Weierstraß-Institut
für Angewandte Analysis und Stochastik
Leibniz-Institut im Forschungsverbund Berlin e. V.
Preprint
ISSN 0946 – 8633
Abelian theorems for stochastic volatility models
with application to the estimation of jump activity of volatility
Denis Belomestny
1, Vladimir Panov
2submitted: July 13, 2011 1 University of Duisburg-Essen Forsthausweg 2 47057 Duisburg, Germany E-Mail: [email protected] 2 Weierstrass-Institute Mohrenstr. 39 10117 Berlin, Germany E-Mail: [email protected] No. 1631 Berlin 2011
2010 Mathematics Subject Classification. 62F10, 60J75, 60E10, 62F12, 60J25.
Key words and phrases. affine stochastic volatility model, Abelian theorem, Blumenthal-Getoor index.
Edited by
Weierstraß-Institut für Angewandte Analysis und Stochastik (WIAS) Leibniz-Institut im Forschungsverbund Berlin e. V.
Mohrenstraße 39 10117 Berlin Germany
Fax: +49 30 2044975
E-Mail:
[email protected]
Abstract
In this paper, we prove a kind of Abelian theorem for a class of stochastic volatility models
(X, V ), where both the state process X and the volatility process V may have jumps. Our results relate the asymptotic behavior of the characteristic function ofX∆for some∆ > 0 in
a stationary regime to the Blumenthal-Getoor indexes of the Lévy processes driving the jumps in X and V. The results obtained are used to construct consistent estimators for the above Blumenthal-Getoor indexes based on low-frequency observations of the state process X. We derive the convergence rates for the corresponding estimator and show that these rates can not be improved in general.
Contents
1 Introduction 3
2 Abelian theorem 5
3 Estimation of the Blumenthal-Getoor index 6
4 Proofs 9
4.1 Proof of Theorem 2.1 . . . 9 4.2 Proof of Theorem 3.1 . . . 13
5 Auxiliary results 16
6 Appendix. Exponential inequalities for dependent sequences and for empirical
1
Introduction
Consider a class of affine stochastic volatility (ASV) models with jumps both in the state process and in the volatility of the form:
dX
t= (a
X+ b
XV
t−)dt +
√
V
t−dW
1,t+ dZ
1,t,
(1)dV
t= (a
V− b
VV
t−)dt + a
Vσ
√
V
t−dW
2,t+ dZ
2,t,
(2)where
(W
1,t, W
2,t)
is a two-dimensional Wiener process such thatcorr(W
1,t, W
2,t) = ρ
,(Z
1,t, Z
2,t)
is a two-dimensional pure jump Lévy process with an increasing or constant
Z
2,t,a
X, b
X are two realnumbers,
b
V, σ
are two positive real numbers, anda
V≥ 0.
ASV models have got much attentionin the past decade (see Keller-Ressel, 2008 for an overview). Such well-known stochastic volatility models as Heston, 1993, Bates, 1996 and Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard, 2001 models are in the class of ASV models, and this fact allows to treat all of them within one theoretical framework. The main reason for the popularity of ASV models is their analytic tractability: the conditional characteristic function of the vector
(X
t, V
t)
given(X
0, V
0)
has, for anyt > 0,
an exponentially affine structurein
(X
0, V
0)
and can be efficiently computed via solving a system of ordinary differential equations.Various analytical properties of ASV models such as ergodicity or the existence of moments have been extensively studied in the literature (see, e.g., Glasserman and Kim, 2010 and Keller-Ressel, 2011 for the most recent results). In this respect one contribution of the current paper is the derivation of the so-called Abelian theorem relating the asymptotic behavior of the characteristic function of
X
tfor any
t > 0
to the asymptotic behavior of the Lévy measure of the two-dimensional Lévy process(Z
1, Z
2)
at the point(0, 0).
The latter behavior is closely connected to the notion of aBlumenthal-Getoor index which is the main object of our study. For a one-dimensional Lévy process
Z = (Z
t)
t≥0with a Lévy measure
ν
, the Blumenthal-Getoor index ofZ
is defined asBG(Z) = inf
{
r > 0 :
∫
|x|≤1|x|
rν(dx) <
∞
}
.
The Blumenthal-Getoor (BG) index is a fundamental characteristic of the Lévy process
Z
that deter-mines the activity of jumps inZ
. Ifν([
−ε, ε]) < ∞,
then the processZ
has finite activity of jumps andBG(Z) = 0
. If the Lévy measureν((
−∞, −ε] ∪ [ε, ∞))
diverges nearε = 0
at a rateε
−αfor someα > 0,
then the BG index ofZ
is equal toα
. From a practical point of view, the importance of the Blumenthal-Getoor index lies in the fact that it determines the smoothness properties of the marginal density ofZ
and has significant impact on the convergence of different approximation algorithms forZ
(see, e.g., Dereich, 2011). One of the main results of our study states that the c.f.ϕ
∆(u)
of theincrements
X
t+∆− X
tfor some∆ > 0
in a stationary regime has a representationlog
|ϕ
∆(u)
| = −τ
1u
− τ
2u
α(1 + r(u)),
|r(u)| ≤ τ
3u
−κ,
u > 1
(3)with some constants
τ
1≥ 0, τ
2> 0, τ
3≥ 0, κ > 0
andα
≥ 0
depending on the parameters ofthe model (1)-(2). The representation (3) reveals the essential difference in the asymptotic behavior of
ϕ
∆(u)
between the case of Heston-like ASV models (a
V> 0
) and the case ofequivalent to
−τ
1u
, in the second caselog
|ϕ
∆(u)
|
behaves like−τ
2u
αasu
tends to infinity, whereα
is proportional to the maximum of BG indexes of the Lévy processesZ
1 andZ
2.
The representation (3) is not only of theoretical interest, it can be used to construct statistical pro-cedures for estimating the Blumenthal-Getoor indexes of the Lévy processes
Z
1 andZ
2.
