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TS

I

Talent Strategy

Institute

Workforce Planning & Analytics:

How to Create or Advance Your Organization’s Ability to

Generate Actionable Workforce Insight

Presented by

Al Adamsen

Talent Strategy Institute

[email protected]

415-652-2745

LinkedIn: Al Adamsen

Twitter: @aladamsen

(2)

Analytics Maturity Progression

Value/

Impact

Time

Stage 4:

Operationalize Insight

Analytics Competitor

• Insight is repeatedly

used to formulate

HR & Business

Strategy.

• Insight is repeatedly

used by Managers

in the field.

• Insight is obtained

quickly & accurately

from an on-demand

platform.

Stage 1:

Get Data Right

Analytics Hopeful

• Do I have good

data to work with?

• If not, what must I

do to improve it?

Improve it.

• Do I have the

people in place to

perform analytics?

• Do I have the

necessary

technologies?

When Yes

Stage 2:

Create Context

Analytics Doer

• Can we aggregate

and structure data

in a usable way?

• Do we have people

experienced in

analytics?

• Do key metrics now

have a story around

them?

• Is there a growing

demand for insight?

When Yes

Stage 3:

Use Insight

Analytics User

• Do we have an

on-demand analytics

platform?

• Are those doing

analytics

influencing change?

• Are insights being

used in the field?

• Are dashboards w/

meaningful metrics

(KPIs) being used?

(3)

Important to Millennials

Fairness

Respect

Significance

Growth

(4)

Are our people – our talent – our

most important asset?

If so, what’s our talent strategy?

If we have one, how is it formulated,

measured, & managed over time?

(5)

Disparate Processes

Aligning Formerly

Knowledge Transfer

Exit

Alumni Networks

HR Analytics

Workforce Planning

Employment Branding

Recruiting

Applicant Tracking

Candidate Assessment

Total Rewards

Hiring

Onboarding

Career Development

Learning

Performance Management

Succession Planning

Internal Communications

Organizational Effectiveness

Integrated

Talent

Management

(6)

“Out of clutter, find

simplicity. From discord, find

harmony. In the middle of

difficulty lies opportunity."”

(7)

What if

had the people we needed when we

needed them?

we, as leaders,…

inspired the individual, team, and

organizational behaviors we desired?

created systems and processes that

(8)

What would this look like?

How would we make it happen?

What would it feel like?

What would AWESOME look like?

(9)

We have a crisis

Creativity

of

Clarity

(10)

We are…

(11)

Six Questions:

1. How do I get started or advance my organization’s capability &

capacity?

2. How do I create a vision and a roadmap to achieve it?

3. At what point do I bring in a technology enabler and why?

4. What are some of the key attributes of successful

organizations?

5. Predictive analytics and big data: When should we start?

6. What is the structure and what are the roles that make up an

effective CoE?

(12)

“The beginning of wisdom is calling things by

their right names.”

(13)

What’s all this About?

Improving Performance

individual, team, & organizational

Improving The Work Experience

job satisfaction, purpose, wellness, organizational culture, etc.

Reducing Risk

(14)

Confidence

“The feeling or belief that you can rely on

someone or something to perform in a certain way

at a known time in the future; firm trust”

Partner

Context &

Communication

Customer

Consumption

& Decisions

Supplier

Information

& Insight

1)

2)

3)

(15)

Research Agenda

To-Do List

1. Project A

2. Project B

3. Project C

Not To-Do List

1. Project D

2. Project E

3. Project F

4. Project G

5. Project H

6. Project I

7. Project J

Talent Governance: A Multi-Disciplinary Steering Committee (e.g., Talent Strategy Team)

that reviews potential projects, sets the research agenda, commissions projects, resources

projects, consumes the resulting insight, makes decisions, and facilitates change.

(16)

Analytics Maturity Model

People: Capability

& Capacity

Process/

Structure

Technology

(17)

“Habit 2: Begin with the

End in Mind.”

(18)
(19)

What’s the brand of the group?

What’s its charter or mission statement?

