain Efficiency
Driving Assistance
Total
€710
€1,230
+118%
€940
€1,250
+73%
€2,430
€3,960
+63%
+62%
€3.2bn or a third of new orders
related to innovative products
ORDER INTAKE/ X OE SALES
(excluding VMA & VCS in 2006 & 2007)
2005
2006
2007
€8.6bn
€9.9bn
€10.1bn
+50%
1.1x
1.3x
1.3x
Innovative products
Others
Focusing on Domains
Disposal of the wiring harness business
Achieved €255m in enterprise value (0.47X 2007 sales)
Î
€237m Group net financial debt reduction
Î
€213m Group goodwill reduction
Rationale of the disposal
Î
Low value added
Î
Lack of customer diversification
Focusing on Domains
Acquisition of Connaught Electronics
Expert in camera - based vision
solutions for low speed
maneuvering
Quality levels - now a 10 ppm* organization
63 sites
47%
Including 15 sites at 0 ppm2006
86 sites
65%
CUSTOMER RETURNS
in parts per million
185
53
32
15
10
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
Single digit PPM sites
Including 18 sites at 0 ppm
2007
Rationalized industrial footprint
31/03/2001 – 31/12/2007
perimeter changes included
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
72%
34%
66%
28%
68%
32%
30%
70%
38%
62%
44%
56%
48%
52%
% Productive workersLCC/ HCC BREAKDOWN*
31/03/2001 Closures Disposals Openings Acquis. 31/12/2007
170
-47
-41
+29
+14
Rebalancing new business to Asia
ORDER INTAKE
2007
SALES
Asia
20%
Rest of World
2%
Asia
12%
Rest of World
2%
Europe
60%
North
America
14%
South
America
4%
Europe
66%
North
America
14%
South
America
6%
2008 objectives
Trading conditions
Î
Global car production growth: +2.5%, down from 5% in 2007
Î
Raw material prices stabilize at a high level
Valeo
Î
Customer mix improvement
Î
Moderate raw material tailwinds
Î
Short term operational levers: Rochester closure, Compressors
Î
Reengineering plan deployment
6% operating margin objective in 2010
Updated identified levers
OPERATING MARGIN
(2006- 2010)
IMPROVEMENT LEVERS
2007
2008
2009
2010
ppt
2% 4% 6% 8% 2006A 2007A 2008 2009 2010%
Contract renewal will support raw material
headwind absorption
Copper ($/T)
9 000
Signature
SOP Delta:$0 Contract H2-07/ SOP H1-09
Delta: $1,305 Contract H1-04/ SOP H1-06
Contract H1-05/ SOP H1-07 Delta: $3,458 8 000 7 000 6 000 5 000 4 000 3 000 2 000 1 000 0 H1-0 H2-0 H1-0 H2-0 H1-0 H2-0 H1-0 H2-0 H1-0 H2-0 H2-01 H1-0 H2-0 H1-0 H1-0 H2-0 H1-1 H2-1 H1-1 H2-1 H2-1 H1-1 H2-0 H1-1 5 5 6 6 7 7 8 8 9 9 2 2 3 3 4 4 0 0 1 1 2 2 3
Investment case
Upside potential from the ‘Green and Safe’ drivers
Resilient operational model and financial structure
Value creation potential
Î
Steady dividend growth policy; 2007 proposal of €1.20/share
Î
2010 financial targets
–
€1.3 Bn EBITDA
Contact
Investor Relations
Rémy Dumoulin
43, rue Bayen
F-75848 Paris Cedex 17
France
Tel.: +33 (0) 1.40.55.29.30
Fax: +33 (0) 1.40.55.20.40
E-mail:
Quarterly P&L
(in euro million) 1Q 3Q 1Q
NET SALES
Other operating revenues
TOTAL OPERATING REVENUES GROSS MARGIN
as % of net sales
Research & Development expenditure Selling expenses
Administrative expenses Other income & expenses
OPERATING INCOME
as % of operating revenues
Cost of net debt
Other financial income and expense Equity in net earnings of associates
INCOME BEFORE INCOME TAXES
Income taxes
INCOME FROM CONTINUING OPERATIONS Non-strategic activities
NET INCOME FOR THE PERIOD
Minority interests
NET INCOME ATTRIBUTABLE TO EQUITY HOLDERS OF THE COMPANY
3Q 2,125 28 2,153 322 15.2% (146) (45) (94) (15) 50 2.3% (12) (6) 0 32 (22) 10 (2) 8 (1) 7 2,487 23 2,510 394 15.8% (170) (49) (113) (20) 65 2.6% (14) (8) 2 45 (10) 35 (11) 24 (2) 22 2,214 31 2,245 340 15.4% (156) (45) (97) (9) 64 2.9% (14) (15) 1 36 (23) 13 (52) (39) (1) (40) 2,472 27 2,499 377 15.3% (168) (49) (113) 3 77 3.1% (12) (10) 0 55 (21) 34 (0) 34 (1) 33 2,472 35 2,507 394 15.9% (173) (48) (105) (13) 90 3.6% (13) (10) 5 72 (26) 46 (4) 42 (4) 38 2Q 2,483 28 2,511 396 15.9% (161) (49) (110) 1 105 4.2% (14) 17 3 111 (31) 80 (7) 73 (1) 72 2Q 4Q 4Q
2007
2,341 35 2,376 351 15.0% (163) (47) (110) (15) 51 2.1% (11) (11) (6) 23 (4) 19 42 61 (1) 60 2,397 41 2,438 386 16.1% (171) (51) (109) (8) 88 3.6% (12) (11) 2 67 (13) 54 (3) 51 (1) 502006
Share Information
Share Data
Bloomberg Ticker
Reuters Ticker
ISIN Number
Shares outstanding as per 31.12.2007
FR FP
VLOF.PA
FR 000130338
78 209 617
ADR Data
Ratio (ordinary share: ADR)
Bloomberg Ticker
Reuters Ticker
ISIN Number
Type
Exchange
Sponsor
1:2
VLEEY US
VLEEY PK
US 9191343048
Level 1
OTC
JP Morgan Chase