The Voting Patterns of the Settlers –2013 Knesset Elections
Peace Now, Settlement WatchMain Findings:
• The settler population constitutes 4.14% of the electorates in Israel, equaling 5 Members of Knesset (MKs) out of 120.
• 11 MKs (9%) of the 120 newly elected Knesset Members, reside in the settlements. 5 are members of the “Likud Beitenu” party, a composition of the “Likud” party, headed by PM Netanyahu and by “Israel Beitenu” party, headed by Avigdor Liberman (who himself lives in the settlement of Nokdim); 5 are members of the “Bait Hayehudi” (“The Jewish Home”) party led by Naftali Bennet; 1 is a member of “Yesh Atid” party, led by former journalist Yair Lapid.
• The voter turnout among the settlers was slightly over 83%, higher than the national average of 67.6%.
• The most popular party among the setters was the “Bait Hayehudi” party, with nearly 28% of the votes, over 3 times higher than the 9% support the party received among the general Israeli public. • The second most popular party in the settlements was the “Likud Beitenu” party with 21% of the
votes, however lower than its national 23% support.
• The ultraorthodox parties received an accumulated support of almost 28% (“Yahadut Hatora” – 17.1%; “Shas” – 9.5%), significantly higher than the 15% votes received by the general public. • “Otzma LeIsrael” (“Might to Israel”) party, the successor of the racist Kahane movement, received
7.4% among the settler votes, well over the 1.7% received by the general public (which didn’t pass the 2% election threshold).
• The vote among the setters for the Centrist parties of “Yesh Atid” and “Kadima” was 6.5% and 0.7% respectively, lower than the national voter turnout of 14.2% and 2.1% respectively.
• The Labor party was supported by 3.4% of the voters from the settlements, less than a third of its national result which was 11.4%.
• The politically dovish parties of “HaTnua” and “Meretz”, which during their elections campaign emphasized the two state solution and the need for negotiations that would evidently lead to evacuation of settlements, received 2.2% among the settlers, lower than the 9.6% received among the general public. “Hantnua” party received 1.4% among settlers, less than the 5% received by the general public, while the support for “Meretz” stood at 0.7% among the settlers, less than the 4.6% received by the general public.
Settler and National voting patterns
A closer look at the voting patterns within the settlements clarifies the differences among them. In order to understand the voting patterns, we created 6 subgroups of settlements, each with specific characteristics: 1. National Religious settlements; 2. Large, un-orthodox settlements; 3. Ultraorthodox settlements; 4. “Quality of Life” settlements; 5. Secular and or mixed (secular and national religious) settlements; 6. Secular settlements in the Jordan Valley.
23.25% 8.76% 14.91% 1.72% 17.50% 11.4% 9.61% 21.3% 27.93% 27.56% 7.40% 8.29% 3.41% 2.18% 0.00% 5.00% 10.00% 15.00% 20.00% 25.00% 30.00% Nationaly Settlements National Religious, 25.9% Ultraorthodox, 25.2% Large, unorthodox, Settlements (Ma'ale Edumim, Givat Ze'ev, Ariel),
23.0% "Quality of Life", 10.9% Secular and/or Mixed (secular + national religious), 13.3% Jordan Valley Secular settlements, 1.8%
Settlement Types
population percentage outSettlements: Avnei Hefetz, Itamar, Elon More, Alon Shvut, El’azar, Elkana, Efrata, Beit El, Beit Horon, Bruchin, Bracha, Bat Ayin, Dolev, Hebron, Halamish, Hashmonaim, Talmon, Yitzhar, Yakir, Kochav Ha’shachar, Kfar Etzion, Kfar Tapuah, Karmei Tzur, Carmel, Mevo Horon, Migdal Oz, Mechola, Ma’on, Ma’ale Levona, Ma’ale Michmash, Ma’ale Shomron, Yatir (aka Metzadot Yehuda), Mitzpe Yericho, Neve Daniel, Nahliel, Susiya, Ofra, Ateret, Alei Zahav, Enav, Otniel, Pedu’el, Pnei Hever, Psagot, Kedumim, Kiryat Netafim, Rosh Tzurim, Revava, Shavei Shomron, Shadmot Mehola, Shilo.
HaBait HaYehudi, 64.04% Likud Beitenu, 13.76% Otzma LeIsrael, 14.14% Ultraorthodox Settlements, 3.90% Centrist Parties,
2.30% Labor, 0.78% Politically Dovish,
0.30%
National Religious Settlements
Settlements: Immanuel, Kochav Ya’akov, Ma’ale Amos, Asfar, Beitar Illit, Matityahu, Modi’in Ilit
Settlements: Ma’ale Edumim, Givat Ze’ev, Ariel
Yahadut HaTorah, 63.86% Shas, 25.04% Koah Lehashpia'a, 1.67% Otzma LeIsrael, 4.12% Likud Beitenu, 1.12% Habait HaYehudi, 3.35%
Ultraorthodox Settlemets
HaBait Hayehudi, 18.34% Likud Beitenu, 42.63% Otzma LeIsrael, 4.08% Ultraorthodox, 11.29% Centerist parties, 12.63% Labor, 4.37% Politically Dovish, 2.71%Large, unorthodox, settlements (Ma'ale
Edumim, Givat Ze'ev, Ariel)
Settlements: Oranit, Alfei Menashe, Beit Arie, Har Adar, Har Gilo, Hinanit, Kfar Ha’oranim, Nili, Na’ale, Sal’it, Alei Zahav, Reihan, Shaked
Settlements: Adora, Eshkolot, Barqan, Geva Binyamin (aka Adam), Giv’on Ha’hadasha, Hermesh, Tene, Kfar Adumim, Mevo Dotan, Migdalim, Nofim, Nokdim, Almon, Etz Efraim, Tzofim, Keidar, Kiryat Arba, Karnei Shomron, Rimonim, Shim’a, Sha’arei Tikva, Telem, Tko’a
HaBait HaYehudi, 13.12% Likud Beitenu, 29.40% Otzma LeIsrael, 1.67% Utraorthodox, 2.77% Centerist Parties, 28.54% Labor, 12.32% Politically Dovish, 8.94%
"Quality of Life" settlements
HaBait HaYehudi, 34.3% Likud Beitenu, 29.62% Otzma LeIsrael, 11.49% Ultraorthodox Parties, 5.97% Centerist Parties, 9.51%
Labor, 4.09% Politically Dovish, 2.5%
Secular or Mixed (secular and national
religious)
Settlements: Almog, Argaman, Beit Ha’arava, Bqa’ot, Gitit, Gilgal, Vered Yericho, Hamra, Yitav, Yafit, Mechora, Ma’ale Efraim, Mitzpe Shalem, Masu’a, Niran, Na’ama, Nativ Ha’gdud, Petzael, Kalia, Ro’i, Tomer HaBait HaYehudi, 27.16% Likud Beitenu, 3.59% Otzma LeIsrael, 2.48% Ultraorthodox Parties, 17.3% Centerist Parties, 15.75% Labor, 9.23%