“We deliver uniquely valuable workforce insight that

reduces risk and increases the likelihood that talent

investments reap the desired return.”

(20)

The Value Proposition at 3 Key Levels

Workforce related decisions

based on lagging indicators

such as turnover and tenure

Perception of HR and related

functions is lukewarm as its

unique value is suspect

2014

Not delivering workforce

insights that guides decisions

– doing basic reporting

Decision-making is based

largely on experience and gut

feel, not data-based insight

Generating basic metrics –

most are lagging indicators

Challenging to generate

meaningful workforce insight

Basic systems for planning,

analytics, and reporting

2016

Have easily obtainable insight

that informs strategic

workforce decisions

HR offers leading indicators

to monitor and manage

organizational effectiveness

The systematic, recurring use

of proven metrics to

prioritize and focus action

Department heads anticipate

and act on recurring

workforce metrics/reports

Generate recurring reports

that are eagerly anticipated

Produce insight that’s valued

at all levels and functions

Manage an analytics toolset

(21)

Workforce Intelligence: 3 Workstreams

Strategic

Operational

Technical

People

Process

Tech

People

Process

Tech

People

Process

Tech

People: Who’s involved in doing the work?

Process: How is information acquired?

Technology: What will be seen and used?

(22)

2016…

What it looks like...

What it feels like…

Feel in control, confident -- working with leading

indicators and making smart, effective decisions.

Feel we’re winning – that our workforce

initiatives are a source of competitive

advantage.

Feel we’re doing the right thing – for our

employees, customers, and shareholders.

Feel capable, effective – able to deliver timely

and relevant insights to leaders

Feel valued, appreciated – generate insight that

timely, valued, and anticipated

Feel meaningful, impactful –insight is used to

drive observable, measurable change

Feel innovative, empowered – working with

leading technologies in unique ways

Feel valued, appreciated – leaders anticipate

deliverables and provide recognition

Feel meaningful, impactful – sense that what’s

being done truly makes a difference at all levels

Have easily obtainable insight

that informs strategic

workforce decisions

HR offers leading indicators

to monitor and manage

organizational effectiveness

The systematic, recurring use

of proven metrics to

prioritize and focus action

Department heads anticipate

and act on recurring

workforce metrics/reports

Generate recurring reports

that are eagerly anticipated

Produce insight that’s valued

at all levels and functions

Manage an analytics toolset

that enables the above

(23)

Systems & Data Mgt CoE Phase 3 Launch Phase 2 Launch

Strategic

Decision-Making

Systems & Data

Management

WP&A

Center of

Expertise

(CoE)

Phase 3 Phase 2

Iterative Phases Using Agile Development Principles

QTR 1 QTR 2 QTR 3 QTR 4 QTR 5 QTR 6 QTR 7 QTR 8 Phase 1

Scale leading practices

Integrate into Decision-Making Processes namely Operating Strategy, Budgeting, & Marketing

Phase 1 Launch

Build Learning Agenda and the Capability & Capacity to Pilot Analytical Projects & Create

Supporting Metrics/Reports

Build Analytics foundational infrastructure, environments, processes, capabilities, monitoring

and compliance Expand Capability & Capacity Rapid Evolving Span of Analytics Concept Solution & Data Model Educate Executives & Partners

Phase 1 Phase 2 Phase 3

Integrate into Strategic Planning Integrate into ongoing Decision-Making Create CoE approach & apply

to all analytics Accelerate speed of doing analytics Improve scalability, reliability, lower cost to maintain Cost of changes and O&M should decline Strategic

(24)

Fina

nc

e

Most organizations (nearly all) do not extract a level of value from their HRIT investments commensurate

with the money, time, and effort devoted. Workforce Planning/Analytics helps organizations maximize the

value derived from HRIT investments (a.k.a. “data assets”). In turn, the insight generated serves as a

unique, hard-to-replicate competitive advantage as leaders are able to make more effective decisions.

