Express
Delivery
Services: UK
Published
December 2005
See inside for a
full table of contents
and list of tables……
THE MARKET REPORT WITH THE ANSWERS YOU
NEED
“MSI believe that the UK express delivery
market increased by 5% in value terms
between 2001 and 2004. Moreover, MSI
project that the UK express delivery market
will grow by a further 3% in 2005.”
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THIS REPORT HAS THE ANSWERS
This report provides information you will need when:
• planning your future sales and marketing campaigns • monitoring the competition
• developing new products/services
This report includes the following:
• The volume and value of the UK market for express delivery services, 2001-2005, with annual forecasts to 2010
• The volume and value of the UK market for express delivery services, by type of service, 2001-2005, with annual forecasts to 2010:
internal international
• The volume and value of the UK market for internal express delivery services, by time sensitivity, 2001-2005, with annual forecasts to 2010:
next day other guaranteed non-guaranteed
• The volume of the UK market for internal express delivery services, by user type, 2001-2005, with annual forecasts to 2010:
contract ad hoc
• The revenue per parcel in the UK market for internal express delivery services, by time sensitivity, 2001-2005, with annual forecasts to 2010:
next day
other guaranteed
non-guaranteed
• The volume and value of the UK market for internal and international express delivery services, by end user, 2005:
electronics & telecommunications vehicles & parts IT pharmaceuticals financial business engineering consumer government services other
• The volume and value of the UK market for international express delivery services, by time sensitivity, 2001-2005, with annual forecasts to 2010:
next day other guaranteed non-guaranteed
• The volume of the UK market for international express delivery services, by user type, 2001-2005, with annual forecasts to 2010:
contract ad hoc
• The revenue per parcel in the UK market for international express delivery services, by time sensitivity, 2001-2005, with annual forecasts to 2010:
next day
other guaranteed
non-guaranteed
1
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
2
INTRODUCTION
2.1
Definitions
2.2
Methodology
2.3
Economic Background
2.4
Exchange Rates
2.5
Abbreviations
3
MARKET SIZE
3.1
Market Overview And Trends, 2001-2005
3.2
Market Segmentation, 2001-2005
3.2.1
Internal Deliveries
3.2.1.1
Overview
3.2.1.2
By Time Sensitivity
3.2.1.3
By User Type
3.2.1.4
Revenue Per Parcel
3.2.1.5
By End User
3.2.2
International Deliveries
3.2.2.1
Overview
3.2.2.2
By Time Sensitivity
3.2.2.3
By User Type
3.2.2.4
Revenue Per Parcel
3.2.2.5
By End User
3.3
Factors Affecting Demand
3.4
Forecast Market Overview And Trends,
2006-2010
3.5
Forecast Market Segmentation,
2006-2010
3.5.1
Internal Deliveries
3.5.1.1
Overview
3.5.1.2
By Time Sensitivity
3.5.1.3
By User Type
3.5.1.4
Revenue Per Parcel
3.5.2
International Deliveries
3.5.2.1
Overview
3.5.2.2
By Time Sensitivity
3.5.2.3
By User Type
3.5.2.4
Revenue Per Parcel
4
CRITICAL SUCCESS FACTORS
5
INDUSTRY STRUCTURE
5.1
Overview
5.2
Company Profiles
5.2.1
Amtrak Express Parcels
5.2.2
ANC
5.2.3
Business Post Group
5.2.4
DHL International (UK)
5.2.5
DX Services
5.2.6
FedEx Corporation
5.2.7
GeoPost UK
5.2.8
Initial City Link
5.2.9
Lynx Express
5.2.10
Nightfreight GB Ltd
5.2.11
Nightspeed Secure Worldwide Express
5.2.12
Parcelforce Worldwide
5.2.13
Target Express Parcels
5.2.14
TNT Express Worldwide (UK)
5.2.15
Tuffnells Parcels Express
5.2.16
United Parcel Service UK
6
MAGAZINES
7
TRADE ASSOCIATIONS
8
TRADE EXHIBITIONS
In total this report contains over 91 pages with 57 tables
TABLE OF CONTENTS
1.
UK Economic Indicators, 2003-2006
2.
UK Interest Rates, 2003-2006
3.
The UK Market For Express Delivery Services, 2001-2005
4.
The UK Market For Express Delivery Services, By Type
Of Service, 2001-2005
5.
