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Assessing the impact of a future volcanic eruption on decadal predictions

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Figure

Figure 1. (a)system ensemble mean before the Pinatubo-like eruption and grey circles are the individual ensemble members
Figure 2. Time series of 4-year running mean ensemble forecast of near-surface air temperature (TAS) anomalies
Figure 4. Differences in ensemble mean forecasts of zonal mean air temperature (TA) for prediction years 1–4.– b1-2012), (a) Exp-2012 (Pinatubo-2012 (b) exp-2014 (Pinatubo-2014 – b1-2014), and (c) the difference between the two (exp-2012 – exp-2014).
Figure 5. Differences in ensemble mean forecasts of SIC for prediction years 1–4, (a–c) for the 4-year mean maximum in March, and (d–f)for the 4-year mean minimum in September
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