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Practice10solutions2012

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PRACTICE 10

Problem 1. Operator of a call center during processes with equal probability from to customers calls. Let be the RV of number of calls during that period. What distribution has ? Find its expected value, variance and standard deviation. Plot PMF and CDF graphs.

Solution: RV is a discrete uniform RV in the interval from to . We now that discrete uniform RV has a PMF:

So in our case

Expected value, variance and standard deviation:

;

;

.

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Problem 2. Using the Normal Table. The annual snowfall at a particular geographic location is modeled as a normal random variable with a mean of inches, and a standard deviation of . What is the probability that this year’s snowfall will be at least inches?

Solution: Let be the snow accumulation, viewed as a normal random variable, and let

,

be the corresponding standard normal random variable. We want to find

,

where is the CDF of the standard normal. We read the value from the table:

,

so that

.

Examples from Lecture 9

Figure 2: The PDF

of the standard normal random variable. Its corresponding CDF,

which is denoted by , is recorded in a table.

A professor's exam scores are approximately distributed normally with mean and standard deviation .

What is the probability that a student scores an or less?

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What is the probability that a student scores a or more?

.

What is the probability that a student scores a or less?

.

If your table does not have negatives, use . What is the probability that a student scores between and ?

.

Problem 3. Let and be normal random variables with means and , respectively, and variances and , respectively.

(a) Find and . (b) What is the PDF of . (c) Find .

Solution: (a) is a standard normal, so we have . Also .

(b) By subtracting from its mean and dividing by the standard deviation, we obtain the standard normal.

(c) We have

.

Problem 4. Let be a normal random variable with zero mean and standard deviation . Use the normal tables to compute the probabilities of the events and for .

Solution: Let be the standard normal random variable. We have , so .

From the normal tables we have

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Thus , , . We also have

.

Using the normal table values above, we obtain , , .

Problem 5. Signal Detection. A binary message is transmitted as a signal that is either or . The communication channel corrupts the transmission with additive normal noise with mean and variance . The receiver concludes that the signal (or ) was transmitted if the value received is (or , respectively); see Fig. 3. What is the probability of error?

Solution: An error occurs whenever is transmitted and the noise is at least so that , or whenever is transmitted and the noise is smaller than so that . In the former case, the probability of error is

.

In the latter case, the probability of error is the same, by symmetry. The value of can be obtained from the normal table. For , we have , and the probability of the error is .

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Probability Content from

to

Figure

Figure 2: The PDF
Figure 3: The signal detection scheme. The area of the shaded region gives the probability of  error in the two cases where    and    is transmitted

References

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