Recently,the problem of estimation of the BG index from the discrete observations of the Lévy process
Z
or some other processes based onZ
has drawn much attention in the literature. Aït-Sahalia and Jacod, 2009, studied the problem of estimating the so called jump activity index that is defined for any Itô semimartingaleX
viaJAI(X) = inf
{
r > 0 :
∑
0≤s≤T|∆X
s|
r<
∞
}
,
where
∆X
s= X
s− X
s−is the size of the jump at times
andT
is a fixed time horizon. Note thatJAI(X)
is a random quantity, which is to be determined pathwise. In the case of a Lévy processX, JAI(X)
coincides with the Blumenthal-Getoor index. Obviously, one can computeJAI(X)
if the whole path of the processX
up to timeT
is observed. In a more realistic situation when the processX
is observed on the discrete grid{0, ∆, . . . , ∆n}
with∆n = T
and∆
→ 0
asn
→ ∞
(high-frequency data), Aït-Sahalia and Jacod proposed a method which is able to consistently estimate
JAI(X)
and is based on the statistics that counts the “big” increments of the processX.
Turning to the case of low-frequency data, i.e., the case of fixed∆ > 0
andT
→ ∞,
one may wonder if any kind of statistical inference is possible in this situation at all. Indeed, one challenge is that the transition density ofX
in ASV models is hardly ever known in closed form making the maximum-likelihood estimation difficult. Furthermore, the volatility processV
is not directly observable leading to a kind of filtering problem which requires the elimination ofV
. The latter filtering problem is well understood in the case of high-frequency data and poses significant problems if∆
does not tend to0.
The first results showing that a consistent estimation of the BG index based on low-frequency data is possible, were obtained in Belomestny, 2010 for the case of Lévy processes. The inference in Belomestny, 2010 relied on the kind of Abelian theorem that characterizes the decay of the c.f. of a Lévy processZ.
Such Abelian theorems are well known in the literature: Bismut, 1983 showed that the tail integralν
(
(
−∞, −x) ∪ (x, +∞)
)
behaves asymptotically likec
1x
−γ asx
→ +∞
if andonly if the characteristic exponent of a Lévy process
Z
with the Lévy measureν
behaves like−c
2|u|
γ as|u| → ∞
(herec
1,c
2, andγ
are positive numbers). It turns out that the ideas similar to ones inBelomestny, 2010 can be used to construct estimates for the BG indexes in the model (1)-(2) and the representation (3) plays a crucial role in this construction.
The paper is organized as follows. In Section 2, we establish and discuss the representation (3). The estimation algorithm for the BG of
Z
2is formulated and analyzed in Section 3. In particular, we derivethe convergence rates for the proposed estimate and discuss their optimality. Section 4 contains the proofs. Some important properties of the ASV model are collected in Appendix A.
2
Abelian theorem
Denote by
ν
1andν
2 the Lévy measures of the Lévy processesZ
1andZ
2,
respectively. Assume thatthe following asymptotic relations hold
(AN1)
ε
γ1∫
|x|>εν
1(dx) = β
0,1+ β
1,1ε
χ1(1 + O(ε)),
ε
→ +0,
(AN2)ε
γ2∫
y>εν
2(dy) = β
0,2+ β
1,2ε
χ2(1 + O(ε)),
ε
→ +0
with some
0 < γ
1, γ
2≤ 1, β
0,1> 0, β
0,2> 0
and0
≤ χ
1< γ
1, 0
≤ χ
2< γ
2. The assumptions(AN1) and (AN2) imply that the Blumenthal-Getoor indexes of the Lévy processes
Z
1 andZ
2 areequal to
γ
1andγ
2,
respectively. Moreover, suppose that(AE)
b
V> 0,
a
Vσ
2< 2,
(AM)∫
|x|>1|x|
2+δν
2(dx) <
∞.
The conditions (AE) and (AM) ensure the existence and uniqueness of the solution of (2) together with the positive recurrence on
(0,
∞)
(see Masuda, 2007). As a result,V
admits a unique invariant distributionπ
andV
t> 0
almost surely, for allt > 0.
If additionallyV
0is taken to have the distributionπ,
thenV
tis strictly stationary with the stationary distributionπ.
Then the strict stationarity ofV
impliesthe strict stationarity of the process
(X
t+∆− X
t)
t≥0for any∆ > 0.
Denote byϕ
∆the characteristicfunction of
X
t+∆−X
tin a stationary regime. The following theorem describes the asymptotic behaviorof
ϕ
∆(u)
as|u| → ∞.
Theorem 2.1. Assume that the assumptions (AN1), (AN2), (AE) and (AM) are fulfilled. Then
log
|ϕ
∆(u)
| = −τ
1u
− τ
2u
α(1 + r(u)),
|r(u)| ≤ τ
3u
−κ,
u > 1,
(4)where
τ
1≥ 0, τ
2> 0, τ
3≥ 0, α ≥ 0
andκ > 0
are some numbers depending on the parametersif
a
V> 0,
thenτ
1is positive,α = max
{γ
1, γ
2}
, andκ =
(γ
2− γ
1)
∧ χ
1,
ifγ
1< γ
2,
(γ
1− γ
2)
∧ χ
2,
ifγ
1> γ
2,
χ
1∧ χ
2,
ifγ
1= γ
2;
if
a
V= 0,
thenτ
1= 0
,α = max
{γ
1, 2γ
2}
, andκ =
(2γ
2− γ
1)
∧ 2χ
2∧ 1,
ifγ
1< 2γ
2,
(γ
1− 2γ
2)
∧ χ
1,
ifγ
1> 2γ
2,
χ
1∧ 2χ
2∧ 1,
ifγ
1= 2γ
2.
Discussion It is easily seen that
τ
1> 0
as long asa
V> 0
andτ
1= 0
ifa
V= 0,
meaning thatthe asymptotic behavior of
ϕ
∆(u)
changes markedly if we move from the Heston-like ASV models(
a
V> 0
) to the Barndorf-Nielsen-Shephard-like ASV models (a
V= 0
). Furthermore, ifγ
2≥ γ
1 thenthe value of
α
is always proportional to the BG index ofZ
2.
