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Intermodal transports. Could the Swedish intermodal success story be transferred to Denmark?

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(1)

Intermodal transports

(2)

Background

In Sweden intermodal transport has undergone a dramatic process of change and the transport work has doubled since the millennium. This change has not only occurred on the traditional distances for intermodal transports, i.e. large volumes over long distances, but even occurred on large volume over distances down to 150-200 kms. Rail deregulation, realized new business opportunities between new entrant rail operators and hauliers, shippers and forwarders changed transport strategies and increased degree of containerization in the global transport market are some dimensions explaining this process. Consequently, the aim of the

presentation is to transfer the knowledge and experiences from the Swedish market to the Danish market in order to discuss opportunities and obstacles on the Danish market for a similar process..

Discuss if the experiences of the Swedish Intermodal Success story could be transferred to Denmark?

(3)

Volume and transport work

development

(4)

Swedish trends in the intermodal market

Growth 1997 – 2011

Domestic +116 %

International +292% (includes transit traffic from 2009) +218% until 2008

Break in 2002.

(5)

Ex Network replaced by single lines

(6)

Gothenburg Port

2001 – 2012: +247%

(7)

Train operators

who traffic Port

of Göteborg

(8)

Example of

international

development

(9)

Accessibility to and

establishment of terminals

9

New operators trafficed new makeshift terminals Municipalities etc. came to be interested in establishing intermodal terminals

Many of the new intermodal transport

services traffic newly established

terminals

Intermodal terminals has been considered to be commercially closed by new operators

Convenient and cost efficient terminals

-

Rail access

-

Road access

-

Transshipment capacity & cost

(10)

Terminal

congestion?

Overlapping catchment area

Limited transport market => risk of cannibalism

Cooperation or competition?

10

(11)

0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 10 30 50 70 90 110 130 150 170 190 210 230 250 270 290 310 330 350 370 390 410 430 450 470 490 Road Rail EL Rail El - VXL Diesel Rail Diesel Td Rail Diesel TMZ Rail Diesel Kapillär Road 32 m

Kostnad

per

ton

Intermodal transport costs – a

calculation example

Economy of scale – large volumes required Breakeven distance varies depending on:

-

Port or inland transport shuttle

-

Locomotive type

-

Truck size

-

Unlawful competition

(12)

Barriers

Transport time, reliability, cost

Road solutions a base alternative – intermodal as volume back-up

”If our competitor use the service we will not”

Share of information, consolidation hindrance

No offer of door-to-door intermodal transport services

many companies involved in intermodal transports chains

Low cost hauliers

Marketing and logistics uncoordinated

Central warehousing – short transport lead times

No (economical) incentive for change

Short term contracts

Lack of willingness from Infrastructure managers to improve business conditions

(13)

Stimulating factors

Deregulation of the rail network

Modest track charges and incresed fuel prices

Containerisation

Container and trailer shuttles

Customer and agent initiated transport systems

Subsidies as Marco Polo

(14)

Successs factors

Large shippers that initiate intermodal transport

shuttles/systems is a great driving force. They guarantee a base volume from which the transport service can be built around.

High utilisation in the trains is fundamental. Otherwise the transport service will not be economically sustainable.

Transport buyers takes the initiative for intermodal transport and not primarily the train operators or transport service providers as forwarders.

Real Rail one exception: initiative from a haulier

Sweden has a large scale production industry that has a large transport need. However, the growth is mainly driven by

(15)

Transport buyer driven developments

requires…

A few dedicated individuals

Restructuring logistical solutions – warehousing, order time,

flow coordination

Affects purchasing and/or sales – top management support

Take an investment – long term contract/set-up

Examples

COOP (Helsingborg – Bro)

Waggeryd Cell (Vaggeryd – Göteborg)

(16)

Questions?

(17)
(18)

Business perspective

Operational perspective

Sustainable perspective

Shippers

Transport & terminal

operators Society Sustainable transport system

Barriers

Barriers

Shared objectives

Problem description

(19)

Socio-

oriented

Regulative

sid 19

Organisational Infra-structural Market oriented Technical

IT, administrative and planning Production and operational

(20)

Market aspects – shippers perspective I

Deregulated transport market in Sweden has increased accessibility to rail/intermodal transports for medium and large shippers, however for a majority of shippers rail and sea is not an option.

Minimum transport volume has increased from wagon-wagons to Block train-full train. The IMO regulation will (most likely) result in concentration of flows to fewer ports called by larger vessels.

