June 2013
NSW Claims
Discussion Group
Lloyd’s
Adrian Humphreys
General Representative - Australia
> www.lloyds.com
/MARKETPRESENTATIONS
© Lloyd’s
C
onte
nt
1
Market Update
2
Lloyd’s
3
Distribution Dynamics
4
CTP
6
SWOT Analysis
5
Large claims
© Lloyd’s
1
Lloyd’s Market
• Lloyd’s structure
• Market Players
© Lloyd’s
From Coffee House……to Lloyd’s Members
1
LLOYD’S Business
> History
1689
Ships and goods insured by wealthy
individuals acting on a personal basis.
Lloyd’s Coffee House; first recorded February
1689.
1800 – 1850s
Development of syndicates
Present Day
iPhone
1712 First steam engine
1750s Beginning of the Industrial Revolution
1805 Battle of Trafalgar
1876 Telephone invented
© Lloyd’s
“Insurance is a promise to pay”, understanding the security behind your policies is
vital when securing your clients future.
© Lloyd’s
2
Lloyd’s in Australia
• Overview
• Business Class Snapshot
• Distribution Snapshot
© Lloyd’s
The previous year of
QBE and IAG global acquisitions
has changed into pressures on costs and
demands for increases in efficiencies. The battle between brokers and insurers to control distribution is well
under way with acquisitions of SME (brokers and MGA’s) business cycle in full flow….
2012 MARKET PLAYERS: TOP 7 General Insurers
(Excluding global business; *Includes subsidiaries)
HIGHLIGHTS (Year end Dec 2011 vs. Dec 2012)
Market Combined Ratio
: 106% in 2011 reduced
to 90% in 2012
Gross Written Premium (GWP)
: increase of
8% to US$ 40.1bn. Lloyd’s in line with market
Gross incurred claims (current and prior years)
fell 38% to US$ 24.6bn
Direct Insurers
GWP up 8.5% to US$ 37.8bn, net underwriting
Combined Ratio of 91%
Reinsurers
Outwards reinsurance spend up 36% to
US$ 837m. Cession ratio increased from 30% to
38%
New incurred claims fell by 64% from US$ 1.2bn
to US$ 463m
Market Overview
>Market Players
2
Source: APRA, (2013); Company Annual Reports, (2013); Exchange rates as per Appendix.
Lloyd’s APRA Return: may differ in 2012 (Total for all OECD classes, for both direct and reinsurance, includes last three years of account). See Appendix note.
Others*
2012 Non Life
Insurance premiums
US$ 40.1bn GWP
(US$ 29.8bn NWP)
**On a country of origin basis. May differfrom APRA statistics. Please see Appendix for further details
1.2 1.3 2.0** 3.2 4.6 6.6* 6.8* 4.6
© Lloyd’s
Property Treaty
Source: Market Intelligence calculation on Xchanging figures. Rates of exchange calculated as per Appendix
2008 – 2012 LLOYD’S PREMIUMS:
BY CLASS**
Overseas Motor
PA & Health Marine
Aviation Energy
GSP in:million US$
Lloyd’s
>Business Class Snapshot
2
Lloyd’s premiums
are dominated by
Property and Liability
classes.
Property D&F
experienced the most significant growth during 2012,
increasing by US$ 98.8m
Lloyd’s data is based on Xchanging “REG 258”, (2012); unaudited figures based on country of origin and processing by calendar year; please refer to Appendix for detailed summary of Lloyd’s Data Limitations.
!
Casualty Treaty Casualty Property (D&F) **On a country of origin basis. Please see Appendixfor further details
70.4 84.8 112.4 240.7 183.9 449.9 500.4 627.4 774.0 798.5 62.5 49.5 50.7 65.5 72.2 59.7 58.0 79.5 86.1 127.2 237.6 230.1 301.2 349.1 447.9 97.9 126.8 158.3 284.7 314.2 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
© Lloyd’s
Source: Market Intelligence calculation on Xchanging figures. Rates of exchange calculated as per Appendix
2012 LLOYD’S PREMIUM GROWTH:
BY CLASS
Gross Signed Premiums in:
million US$**
Lloyd’s
>Business Class Snapshot
Lloyd’s premiums
are dominated by
Property and Liability
classes.