Hence, in the latter case the problemof statistical inference on
γ
2 can be reformulated as the problem of estimatingα
in (4), which isconsidered in the next section.
3
Estimation of the Blumenthal-Getoor index
Suppose that the discrete observations
X
0, X
∆, . . . , X
n∆ of the state processX
are available forsome fixed
∆ > 0
. First, estimateϕ
∆(u)
by its empirical counterpartϕ
n(u)
defined asϕ
n(u) =
1
n
n∑
k=1e
iu(X∆k−X∆(k−1)).
(5)Note that under the assumptions (AE) and (AM),
1
n
n
∑
k=1
e
iu(X∆k−X∆(k−1)) a.s.−→ ϕ
∆(u),
n
→ ∞
by the Birkhoff’s ergodic theorem (see, e.g., Athreya and Lahiri, 2010). Fix some
θ > 2
such that2θ
∈ N
and consider a random functionY
n(u) = log
{
− log
[
|ϕ
n(u)
|
2θ/
|ϕ
n(θu)
|
2]}
.
Furthermore, introduce a weighting function
w
Un(u) = U
−1n
w
1(u/U
n)
, whereU
nis a sequence ofpositive numbers tending to infinity, the function
w
1 is supported on[ε, 1]
and satisfy∫
1 εw
1(u) du = 0,
∫
1 εw
1(u) log u du = 1.
(6)Next, define an estimate of the parameter
α
in (4) byα
n=
∫
∞0
w
Un(u)
Y
n(u) du.
(7)The estimate (7) can be alternatively defined as
α
n= l
n,1with(l
n,0, l
n,1) := argmin
(l0,l1)
∫
Un0
w
Un⋄(u)(
Y
n(u)
− l
1log(u)
− l
0)
2du,
where
w
⋄Un(u)
is a suitable weighting function supported on[εU
n, U
n].
In order to see thatα
n is areasonable estimate of
α
, we introduce a deterministic quantity¯
α
n=
∫
∞ 0w
Un(u)
Y(u) du
withY(u) := log
{
− log
[
|ϕ(u)|
2θ/
|ϕ(θu)|
2]}
= log(2τ
θu
αR(u)),
where by Theorem 2.1 we have
τ
θ= τ
2(θ
− θ
α)
andR(u)
→ 1
asu
→ +∞
. Using Theorem 2.1one can also show (see Lemma 5.4) that for
n
large enough,|α − ¯α
n| ≤ C
1τ
3U
n−κ,
(8)with some constant
C
1 not depending on the parameters of the underlying ASV model. Hence,α
isclose to
α
¯
nin the sense of (8); the next theorem shows thatα
¯
nconverges toα
nin probability. Theorem 3.1. Consider a class of ASV models of the form (1)-(2) such that the assumptions (AN1),(AN2), (AM) and (AE) are fulfilled. If
a
V> 0
(τ
1> 0
) and the sequenceU
nfulfillsε
1,n:=
log n
√
n
e
2θ(τ1+τ2+τ2τ3)Un→ 0, U
n→ ∞, n → ∞,
thenP
{
|α
n− ¯α
n| > C
2ε
1,nτ
θU
nα}
≤ C
3n
−1−δ (9)for some constants
C
2> 0, C
3> 0
andδ > 0
not depending onα, τ
1, τ
2 andτ
3.
In the casea
V= 0
(τ
1= 0
) we getP
{
|α
n− ¯α
n| > C
2ε
2,nτ
θU
nα}
≤ C
3n
−1−δ,
providedε
2,n:=
log n
√
n
e
2θ(τ2+τ2τ3)Unα→ 0, U
n→ ∞, n → ∞.
Denote by
A
H a class of ASV models (1) such thata
V is strictly positive, assumptions (AN1), (AN2),(AM) and (AE) are fulfilled, and additionally
min
{τ
1, τ
2} ≥ τ > 0, τ
3≤ ¯τ < ∞, 0 < α ≤ ¯α, 0 < κ ≤ ¯κ
(10)in the representation (4). As we will see in the proof of Theorem 2.1, all conditions in (10) can be reformulated in terms of the parameters of the underlying ASV model (1)-(2). Combining (8) with (9) and choosing
U
nin an optimal way, we arrive atsup
(X,V )∈AHP
(X,V )(
|α − α
n| > C
4log
−¯κn
)
≤ C
5n
−1−δ,
(11)where constants
C
4andC
5 depend onτ , ¯
τ
andα
¯
only. Since∞
∑
n=1P
(X,V ){|α − α
n| > C
4log
−¯κn
} ≤ C
5 ∞∑
n=1n
−1−δ<
∞,
for any
(X, V )
∈ A
H,
it follows by Borel-Cantelli lemma that the upper bound of the sequence ofevents
{|α − α
n| > C
4log
−¯κn
}, n ∈ N,
is of probability0
, i.e.,P
(X,V ){
|α − α
n| > C
4log
−¯κn
for infinitely many n}
= 0,
or, equivalently,P
(X,V ){
lim
n→∞(
log
κ¯n
|α − α
n|
)
> C
4}
= 0.
In the case
a
V= 0,
i.e.,τ
1= 0
in (4), one can define a classA
BN S withτ
2≥ ¯τ > 0, τ
3≤ ¯τ < ∞ 0 < α ≤ ¯α, 0 < κ ≤ ¯κ
(12) to getsup
(X,V )∈AOUP
(X,V )(
|α − α
n| > C
4log
−¯κ/¯αn
)
≤ C
5n
−1−δ.
(13) Discussion As can be seen, the rates of convergence ofα
nare logarithmic and depend on theup-per bound
α
¯
for the BG indexα.
