J
ul
y
16,
2019
BI
DEN,
WARREN,
AND
SANDERS
TOP
DEM
PRI
MARY
FI
ELD;
GOP
VOTERS
FI
RMLY
BEHI
ND
TRUMP
I
N
GOP
PRI
MARY
DURHAM,
NH
–
For
mer
Vi
ce
Pr
esi
dent
J
oe
Bi
den,
Massachuse s
Senat
or
El
i
zabet
h
War
r
en,
and
Ver
mont
Senat
or
Ber
ni
e
Sander
s
ar
e
bunched
at
t
he
t
op
of
t
he
Democr
ac
fiel
d
i
n
New
Hampshi
r
e.
War
r
en
has
seen
an
i
ncr
ease
i
n
suppor
t
si
nce
Apr
i
l
and
i
s
now
on
equal
f
oong
wi
t
h
Bi
den
and
Sander
s.
Li
kel
y
Republ
i
can
pr
i
mar
y
vot
er
s
r
emai
n
fir
ml
y
behi
nd
Pr
esi
dent
Tr
ump
and
ver
y
f
ew
expr
ess
suppor
t
f
or
For
mer
Massachuse s
Gover
nor
Bi
l
l
Wel
d.
These
findi
ngs
ar
e
based
on
t
he
l
at
est
CNN
2020
New
Hampshi
r
e
Pr
i
mar
y
Pol
l
*
,
conduct
ed
by
t
he
Uni
ver
si
t
y
of
New
Hampshi
r
e
Sur
vey
Cent
er
.
Ei
ght
hundr
ed
si
xt
y-
f
our
(
864)
r
andoml
y
sel
ect
ed
New
Hampshi
r
e
adul
t
s
wer
e
i
nt
er
vi
ewed
i
n
Engl
i
sh
by
l
andl
i
ne
and
cel
l
ul
ar
t
el
ephone
bet
ween
J
ul
y
8
and
J
ul
y
15,
2019.
The
mar
gi
n
of
sampl
i
ng
er
r
or
f
or
t
he
sur
vey
i
s
+/-
3.
3
per
cent
.
I
ncl
uded
i
n
t
he
sampl
e
wer
e
289
l
i
kel
y
2020
Republ
i
can
Pr
i
mar
y
vot
er
s
(
mar
gi
n
of
sampl
i
ng
er
r
or
+/-
5.
8
per
cent
)
and
386
l
i
kel
y
2020
Democr
ac
Pr
i
mar
y
vot
er
s
(
mar
gi
n
of
sampl
i
ng
er
r
or
+/-
5.
0
per
cent
)
.
Tr
end
poi
nt
s
pr
i
or
t
o
J
ul
y
2019
r
eflect
r
esul
t
s
f
r
om
t
he
Gr
ani
t
e
St
at
e
Pol
l
,
conduct
ed
by
t
he
Uni
ver
si
t
y
of
New
Hampshi
r
e
Sur
vey
Cent
er
.
2020
Democr
ac
Pr
i
mar
y
Two-
t
hi
r
ds
of
l
i
kel
y
Democr
ac
New
Hampshi
r
e
pr
i
mar
y
vot
er
s
(
64%)
say
t
hey
ar
e
sl
l
t
r
yi
ng
t
o
deci
de
whom
t
o
suppor
t
,
20%
say
t
hey
ar
e
l
eani
ng
t
owar
ds
someone
(
20%)
,
and
onl
y
16%
have
defini
t
el
y
deci
ded
whom
t
o
suppor
t
.
"New
Hampshi
r
e
pr
i
mar
y
vot
er
s
t
ypi
cal
l
y
don'
t
make
up
t
hei
r
mi
nds
unl
t
he
final
weeks
bef
or
e
t
he
el
econ,
"
sai
d
Andr
ew
Smi
t
h,
Di
r
ect
or
of
t
he
Sur
vey
Cent
er
.
"Vot
er
s
ar
e
not
yet
engaged
i
n
t
he
r
ace.
"
*We ask thatthis copyrighted informaon be referred to as the CNN 2020 New Hampshire Primary Poll,conducted by the University ofNew Hampshire Survey Center.
Sean
P.
McKi
nl
ey,
M.
A.
Zachar
y
S.
Azem,
M.
A.
Andr
ew
E.
Smi
t
h,
Ph.
D.
andr
ew.
smi
t
h@unh.
edu
603-
862-
2226
col
a.
unh.
edu/unh-
sur
vey-
cent
er
By:
CNN
2020
NH
Pri
mary
Pol
l
64%
20% 16%
Defini
t
el
y
Deci
ded
on
Candi
dat
e
-
Democr
ac
Pr
i
mar
y
Vot
er
s
StillTrying To Decide Leaning Towards Someone Definitely Decided October 2017 February 2018 April2018 August 2018 February 2019 April2019 July 2019
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
64% 85%
78%
10% 87%
77%
16% 20%
8% 13% 8%
9% 5%
5%
90%
14%
5% 94%
Democr
ac
Candi
dat
es
Favor
abi
l
i
t
y
When
asked
f
or
t
hei
r
over
al
l
opi
ni
on
of
2020
Democr
ac
candi
dat
es,
t
wo-
t
hi
r
ds
of
l
i
kel
y
New
Hampshi
r
e
Democr
ac
pr
i
mar
y
vot
er
s
say
t
hey
have
a
f
avor
abl
e
opi
ni
on
of
Ver
mont
Senat
or
Ber
ni
e
Sander
s
(
67%)
and
Massachuse s
Senat
or
El
i
zabet
h
War
r
en
(
67%)
,
whi
l
e
mor
e
t
han
hal
f
have
a
posive
opi
ni
on
of
For
mer
Vi
ce
Pr
esi
dent
J
oe
Bi
den
(
57%)
and
Cal
i
f
or
ni
a
Senat
or
Kamal
a
Har
r
i
s
(
54%)
.