Property D&F
experienced the most significant growth during 2012,
increasing by US$ 98.8m
Lloyd’s data is based on Xchanging “REG 258”, (2011); unaudited figures based on country of origin and processing by calendar year; please refer to Appendix for detailed summary of Lloyd’s Data Limitations.
!
**On a country of origin basis. Please see Appendix for further details2
- 56.8 0.0 24.5 3.8 6.7 41.1 28.8 98.8 29.5 0.0 -80 -60 -40 -20 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 Accident &© Lloyd’s
Lloyd’s
>Commercial Class Analysis
Lloyd’s
Property D&F GWP
increased
75%
from
$79m
in
2011
to
$139m
in
2012
Lloyd’s
general
PI
decreased
7%
from
$253m
in
2011
to
$236m
during the same period
Property – 2012
•
Record capital & top line pressures have returned
•
Food & beverage, power and mining are bucking
the trend due to poor claims experience
•
Rates did increase over Q1 and Q2 (7%), slowed in
Q3 and Q4 to 4% as did insured values
•
Jan / Feb storms had no affect
•
Broker insurer arrangements (Marsh / QBE)
Source: Lloyd’s Australia; APRA National Claims and Policies Database (December 2012)
2
Professional Indemnity – 2012
•
Agreement that rates need to increase, but
competition has kept rates down
•
Financial Planners & Property Valuers rise in rates,
as much as 60% if losses advised
•
Accounting & architects rate rising between 5% &
10%
•
Major engineering firms and construction companies
can expect 5% rises
•
Law firms remains stable, even reductions
•Design and construct 10 year policies
•Clients also looking at retaining more risk
•
AIG Aon PI deal for Australian business
•
Reinsurance capital increased 10%, demand was flat
•
Global return on equity of 13.4%, without Sandy
could have been at 2007 levels
•
Suncorp / Berkshire Hathaway / new partners
•
Increasing competition from China
•
ARPC funding of flood mitigation programme
© Lloyd’s
Lloyd’s
>Commercial Class Analysis
Lloyd’s
GL GWP
increased
8%
from to
$413m, FI
increased
to
$60m
,
D&O
increased
7%
from to
$33m,
Property Treaty
increased
10% t
o
$314m
in
2012
and
Property Cat XL
increased
5%
to
$249m
.
General Liability – 2012
Financial Institutions – 2012
2
•
Claims from GFC are maturing & being paid. Need to
focus on the breadth of cover
•
CR well over 100%, not attributable to one event but a
general frequency and severity
•
Take out GFC no increasing trends in claims frequency
or amounts. But, litigation funders starting to move in.
•
Premiums starting to hold and capacity shifting from
Financial Lines & move away from large institutions
•
Increased competition reflected in rates apart from
bushfire and offshore energy
•
Older years much less favourable:
2010 Gross Loss Ratio 120%, 2011 show 100%
•
Between 2003 & 2010 claims inflation of 7% - 8% pa
•Sharp rise in workers comp recovery actions
•
‘No win no fee’ in shopping centres
Directors and Officers – 2012
•
Two tier market, those including ‘Side C’ and those
not.
•
Most claims have been by shareholder class actions)
and reflected in rates
•
Bridgecorp & Great Southern
Trade Credit – 2012
•
US and Eurozone debt crisis, local u/w pulled out
•
Bad performers substantial rises are holding
•Deductibles will be key to max acceptance rates
© Lloyd’s
2
Lloyd’s
New Zealand
• Overview
© Lloyd’s
Source: Market Intelligence calculation on Xchanging figures. Rates of exchange calculated as per Appendix
2008 – 2012 LLOYD’S PREMIUMS:
BY CLASS**
GSP in:million US$
Lloyd’s
>New Zealand Snapshot
2
Lloyd’s premiums
are dominated by
Property
classes.