Appl

ica

nt

Tra

ck

in

g

O

pe

ra

tion

s

Pe

rfo

rm

an

ce

Man

ag

em

en

t

Le

arni

ng

Su

rvey

HRM

S

“Decisions are now based

on what we know not

what we ‘think’ we know.”

HR Metrics

& Reports

context

Aggregating & Analyzing Data

Ex

te

rna

l D

ata

Aggregate

Workforce

Insight

(25)

Enablers of Operational Excellence

Workforce Intelligence Services

Workforce Analytics

Predictive Analytics & Linkage

Big Data & Machine Learning

Social Network Analysis

Experimentation

Workforce Planning

Forecasting Labor D. & Supply

Gap Analysis

Modeling & Scenario Planning

Talent Strategy Optimization

HR Metrics & Reporting

Descriptive Statistics

Cluster & Basic Analyses

Compliance Reporting

Dashboards & Scorecards

Workforce Management

Payroll Allocation

Labor Scheduling

Modeling & Scenario Planning

Productivity Optimization

(26)

Workforce Analytics vs. Workforce Planning

Workforce Analytics

Looking at the past (turnover trends, etc.)

or very recent past (survey, performance

management, etc.) to uncover what

leaders “should” do– relative to other

possible investments–to positively affect

desired business outcomes.

Deliverable: Insight into what likely drives

key performance indicators (employee

engagement, retention, customer

satisfaction, etc.)

Analogous to Market Research

Workforce Planning

Looking at past group or organizational

growth rates to anticipate the future supply

of labor. This is reconciled against the human

resource needs required to execute business

strategies (labor demand). The resulting gap

informs the HR strategy.

Deliverable: Insight into the gap for labor at a

future point in time along with strategies to

fill that gap (FTEs, contingent labor, etc.):

external: who to hire and when

internal: who to develop and when

Analogous to Supply Chain Management

Time

(27)

Workforce Planning & Analytics Together

24 months

Time

Quantity

of Talent

Talent Gap:

How to fill?

Internally &

Externally?

Talent Entering the Organization

Talent Exiting the Organization

> 1, growing organization

< 1, shrinking organization

12 months

Workforce Analytics can help improve

retention which, in turn, will positively

affect the internal supply of talent.

Workforce Planning helps determine

recruiting needs, development needs,

contingent/full-time/part-time mix, etc.

(28)

What Can Be Done Now?

V

al

u

e

/I

m

p

a

c

t

Reports

Dashboards/

Scorecard

Scenario Planning/

Simulation

Correlation/

Regression

Optimization/

Machine Learning

Predictive

Analytics

(29)

HR Metrics & Reporting

What is happening?

Where is it happening?

Scorecards, Recurring Reports

Ad hoc Reports

HR Metrics & Reporting

What is happening?

Where is it happening?

Scorecards, Recurring Reports

Ad hoc Reports

What Can Be Done Now?

HR Metrics & Reporting

What is happening?

Where is it happening?

Scorecards, Recurring Reports

Ad hoc Reports

Workforce Planning/Analytics

Who do we need, when, & where?

What is affecting staff and why?

Forecasting, Scenario Planning

Cluster Analysis, Data Mining

Advanced Analytics

What can be leveraged? Risk?

What’s the probability of success?

Predictive Modeling/ROI

Linkage Research

Time/Effort

V

al

ue/

Im

pac

t

(30)

Optimize the Quantity & Quality of Information

Quantity of

Information

Value

Optimal Quantity

of Information

Competitive

Advantage

(just right)

Competitive

Disadvantage

(too little)

Competitive

Disadvantage

(too much)

(31)

Approaches to Analytics

Deductive Reasoning

e.g., Hypothesis Testing

Inductive Reasoning

(32)

A Few Notes on this Thing Called Big Data

"Big Data are high-volume, high-velocity, and/or

high-variety information assets that require new

forms of processing to enable enhanced decision

making, insight discovery, and process optimization.”