The latter feature can also be observed in the high-frequency setup of Aït-Sahalia and Jacod, 2009. Comparing the first part of Theorem 3.1 with the situation where the Lévy processZ
2is observed directly (see Belomestny, 2010, Theorem 6.7), we immediately realize that theconvergence rates in both cases are of the same order, indicating that the problem of estimating the BG index of
Z
2from the low-frequency observations of the processX
has the same complexity as thesimilar problem based on direct observations of the Lévy process
Z
2. Moreover, under the presence ofa nonzero Gaussian part the latter estimation problem becomes even more complex than the former one, as far as the rates of convergence are concerned. The results of Belomestny, 2010 (Theorem 6.5) also indicate that the convergence rates in (11) and (13) are optimal and can not be improved in general.
4
Proofs
4.1
Proof of Theorem 2.1
It follows from the general results on affine processes (see, e.g., Duffie, Filipovi´c and Schachermayer, 2003) that for any
s
≤ t
ϕ(u, w, t
− s|x, v) = E
[
e
iuXt+iwVt|X
s
= x, V
s= v
]
= exp
{ψ
0(u, w, t
− s) + ixu + vψ
1(u, w, t
− s)} , (u, v) ∈ R × R
≥0,
(14) where
ψ
0(u, w, t)
andψ
1(u, w, t)
are some complex-valued functions satisfying the system ofnon-linear differential equations
{
∂ψ1(u,w,t)
∂t
= σ
2
a
2V
ψ
12(u, w, t) + (2
· i a
Vσρu
− b
V) ψ
1(u, w, t)
− (u
2− i b
Xu) ,
∂ψ0(u,w,t) ∂t= i a
Xu + a
Vψ
1(u, w, t) +
∫
∞ −∞∫
∞ 0(
e
iux+ψ1(u,w,t)y− 1
)
ν(dx, dy)
(15) with the initial conditionsψ
1(u, w, 0) = iw,
ψ
0(u, w, 0) = 0.
The following lemma easily follows from the standard results on ODEs.
Lemma 4.1. The solution of the equation
∂ψ(w, s)
∂s
= Φ(ψ(w, s)),
ψ(w, 0) = iw
(16)with
Φ(z) = Az
2+ Bz
− C,
where
A, B
andC
are complex numbers is explicitly given by the formulaψ(w, s) =
−
2C(exp(λs)
− 1) − (λ(exp(λs) + 1) + B(exp(λs) − 1))(i · w)
λ(exp(λs) + 1)
− B(exp(λs) − 1) − 2A(exp(λs) − 1)(i · w)
,
where
λ =
√
B
2+ 4AC
.Lemma 4.1 implies that
ψ
1(u, w, s) =
−
2C(exp(λs)
− 1) − (λ(exp(λs) + 1) + B(exp(λs) − 1))(i · w)
λ(exp(λs) + 1)
− B(exp(λs) − 1) − 2A(exp(λs) − 1)(i · w)
(17)with
A = σ
2a
2V,
B = 2
· i a
Vσρu
− b
V,
C = u
2− i b
Xu,
λ =
√
and
ψ
0(u, w, t) = i a
Xut + a
V∫
t 0ψ
1(u, w, s) ds
+
∫
t 0[∫
∞ −∞∫
∞ 0(
exp
{
i ux + ψ
1(u, w, s)y
}
− 1
)
ν(dx, dy)
]
ds.
(18)
Under assumptions (AE) and (AM), the process
(V
t)
t≥0 and, consequently,(X
t+∆− X
t)
t≥0 iser-godic. Due to (14), the c.f. of the increments
X
t+∆− X
tin a stationary regime is given byϕ
∆(u) =
E
π[
e
iu(Xt+∆−Xt)]
= e
ψ0(u,0,∆)E
π[
e
Vtψ1(u,0,∆)]
= exp
{ψ
0(u, 0, ∆) + l(ψ
1(u, 0, ∆))
} ,
where
π
is the invariant distribution of the volatility processV
andl
is the Laplace exponent ofπ
, i.e.,l(w) = log
[∫
∞ 0e
wyπ(dy)
]
= lim
t→∞ψ
0(0,
−iw, t).
As a result,l(w) = a
V∫
∞ 0ψ
1(0,
−iw, s)ds +
∫
∞ 0[∫
∞ 0(
e
ψ1(0,−iw,s)y− 1
)
ν
2(dy)
]
ds.
(19)Our objective is now to infer on the asymptotic behavior of the function
log
|ϕ
∆(u)
| = Re {ψ
0(u, 0, ∆)
} + Re {l(ψ
1(u, 0, ∆))
}
(20)as
u
→ +∞,
whereψ
1 is given by (17),ψ
0 - by (18), andl
is in the form (19). Consider now twocases.
Case
a
V= 0.
We haveA = 0, B =
−b
V, λ = b
V, and formula (17) boils down toψ
1(u, w, s) =
C
b
V(exp(
−b
Vs)
− 1) + (i · w) exp(−b
Vs).
Henceψ
1(0, w, s) = ie
−bVsw,
ψ
1(u, 0, s) = B
sC = B
s(u
2− ib
Xu)
with
B
s= b
−1V(exp(
−b
Vs)
− 1).
Moreover,l(w) =
∫
∞ 0[∫
∞ 0(
e
e−bV swy− 1
)
ν
2(dy)
]
ds,
andψ
0(u, 0, ∆) = ia
Xu∆ +
∫
∆ 0[∫
∞ −∞∫
∞ 0(
e
iux+B∆(u2−ibXu)e−bV sy− 1
)
ν(dx, dy)
]
ds.
Formula (20) yields
log
|ϕ
∆(u)
| = Re
{∫
∆ 0[∫
∞ −∞∫
∞ 0(
e
iux+B∆(u2−ibXu)e−bV sy− 1
)
ν(dx, dy)
]
ds
}
+ Re
{∫
∞ 0[∫
∞ 0(
e
e−bV sB∆(
u2−ibXu)
y− 1
)
ν
2(dy)
]
ds
}
=: W
1+ W
2.
In what follows we derive asymptotic expansions (as
u
→ +∞
) for the termsW
1 andW
2.