The UK Market For Internal Express Delivery Services,
2001-2005
6.
The UK Volume Market For Internal Express Delivery
Services, By Time Sensitivity, 2001-2005
7.
Proportional Importance Of The UK Volume Market For
Internal Express Delivery Services, By Time Sensitivity,
2001-2005
8.
The UK Value Market For Internal Express Delivery
Services, By Time Sensitivity, 2001-2005
9.
Proportional Importance Of The UK Value Market For
Internal Express Delivery Services, By Time Sensitivity,
2001-2005
10. The UK Volume Market For Internal Express Delivery
Services, By User Type, 2001-2005
11. Revenue Per Parcel In The UK Market For Internal
Express Delivery Services, By Time Sensitivity,
2001-2005
12. The UK Volume Market For Internal Express Delivery
Services, By End User, 2005
13. The UK Value Market For Internal Express Delivery
Services, By End User, 2005
14. The UK Market For International Express Delivery
Services, 2001-2005
15. The UK Volume Market For International Express Delivery
Services, By Time Sensitivity, 2001-2005
16. Proportional Importance Of The UK Volume Market For
International Express Delivery Services, By Time
Sensitivity, 2001-2005
17. The UK Value Market For International Express Delivery
Services, By Time Sensitivity, 2001-2005
18. Proportional Importance Of The UK Value Market For
International Express Delivery Services, By Time
Sensitivity, 2001-2005
19. The UK Volume Market For International Express Delivery
Services, By User Type, 2001-2005
20. Revenue Per Parcel In The UK Market For International
Express Delivery Services, By Time Sensitivity,
2001-2005
21. The UK Volume Market For International Express Delivery
Services, By End User, 2005
22. The UK Value Market For International Express Delivery
Services, By End User, 2005
23. Forecast UK Market For Express Delivery Services,
2006-2010
24. Forecast UK Market For Express Delivery Services,
By Type Of Service, 2006-2010
25. Forecast UK Market For Internal Express Delivery
Services, 2006-2010
26. Forecast UK Volume Market For Internal Express Delivery
Services, By Time Sensitivity, 2006-2010
27. Forecast Proportional Importance Of The UK Volume
Market For Internal Express Delivery Services, By Time
Sensitivity, 2006-2010
28.
Forecast UK Value Market For Internal Express Delivery
Services, By Time Sensitivity, 2006-2010
29.
Forecast Proportional Importance Of The UK Value
Market For Internal Express Delivery Services, By Time
Sensitivity, 2006-2010
30.
Forecast UK Volume Market For Internal Express
Delivery Services, By User Type, 2006-2010
31.
Forecast Revenue Per Parcel In The UK Market For
Internal Express Delivery Services, By Time Sensitivity
2006-2010
32.
Forecast UK Market For International Express Delivery
Services, 2006-2010
33.
Forecast UK Volume Market For International Express
Delivery Services, By Time Sensitivity, 2006-2010
34.
Forecast Proportional Importance Of The UK Volume
Market For International Express Delivery Services, By
Time Sensitivity, 2006-2010
35.
Forecast UK Value Market For International Express
Delivery Services, By Time Sensitivity, 2006-2010
36.
Forecast Proportional Importance Of The UK Value
Market For International Express Delivery Services, By
Time Sensitivity, 2006-2010
37.
Forecast UK Volume Market For International Express
Delivery Services, By User Type, 2006-2010
38.
Forecast Revenue Per Parcel In The UK Market For
International Express Delivery Services, By Time
Sensitivity, 2006-2010
39.
Industry Concentration In The UK Market For Internal
Express Delivery Services, 2004
40.
Financial Summary Of Amtrak Express Parcels,
2000-2004
41.
Financial Summary Of ANC, 2001-2004
42.
Financial Summary Of Business Post Group, 2001-2005
43.
Turnover Of Business Post Group, By Business Unit,
2005
44.
Financial Summary Of DHL International (UK),
1999-2003
45.
Financial Summary Of DX Services, 2004-2005
46.
Financial Summary Of FedEx Corporation, 2001-2004
47.
Financial Summary Of GeoPost UK, 1999-2005
48.
Financial Summary Of GeoPost UK, (Including Internlink
Express And Interlink Ireland), 2002-2004
49.
Financial Summary Of Initial City Link, 1999-2003
50.