J
ust
under
hal
f
have
a
posive
opi
ni
on
of
Sout
h
Bend
I
ndi
ana
Mayor
Pet
e
Bu gi
eg
(
48%)
,
44%
have
a
posive
opi
ni
on
of
New
J
er
sey
Senat
or
Cor
y
Booker
,
and
about
one-
t
hi
r
d
have
a
posive
opi
ni
on
of
For
mer
Housi
ng
and
Ur
ban
Devel
opment
Secr
et
ar
y
J
ul
i
an
Cast
r
o
(
33%)
and
New
Yor
k
Senat
or
Ki
r
st
en
Gi
l
l
i
br
and
(
32%)
.
Thi
r
t
y
per
cent
or
l
ess
have
a
posive
opi
ni
on
of
Hawai
i
Congr
esswoman
Tul
si
Gabbar
d
(
30%)
,
For
mer
Texas
Congr
essman
Bet
o
O'
Rour
ke
(
28%)
,
and
Mi
nnesot
a
Senat
or
Amy
Kl
obuchar
(
24%)
,
whi
l
e
l
ess
t
han
20%
have
a
f
avor
abl
e
opi
ni
on
of
New
Yor
k
Mayor
Bi
l
l
de
Bl
asi
o
(
19%)
,
ent
r
epr
eneur
Andr
ew
Yang
(
17%)
,
busi
nessman
Tom
St
eyer
(
17%)
,
For
mer
Col
or
ado
Gover
nor
J
ohn
Hi
ckenl
ooper
(
15%)
,
Washi
ngt
on
Gover
nor
J
ay
I
nsl
ee
(
13%)
,
Col
or
ado
Senat
or
Mi
chael
Bennet
(
11%)
,
Massachuse s
Congr
essman
Set
h
Moul
t
on
(
11%)
,
and
aut
hor
Mar
i
anne
Wi
l
l
i
amson
(
11%)
.
Ten
per
cent
or
l
ess
have
a
posive
opi
ni
on
of
For
mer
Mar
yl
and
Congr
essman
J
ohn
Del
aney
(
10%)
,
Mont
ana
Gover
nor
St
eve
Bul
l
ock
(
10%)
,
Ohi
o
Congr
essman
Ti
m
Ryan
(
7%)
,
For
mer
Pennsyl
vani
a
Congr
essman
J
oe
Sest
ak
(
5%)
,
and
Mi
r
amar
Fl
or
i
da
Mayor
Wayne
Messam
(
2%)
.
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Bernie Sanders
Elizabeth Warren
Joe Biden
Kamala Harris
Pete Buttigieg
Cory Booker
Julian Castro
Kirsten Gillibrand
TulsiGabbard
Beto O'Rourke
Amy Klobuchar
Billde Blasio
Andrew Yang
Tom Steyer
John Hickenlooper
Jay Inslee
MichaelBennet
Seth Moulton
Marianne Williamson
John Delaney
Steve Bullock
Tim Ryan
Joe Sestak
Wayne Messam
41%
10%
11%
24% 33%
30% 44%
39% 42%
34% 49%
71%
51% 54% 56% 63% 64%
59% 55% 60% 63% 66%
10%
76%
18% 18% 25% 14%
11% 16% 11%
17% 15%
24% 13%
29% 19% 16% 17%
10%
13% 13% 24% 13% 13% 13% 10%
14%
12%
10% 12%
13% 14% 14%
11% 14% 14% 12% 14% 13%
16% 10%
17% 13% 14% 14% 12%
67% 67% 57% 54% 48% 44% 33% 32% 30% 28% 24% 19% 17% 17% 15% 13% 11% 11%
7% 7%
9%
9%
8%
8% 9%
6%
7% 5%
Mor
e
t
han
90%
of
l
i
kel
y
New
Hampshi
r
e
Democr
ac
pr
i
mar
y
vot
er
s
ar
e
awar
e
of
Bi
den,
Sander
s
and
War
r
en,
but
Sander
s
(
+49%)
and
War
r
en
(
+49%)
have
hi
gher
net
f
avor
abi
l
i
t
y
r
angs
(
per
cent
age
who
vi
ew
t
hem
f
avor
abl
y
mi
nus
t
he
per
cent
age
who
vi
ew
t
hem
unf
avor
abl
y)
t
han
Bi
den
(
+32%)
.
Har
r
i
s,
Bu gi
eg,
Booker
,
and
Cast
r
o
ar
e
l
ess
wel
l
-
known
but
ar
e
al
l
sl
i
ght
l
y
mor
e
popul
ar
t
han
woul
d
be
expect
ed
based
on
t
he
pr
oporon
of
l
i
kel
y
vot
er
s
who
ar
e
awar
e
of
t
hem.
Ot
her
candi
dat
es,
such
as
O'
Rour
ke,
de
Bl
asi
o,
and
Wi
l
l
i
amson,
ar
e
l
ess
popul
ar
t
han
woul
d
be
expect
ed
gi
ven
t
he
number
of
l
i
kel
y
vot
er
s
who
ar
e
awar
e
of
t
hem.
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
% Aware of Candidate -10%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
N
et
F
av
or
ab
ili
ty
Marianne Williamson Andrew Yang
Billde Blasio Amy Klobuchar
TulsiGabbard
Kirsten Gillibrand
Elizabeth Warren
Bernie Sanders
Pete Buttigieg
MichaelBennet
Cory Booker
Beto O'Rourke
Joe Biden Kamala Harris
Tom Steyer
Tim Ryan Joe Sestak
Wayne Messam
Julian Castro
John Delaney Jay Inslee
%
Awar
e
of
Candi
dat
e
by
Net
Favor
abi
l
i
t
y
-
J
ul
y
2019
Among
l
i
kel
y
Democr
ac
pr
i
mar
y
vot
er
s,
t
hose
aged
65
and
ol
der
,
t
hose
who
aend
r
el
i
gi
ous
ser
vi
ces
a
f
ew mes
a
year
,
and
Cent
r
al
/Lakes
Regi
on
r
esi
dent
s
ar
e
mor
e
l
i
kel
y
t
han
ot
her
s
t
o
have
a
posive
opi
ni
on
of
Bi
den,
whi
l
e
Conneccut
Val
l
ey
r
esi
dent
s
and
t
hose
aged
18
t
o
34
ar
e
l
ess
l
i
kel
y
t
o
have
a
posive
opi
ni
on
of
hi
m.