Setc
γ=
Γ(1
− γ), d
γ= Γ(1
− γ) sin ((1 − γ)π/2) ,
ande
γ= Γ(1
− γ) cos ((1 − γ)π/2)
for anyγ
∈ R.
For estimating the term
W
1 we apply Lemma 5.3 withϱ =
−B
∆e
−bVsu
2 andϕ =
−B
∆b
Xe
−bVsu
to get
W
1=
−
∫
∆ 0[
β
0,2c
γ2ϱ
γ2[1 +
R
1(ϱ, ϕ)] +
R(u)
]
ds + O(1),
u
→ +∞,
where
R
1(ϱ, ϕ) = ¯
Aϱ
−χ2β
1,2/β
0,2+ ϕ/ϱ
,R(u) = −u
γ1(
β
0,1d
γ1+ β
1,1d
γ1−χ1u
−χ 1)
and
A
¯
is some constant not depending on the parameters of the model (1)-(2) and∆
. This gives the expansionW
1=
−δ
(1) 1,1u
γ1− δ
(1) 2,1u
γ1−χ1− δ
(1) 1,2u
2γ2− δ
(1) 2,2u
2γ2−2χ2− δ
(1) 3,2u
2γ2−1+ O(1),
u
→ +∞
with the coefficientsδ
(1)1,1= β
0,1d
γ1∆,
δ
(1)2,1= β
1,1d
γ1−χ1∆,
δ
(1)1,2= u
−2γ2∫
∆ 0β
0,2c
γ2ϱ
γ2ds = β
0,2c
γ2(
−B
∆)
γ2∫
∆ 0e
−bVsγ2ds
= β
0,2c
γ2(
−B
∆)
γ21
− e
−bV∆γ2b
Vγ
2,
δ
(1)2,2= u
−2(γ2−χ2)∫
∆ 0c
γ2Aβ
¯
1,2ϱ
γ2−χ2ds = c
γ2Aβ
¯
1,2(
−B
∆)
γ2−χ21
− e
−bV∆(γ2−χ2)b
V(γ
2− χ
2)
,
δ
(1)3,2= b
Xδ
1,2(1).
Turn now to
W
2.
Making use of Lemma 5.1 withϕ =
−e
−bVsB
∆b
Xu
andϱ =
−e
−bVsB
∆u
2, wearrive at the asymptotic formula
W
2=
−
∫
∞ 0ϱ
γ2[
β
0,2c
γ2(1 + (ϕ/ϱ)) + β
1,2c
γ2−χ2ϱ
−χ2]
ds + O(1),
u
→ +∞
(21) or, equivalently,W
2=
−δ
(2) 1,2u
2γ2− δ
(2) 2,2u
2γ2−2χ2− δ
(2) 3,2u
2γ2−1+ O(1),
(22)where
δ
1,2(2)= u
−2γ2β
0,2c
γ2∫
∞ 0ϱ
γ2ds =
β
0,2c
γ2γ
2b
V(
−B
∆)
γ2,
δ
2,2(2)= u
−2γ2+2χ2β
1,2c
γ2−χ2∫
∞ 0ϱ
γ2−χ2ds =
β
1,2c
γ2−χ2(γ
2− χ
2)b
V(
−B
∆)
γ2−χ2,
δ
3,2(2)= u
−2γ2β
0,2c
γ2b
X∫
∞ 0ϱ
γ2ds =
β
0,2c
γ2b
Xγ
2b
V(
−B
∆)
γ2.
Case
a
V> 0
. In this case,ψ
1(u, w, s) =
−
u(1 + o(1/u))
σa
V(
√
1
− ρ
2− iρ)
,
u
→ +∞,
(23)ψ
1(0,
−iw, s) =
we
−bVs1 + wAB
s (24)with
B
s= b
−1V(exp(
−b
Vs)
− 1).
By (24), the functionl(w)
remains bounded for allw
such thatRe w
≥ 0
. Therefore, we havel(ψ
1(u, 0, ∆)) = O(1)
asu
→ +∞
. The asymptotic relation (23)implies
Re
{ψ
0(u, 0, ∆)
} = −a
V[
uσ
−1a
−1V√
1
− ρ
2∆
]
+
+ Re
{∫
∆ 0[∫
∞ −∞∫
∞ 0(
e
iux−[σ−1a−1V (√
1−ρ2+iρ)u+o(1)]y− 1
)
ν(dx, dy)
]
ds
}
as
u
→ +∞.
Furthermore, Lemma 5.3 withϱ = uσ
−1a
−1V√
1
− ρ
2andϕ = uσ
−1a
−1V
ρ
givesRe
{ψ
0(u, 0, ∆)
} = −a
V[
uσ
−1a
−1V√
1
− ρ
2∆
]
+
+
∫
∆ 0[
−β
0,2r
γ2(a) ϱ
γ2[1 +
R
2(ϱ, ϕ)] +
R(u)
]
ds + O(1),
u
→ +∞,
wherea = ρ/
√
1
− ρ
2,
R
2(ϱ, ϕ) = ( ¯
Bβ
1,2/β
0,2)ϱ
−χ2, ¯
B = r
γ2−χ2(a)/r
γ2(a),
R(u) = −u
γ1(
β
0,1d
γ1+ β
1,1d
γ1−χ1u
−χ1)
andr
γ2(a) =
∫
∞ 0e
−yDenote
ς = σa
V/
√
1
− ρ
2.
Then the following relations holda
V[
uσ
−1a
−1V√
1
− ρ
2∆
]
= a
Vς
−1∆u,
∫
∆ 0β
0,2r
γ2(ϕ/ϱ) ϱ
γ2ds = β
0,2r
γ2(a)
(
u
ς
)
γ2∆,
∫
∆ 0R(ϱ)β
0,2r
γ2(ϕ/ϱ) ϱ
γ2ds = β
0,2r
γ2(a) ¯
B
β
1,2β
0,2(
u
ς
)
γ2−χ2∆
∫
∆ 0R
2(u)ds =
−u
γ1(
β
0,1d
γ1+ β
1,1d
γ1−χ1u
−χ1)
∆ + O(1),
u
→ +∞.