Financial Summary Of Lynx Express, 2000-2004
51.
Financial Summary Of Nightfreight GB Ltd, 1999-2003
52.
Financial Summary Of Nightspeed Secure Worldwide
Express, 2000-2003
53.
Financial Summary Of Parcelforce Worldwide,
2003-2005
54.
Financial Summary Of Target Express Parcels,
1999-2004
55.
Financial Summary Of TNT Express Worldwide (UK),
1999-2003
56.
Financial Summary Of Tuffnells Parcels Express,
2000-2004
57.
Financial Summary Of United Parcel Service
Corporation, 2000-2004
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Published in December 2005
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ARKET
S
IZE
Customers of express delivery services require in most instances time-defined
delivery solutions, and this is principally responsible for the decline in the market for
non-guaranteed express delivery services in the UK during the review period.
Additionally, the declining prices for all three forms of delivery have led some
customers to choose one of the more expensive time-defined forms of express
delivery as the price differential between guaranteed and non-guaranteed services
has narrowed.
MSI project that the share of the market held by next day delivery services will rise to
represent 58% of the internal express delivery services in volume terms in 2005. The
share of other guaranteed internal express delivery services will decline to account
for 35% of the total market during the same year. The remaining 7% of the internal
express delivery services market volume will be accounted for by non-guaranteed
delivery services in 2005, as illustrated in the following table.
TABLE 1: PROPORTIONAL IMPORTANCE OF THE UK VOLUME MARKET FOR
INTERNAL EXPRESS DELIVERY SERVICES, BY TIME SENSITIVITY, 2001-2005
Time Sensitivity
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005*
Next Day
55%
56%
57%
58%
58%
Other Guaranteed
36%
35%
35%
35%
35%
Non-Guaranteed
9%
9%
8%
7%
7%
Total
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Unit:
% of total volume
Note:
* = projections
Source:
Trade and MSI estimates and projections
The proportional importance of next day delivery services increased during the review
period to account for 58% of the UK market for internal express delivery services in
volume terms in 2005. This reflects the changing needs of both private consumers
and corporate clients, where shorter delivery times are expected as a vital element in
the shortening of the supply chain or a reflection of consumer expectations within the
modern age of internet shopping. As a consequence speedy time definite deliveries
are often required, which results in the increasing importance of next day express
delivery services within the UK.
In contrast to the strong volume growth in the market, the next day internal express
delivery services market rose by just 5% in value terms between 2001 and 2004. This
market is projected to rise by a further 3% in 2005 to reach £1 098 million
(€1 625 million). As a further contrast, the market for other guaranteed express
delivery services declined by 4% between 2001 and 2004 and MSI project a further
M
ARKET
S
IZE
TABLE 2: THE UK MARKET FOR INTERNATIONAL EXPRESS DELIVERY
SERVICES, 2001-2005
Year
Volume
% Change
£
% Change
€
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005*
Units:
million packages, £ million and
€ million
Note:
* = projections
Source:
Trade and MSI estimates and projections
The UK market for international express delivery services was negatively affected in
2002 by the events of September 11, 2001. These events had an immediate impact on
international travel and on international trade, making a significant impact on the
international express delivery services market in the final quarter of 2001 and in the
early parts of 2002. This resulted in a low growth rate in the market for international
express delivery services in 2002. However, the market recovered in 2003 from the
downturn in 2002 and achieved a growth rate of 6% in volume terms.
The UK market for international express delivery services increased by 5% in volume
terms in 2004 and MSI project a further increase of 6% in 2005. Trade sources report
that the positive economic developments in the UK and the ongoing trend of
globalisation stimulated the UK market for international express delivery services.
1.1.1.1
By Time Sensitivity
The UK market for international guaranteed next day delivery increased by 32% in
volume terms between 2001 and 2004. The market for express delivery services with
other guaranteed delivery times increased by 13% during the same period. In
contrast, the market for non-guaranteed express delivery services declined by 25%
between 2001 and 2004.
According to trade sources, this development is a direct result of the increasing
demand for fast time definite express deliveries throughout the review period. As
consequence, the market for international next day express deliveries had the
strongest growth rates during the review period, resulting in an increasing market
share for this segment. This is also a reflection of increasingly close commercial links
between the UK and other EU countries, the principal destination for guaranteed next
day delivery services.