Among
l
i
kel
y
Democr
ac
pr
i
mar
y
vot
er
s,
sel
f
-
descr
i
bed
l
i
ber
al
s,
Seacoast
r
esi
dent
s,
and
t
hose
who
di
d
not
vot
e
i
n
2016
ar
e
mor
e
l
i
kel
y
t
han
ot
her
s
t
o
have
a
posive
opi
ni
on
of
War
r
en,
whi
l
e
sel
f
-
i
denfied
I
ndependent
s,
t
hose
who
aend
r
el
i
gi
ous
ser
vi
ces
once
or
t
wi
ce
a
mont
h,
gun
owner
s,
and
Massachuse s
Bor
der
r
esi
dent
s
ar
e
l
ess
l
i
kel
y
t
o
have
a
posive
opi
ni
on
of
her
.
Among
l
i
kel
y
Democr
ac
pr
i
mar
y
vot
er
s,
Nor
t
h
Count
r
y
r
esi
dent
s,
sel
f
-
descr
i
bed
l
i
ber
al
s,
t
hose
who
never
aend
r
el
i
gi
ous
ser
vi
ces,
and
t
hose
aged
18
t
o
34
ar
e
mor
e
l
i
kel
y
t
han
ot
her
s
t
o
have
a
posive
opi
ni
on
of
Sander
s,
whi
l
e
t
hose
aged
65
and
ol
der
and
t
hose
who
aend
r
el
i
gi
ous
ser
vi
ces
once
or
t
wi
ce
a
mont
h
or
mor
e
o en
ar
e
l
ess
l
i
kel
y
t
o
have
a
posive
opi
ni
on
of
hi
m.
I
f
t
he
2020
New
Hampshi
r
e
Democr
ac
pr
i
mar
y
wer
e
hel
d
t
oday,
24%
of
l
i
kel
y
pr
i
mar
y
vot
er
s
say
t
hey
woul
d
vot
e
f
or
Bi
den,
19%
each
woul
d
suppor
t
War
r
en
and
Sander
s,
10%
woul
d
suppor
t
Bu gi
eg,
and
9%
woul
d
suppor
t
Har
r
i
s.
Fur
t
her
back,
2%
each
woul
d
suppor
t
Booker
and
O'
Rour
ke,
1%
woul
d
suppor
t
Gabbar
d,
Wi
l
l
i
amson,
Yang,
Del
aney,
Gi
l
l
i
br
and,
or
Bennet
,
whi
l
e
l
ess
t
han
1%
woul
d
suppor
t
St
eyer
,
Kl
obuchar
,
Moul
t
on,
Ryan,
de
Bl
asi
o,
or
I
nsl
ee.
Ni
ne
per
cent
say
t
hey
ar
e
undeci
ded.
Bul
l
ock,
Cast
r
o,
Hi
ckenl
ooper
,
Messam,
and
Sest
ak
wer
e
i
ncl
uded,
but
di
d
not
r
ecei
ve
suppor
t
f
r
om
any
r
espondent
.
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50%
Joe Biden Elizabeth Warren Bernie Sanders Pete Buttigieg Kamala Harris Cory Booker Beto O'Rourke TulsiGabbard Marianne Williamson Andrew Yang John Delaney Kirsten Gillibrand MichaelBennet Tom Steyer Amy Klobuchar Seth Moulton Tim Ryan Billde Blasio Jay Inslee Undecided
24% 19%
19% 10%
9% 2%
2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
9%
Pr
ef
er
r
ed
Democr
ac
2020
Pr
esi
denal
Nomi
naon
Candi
dat
e
-
J
ul
y
2019
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%
4% 5%
10% 24%
24% 35%
11% 13%
19% 26%
22% 26%
28%
6% 15%
3% 24%
12% 10%
12%
9% 30%
19% 30%
19% 17%
1%
18%
2%
15%
7% 31%
2% 2%
5% 4%
14% 13%
6% 11%
15%
1%
6%
Suppor
t
f
or
War
r
en
has
i
ncr
eased
by
14
per
cent
age
poi
nt
s
si
nce
Apr
i
l
,
whi
l
e
suppor
t
f
or
Bi
den
has
i
ncr
eased
by
7
per
cent
age
poi
nt
s
si
nce
t
hen.
Suppor
t
f
or
Sander
s
has
dr
opped
11
per
cent
age
poi
nt
s
si
nce
Apr
i
l
.
When
asked
whom
t
hey
woul
d
suppor
t
i
f
t
hei
r
pr
ef
er
r
ed
candi
dat
e
wer
e
not
on
t
he
bal
l
ot
,
22%
of
l
i
kel
y
Democr
at
pr
i
mar
y
vot
er
s
say
t
hey
woul
d
suppor
t
War
r
en,
20%
woul
d
suppor
t
Sander
s,
15%
woul
d
suppor
t
Har
r
i
s,
and
12%
woul
d
suppor
t
Bi
den.
Si
x
per
cent
say
t
hat
Bu gi
eg
i
s
t
hei
r
second
choi
ce,
4%
choose
Gabbar
d,
2%
each
choose
Booker
or
Cast
r
o,
and
1%
each
say
t
hat
Gi
l
l
i
br
and,
Kl
obuchar
,
or
Del
aney
i
s
t
hei
r
second
choi
ce.
Less
t
han
1%
each
menon
Bennet
,
Ryan,
Moul
t
on,
Hi
ckenl
ooper
,
Bul
l
ock,
O'
Rour
ke,
Yang,
Wi
l
l
i
amson,
de
Bl
asi
o,
or
St
eyer
as
t
hei
r
second
choi
ce.