Gartner Research, 2012

Volume

Velocity

Variety

BIG DATA

Insight A

Insight B

Insight C

The Story

(33)

Action

Creating Knowledge

Data Staging/

Aggregation

Reporting

Analysis/

Story Telling

Packaging/

Communication/

Facilitation

Positive Change

Action/

Systems/

Data

Analytics/

Insight

Do Actions Reflect Data-Driven Insight?

Bridging the Gap

between Knowledge

and Action

© 2014 Talent Strategy Institute

(34)

Data Staging/

Aggregation

Reporting

Analysis/

Analytics/

Insight

Story Telling

Packaging/

Communication/

Facilitation

Positive Change

Action/

Do Actions Reflect Data-Driven Insight?

S

TRATEGIC

T

ECHNOLOGICAL

O

PERATIONAL

Governance

Systems/

Data

(35)

( )

Strategists

Analytics

Change

Strategists

Research Agenda,

Process Improvements,

System Decisions,

Measurement Strategy

Measurement

(36)

Leader

Workforce Insight

HR Metrics &

Reporting

Employee

Surveys

Workforce

Analytics

• Cluster Analysis

• Linkage Research

• Cost of Turnover

• Return on Investment

• Onboarding

• Engagement

• Retention

• Culture

• 360-degree

• Exit

• Recurring Reports

• Scorecards

• Ad hoc Reports

Skills:

• Technology savvy

• Process orientation

• Metrics/Analysis capability

Skills:

• I/O Psychology/OD education

• Communications/Collaboration

• Project Management

Skills:

• Analytics education & experience

• Savvy with analytic technologies

• Business economics understanding

Skills:

• Leadership and learning skills

• Packaging & Story-telling: Communications

• Influencing and affecting change

Workforce

Planning

• Supply Forecasting

• Demand Forecasting

• Gap Analysis

• Scenario Planning

Sample CoE

(37)

Analytics Maturity Progression

Value/

Impact

Time

Stage 4:

Operationalize Insight

Analytics Competitor

• Insight is repeatedly

used to formulate

HR & Business

Strategy.

• Insight is repeatedly

used by Managers

in the field.

• Insight is obtained

quickly & accurately

from an on-demand

platform.

Stage 1:

Get Data Right

Analytics Hopeful

• Do I have good

data to work with?

• If not, what must I

do to improve it?

Improve it.

• Do I have the

people in place to

perform analytics?

• Do I have the

necessary

technologies?

When Yes

Stage 2:

Create Context

Analytics Doer

• Can we aggregate

and structure data

in a usable way?

• Do we have people

experienced in

analytics?

• Do key metrics now

have a story around

them?

• Is there a growing

demand for insight?

When Yes

Stage 3:

Use Insight

Analytics User

• Do we have an

on-demand analytics

platform?

• Are those doing

analytics

influencing change?

• Are insights being

used in the field?

• Are dashboards w/

meaningful metrics

(KPIs) being used?

(38)

Value/

Impact

Time

Stage 4:

Operationalize Insight

Analytics Competitor

• Insight is repeatedly

used to formulate

HR & Business

Strategy.

• Insight is repeatedly

used by Managers

in the field.

• Insight is obtained

quickly & accurately

from an on-demand

platform.

Stage 1:

Get Data Right

Analytics Hopeful

• Do I have good

data to work with?

• If not, what must I

do to improve it?

Improve it.

• Do I have the

people in place to

perform analytics?

• Do I have the

necessary

technologies?

Analytics Doer

Analytics User

Stage 2:

Create Context

Stage 3:

Use Insight

LEARNING

“PRACTICE!”

(39)

Six Questions:

1. How do I get started or advance my organization’s capability &

capacity?

2. How do I create a vision and a roadmap to achieve it?

3. At what point do I bring in a technology enabler and why?

4. What are some of the key attributes of successful

organizations?

5. Predictive analytics and big data: When should we start?

6. What is the structure and what are the roles that make up

an effective CoE?

(40)

Presented by

Al Adamsen

Talent Strategy Institute

[email protected]

415-652-2745

LinkedIn: Al Adamsen

Twitter: @aladamsen

To makin’ great things happen!