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Market Research Report:
Express Delivery Services: UK 2005
Published - December 2005
Unsure of the state of the Express Delivery Services market in the UK? Need the latest
information to assist you with your planning? If so, read on and uncover the future of the
market with this latest report from MSI.
In this their latest Express Delivery Services: UK report, MSI believes that the UK market for express delivery services increased by 8% in volume between 2001 and 2004. The market is projected to grow by a further 4% in volume terms in 2005.
The UK market for express delivery service grew by 5% in value terms between 2001 and 2004. MSI project that the UK market for express delivery services will reach a value of £2.82 billion (€4.17 billion) in 2005.The following table illustrates the developments in the UK market for express delivery services, in terms of volume and value, between 2001 and 2005.
TABLE 1: THE UK MARKET FOR EXPRESS DELIVERY SERVICES, 2001-2005
Year
Volume
% Change
£
% Change
€
2001
788
+4%
2 611
+3%
4 204
2002
804
+2%
2 625
+1%
4 174
2003
827
+3%
2 690
+2%
4 008
2004
854
+3%
2 747
+2%
4 066
2005*
886
+4%
2 817
+3%
4 169
Units: million packages, £ million and € million Note: * = projections
Source: Trade and MSI estimates and projections
The UK market for express delivery services has increased during the review period due to the following factors: • economic conditions
• ongoing trend to outsourcing
• increasing globalisation of the marketplace • increasing use of e-commerce
Demand for express delivery services has been stimulated during the review period by the state of the economy both within the UK and on a global scale. Indeed, the economic conditions of the main trade partners have also had an impact on the market for international express delivery services between 2001 and 2005.
MSI believe that internal express delivery services represented the largest proportion of the overall UK market for express delivery services in terms of both volume and value during the review period, representing 92% in volume and 58% of the total market in value terms in 2005. The internal express delivery services market increased by 8% in volume terms between 2001 and 2004, with a further rise of 4% projected for 2005. However, in value terms, the internal market rose by less than 2% during the period 2001 to 2004, with a further 2% rise projected for 2005.
For the purposes of this report, MSI have segmented the market for express delivery services by internal deliveries and by international deliveries for a five year review period and a five year forecast period up until 2009. These have then been further segmented by time sensitivity, by user type, by revenue per parcel and by end user.
The UK market for international guaranteed next day delivery increased by 32% in volume terms between 2001 and 2004. The market for express delivery services with other guaranteed delivery times increased by 13% during the same period. In contrast, the market for non-guaranteed express delivery services declined by 25% between 2001 and 2004.
According to trade sources, this development is a direct result of the increasing demand for fast time definite express deliveries throughout the review period. As consequence, the market for international next day express deliveries had the strongest growth rates during the review period, resulting in an increasing market share for this segment. This is also a reflection of increasingly close commercial links between the UK and other EU countries, the principal destination for guaranteed next day delivery services.
For the purpose of this report, MSI have identified a number of factors that affect demand for express delivery services. These include:
• economic conditions
• liberalisation of the postal service
• growing popularity of e-commerce and home shopping • production and distribution techniques
• outsourcing
• legislative restrictions
The growing popularity of home shopping has had a significant impact on the express delivery companies. Using the Internet, catalogues or television shopping channels consumers can order products from their home. According to trade sources, in a lot of cases express delivery services are used to deliver physical goods. It is estimated that consumers spent £17 billion (€25 billion) on physical products bought via the home shopping channels. It is further estimated that this market will grow by 50% in the next five years. This significant increase in home shopping purchases will therefore stimulate the UK market for express delivery services.
*************************************************************************************
In summary, this latest version of Express Delivery Services UK, analyses the UK market for a 5 year review period
and a five year forecast period up until 2010. For the purposes of this report, MSI have segmented the market by type of service which includes internal deliveries and international deliveries. Both sectors have been further segmented by time sensitivity, by user type, by revenue per parcel and by end user. Also included in this report are factors affecting demand, critical success factors and a chapter analysing the industry structure which includes 16 company profiles.
This report contains 91 pages with 57 tables and 1 diagram.
Express Delivery Services: UK is available for £595 from: MSI Reports Viscount House River Lane Saltney Chester CH4 8RH Tel: 0800 195 6756 Fax: 0800 195 6757 E-mail:
