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2012 CBECS: Preliminary Results and Timeline for Data Release

Joelle Michaels, CBECS Survey Manager

Interagency Sustainability Working Group

September 18, 2012 | Washington, DC

(2)

Overview

• CBECS background

• 2012 CBECS preliminary characteristics results

• 2012 CBECS timeline and data release schedule

• Questions?

(3)

CBECS provides essential, unique information

• The Commercial Buildings Energy Consumption Survey

(CBECS) is the only independent, statistically representative source of national-level data on the characteristics and energy use of commercial buildings

• Mandated by Congress in 1977, it has been conducted every 3 to 5 years since 1979

• The 2012 CBECS is currently wrapping up the final stage of data collection; we are gathering the usage data from energy

providers across the country

• 2012 CBECS final sample of over 6,700 buildings, one of the

largest CBECS ever

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CBECS uses a two-stage survey process

• Phase I: Buildings survey

– In-person or telephone interview conducted by a trained interviewer – Computer-assisted survey instrument (since 1995)

– Voluntary

– Approximately 30-45 minutes in length – 2012 field period was ~ 8 months long

• Phase II: Energy suppliers survey

– Follow-up with energy suppliers for about half of the building cases (usage data for the others collected in Phase I)

– Historically a mail survey; for 2012, it is mainly an internet data collection – Mandatory

– 2012 field period began in March 2014 and will be ending this month

(~7 months long)

(5)

CBECS requires a multi-frame approach

• No comprehensive source of buildings exists

• Area frame

– Randomly select small, geographic areas – Within them, list and stratify all commercial

buildings in those areas

– Randomly select buildings within strata

• List frames

– Supplemental lists ensure adequate

representation of special buildings (hospitals, govt bldgs, college/universities, airports,

other large buildings)

2. Select segments

1. Select PSUs (counties or

groups of counties)

Main St

Diagonal Ave 3. Select buildings

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2012 CBECS preliminary results: in recent years, commercial floorspace has grown more rapidly than the number of buildings

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

1979 1983 1986 1989 1992 1995 1999 2003 2012

Year of survey

Million buildings Billion square feet

Number of commercial buildings Total commercial floorspace

Note: The lower 1992 estimates are adjusted to match the 1995-2012 CBECS definition of target population by removing enclosed parking garages and commercial buildings on manufacturing industrial facilities.

(7)

New commercial buildings are larger, on average, than old commercial buildings

0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20

Before 1920

1920 to 1945

1946 to 1959

1960 to 1969

1970 to 1979

1980 to 1989

1990 to 1999

2000 to 2003

2004 to 2007

2008 to 2012

Thousand square feet

Average building size by year constructed

Before 1960 Average = 12,000 sqft

1960 to 1999 Average = 16,300 sqft

2000 to 2012 Average = 19,100 sqft

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Buildings over 100,000 square feet make up only about 2% of the building count but about 35% of the total floorspace

49.9%

9.2%

22.1%

10.2%

15.9%

16.3%

6.0%

13.8%

3.6%

16.0%

1.6%

14.2%

0.7%

12.3%

0.1%

8.1%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

Percent of total commercial buildings

Percent of total commercial floorspace

Over 500,000

200,001 to 500,000

100,001 to 200,000

50,001 to 100,000

25,001 to 50,000

10,001 to 25,000

5,001 to 10,000

1,001 to 5,000 Size of buildings (square feet)

(9)

The CBECS building population is diverse and smaller building types are the most common

0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200

0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000 Public order and safety

Other Health care Lodging Food sales Vacant Public assembly Food service Education Religious worship Mercantile Service Warehouse and storage Office

Number of buildings (thousand)

Average building size (square feet)

Average Building Size Number of Buildings

Average building size for all commercial buildings

= 15,720 square feet

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About half the building types show an increase in the number of buildings from 2003 to 2012

0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200

Food sales (*) Mercantile Service Education Lodging Religious worship Public order and safety Health care Office (**) Public assembly (*) Food service (**) Warehouse and storage (*) Other (**) Vacant (**)

Number of buildings (thousand)

2003 CBECS 2012 CBECS in order of largest to smallest relative growth from 2003 to 2012

(*) indicates change is statistically significant at the 90% confidence level Warehouse and storage (*)

Mercantile

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Publication of 2012 water usage data is still uncertain

• 2007 CBECS included experimental water data collection; 2012 CBECS built upon that experience

• Initial results show that respondents find it difficult to access and report this information; the rate of reporting is much lower than it was in 2007

• Thorough data review will determine if water usage can be estimated for

certain subpopulations

8% 6%

52%

29%

40%

65%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

2007 2012

Unable to report any water data

Reported water use and/or cost

Water not used

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Monitoring, editing, weighting, imputation, estimation, modeling, tabulation & data inoculation Monitoring, validation & editing

2012 CBECS timeline spans four years

2012

2013

2014

Buildings Survey Data Collection

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Supplier Survey Data Collection

Field Update

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Sampling

Field prep & training

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

2015

Flash Estimates – Characteristics Questionnaire design & programming Stakeholder meetings

Detailed Tables – Characteristics

Microdata – Characteristics

Flash Estimates –

Consumption & Expenditures (C&E)

Microdata – C&E Detailed Tables –

C&E

Editing, imputation, modeling, tabulation & data inoculation

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Building characteristics (BC) preliminary

estimates Released June 19, 2014

BC detailed tables Fall 2014

BC public use microdata Winter 2014

Consumption & expenditures (C&E) preliminary

estimates Spring 2015

C&E detailed tables Fall 2015

C&E public use microdata Winter 2015

Projected schedule of 2012 CBECS data releases CBECS home page provides status updates

www.eia.gov/consumption/commercial

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For More Information

CBECS home page | www.eia.gov/consumption/commercial Joelle Michaels, Survey Manager | [email protected] Tom Leckey, Director, Office of Energy Consumption and

Efficiency Statistics | [email protected]

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