Thank you!

Workforce Planning & Analytics:

How to Create or Advance Your Organization’s Ability to

(41)

A

Large Box Retailer(s),

Energy Companies

Electronics Retailer,

Beverage Company

Small Box Retailer,

Retail Bank(s)

Ad Hoc/One-Time

Advanced Analytics

Ongoing, Recurring

Advanced Analytics

Ongoing, Recurring

Analytics & Advanced

Analytics

In-House

Outsourced

In-House

Outsourced

In-House

Outsourced

Nearly all data is staged and analyzed

in-house. Only some advanced

analytics are done by vendors, usually

due to a lack of internal capacity, not

capability.

Some data is staged and analyzed

in-house, and some data is staged and

analyzed by a vendor, usually for

advanced analytics. All other analyses

are done in-house.

Most data is staged and analyzed by a

vendor, although some analytical

capability exists internally. In this

model the focus is almost exclusively

on change, not insight generation.

(42)

Critical Attributes of Modern Analysts

Learning Mindset

Systematic Thinking

Expert Communicators/Facilitators

Intake

Express

(43)

Capability

Capacity

Cost

(44)

Current

Headcount

Attrition

Talent Demand

Talent Gap

Internal

Development

Strategy

External

Recruiting

Strategy

Organization

Design/

Restructuring

External

Help

100

-20

110

-30

?

?

?

?

(a) Internal Supply:

Who do we have now?

What are the critical roles?

What are the critical skills?

Where are they?

What are their intentions?

From where are they

coming?

(c) Forecasted Internal

Supply

(b) Talent Demand: What

will we need?

(e) Gap Analysis:

(Δb + Δd = c)

How big is the gap?

What can/should be done

to fill it?

Development strategies

Recruiting strategies

Current State

Assessment

Future State

Visioning

Formulation

Strategy

Execute and

Adjust

(d) Forecasted External

Supply

(f) Take Action & Adjust:

Implement

Development strategies

Recruiting strategies

Workforce Plan

(45)

External View

Internal View

Business Strategy

& Budget

Recruiting

Strategy

Forecast Applicant

Pool

Development

Strategy

Forecast Internal

Supply

Talent Capacity &

Labor Modeling

Business & Financial Planning

Talent Planning

Org. Design,

Contingent Labor,

FT-PT Mix, etc.

Gap

© 2014 Talent Strategy Institute

The TSI Workforce Planning Model

Attributes of

Successful

Employees

Assessment

Strategy

Audit Internal

Supply

Audit Labor Pools

Talent Demand

(Quantity of Capability)

See the TAD Framework

that follows

(46)

Leadership

HR & Talent Management

Leaders, Managers,

& the Workforce

External

Customers

Internal

Operations

Financial

Outcomes

© 2014 Talent Strategy Institute

Talent Mgmt. Activities

Workforce Attributes

Balanced Scorecard

(47)

The Power of Story

Associate

Engagement

Satisfaction

Customer

Sales

Onboarding

$1M

3pt.

2.5pt.

6%

**

A $1M annual investment in onboarding programs decreased 1

st

year terminations by 30%

and was credited with being a key driver of increasing employee engagement* at all levels

(credited with ¼ (3) of the 12 percentage point increase). This increase drove 33% of the

increase in customer satisfaction (2.5 of the 7.5 percentage point increase). This, in turn,

explained 6% of the sales increase. At a $1B company growing at 10% per year this means

that $6M of the additional $100M in revenue can be traced back to improvements in

onboarding and employee engagement.

* Percent favorable; determined through analyzing an employee survey

(48)

New Data/

Information

The Probability of a Related Event

The Prior Probability of an Event (%)

Apply Bayes’

Theorem

Posterior

Probability

What’s the likelihood Joe will be promotion-ready in 12 months?

The Likelihood of an Event Now given all

available Data/Information (%)

(49)

Driving Change…

Direct the Rider

= Data + Context

Motivate the Elephant

= Visualization + Communication

Shape the Path

= Where we’re going +

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