Fi
ve
per
cent
say
t
hey
don'
t
have
a
second
choi
ce
whi
l
e
anot
her
5%
ar
e
undeci
ded.
Among
t
hose
whose
fir
st
choi
ce
i
s
Bi
den,
28%
sel
ect
War
r
en
as
t
hei
r
second
choi
ce,
whi
l
e
23%
choose
Sander
s
and
17%
sel
ect
Har
r
i
s.
Among
War
r
en
suppor
t
er
s,
39%
choose
Sander
s
as
t
hei
r
second
choi
ce,
whi
l
e
24%
choose
Har
r
i
s
and
22%
choose
Bi
den.
Among
Sander
s
suppor
t
er
s,
34%
choose
War
r
en
as
t
hei
r
second
choi
ce,
18%
sel
ect
Bi
den,
and
12%
sel
ect
Tul
si
Gabbar
d.
July 2019
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50%
Elizabeth Warren
Bernie Sanders
Kamala Harris
Joe Biden
Pete Buttigieg
TulsiGabbard
Cory Booker
Julian Castro
Kirsten Gillibrand
Amy Klobuchar
John Delaney
MichaelBennet
Tim Ryan
Seth Moulton
John Hickenlooper
Steve Bullock
Beto O'Rourke
Andrew Yang
Marianne Williamson
Billde Blasio
Tom Steyer
No Second Choice
Undecided 5% 5% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2%
4% 6%
12% 15%
20% 22%
When
asked
whi
ch
candi
dat
e
t
hey
woul
d
not
suppor
t
under
any
ci
r
cumst
ances,
mor
e
t
han
hal
f
of
l
i
kel
y
Democr
ac
vot
er
s
(
55%)
say
t
hat
t
hey
ar
e
undeci
ded
(
30%)
or
t
hat
al
l
of
t
he
candi
dat
es
ar
e
accept
abl
e
t
o
t
hem
(
25%)
.
Four
t
een
per
cent
say
t
hey
woul
dn'
t
under
any
ci
r
cumst
ances
vot
e
f
or
Bi
den,
8%
woul
d
not
vot
e
f
or
War
r
en,
6%
woul
d
not
vot
e
f
or
Sander
s,
and
4%
woul
d
not
vot
e
f
or
Wi
l
l
i
amson.
Two
per
cent
each
woul
d
not
vot
e
f
or
de
Bl
asi
o,
O'
Rour
ke,
or
Har
r
i
s,
whi
l
e
1%
each
woul
d
not
vot
e
f
or
Yang,
Bennet
,
Gabbar
d,
Booker
,
Ryan,
Cast
r
o,
Bu gi
eg,
or
Kl
obuchar
.
Less
t
han
1%
of
r
espondent
s
each
say
t
hey
woul
d
not
vot
e
f
or
Bul
l
ock,
I
nsl
ee,
St
eyer
,
or
anot
her
candi
dat
e.
February 2019 April2019 July 2019
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% Joe Biden
Elizabeth Warren
Bernie Sanders
Marianne Williamson
Billde Blasio
Beto O'Rourke
Kamala Harris
Andrew Yang
MichaelBennet
TulsiGabbard
Cory Booker
Tim Ryan
Julian Castro
Pete Buttigieg
Amy Klobuchar
Steve Bullock
Jay Inslee
Tom Steyer
Other
None (AllOK)
Undecided 35%
15% 4%
1% 1% 1% 3% 2%
3% 2%
8% 13% 3%
28% 27% 2%
2% 2% 1%
1% 2% 0%
1% 3%
8% 14% 5%
30% 25% 0%
0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 4%
6% 8%
14%
Li
kel
y
Democr
ac
Pr
i
mar
y
vot
er
s
wer
e
asked
whi
ch
candi
dat
e
t
hey
find
t
o
be
t
he
most
l
i
keabl
e.
Thr
ee
candi
dat
es,
Bi
den
(
20%)
,
Sander
s
(
20%)
,
and
Bu gi
eg
(
18%)
gar
ner
mor
e
t
han
hal
f
of
t
he
r
esponses,
whi
l
e
f
ewer
r
espondent
s
say
t
hat
Har
r
i
s
(
5%)
,
Booker
(
4%)
,
War
r
en
(
4%)
,
O'
Rour
ke
(
4%)
,
Gabbar
d
(
2%)
,
or
Yang
(
1%)
ar
e
most
l
i
keabl
e.
Less
t
han
one
per
cent
each
say
t
hat
Bul
l
ock,
St
eyer
,
Gi
l
l
i
br
and,
Kl
obuchar
,
Bennet
,
or
I
nsl
ee
i
s
most
l
i
keabl
e,
whi
l
e
19%
don'
t
know
or
ar
e
unsur
e.
February 2019 April2019 July 2019
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% Joe Biden
Bernie Sanders Pete Buttigieg Kamala Harris
Cory Booker Elizabeth Warren Beto O'Rourke
TulsiGabbard Andrew Yang Steve Bullock
Tom Steyer Kirsten Gillibrand
Amy Klobuchar MichaelBennet Jay Inslee
Don't Know/Not Sure 19% 2%
1% 0%
9% 3%
5% 9% 0%
20% 31%
17% 1%
0% 1% 0%
11% 1%
1% 2%
13% 22%
28%
19% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1%
2% 4% 4% 4% 5%
18% 20% 20%
Most
Li
keabl
e
Democr
ac
Candi
dat
e
Four
i
n
t
en
l
i
kel
y
Democr
ac
pr
i
mar
y
vot
er
s
(
40%)
bel
i
eve
Sander
s
i
s
t
he
most
pr
ogr
essi
ve
Democr
ac
candi
dat
e,
whi
l
e
j
ust
under
a
quar
t
er
(
23%)
bel
i
eve
War
r
en
i
s
t
he
most
pr
ogr
essi
ve.