Property D&F
experienced the most significant growth during 2012,
increasing by US$ 72.5m
Lloyd’s data is based on Xchanging “REG 258”, (2012); unaudited figures based on country of origin and processing by calendar year; please refer to Appendix for detailed summary of Lloyd’s Data Limitations.
!
**On a country of origin basis. Please see Appendix
for further details
12.3 11.2 16.2 12.1 11.7 8.3 10.3 14.5 14.9 26.6 38.4 42.9 52.2 77.2 149.7 17.5 20.6 28.1 66.2 43.0 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Property Treaty Overseas Motor PA & Health Marine Aviation Energy Casualty Treaty Casualty Property (D&F)
© Lloyd’s
3
Distribution
Dynamics
• Distribution overview
• Coverholders
• Brokers
© Lloyd’s
Source: Market intelligence based on Xchanging; Country Manager soft intelligence, (May 2013) USEFUL LINKS
Lloyd’s Licence Status: > www.lloyds.com/Crystal Coverholder Application: > www.lloyds.com/Atlas
Coverholder Directory: > www.lloydsaustralia.com.au/directory/categories.php
Binding Authorities Direct
Reinsurance
Lloyd’s data is based on Xchanging “REG 258”, (2011); unaudited figures based on country of origin and processing by calendar year; please refer to Appendix for detailed summary of Lloyd’s Data Limitations.
!
Lloyd’s
>Distribution Snapshot
LLOYD’S GROSS SIGNED PREMIUM TREND
(in %)**Lloyd’s underwriters
write a mix of all classes of
direct and reinsurance
;
previous swings of business mix to
binding authorities
has been halted towards open market placements.
Service companies starting to get a foothold locally.
2009 Lloyd’s
GSP US$ 1.1bn
24% 24% 38% 38%2011 Lloyd’s
GSP US$ 1.9bn
44% 32% 24% 24%2010 Lloyd’s
GSP US$ 1.4bn
36% 24% 40% 24% 36%**On a country of origin basis. May differ to APRA statistics. Please see Appendix for further details
3
2012 Lloyd’s
GSP US$ 2.0bn
30% 28% 42%© Lloyd’s
Source: Market Intelligence based on: Lloyd’s Delegated Authority Team 2013
Lloyd’s agencies and service companies you may recognise…..
AFA
Affinity Risk Partners Brokers AIS Insurance Brokers Altiora Insurance Solutions Aon Risk Services
Arch Underwriting at Lloyd’s
Asia Mideast Insurance & Reins. ASR Underwriting Agencies ATC Insurance Solutions Ausnet Underwriting Agency Austagencies
Austbrokers RWA Austbrokers Sydney
Australian Income Protection Australian Reinsurance U/w Svs Australis Group Underwriting Austruck Insurance
Axis Underwriting Services
Beazley Underwriting
Bizcover Brit Insurance
Brooklyn Underwriting
Brooks Inglis Insurance Brokers
Catlin
CBD Underwriting
Celestial Underwriting Agency CEMAC
OMPS Australia
Online Insurance Brokers Parmia
PI Direct Insurance Brokers Professional Risk U/w QBE Placement Solutions Resource Underwriting Pacific Richard Oliver
Risk Insure
Sterling Insurance
Savannah Insurance Agency SLE Worldwide
Southern Cross Underwriting
Sportscover SRS Underwriting Agency Starr Underwriting SUA Suresave Tasman Underwriting Trafalgar Risk Management Transcorp Underwriting Travel Insurance Direct Trident Insurance Group Trinity Pacific U/w Agencies Willis
Windsor Income Protection Winsure Insurance Group Woodina Underwriting World Nomads
Cerberos Brokers Cerberus Special Risks Cheap Travel
Cinesure
CKA Risk Solutions
Columbus Direct Travel Ins. Coverforce Underwriting Dolphin Insurance Dual
East West Insurance Brokers Elkington Bishop Molineaux Epsilon Insurance Broking Services
Fenton Green & Co
Film Insurance Underwriting FP Marine
Fitton Insurance Brokers Freeman McMurrick General Security Insurance Brokers
Gow-Gates Insurance Brokers Guardian Underwriting Services High Street Underwriting Agency Hiscock Insurance Brokers Horsell International H W Wood IBL Indemnity Corporation Insurance Advisernet Insurance Facilitator Insure That International Underwriting Svs Ironshore Australia