Marketing and sales are focused on dedicated customer oriented solutions => barrier towards inter-organisational co-ordination and consolidation of different consignors/consignees shipments.

Transport service providers are often closely connected to road transport hauliers and focus on maximum utilization of these resources. Intermodal and rail is mainly used to handle fluctuations. Consequently, difficult for intermodal operator to maintain stable freight volumes and thus profitability.

An intermodal service provider offering door-to-door transport based on “a phone call” or an IT-application. Procurement of intermodal transports is – related to road transport – a long resource demanding process.

(21)

Market aspects – shippers perspective II

Passenger transports are prioritized ahead of freight – resulting in increasing lead times (short term

affecting costs by 10-20%) or for new entrants/new transport solutions non-accessibility.

SME enterprises very seldom get offers from rail operators. Even for medium and large enterprises it takes weeks or months to get an offer.

Accessibility to low-cost hauliers from Eastern Europe has transformed the Swedish transport market. Accessibility to these hauliers has decreased road transport costs from 11.5 SEK per km to 0,85 SEK per km per EU18.75m. Incentives to change transport solution is very low.

Choice of transport equipment are made based on tradition rather than customer needs.

Too much focus on operational issues –shippers, transport service providers or operators lack incentives to discuss long-term issues

(22)

Market aspects – operator perspective

Shipper’s market and logistics departments are seldom co-ordinated. Resulting in short-lead time from time of logistics notice to time-of-delivery.

Marketing and logistics: one willing to co-operate with competitors and one not. Two opposing internal perspectives.

Marketing often selling on conditions that is difficult to full fill for logistics department. Delays and disruptions not acceptable. Misinterpretation among shippers of the concepts of JIT.

Lack of incentives to change logistics operational behavior and consequently the willingness to logistical long-term co-operation among shippers.

Still tight inter-organisational-ties between freight forwarders and hauliers – affecting the service portfolio offered to shippers. Consequently, primarily road service is offered and in a second step of decision the choice intermodal/road is an operational decision.

Short-term contractual agreements – impossible to make new transport solutions profitable. Shipper’s and freight forwarders require a reasonable kick-back if a change may occur. For the

operator this limits chances for profitability during implementation.

Shippers often dictate the transport conditions based on a tender adopted to road transport conditions.

Costs and benefits – how are these allocated in an intermodal chain. Transport actors are investing, however who benefits from these investments?

(23)

Lösningen hos företag är att – drivet av en eller ett fåtal personer inom samma organisation – driva utvecklingsprojekt där man ifrågasätter hela nuvarande logistikupplägg och genomför större förändringar – så har skett inom svensk dagligvaruindustri (ex COOP).

Hela affärsmodellen för företagen – hur man säljer varor, hur varor köps in med tillhörande management system anpassas (två bra exempel är

Waggeryd Cell och COOP).

Hela logistiken behöver ses över för att göra en omställning som är mer än marginell.

Denna utveckling drivs inte av transportindustrin => hela transportindustrin är reaktiv – sällan de kommer med egna omvälvande lösningar.

(24)

Organisational aspects – shipper perspective

Structural barrier; freight forwarders are not willing to open their terminals

and their ware housing service.

Shippers and transport operators not willing to share logistical information

A critical question is how to consolidate shipments? The key is new business

models with vertical and horizontal co-operations along the supply chain

Changed logistics structure from regional distribution towards national

distribution. Next step distribution incorporation all of Scandinavia?

A process of change towards changed behavior in logistics almost need a

top-management decision and allocation of resources.

To many actors involved in intermodal transports (economy and control)

Transport operators internal organizations are barriers towards change (tacit

knowledge).

Lack of willingness from Infrastructure managers to improve business

conditions for freight operators

(25)

Tillgänglighet terminaler

Nya aktörer på den svenska marknaden hittade till nya terminaler, vilket i sin tur fick kommuner och myndigheter att satsa på nya terminaler på nya orter. En positiv spiral. Få av de konventionella terminalerna har idag regelbunden intermodal hamnpendel trafik utan merparten går till och från nyetableringar.

(26)

Organizational reflections – operator perspective

A neutral forum, including change agent, is needed to identify, initiate

process and in co-operation with industry

Coordination regarding transport volumes, transport and terminal resources

is needed.

New transport solutions require co-operation/ collaboration indication a

need for long term decisions and agreements. At present all decisions are

made on short-term conditions. How to bridge this gap in planning horizon?

A large share of the problems can be derived to communication, tacit

knowledge and understanding. Inter-/ and intra-organizational

communication and learning seldom occur. The knowledge is sufficient in all

functions, however few have a system knowledge.

