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DC MICROGRIDS. A novel solution for universal electricity access

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(1)

DC MICROGRIDS

(2)

2

1.3 billion people still lack access to electricity

(3)

Electricity is not affordable

(4)

4

Electricity is not reliable

(5)

Electricity is not scalable

(6)

6

For 1 in 5 people worldwide, electricity is not

Affordable

Reliable

Scalable

(7)

Electricity access is a significant challenge OPPORTUNITY

(8)

Electricity access is a significant challenge

8

OPPORTUNITY

Solar Lanterns Solar Home Systems Grid Extension

# Eligible

Consumers 561M 478M 95M

Est. Market

Size $4B $8B $2B

(9)

What is a microgrid?

Microgrids have the potential to electrify 145M to 410M people

(10)

Existing solutions do not meet all three needs

10

Affordable

Reliable Scalable

DC

Microgrids

(11)

Scalable: Microgrids enable higher tiers of electricity use

0.001 0.01 0.1 1 10 100

Macrogrid (U.S.) Macrogrid (developing world) Microgrid Solar home system Solar lantern

Per capita electricity use (kWh/day/person)

(12)

AC microgrids can be improved

Not affordable

Larger solar arrays

Not reliable

Central storage

Not scalable

Inverters

12

(13)

How is our system different?

AC DC

+ -

Power Generation: Solar PV

Inverter

Battery Bank

(14)

CHARGEBOX™ enables benefits of the DC system

14

• Steps Down Voltage

• Payment System Compatible

• Charge Meter

• Wireless Communication

• Lithium-based Storage

48V DC

12V DC 5V DC CHARGE CREDIT

(15)

DC microgrids succeed where others fail

Device / Solar Kit

Solar Home System

AC Microgrid

DC Microgrid + CHARGEBOX

AFFORDABLE

RELIABLE

SCALABLE

(16)

Higher distribution efficiency in DC microgrids

16

AC Microgrid DC Microgrid

73% 79%

81% 98%

AC microgrid efficiency excludes AC/DC rectifier losses

(17)

A more efficient system is more affordable

0 200 400 600 800

0 5 10 15 20 25

Energy Consumed (kWh / year)

Capacity (cubic ft) AC Refrigerators

DC Refrigerators

(18)

Microgrids are the most affordable option for the desired level of service

18

Phone charging, lighting

Entertainment Comfort and productivity

LCOE ($ / kWh)

Level of Service

Solar Home Systems

Microgrids Solar

Devices

(19)

DC microgrids will be cost competitive

Technology Levelized Cost of Electricity ($/kWh)

Solar Lantern ~ $10.00

Solar Home System ~ $1.00

AC Microgrid ~ $0.50 - $1.00

Grid Extension ~ $0.10

DC Microgrid ~ $0.50

(20)

How can we make microgrids more affordable?

20

Number of Rural Households

Income Level

Solar Home Systems

$80-120/year Microgrids

$100-150/year Solar Lamps

and Kits

$30-80/year

(21)

A reliable system prevents brownouts

(22)

A scalable system supports projected growth in energy demand

22 -4

-2 0 2 4 6 8 10

1980 1990 2000 2010

Annual Percentage Change

Real GDP Growth

Emerging market and developing economies Advanced economies World

(23)

A scalable system can be tailored

(24)

Why is the market ready now?

24

Decreasing PV costs

Decreasing storage costs

Rise of pay- as-you-go

(25)

Initial markets were evaluated using 3 criteria

Strong Partners Value

Energy Efficiency High WTP

(26)

Islands are an attractive premium market

26

World Bank Islands Sustainable Energy Finance Project

10-30% of GDP spent on imported fuel (diesel) 70% Pacific

Islands lack electricity access

(27)

Path to market

Market Size

1 years 3 years 5 years

$1B

Islands

$1.6B

Peri-urban

$4B+

Rural electrification

(28)

28

For 1 in 5 people worldwide, electricity is not

Affordable

Reliable

Scalable

CAN BE

(29)

One step closer to universal electricity access

(30)

Sherry MBA 2015

THANK YOU

John GSPP /

ERG 2016

Sara MBA 2015

Tia MBA 2015

Nick MBA 2015

Molly MDP 2015 Achintya Madduri

30

(31)

Questions?

(32)

Microgrids let customers move up the energy ladder

32

(33)

Solar home systems

$8

Grid extension

$2 Microgrids

$4 Solar lanterns

$4

# of People (M) Market Size ($M)

Market size estimates (lower bound)

Solar home systems

478

Grid extension

95 Microgrids

145 Solar

lanterns 561

(34)

Addressable market, by technology

34

(35)

$0.24 $0.51

$0.08 $0.06

$0.09 $0.11

0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8

DC Microgrid AC Microgrid

LCOE ($/kWh)

Generation and Storage Distribution Labor and Transportation

Better service at the same LCOE

$0.41 $0.45

(36)

DC is more efficient, especially at night

36

(37)

Battery costs expected to decrease

(38)

Market Segment Service Offering Financing Method Payment Collection

Pay per use

Rental/

Pure Lease

Rent-to-own/

Lease financing Tier 2: Basic

Household Needs

Tier 3: Small Productive Power

Tier 4: Large Productive Power Households

Commercial

Manual

Scratch Card

Mobile Money

Business model choices

38

(39)

Competitive Landscape

Company Country Technology Payment Collection

Business Model

DESI Power India Micro/mini-grid Manual/cash Lease time/energy Devergy Tanzania Micro/mini-grid Scratch card Pay per use

Energa Senegal Micro/mini-grid Scratch card Pay per use Fenix International Uganda Device/solar kit Mobile money Pay per use Husk Power India,

Uganda

Micro/mini-grid Mobile money Lease time/energy

Mera Gao Power India Micro/mini-grid Manual/cash Lease time/energy d.light design SSA, Asia Device/solar kit Mobile money Lease time/energy Off:Grid Electric Tanzania Solar home

system

Mobile money Lease time/energy

BBOXX SSA Solar home

system

Mobile money Lease time/energy

(40)

Value Chain of a Microgrid

40

References

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