Jardine Lloyd Thompson JMD Ross Insurance Brokers JUA Underwriting Agency Latitude
Lawsons Underwriting Australasia Logan Livestock Insurance Agency London Underwriting
Macquarie Underwriting
Magic Millions Insurance Brokers Mansions of Australia
Manufactured Homes Ins Agency Marsh
Millennium Underwriting
Miller & Associates Ins Broking Miramar Underwriting Agency Mobius Underwriting
National Underwriting Agencies Nautilus Marine Insurance Agency
Newline Insurance
Newmarket Insurance Brokers Nova Underwriting
Panoptic (Midas) Pantaenius
3
New
(Bold)
Service Company
© Lloyd’s
4
Claims Transformation
Programme (CTP)
• Claims figures
• Claims Transformation
• Claims Academy
© Lloyd’s
Source: Market Intelligence based on: Lloyd’s Delegated Authority Team 2013
Considerable investment with significant outcomes…..
4
Lloyd’s
> Claims Transformation Programme
“To be the market of choice for
insurance and reinsurance
buyers and sellers to access
and trade specialist property
and casualty risks.”
“Transform the way the
market handles claims to
enhance the experience of
the customer.”
Ahead of competitors on
Complex claims handling
Competitive on Standard
claims handling
Claims Transformation
Programme
Investment
in Claims
Claims
Systems
Enhanced Customer
Experience
© Lloyd’s 21
© Lloyd’s
Measure
Success Criterion
Current Status
Speed
25% improvement
51% improvement
Quality
No deterioration
Small improvement
Market
Perception
No deterioration
78% of brokers surveyed rated CTP system the
same or better than the alternative system
(Gracechurch Consulting Claims Performance Monitor, 2012 annual findings)
Cost
No deterioration
Costs vary depending on managing agent
choices
Source: Market Intelligence based on: Lloyd’s Delegated Authority Team 2013
Considerable investment with significant outcomes…..
4
© Lloyd’s
Source: Market Intelligence based on: Lloyd’s Delegated Authority Team 2013
Considerable investment with significant outcomes…..
4
Lloyd’s
> CTP On-going workstreams
Process efficiency
Delivering claims performance information to Lloyd’s brokers
and working to reduce overall claims lifecycle
Broker Portal
Improving the web portal used by most brokers for submission
of new electronic claims, to increase ease of use and reduce
rework caused by inaccuracies
Volume Claims Service
Investigating a possible high-efficiency, customer-oriented
© Lloyd’s
Source: Market Intelligence based on: Lloyd’s Delegated Authority Team 2013
Considerable investment with significant outcomes…..
4
Lloyd’s
> CTP On-going workstreams
Claims Reporting Suite
Implementing an online claims management information gateway
Claims Talent Programme
Bringing top graduates into the Lloyd’s claims arena and up-skilling
existing young claims professionals at managing agents
Legacy
Investigating whether and how to bring existing non-CTP claims into
scope
Large Loss Coordination
Enhancing the framework through which the market responds to
© Lloyd’s
5
Large Claims
• Claims trends
• New Zealand
• Lessons learnt
© Lloyd’s
LLOYD’S
> Who knows?
Nine out of 10 Nat Cat and all in the last eight years
Year
Event
US$ bn
2005
Cyclone ‘KRW’ – US & Gulf of Mexico
8.0
2001
Terrorism WTC – US
3.0
2012
Superstorm Sandy
2.5
2011
Thailand Floods
2.2
2008
Cyclone ‘Ike’ – US & Gulf of Mexico
2.1
2011
Japan Earthquake & Tsunami
1.95
2005
Cyclone ‘Rita’ – US & Gulf of Mexico
1.5
2010
Chile Earthquake
1.4
2011
New Zealand Earthquake
1.4
2005
Cyclone ‘Wilma’ – US
1.0
2010
Australian floods
0.4
Source: Lloyd’s Australia, (2013)
© Lloyd’s
Source: Market Intelligence based on: Lloyd’s Delegated Authority Team 2013
Considerable investment with significant outcomes…..