No one put himself in pole position. The explanation is simple: non of my

business. However someone must be initiator and here is an business

opportunity

.

(27)

Etableringen av intermodala speditörer (som van Dieren och Real Rail) med ansvar för att fylla tåget.

(28)

IT, administrative and planning

reflections – shipper perspective

Lack of Transport service support – planning, booking, operations and monitoring of intermodal transports

Lack of transport quality – improved quality including development of B-plans needed.

Control of shipments (contractual issues)

Unloading at free loading areas or freestanding terminals affect the reception of consignments

Conflict in scheduling - top-down or regional bottom-up

Planning horizons time slots do not match the planning processes within logistics – too long, too beaurocratic

(29)

Productional and operational aspects

– shipper perspective

Cost for delays and disruptions are often much higher than transport costs.

Delays/disruptions may cause production at sites

Lost sales

Passenger transports are prioritized ahead of freight – resulting in increasing lead times (short term affecting costs by 10-20%) or for new entrants/new transport solutions non-accessibility.

Operational prioritization of passenger transport affecting time reliability and costs on freight transport.

Lack of logistical knowledge among traffic planners of regarding logistical effects due to changed schedules.

Lack of methods to incorporate business economical aspects from logistics into models for prioritizing in the scheduling process.

(30)

Productional and operational aspects

– operator perspective

The sum of several small and medium flows along a corridor creates spatial and time complexity. Intermodal management systems are needed to manage this network complexity.

Volume growth is critical. Declining volumes results in closure and in contrary rising volumes. This is a clear threshold phenomenon for terminals, ports and industrial sidings. Concentration of flows and larger vessels/transport units belongs to the dominating paradigm in transports and logistics.

Are there supporting IT systems support who are prepared to make this investment? Opinions are divided.

(31)

Regulative aspects – shipper perspective

Increased sea transport costs (by 25-40 %) when IMO regulation is introduced in 2015.

Few shippers are prepared or are preparing for this change.

Unharmonised standards for intermodal units loads between road and rail in Sweden – affecting opportunities (costs) to transport consumer goods by intermodal transport.

Introduction of the European market has improved efficiency in the road transport, however often including violation with the Cabotage regulation and traffic safety regulation.

(32)

Regulative aspects – operator perspective

Responsibility for cargo securing/cargo lashing differs between Sweden and other

countries.

Road transport standards differ in Scandinavia, however primarily between Scandinavia and the EU

Road vehicle length

Road vehicle height/width

Gross weight

Unlike in Europe the weight regulations affect intermodal transports negatively. Intermodal equipment are more expensive and heavier than unimodal equipment affecting the cost efficiency of intermodal transports.

(33)

Regulative aspects – societal perspective

Introduction of heavy vehicle fees in Germany, Poland, Austria and Switzerland have affected

routing of road vehicles. New vehicles are routed towards these destination (Euro 4 and Euro 5) and the previous redirected towards Scandinavia where the fees are zero.

A fundamental question is what authority/organisation to create the conditions and/or incentives for initiating the process of change? Who is responsible and who has got the knowledge?

I tangible question is to what extent the commitment of authorities that is needed to initiate and stimulate the ongoing process? The public debate indicates responsibility, however the question is if this indication is enough to benefit from it?

(34)

Successs factors

Att stora transportköpare har primär tillgång och initierar intermodala transportsystem är i sig inget problem utan snarare en förutsättning. Det behövs en aktör eller ett par aktörer som garanterar en viss basvolym för att systemet skall komma igång. Därefter kan det erbjudas till ett bredare spektrum av kunder (ex Vänerexpressen).

Ett tågsätt (ex 400 km transportavstånd kostar i storleksordningen 140 – 150 000 SEK för ett omlopp och med tanke på den låga lönsamheten i branschen körs ett företags

ekonomi snabbt i botten om utlasntningsgraden understiger 70 %.

Initiativet att ställa om från landsvägstransporter till intermodala kommer främst från transportköparna och inte från tranportindustrin. Måste finnas en mottagare till

efterfrågan – finns den i Danmark.

Sverige har till skillnad från Danmark en industri som i mångt och mycket består av storskalig produktionsindustri, vilket gynnar den intermodala potentialen väl. Det skall dock påpekas att det i Sverige främst varit importindustrin som övergått till

intermodalitet. Industristrukturen i Danmark är dessutom varit mer irniktad mot livsmedel och tillverkning, vilket påverkar potentialen.

References

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