Fewer
bel
i
eve
t
hat
Har
r
i
s
(
5%)
,
Bi
den
(
4%)
,
Bu gi
eg
(
4%)
,
Yang
(
3%)
,
Gabbar
d
(
1%)
,
Booker
(
1%)
,
Wi
l
l
i
amson
(
<1%)
,
Del
aney
(
<1%)
,
Kl
obuchar
(
<1%)
,
Bennet
(
<1%)
,
or
de
Bl
asi
o
(
<1%)
i
s
t
he
most
pr
ogr
essi
ve
candi
dat
e.
Si
xt
een
per
cent
don'
t
know
or
ar
e
unsur
e
whi
ch
candi
dat
e
i
s
most
pr
ogr
essi
ve.
Compar
ed
t
o
Apr
i
l
,
consi
der
abl
y
mor
e
l
i
kel
y
Democr
ac
vot
er
s
consi
der
War
r
en
t
o
be
t
he
most
pr
ogr
essi
ve
candi
dat
e.
February 2019 April2019 July 2019
Bernie Sanders Elizabeth Warren Kamala Harris Joe Biden Pete Buttigieg Andrew Yang TulsiGabbard Cory Booker Marianne Williamson John Delaney Amy Klobuchar MichaelBennet Billde Blasio
Don't Know/Not Sure 29% 1%
1% 1%
3% 8%
10%
44%
38% 1%
0% 0% 1% 0% 3%
4% 3% 2%
10%
36%
16% 0%
0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 3%
4% 4% 5%
23%
40%
Despi
t
e
bei
ng
i
n
a
cl
ose
bal
e
wi
t
h
War
r
en
and
Sander
s,
Bi
den
connues
t
o
be
t
he
candi
dat
e
who
l
i
kel
y
Democr
ac
pr
i
mar
y
vot
er
s
bel
i
eve
has
t
he
best
chance
t
o
wi
n
t
he
gener
al
el
econ.
J
ust
under
hal
f
(
45%)
bel
i
eve
Bi
den
i
s
t
he
candi
dat
e
wi
t
h
t
he
best
chance,
dr
amacal
l
y
hi
gher
t
han
t
he
pr
oporon
who
t
hought
so
i
n
Apr
i
l
(
25%)
,
j
ust
bef
or
e
he
announced
hi
s
candi
dacy.
Si
xt
een
per
cent
t
hi
nk
Sander
s
has
t
he
best
chance
t
o
wi
n
t
he
gener
al
el
econ,
9%
bel
i
eve
War
r
en
has
t
he
best
chance,
and
7%
bel
i
eve
Har
r
i
s
has
t
he
best
chance.
One
per
cent
each
bel
i
eve
Bu gi
eg,
Gabbar
d,
or
Booker
has
t
he
best
chance
of
wi
nni
ng
a
gener
al
el
econ,
whi
l
e
l
ess
t
han
1%
each
bel
i
eve
St
eyer
,
Wi
l
l
i
amson,
or
Ryan
has
t
he
best
chance.
Fieen
per
cent
don'
t
know
or
ar
e
unsur
e
whi
ch
candi
dat
e
has
t
he
best
chance
t
o
wi
n
t
he
gener
al
el
econ.
February 2019 April2019 July 2019
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% Joe Biden
Bernie Sanders
Elizabeth Warren
Kamala Harris
Pete Buttigieg
TulsiGabbard
Cory Booker
Tom Steyer
Marianne Williamson
Tim Ryan
Don't Know/Not Sure 29% 2%
5% 2%
22% 32%
30% 2%
4% 2% 2%
30% 25%
15% 0%
0% 0% 1% 1% 1%
7% 9%
16%
45%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% Health Care
Climate Change/Environment
Immigration
Beating Trump/Republicans
Foreign Relations
Honesty/Integrity in Government
Jobs/Economy
Abortion
Income Inequality/Minimum Wage
Education
College Costs/Student Debt
NationalUnity
SocialSecurity
NationalBudget/Debt
Gun Policy
Taxes
NationalSecurity
Other
None
Don't Know/Not Sure
20% 14%
13% 9%
6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0%
8% 0%
3%
Democr
ac
Pr
i
mar
y
Vot
er
s
Most
I
mpor
t
ant
I
ssue
t
o
2020
Pr
i
mar
y
Vot
e
Li
kel
y
Democr
ac
pr
i
mar
y
vot
er
s
ar
e
spl
i
t
on
who
t
hey
t
hi
nk
i
s
best
abl
e
t
o
handl
e
t
he
economy:
a
quar
t
er
(
24%)
say
Bi
den
woul
d
be
t
he
best
on
t
he
economy,
20%
say
War
r
en
woul
d
be
t
he
best
,
and
17%
pr
ef
er
Sander
s
f
or
t
he
t
ask.
Fewer
r
espondent
s
say
t
hat
Bu gi
eg
(
4%)
,
Har
r
i
s
(
3%)
,
Booker
(
2%)
,
Yang
(
2%)
,
Gabbar
d
(
1%)
,
O'
Rour
ke
(
1%)
,
Bul
l
ock
(
<1%)
,
St
eyer
(
<1%)
,
Gi
l
l
i
br
and
(
<1%)
,
or
I
nsl
ee
(
<1%)
woul
d
be
best
abl
e
t
o
handl
e
t
he
economy.
Twent
y-
t
wo
per
cent
don'
t
know
or
ar
e
unsur
e
who
i
s
best
sui
t
ed
t
o
handl
e
t
he
economy.
