Presentation Overview
• Introduction
• General RBI InformationGeneral RBI Information
• Atmospheric Storage Tank RBI Overview • Tank Case Study
• RBI Results
Introduction
• RBI provisions added to API 653 in Second
Edition late 1990s
Edition, late 1990s
• Significant changes to the Tank Module in
version 8 release, 2007
,
General RBI Information
• In general, risk is calculated as a function of time as follows
follows
( )
( )
R t
=
POF t COF
⋅
• The probability of failure is a function of time, since damage due to cracking, thinning or other damage mechanisms increases with time
• In API RBI, the consequence of failure is assumed to be independent of time, therefore
( )
( )
( )
( )
R t
POF t CA
for Area
Based Risk
R t
POF t
FC
for Financial
Based Risk
=
⋅
−
Probability of Failure
• The probability of failure used in API RBI is:
( )
( )
:
f MSPOF t
gff D
t
F
where
=
⋅
⋅
( )
( )
POF t
the probability of failure as a function of time
gff
generic failure frequency
D
t
d
f
t
f
ti
f ti
−
−
( )
f MSD
t
damage factor as a function of time
F
management systems factor
−
−
• The time dependency of probability of failure is the basis of using RBI for inspection planning
Atmospheric Storage Tank RBI
• Level 1 consequence determination only • Result is in financial terms
• Result is in financial terms
• Consequences from component damage, product loss and environmental costs are considered
T k M d li • Tank Modeling
• Tank Bottom
• Separate Shell Courses • As a pressure vessel.
This allows for using the Level 2 consequence
What is a Tank Failure??
1 Dike Area Tank 6 Surface Water Onsite Offsite Tank 6 3 2 Subsurface Soil Ground Water 4 5 Ground Water 5Atmospheric Storage Tank RBI
• Fluid properties determined by fluid selection
• Hydraulic conductivity and fluid seepage velocity
determined from density and viscosity
Table 7.1 – Fluids and Fluid Properties for Atmospheric storage Tank Consequence Analysis Level 1
Consequence Liquid Dynamic
determined from density and viscosity
Fluid
Consequence Analysis Representative
Fluid
Molecular Weight Liquid Density (lb/ft3)
Liquid Dynamic Viscosity
(lbf-s/ft2)
Gasoline C6-C8 100 42.702 8.383E-5
Light Diesel Oil C9-C12 149 45.823 2.169E-5 Heavy Diesel Oil C13-C16 205 47.728 5.129E-5 Fuel Oil C17-C25 280 48.383 7.706E-4 Crude Oil C17-C25 280 48.383 7.706E-4 Heavy Fuel Oil C25+ 422 56.187 9.600E-4 Heavy Crude Oil C25+ 422 56 187 9 600E 4 Heavy Crude Oil C25+ 422 56.187 9.600E-4
Atmospheric Storage Tank RBI
Table 7.2 – Soil Types and Properties for Atmospheric storage Tank Consequence AnalysisHydraulic Conductivity Hydraulic Conductivity Soil Type for Water Lower
Bound (in/sec)
for Water Upper Bound (in/sec)
Soil Porosity
Coarse Sand 3.94E-2 3.94E-3 0.33
Fine Sand 3.94E-3 3.94E-4 0.33
Very Fine Sand 3.94E-4 3.94E-6 0.33
Silt 3 94E 6 3 94E 7 0 41
Silt 3.94E-6 3.94E-7 0.41
Sandy Clay 3.94E-7 3.94E-8 0.45
Clay 3.94E-8 3.94E-9 0.50
Atmospheric Storage Tank RBI
• Release Rate Calculation
– Liquid head is assumed to be constant with time
– Leak into ground is as a continuous porous media, by the soil porosity for tank foundations
– Product leakage flow rate through a small hole is a function of the soil and fluid properties as well as liquid head (fill of the soil and fluid properties as well as liquid head (fill height)
– Tank rupture assumes all product in the tank is lost
– Bernoulli or Girard equation used depending on hydraulic Bernoulli or Girard equation used depending on hydraulic conductivity
• API RBI for atmospheric storage tanks is currently based on financial consequences only which requires the use of on financial consequences only which requires the use of a Financial Risk Target
Atmospheric Storage Tank RBI
• Financial environmental cost from shell course leakage
leak leak
Bbl
C
Bbl
C
⎛
indike indike+
ss onsite ss onite+
⎞
leak
environ leak leak
ss offsite ss offite water water
Bbl
C
Bbl
C
FC
Bbl
C
Bbl
C
− − − −⎛
⋅
+
⋅
+
⎞
= ⎜
⎜
⎟
⎟
⋅
+
⋅
⎝
⎠
• Financial environmental cost for a shell course rupture
rupture rupture
indike indike ss onsite ss onite
rupture
Bbl
C
Bbl
C
FC
= ⎜
⎛
⋅
+
−⋅
−+
⎞
⎟
• Total financial environmental cost for shell courses
p
environ rupture rupture
ss offsite ss offite water water
FC
Bbl
−C
−Bbl
C
= ⎜
⎜
⎟
⎟
⋅
+
⋅
⎝
⎠
leak rupture environ environ environAtmospheric Storage Tank RBI
• Component damage cost for shell courses
4 n n
gff
holecost
⎛
⋅
⎞
⎜
∑
⎟
1 n cmd totalFC
matcost
gff
=⎜
⎟
⎜
⎟
=
⋅
⎜
⎟
⎜
⎟
⎝
⎠
∑
• Outage Days and the cost of business interruption
(
)
(
)
prod cmd affa
FC
=
Outage
+
Outage
prodcost
• Financial Consequence for shell courses
t t l i d d
FC
=
FC
+
FC
+
FC
(
)
• The above consequence calculation is for the tank shell courses, a similar consequence calculation is used for th t k fl
total environ cmd prod
FC
FC
+
FC
+
FC
Case Study Background
• Refinery is located near, IA
• The refinery wanted to use RBI to defer the inspections • The refinery wanted to use RBI to defer the inspections
on two AST.