Combining the last formulas, we arrive at the representation
log
|ϕ(u)| = −τ
1u
− λ
1,1u
γ1− λ
2,1u
γ1−χ1− λ
1,2u
γ2− λ
2,2u
γ2−χ2+ O(1),
u
→ +∞,
(25)with
τ
1= a
Vς
−1,
λ
1,1= β
0,1d
γ1,
λ
2,1= β
1,1d
γ1−χ1,
λ
1,2= β
0,2r
γ2(a)ς
−γ−2,
λ
2,2= β
0,2r
γ2(a) ¯
B
β
1,2β
0,2ς
χ2−γ2.
This completes the proof of Theorem 2.1.
4.2
Proof of Theorem 3.1
We begin the proof with the following lemma.
Lemma 4.2. Suppose that
eε
n:=
[
inf
u∈[0,Un]|ϕ(u)|
]
−2θlog n
√
n
= o(1),
n
→ ∞.
(26)Then there exist positive constants
D
1, D
2,
andδ
such that for anyn > 1
P
{
|α
n− ¯α
n| > D
1eε
n∫
Un0
w
Un(u)
log
−1(
G(u))
du
}
≤ D
2n
−1−δ,
(27)Proof. We divide the proof into several steps.
1. Denote
G
n(u) =
|ϕ
n(u)
|
2θ/
|ϕ
n(uθ)
|
2
.
It holdsG
n(u)
− G(u) =
|ϕ
n(u)
|
2θ− |ϕ(u)|
2θ|ϕ
n(uθ)
|
2+
|ϕ(u)|
2θ|ϕ(uθ)|
2|ϕ(uθ)|
2− |ϕ
n(uθ)
|
2|ϕ
n(uθ)
|
2=
G(u)
[
ξ
1,n(u) + ξ
2,n(u)
1
− ξ
2,n(u)
]
=
G(u)Λ
n(u)
(28) withξ
1,n(u) =
|ϕ
n(u)
|
2θ− |ϕ(u)|
2θ|ϕ(u)|
2θ andξ
2,n(u) =
|ϕ(uθ)|
2− |ϕ
n
(uθ)
|
2|ϕ(uθ)|
2.
2. Lemma 5.5 shows that the eventW
n=
{
sup
u∈[0,Un]|ξ
k,n(u)
| ≤ B
1eε
n, k = 1, 2
}
has a probability that tends to 1 as
n
tends to infinity. More precisely, it holdsP(
W
n) = P
(
sup
u∈[0,Un]|ξ
k,n(u)
| > B
1eε
n)
≤ D
2n
−1−δ,
k = 1, 2
(29)for some positive constants
B
1, D
2, andδ
.3. For any
u
∈ [εU
n, U
n]
, the Taylor expansion for the functionf (x) = log(
− log(x))
in the vicinityof the point
x =
G(u)
yieldsY
n(u)
− Y(u) = χ
1(u)(
G
n(u)
− G(u)) + χ
2(u)(
G
n(u)
− G(u))
2 (30)with
χ
1(u) =
G
−1(u) log
−1(
G(u))
and|χ
2(u)
| ≤ 2
−1max
z∈In(u)
[
1 +
| log(z)|
z
2log
2(z)
]
,
(31)where by
I
n(u)
we denote the interval betweenG(u)
andG
n(u)
. Due to (4),G(u) =
|ϕ(u)|
2θ|ϕ(θu)|
2= exp
{2τ
2u
α(
−θ (1 + r(u)) + θ
α(1 + r(θu)))
}
≤ exp
{
A
1u
α+ A
2u
α−κ}
,
where
A
1= 2τ
2(θ
α− θ) < 0
andA
2= 2τ
2τ
3(θ
α−κ+ θ)
. Hence,G(u) → 0
asu
→ +∞.
Moreover, the length of the interval
|I
n(u)
| = G(u)|Λ
n(u)
|
tends to0
on the eventW
n,
uniformly inu
∈ [εU
n, U
n].
Thus,I
n(u)
⊂ (0, 1)
onW
nforn
large enough and the maximum on the right hand4. Denote
Q(u) = χ
2(u)(
G
n(u)
− G(u))
2. Lemma 5.6 shows that there exist a positive constantB
3such that for any
u
∈ [εU
n, U
n]
and forn
large enoughW
n⊂
{
|Q(u)| ≤ B
3(ξ
1,n2(u) + ξ
22,n
(u))
log
−1(
G(u))
}
.
(32) 5. The Taylor expansion (30) and previous discussion yield that on the setW
n,|α
n− ¯α
n| =
∫
0Unw
Un(u)(
Y
n(u)
− Y(u)) du
≤
∫
Un 0|w
Un(u)
|
(
|G
n(u)
− G(u)|
|G(u)|
log
−1(
G(u))
+
|Q(u)|
)
du
≤
∫
Un0
|w
Un(u)
| log
−1(
G
−1(u)
) (|G
n(u)
− G(u)|
|G(u)|
+ B
3(ξ
1,n2(u) + ξ
2 2,n(u))
)
du.
By (28), expression in the brackets is equal to
P :=
|G
n(u)
− G(u)|
|G(u)|
+ B
3(ξ
1,n2(u) + ξ
2 2,n(u)) =
|ξ
1,n(u) + ξ
2,n(u)
|
|1 − ξ
2,n(u)
|
+ B
3(ξ
1,n2(u) + ξ
2 2,n(u)),
and
P
can be upper bounded on the setW
nas follows (all supremums are taken over[0, U
n]
):P
≤
sup
|ξ
1,n(u)
| + sup |ξ
2,n(u)
|
1
− sup |ξ
2,n(u)
|
+ B
3(
(sup
|ξ
1,n(u)
|)
2+ (sup
|ξ
2,n(u)
|)
2)
≤
2B
1eε
n1
− B
1eε
n+ 2B
3B
12eε
2 n≤ D
1eε
n.