July 2019
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50%
Joe Biden
Elizabeth Warren
Bernie Sanders
Pete Buttigieg
Kamala Harris
Cory Booker
Andrew Yang
TulsiGabbard
Beto O'Rourke
Steve Bullock
Tom Steyer
Kirsten Gillibrand
Jay Inslee
Don't Know/Not Sure 22%
0% 0% 0% 0% 1%
1% 2%
2% 3% 4%
17% 20%
24%
Candi
dat
e
Best
Abl
e
t
o
Handl
e
t
he
Economy
One-
t
hi
r
d
of
l
i
kel
y
Democr
ac
pr
i
mar
y
vot
er
s
(
34%)
bel
i
eve
Sander
s
i
s
best
abl
e
t
o
handl
e
heal
t
h
car
e,
whi
l
e
19%
bel
i
eve
War
r
en
woul
d
be
best
and
16%
bel
i
eve
Bi
den
woul
d
be
best
on
t
hi
s
i
ssue.
Far
f
ewer
bel
i
eve
t
hat
Bu gi
eg
(
4%)
,
Har
r
i
s
(
4%)
,
Booker
(
1%)
,
Del
aney
(
1%)
,
Kl
obuchar
(
1%)
,
Gabbar
d
(
1%)
,
Bennet
(
1%)
,
Wi
l
l
i
amson
(
<1%)
,
I
nsl
ee
(
<1%)
,
or
someone
el
se
(
<1%)
woul
d
best
be
abl
e
t
o
handl
e
heal
t
h
car
e
whi
l
e
17%
don'
t
know
or
ar
e
unsur
e.
July 2019 Bernie Sanders
Elizabeth Warren Joe Biden Pete Buttigieg Kamala Harris Cory Booker John Delaney Amy Klobuchar TulsiGabbard MichaelBennet Marianne Williamson Jay Inslee Someone else
Don't Know/Not Sure 17%
0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
4% 4%
16% 19%
34%
Thr
ee
i
n
t
en
l
i
kel
y
Democr
ac
pr
i
mar
y
vot
er
s
(
30%)
bel
i
eve
Sander
s
i
s
best
abl
e
t
o
handl
e
t
he
cl
i
mat
e
cr
i
si
s,
whi
l
e
15%
bel
i
eve
War
r
en
woul
d
be
best
and
13%
bel
i
eve
Bi
den
woul
d
be
best
f
or
t
he
cl
i
mat
e.
Fewer
r
espondent
s
say
t
hat
I
nsl
ee
(
4%)
,
Bu gi
eg
(
3%)
,
Har
r
i
s
(
3%)
,
Gabbar
d
(
1%)
,
Booker
(
1%)
,
Yang
(
1%)
,
O'
Rour
ke
(
1%)
,
Gi
l
l
i
br
and
(
<1%)
,
St
eyer
(
<1%)
,
Hi
ckenl
ooper
(
<1%)
,
Messam
(
<1%)
,
Bennet
(
<1%)
,
or
someone
el
se
(
1%)
woul
d
be
best
on
t
he
cl
i
mat
e
cr
i
si
s
whi
l
e
j
ust
over
a
quar
t
er
(
27%)
don'
t
know
or
ar
e
unsur
e.
July 2019
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50%
Bernie Sanders Elizabeth Warren Joe Biden Jay Inslee Pete Buttigieg Kamala Harris TulsiGabbard Cory Booker Andrew Yang Beto O'Rourke Kirsten Gillibrand Tom Steyer John Hickenlooper Wayne Messam MichaelBennet
Someone else
Don't Know/Not Sure 27%
1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1%
1% 1% 1%
3% 3%
4%
13% 15%
30%
Candi
dat
e
Best
Abl
e
t
o
Handl
e
t
he
Cl
i
mat
e
Cr
i
si
s
Ther
e
i
s
no
consensus
among
l
i
kel
y
Democr
ac
pr
i
mar
y
vot
er
s
on
whi
ch
candi
dat
e
i
s
best
abl
e
t
o
handl
e
gun
pol
i
cy:
14%
bel
i
eve
War
r
en
woul
d
be
best
on
t
hi
s
i
ssue,
13%
say
Bi
den
woul
d
be
best
,
11%
say
Sander
s
woul
d
be
best
,
and
8%
say
Har
r
i
s
woul
d
be
best
.
Fi
ve
per
cent
or
l
ess
say
t
hat
Bu gi
eg
(
5%)
,
Booker
(
3%)
,
Gabbar
d
(
3%)
,
Del
aney
(
1%)
,
Moul
t
on
(
1%)
,
Wi
l
l
i
amson
(
<1%)
,
Bennet
(
<1%)
,
Hi
ckenl
ooper
(
<1%)
,
I
nsl
ee
(
<1%)
,
Kl
obuchar
(
<1%)
,
Bul
l
ock
(
<1%)
,
or
someone
el
se
(
<1%)
woul
d
be
best
f
or
handl
i
ng
gun
pol
i
cy.
Thi
r
t
y-
ei
ght
per
cent
don'
t
know
or
ar
e
unsur
e
who
woul
d
best
t
o
handl
e
gun
pol
i
cy.
July 2019 Elizabeth Warren
Joe Biden Bernie Sanders Kamala Harris Pete Buttigieg Cory Booker TulsiGabbard John Delaney Seth Moulton Marianne Williamson MichaelBennet John Hickenlooper Jay Inslee Amy Klobuchar Steve Bullock Someone else
Don't Know/Not Sure 38%
0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1%
3% 3%
5% 8%
11% 13%
14%
J
une
Democr
ac
Debat
e
Twent
y
member
s
of
t
he
Democr
ac
pr
i
mar
y
fiel
d
parci
pat
ed
i
n
t
he
fir
st
pr
esi
denal
debat
e
i
n
l
at
e
J
une,
wi
t
h
t
he
debat
e
spr
ead
over
t
wo
ni
ght
s.
Despi
t
e
hi
gh
t
el
evi
si
on
r
angs,
onl
y
a
quar
t
er
(
25%)
of
l
i
kel
y
New
Hampshi
r
e
Democr
ac
Pr
i
mar
y
vot
er
s
say
t
hey
wat
ched
al
l
or
most
of
bot
h
debat
es,
whi
l
e
11%
say
t
hey
wat
ched
al
l
or
most
of
one
of
t
he
debat
es.
