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Can cascades be predicted?

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Figure

Figure 1: An information cascade represented by solid edges on a graph G, starting at v 0 ( ˆ G)
Figure 4: Using logistic regression, we are able to predict with near 80% accuracy whether the size of a cascade will reach the median (10) after observing the first k =5 reshares.
Table 1: List of features used for learning. We compute these features given the cascade until the kth reshare.
Figure 7 shows the results for the five feature types. We summa- summa-rize the results by the following observations:
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