This completes the proof.
Now we proceed with the proof of Theorem (3.1). First, we get a lower bound for the infimum of the function
|ϕ(u)|
over[0, U
n]
. Consider two cases (see Theorem 2.1):1
a
V> 0
(τ
1> 0
) In this case,inf
u∈[0,Un]
|ϕ(u)| = inf
u∈[1,Un]|ϕ(u)| =
u∈[1,Uninf
]exp
{−τ
1u
− τ
2u
α
(1 + r(u))
}
≥
inf
u∈[1,Un]exp
{
−τ
1u
− τ
2u
α− τ
2τ
3u
α−κ}
≥ exp {− (τ
1+ τ
2+ τ
2τ
3) U
n} .
2
a
V= 0
(τ
1= 0
) Following the same lines, we arrive atinf
u∈[0,Un]|ϕ(u)| = inf
u∈[1,Un]|ϕ(u)| =
inf
u∈[1,Un]exp
{
−τ
2u
α− τ
2τ
3u
α−κ}
≥ exp {− (τ
2+ τ
2τ
3) U
nα} .
Thus, we conclude that
eε
n≤ ε
1,nin the first case andeε
n≤ ε
2,nin the second one, and therefore the assumption of Lemma 4.2 is fulfilled in both cases. Next,log
−1(
G(u))
=
1
2τ
θu
αR(u)
withτ
θ= τ
2(θ
− θ
α)
andR(u) = 1 +
θr(u)
− θ
αr(θu)
θ
− θ
α.
Hence∫
Un 0w
Un(u)
log
−1(
G(u))
du =
1
2τ
θU
nα∫
1 ε|w
1(u)
|
u
αR(U
nu)
du
≤
C
2τ
θU
nαfor some
C
2> 0
and the statement of the theorem follows.5
Auxiliary results
Lemma 5.1. Consider a Lévy measure
ν
onR
+that satisfiesΠ(ε) :=
∫
∞ε
ν(dy) = ε
−γ(β
0+ β
1ε
χ(1 + O(ε))),
ε
→ +0,
(33)with
0 < χ < γ < 1
andβ
0> 0.
DenoteΦ(ρ, ϕ) =
∫
∞0
(
e
−ϱzcos(ϕz)
− 1
)
ν(dz),
then the following asymptotic relations hold.
(i) As
ϕ, ϱ
→ ∞
,Φ(ϱ, ϕ) =
{
−ϱ
γ[β
0c
γ(1 + ϕ/ϱ) + β
1c
γ−χϱ
−χ] + O
(
e
−ϕ)
,
ϱ/ϕ
→ +∞,
−ϕ
γ[
β
0d
γ+ β
0e
γ(ϱ/ϕ) + β
1(d
γ−χ+ e
γ−χ)ϕ
−χ(ϱ/ϕ)
]
+ O (e
−ϱ) , ϕ/ϱ
→ +∞,
where
c
γ= Γ(1
−γ), d
γ= Γ(1
−γ) sin((1−γ)π/2),
ande
γ= Γ(1
−γ) cos((1−γ)π/2).
(ii) Asϕ, ϱ
→ ∞
andϕ/ϱ = a
for some constanta > 0,
Φ(ϱ, ϕ) =
−ϱ
γ[
β
0r
γ(a) + β
1r
γ−χ(a)ϱ
−χ]
+ O
(
e
−ϱ)
withr
γ(a) =
∫
∞ 0e
−yy
γ(cos(ay) + a sin(ay)) dy.
Proof. (i) Here we present the proof only for the case
ϕ/ϱ
→ +∞
. The caseϱ/ϕ
→ +∞
can be treated in a similar way.i1. Integrating by parts, we get
∫
∞ 0(
e
−ϱzcos(ϕz)
− 1
)
ν(dz) =
∫
∞ 0(
e
−ycos(ϕy/ρ)
− 1
)
ν(d(y/ϱ))
=
−
(
e
−ycos(ϕy/ρ)
− 1
)
Π(y/ϱ)
∞0
−
∫
∞ 0Π(y/ϱ)e
−y(
cos(ϕy/ϱ) + ϕ/ϱ sin(ϕy/ϱ)
)
dy.
Hence∫
∞ 0(
e
−ϱzcos(ϕz)
− 1
)
ν(dz) =
−ϱ
γ∫
∞ 0(y/ϱ)
γΠ(y/ϱ)
e
−yy
γcos(ϕy/ϱ)dy
−ϕϱ
γ−1∫
∞ 0(y/ϱ)
γΠ(y/ϱ)
e
−yy
γsin(ϕy/ϱ)dy
=
−ϱ
γI
1− ϕϱ
γ−1I
2.
i2. TakeH = ϱ
pwith0 < p < 1
, and representI
1as a sum of two integrals:
I
1=
∫
∞ 0(y/ϱ)
γΠ(y/ϱ)
e
−yy
γcos(ϕy/ϱ)dy =
∫
H 0(y/ϱ)
γΠ(y/ϱ)
e
−yy
γcos(ϕy/ϱ)dy
+
∫
∞ Hρ
−γΠ(y/ϱ)e
−ycos(ϕy/ϱ)dy.
The function
ϱ
−γΠ(y/ϱ)
is uniformly bounded fory > H
asϱ
→ +∞
. Indeed,ϱ
−γΠ(y/ϱ)
≤ ϱ
−γΠ(H/ϱ)
= ϱ
−pγ(
β
0+ β
1ϱ
χ(p−1)(
1 + O(ϱ
p−1)
))
= β
0ϱ
−pγ+ β
1ϱ
−(
χ+(γ−χ)p)(
1 + ϱ
p−1O(1)
)
and
χ + (γ
− χ)p > 0.
This boundeness ofρ
−γΠ(y/ϱ)
implies∫
+∞H
ρ
−γΠ(y/ϱ)e
−ycos(ϕy/ϱ)dy = O(e
−H).