An
addional
40%
say
t
hey
di
d
not
wat
ch
much
of
ei
t
her
debat
e
but
t
hat
t
hey
pai
d
cl
ose
aenon
t
o
news
st
or
i
es
about
t
hem
aer
war
ds,
whi
l
e
23%
say
t
hey
nei
t
her
wat
ched
t
he
debat
e
nor
pai
d
aenon
t
o
news
st
or
i
es
about
t
hem.
Among
l
i
kel
y
Democr
ac
pr
i
mar
y
vot
er
s,
sel
f
-
i
denfied
I
ndependent
s
ar
e
mor
e
l
i
kel
y
t
han
ot
her
s
t
o
say
t
hey
wat
ched
al
l
or
most
of
at
l
east
one
of
t
he
debat
es,
whi
l
e
t
hose
wi
t
h
a
hi
gh
school
educaon
or
l
ess
ar
e
l
ess
l
i
kel
y
t
o
say
so.
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50% Iwatched allor most of both debates
Iwatched allor most of only one debate
Idid not watch much of either debate,but Ipaid close attention to news stories about them afterwards
Ineither watched the debate nor paid attention to news stories about them
Don't Know/Not Sure
25%
11%
40%
23%
0%
Vi
ewi
ng
of
J
une
Debat
e
Among
t
hose
who
wat
ched
t
he
debat
es
or
pai
d
aenon
t
o
news
st
or
i
es
about
t
hem
aer
war
ds
(
N=293)
,
36%
say
Har
r
i
s
had
t
he
best
debat
e
per
f
or
mance,
13%
say
War
r
en
was
best
,
7%
each
say
Bi
den
or
Sander
s
had
t
he
best
per
f
or
mance,
and
5%
say
Bu gi
eg
had
t
he
best
per
f
or
mance.
Fewer
r
espondent
s
say
Cast
r
o
(
2%)
,
Wi
l
l
i
amson
(
1%)
,
Gabbar
d
(
1%)
,
Booker
(
1%)
,
Gi
l
l
i
br
and
(
1%)
,
O'
Rour
ke
(
1%)
,
Ryan
(
<1%)
,
Kl
obuchar
(
<1%)
,
or
someone
el
se
(
<1%)
had
t
he
best
per
f
or
mance,
whi
l
e
5%
say
t
hat
no
one
had
t
he
best
per
f
or
mance
and
20%
don'
t
know
or
ar
e
undeci
ded.
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50%
Kamala Harris Elizabeth Warren Joe Biden Bernie Sanders Pete Buttigieg Julian Castro Marianne Williamson TulsiGabbard Cory Booker Kirsten Gillibrand
Beto O'Rourke Tim Ryan Amy Klobuchar Someone Else None Don't Know/Undecided
36% 13%
20% 7%
7% 5% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 0%
0%
5%
Best
Per
f
or
mance
i
n
J
une
Debat
e
Twent
y-
ei
ght
per
cent
say
t
hat
War
r
en
had
t
he
second
best
debat
e
per
f
or
mance,
12%
say
Har
r
i
s
was
second
best
,
9%
each
say
Bu gi
eg
or
Sander
s
was
second
best
,
and
7%
say
Bi
den
had
t
he
second
best
per
f
or
mance.
Fewer
r
espondent
s
menon
Booker
(
4%)
,
Cast
r
o
(
3%)
,
Gabbar
d
(
2%)
,
Wi
l
l
i
amson
(
2%)
,
Gi
l
l
i
br
and
(
2%)
,
de
Bl
asi
o
(
1%)
,
O'
Rour
ke
(
<1%)
,
I
nsl
ee
(
<1%)
,
Bennet
(
<1%)
,
or
Kl
obuchar
(
<1%)
as
havi
ng
had
t
he
second
best
per
f
or
mance,
whi
l
e
2%
say
no
one
and
17%
don'
t
know
or
ar
e
undeci
ded.
Elizabeth Warren Kamala Harris Pete Buttigieg Bernie Sanders Joe Biden Cory Booker Julian Castro TulsiGabbard Marianne Williamson Kirsten Gillibrand Billde Blasio Beto O'Rourke Jay Inslee MichaelBennet Amy Klobuchar None Don't Know/Undecided
28% 12%
17% 9%
9% 7% 4% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%
2%
Whi
l
e
t
he
debat
es
gar
ner
ed
a
l
ot
of
medi
a
aenon,
t
hey
di
d
l
il
e
t
o
change
vot
er
s
mi
nds.
Among
t
hose
who
wat
ched
t
he
debat
es
or
pai
d
aenon
t
o
news
st
or
i
es
about
t
hem
aer
war
ds
(
N=293)
,
onl
y
15%
say
t
he
debat
es
changed
t
hei
r
mi
nd
about
whi
ch
candi
dat
e
t
o
suppor
t
;
80%
say
t
he
debat
es
di
d
not
change
t
hei
r
mi
nd
whi
l
e
5%
don'
t
know
or
ar
e
unsur
e.
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
OVERALL 15% 80% 5%
Debat
es
Changed
Mi
nd
About
Whi
ch
Candi
dat
e
t
o
Suppor
t
Yes No Don't Know/Not Sure
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50%
Bernie Sanders
Joe Biden
Pete Buttigieg
Elizabeth Warren
Kamala Harris
TulsiGabbard
Cory Booker
Did Not Support Any Candidate
38%
21%
14%
12% 7%
2%
2%
1%
Candi
dat
e
Suppor
t
ed
Bef
or
e
Debat
es
2020
Republ
i
can
Pr
i
mar
y
Li
kel
y
Republ
i
can
New
Hampshi
r
e
pr
i
mar
y
vot
er
s
ar
e
over
whel
mi
ngl
y
posive
i
n
t
hei
r
over
al
l
opi
ni
on
of
Donal
d
Tr
ump:
84%
have
a
f
avor
abl
e
opi
ni
on,
5%
ar
e
neut
r
al
,
10%
have
an
unf
avor
abl
e
opi
ni
on,
and
1%
don'
t
know
or
have
never
hear
d
of
hi
m.