5
© Lloyd’s
Source: Market Intelligence based on: Lloyd’s Delegated Authority Team 2013
Considerable investment with significant outcomes…..
5
Lloyd’s
> Loss Framework in Action
Component
Status
Outcome
Corporation
Steering Group
Invoked
•
Policy Holder Helpline triggered
•
Communication Plan developed
•
Regulatory engagement
•
MCR triggered
Strategic Claims
Group
Active
•
JBA study considered
•
Sector Groups feedback
•
No Market Level co-ordination required
PICG
Engaged and Active
•
Executive Adjuster Arrangement triggered
•
Sandy Sub Group formed
•
2013 Review of large loss response for PICG
LRCG
Engaged
•
No separate response Group required
BACG
Engaged and Active
•
Sandy Sub Group formed
•
2013 Review of large loss response for BACG
XCS
Invoked
•
Cat Code issued
•
Urgent arrangements in place
LIIBA
Engaged
•
Attended Claims Supervisory Board on
21.11.2012
© Lloyd’s
6
SWOT Analysis
• Strengths
• Weaknesses
• Opportunities
• Threats
© Lloyd’s
Source: Lloyd’s Australia, (March, 2012)
SWOT ANALYSIS
>SWOT
6
Strengths
Weaknesses
Opportunities
Threats
•
Capital, Rating & Branding
•
Strong claims framework
•
Market access & relationships
•
Coverholder model open to attack
•
Competing with ourselves
•
Local service and claims
•
Market consolidation & broker binders
•
TORT reform worn off
•
Portfolio deals
•
The ‘computer says no’ esp. 26
thparallel
•
Singapore and local subscription
•
Reinsurance
© Lloyd’s
2013 increased focus on Australia….
© Lloyd’s
Appendix
• About Market Intelligence
• Data Limitations & Disclaimer
> www.lloyds.com
/marketintelligence
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Disclaimer
This document is intended for general information purposes only. Whilst all care has been taken to ensure the accuracy of the
information Lloyd's does not accept any responsibility for any errors or omissions. Lloyd's does not accept any responsibility or
liability for any loss to any person acting or refraining from action as a result of, but not limited to, any statement, fact, figure,
expression of opinion or belief obtained in this document.
Lloyd’s Data Limitations
Please note the information contained in this document is based upon data collected from Xchanging and may be incomplete
for some classes of business; for instance a substantial figure, which is missing from the REG 258 data set is comprised of UK
Motor, which is not processed by Xchanging.
Gross Premiums:
Original and additional inward premiums, plus any amount in respect of administration fees or policy
expenses remitted with a premium but before the deduction of outward reinsurance premiums.
Lloyd’s figures are based on gross written premiums based on figures processed by Xchanging by processing year and country
of origin.
Country of Origin:
denotes the country from where demand for the insurance / reinsurance emanates; i.e. the coverholder or
policyholder, irrespective of the country to which the risk is classified for regulatory reporting purposes.
Processing Year:
relates to the calendar year in which the premium, additional or return premium is processed by Xchanging,
irrespective of the actual underwriting year of account of the risks (which is determined by the inception date of each risk).
Example: A policy holder in the UK insuring a holiday home in France would be classified as a UK risk by Country Of Origin, but
French for regulatory reporting purposes. Similarly a risk incepting on 1st December 2009 would be classified at 2009
underwriting year of account but may not be processed by Xchanging until 2010 and so be allocated to the 2010 processing
year
Exchange Rate Policy
Appendix
> Data Limitations & Disclaimer
(1 AU$: 1 US$) 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Average Exchange Rates 0.7531 0.8385 0.8524 0.7919 0.9195 1.0333 1.0356
www.oanda.com (April 2013)