As a result,
I
1=
∫
H 0(y/ϱ)
γΠ(y/ϱ)
e
−yy
γcos(ϕy/ϱ)dy + O(e
−H).
i3. If
ρ
→ ∞
andy < H
, the assumption (33) impliesI
1= β
0∫
H 0e
−yy
γcos(ϕy/ϱ)dy + β
1ϱ
−χ∫
H 0e
−yy
γ−χcos(ϕy/ϱ)dy
+O
(
ϱ
−χ−1∫
H 0e
−yy
γ−χ−1dy
)
+ O(e
−H).
Note now that
∫
H 0e
−yy
γcos(ϕy/ϱ)dy =
∫
∞ 0e
−yy
γcos(ϕy/ϱ)dy
−
∫
∞ He
−yy
γcos(ϕy/ϱ)dy
=
∫
∞ 0e
−yy
γcos(ϕy/ϱ)dy + O(e
−HH
−γ).
Analogously,∫
H 0e
−yy
γ−χcos(ϕy/ϱ)dy =
∫
∞ 0e
−yy
γ−χcos(ϕy/ϱ)dy + O(e
−HH
χ−γ),
and we conclude that
I
1= β
0∫
∞ 0e
−yy
γcos(ϕy/ϱ)dy + β
1ϱ
−χ∫
∞ 0e
−yy
γ−χcos(ϕy/ϱ)dy + T
1,
whereT
1= O
(
ϱ
−χ−1∫
H 0e
−yy
γ−χ−1dy
)
+ O(e
−HH
−γ) + O
(
ϱ
−χe
−HH
γ−χ)
+ O(e
−H)
= O
(
ϱ
−γe
−H)
.
i4. Since∫
∞ 0e
−yy
γcos(hy)dy
≍ e
γh
γ−1,
h
→ +∞
with
e
γ= Γ(1
− γ) cos((1 − γ)π/2)
, we getϱ
γI
1= ϕ
γ[
β
0e
γ(ϱ/ϕ) + β
1e
γ−χϕ
−χ(ϱ/ϕ)
]
+ O(e
−H),
ϱ, ϕ
→ ∞.
Similarly, using the fact that
∫
∞0
e
−yy
γsin(hy)dy
≍ d
γh
γ−1
,
h
→ ∞
with
e
γ= Γ(1
− γ) sin((1 − γ)π/2)
, we arrive atϕϱ
γ−1I
2= ϕ
γ[
β
0d
γ+ β
1d
γ−χϕ
−χ]
+ O(e
−H),
ϱ, ϕ
→ ∞.
ii4. Introduce
v
γ(a) =
∫
∞ 0e
−ycos(ay)
y
γdy,
thenϱ
γI
1= ϱ
γ[
β
0v
γ(a) + β
1v
γ−χ(a)ϱ
−χ]
+ O
(
e
−H)
.
Analogously,ϕϱ
γ−1I
2= aϱ
γI
2= aϱ
γ[
β
0w
γ(a) + β
1w
γ−χ(a)ϱ
−χ]
+ O
(
e
−H)
withw
γ(a) =
∫
∞ 0e
−ysin(ay)
y
γdy.
It remains to note that
r
γ(a) = v
γ(a) + aw
γ(a).
Lemma 5.2. Consider a Lévy measure
ν
onR \ {0}
that fulfillesG(ε) :=
∫
|x|>ε
ν(dx) = ε
−γ(β
0+ β
1ε
χ(1 + O(ε))),
ε
→ +0
(34)with
0 < χ < γ < 1
andβ
0> 0.
DenoteV (u) =
∫
R(
cos(ux)
− 1
)
dν(x).
Then asu
→ +∞
,V (u) =
−u
γ(
β
0d
γ+ β
1d
γ−χu
−χ)
+ O(1).
Proof. For the sake of simplicity we consider only the case of even measure
ν
.1. First, we apply the integration by parts to get
V (u) =
−
∫
+∞ 0(
cos(ux)
− 1
)
dG(x)
=
−
(
cos(ux)
− 1
)
G(x)
+0∞− u
∫
+∞ 0sin(ux)G(x)dx
=
−
∫
+∞ 0sin(x)G(x/u)dx.
2. Take
H = u
p with0 < p < 1
, and represent the last integral as a sum of tho integrals:∫
+∞ 0sin(x)G(x/u)dx =
∫
H 0sin(x)G(x/u)dx +
∫
+∞ Hsin(x)G(x/u)dx
= I
1+ I
2.
The integral
I
2 is bounded, becauseG(x/u)
is uniformly bounded forx > H
byG(H/u)
.3. Next, we apply (34) to
I
1:I
1=
∫
H 0sin(x) (x/u)
−γ(
β
0+ β
1(x/u)
χ(1 + O (x/u))
)
= β
0u
γ∫
H 0sin(x)
x
γdx + β
1u
γ−χ∫
H 0sin(x)
x
γ−χdx + β
1u
γ−χ−1∫
H 0sin(x)
x
γ−χ−1dx.
Note that the integral
∫
0Hsin(x)x
−γdx
can be represented in the following way:∫
H 0sin(x)
x
γdx =
∫
∞ 0sin(x)
x
γdx
−
∫
∞ Hsin(x)
x
γdx = d
γ+ O(H
−γ).
Analogously,∫
H 0sin(x)
x
γ−χdx = d
γ−χ+ O(H
−(γ−χ)).
Finally, we arrive atI
1= β
0d
γu
γ+ β
1d
γ−χu
γ−χ+ T
1,
whereT
1= O(u
(1−p)γ) + O(u
(1−p)(γ−χ)) + O(u
(1−p)(γ−χ−1)) = O(u
(1−p)γ).
Lemma 5.3. Let
ν
be a two-dimensional Lévy measure onR × R
+ with marginalsν
1 andν
2,
andassumptions (AN1) and (AN2) are fulfilled. Denote
Q(u, ϱ, ϕ) =
∫
∞ −∞∫
∞ 0(
exp
{
iux
− (ϱ + iϕ)y
}
− 1
)
ν(dx, dy)
for any real numbers