By
cont
r
ast
,
For
mer
Massachuse s
Gover
nor
Wi
l
l
i
am
Wel
d
i
s
vi
ewed
f
avor
abl
y
by
onl
y
14%
of
l
i
kel
y
Republ
i
can
pr
i
mar
y
vot
er
s,
10%
ar
e
neut
r
al
,
32%
have
an
unf
avor
abl
e
opi
ni
on
of
hi
m,
and
44%
don'
t
know
or
have
never
hear
d
of
hi
m.
Oct 2017 Jan 2018 Apr 2018 Jul2018 Oct 2018 Jan 2019 Apr 2019 Jul2019 0%
10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
11% 18%
30%
24% 23%
34% 43%
53%
5% 8% 10%
10%
8%
12% 77%
63%
66% 68%
57%
50%
35%
J
ust
over
hal
f
of
l
i
kel
y
Republ
i
can
New
Hampshi
r
e
pr
i
mar
y
vot
er
s
(
53%)
have
defini
t
el
y
deci
ded
whom
t
hey
wi
l
l
suppor
t
i
n
t
he
2020
Republ
i
can
Pr
esi
denal
Pr
i
mar
y,
whi
l
e
12%
ar
e
l
eani
ng
t
owar
d
someone
and
35%
ar
e
sl
l
t
r
yi
ng
t
o
deci
de.
The
per
cent
age
of
l
i
kel
y
Republ
i
can
pr
i
mar
y
vot
er
s
who
have
defini
t
el
y
deci
ded
(
53%)
has
near
l
y
doubl
ed
si
nce
August
2018
(
23%)
whi
l
e
t
he
per
cent
age
who
say
t
hey
ar
e
sl
l
t
r
yi
ng
t
o
deci
de
(
35%)
has
f
al
l
en
by
near
l
y
hal
f
i
n
t
hat
me
(
68%)
.
Defini
t
el
y
Deci
ded
on
Candi
dat
e
-
Republ
i
can
Pr
i
mar
y
Vot
er
s
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Donald Trump
William Weld 44%
10%
32%
10%
84%
14%
5%
Republ
i
can
Candi
dat
es
Favor
abi
l
i
t
y
J
ust
under
hal
f
of
l
i
kel
y
Republ
i
can
pr
i
mar
y
vot
er
s
(
47%)
woul
d
pr
ef
er
t
hat
Pr
esi
dent
Tr
ump
f
ace
opposion
i
n
t
he
Republ
i
can
pr
i
mar
y,
whi
l
e
39%
woul
d
pr
ef
er
t
hat
he
r
uns
unopposed,
and
13%
don'
t
know
or
ar
e
unsur
e.
Among
l
i
kel
y
Republ
i
can
vot
er
s,
t
hose
who
di
d
not
vot
e
i
n
2016,
t
hose
aged
18
t
o
34,
sel
f
-
descr
i
bed
moder
at
es,
t
hose
aend
r
el
i
gi
ous
ser
vi
ce
a
f
ew mes
a
year
,
col
l
ege
gr
aduat
es,
and
Massachuse s
Bor
der
and
Cent
r
al
/Lakes
Regi
on
r
esi
dent
s
ar
e
mor
e
l
i
kel
y
t
han
ot
her
s
t
o
pr
ef
er
t
hat
Tr
ump
f
ace
opposion
i
n
t
he
Republ
i
can
pr
i
mar
y.
Nor
t
h
Count
r
y
r
esi
dent
s
and
t
hose
aged
35
t
o
49
ar
e
mor
e
l
i
kel
y
t
han
ot
her
s
t
o
pr
ef
er
t
hat
Tr
ump
r
uns
unopposed.
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50%
One of the Best Presidents
Above Average
Average
Below Average
One of the Worst Presidents
Don't Know/Not Sure 2% 5%
6%
18%
42% 28%
Despi
t
e
vot
er
s
wanng
Tr
ump
t
o
f
ace
a
chal
l
enge
i
n
t
he
pr
i
mar
y,
most
Republ
i
can
pr
i
mar
y
vot
er
s
have
a
hi
gh
opi
ni
on
of
t
he
Tr
ump
pr
esi
dency.
Over
a
quar
t
er
of
l
i
kel
y
Republ
i
can
New
Hampshi
r
e
pr
i
mar
y
vot
er
s
(
28%)
bel
i
eve
t
hat
Pr
esi
dent
Tr
ump
has
been
one
of
t
he
best
Pr
esi
dent
s,
42%
say
he
has
been
above
aver
age,
18%
say
he
has
been
an
aver
age
Pr
esi
dent
,
6%
say
he
has
been
bel
ow
aver
age,
5%
t
hi
nk
Tr
ump
has
been
one
of
t
he
wor
st
Pr
esi
dent
s,
and
2%
don'
t
know
or
ar
e
unsur
e.
Li
kel
y
Republ
i
can
Pr
i
mar
y
vot
er
s
who
aend
r
el
i
gi
ous
ser
vi
ces
once
a
week
or
mor
e
o en
ar
e
mor
e
l
i
kel
y
t
han
ot
her
s
t
o
say
t
hat
Tr
ump
has
been
one
of
t
he
best
Pr
esi
dent
s
or
has
been
above
aver
age.
Those
who
di
d
not
vot
e
i
n
2016,
t
hose
aged
18
t
o
34,
sel
f
-
descr
i
bed
moder
at
es,
sel
f
-
i
denfied
I
ndependent
s,
and
Conneccut
Val
l
ey
and
Nor
t
h
Count
r
y
r
esi
dent
s
ar
e
l
ess
l
i
kel
y
t
o
say
so.
Tr
ump
Compar
ed
t
o
Past
Pr
esi
dent
s
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% 50%
Prefer Trump Face Opposition in Primary
Prefer That He Runs Unopposed
Don't Know/Not Sure 13%
39%
47%