• Local regulators are pushing for internal inspections on these tanks
these tanks
• A similar service argument for other tanks very close to these tanks was used.
Similar Service is a provision added to API 653 in late – Similar Service is a provision added to API 653 in late
2008, but it was not valid at the time of the analysis. – This argument was not accepted by the regulators.
Tank Description
• T-1
– Diesel Product Tank – Diesel Product Tank
– Installed in 1956, floor replaced in 1992 – 30’ diameter, 40’ tall
– Sits on a ring wall with no release prevention – Sits on a ring wall with no release prevention – No internal inspection since floor replacement
T 17 • T-17
– Heavy Gas Oil Tank – Installed in 1993
120’ di 48’ ll – 120’ diameter, 48’ tall
– Sits on a graded concrete slab
API RBI Risk Targets
• When a risk target is exceeded in API RBI, an inspection is generated to reduce uncertainty
• Fixed equipment primarily uses an Area Risk Targetg
– Many case studies
– 27-40 ft2/yr target from
experience
• Tank RBI uses a Financial risk Tank RBI uses a Financial risk target
– No well defined case studies for Tank RBI Risk Targets – Trial and error method with Trial and error method with
client input
- Inspection costs and production interruption are considered
Key Inputs
• Operating conditions – Height, Temperature • Foundation Release Prevention?
• Foundation – Release Prevention? • Containment Information • Production Impact • Environmental Impact • Previous inspections – Corrosion rates – Damage to insulation – Overall condition
Damage Mechanisms
• Tank Bottom Corrosion • Thinning Damage
• Thinning Damage
• External Damage (CUI)
Thinning Damage
Component Component Type Base Metal Measured Rate (mpy)* Base Metal Calculated Rate (mpy)
T-143-BTM TANKBOTTOM - 9.5 T-143-Course 2 COURSE-1 0 -T-143-Course 3 COURSE-2 0 -T-143-Course 4 COURSE-3 0 -T 143 C 4 COURSE 4 0 T-143-Course 4 COURSE-4 0
-T-143-Pressure Vessel DRUM 0
-T-173-BTM TANKBOTTOM - 11.0 T-173-Course 1 COURSE-1 0 -T-173-Course 2 COURSE-2 0 -T-173-Course 3 COURSE-3 0 -T-173-Course 4 COURSE-4 0 -T-173-Course 5 COURSE-5 5.0
-T-173-Presusre Vessel DRUM 5.0
External Damage
Component Component Type Insulation Type EnvironmentExternal Calculated Rate (mpy)Base Material
T 143 Course 1 COURSE 1 Mineral Wool Marine 8 4
T-143-Course 1 COURSE-1 Mineral Wool Marine 8.4
T-143-Course 2 COURSE-2 Mineral Wool Marine 8.4
T-143-Course 3 COURSE-3 Mineral Wool Marine 8.4
T-143-Course 4 COURSE-4 Mineral Wool Marine 8.4
T-143-Pressure Vessel DRUM Mineral Wool Marine 8.4
T-173-Course 1 COURSE-1 Fiberglass Marine 10.9
T-173-Course 2 COURSE-2 Fiberglass Marine 10.9
T-173-Course 3 COURSE-3 Fiberglass Marine 10.9
T-173-Course 4 COURSE-4 Fiberglass Marine 10.9
T-173-Course 5 COURSE-5 Fiberglass Marine 10.9
RBI Results
Thinning Cracking External RBI
• Inspection Planning
Component Component Description Component Type Inspection Thinning Category Cracking Inspection Category Damage Inspection Category RBI Inspection Date T-143-BTM T-143-Bottom TANKBOTTOM C 2015-02-01 T-143-Pressure
Vessel T-143-Shell DRUM C 2015-10-24
RBI Results - Inspection Plans
• T-1 Bottom – C-level bottom thinning by February of 2015.
– Scanning of 5 to 10+% of the floor plates while supplementing scanning near the shell and the floor
the shell and the floor
– 100% visual inspection of the floor
– Scanning should progressively increase if damage is found.
• T-17 Bottom – C-level bottom thinning by March of 2017.
S i f 5 t 10+% f th fl l t hil l ti i
– Scanning of 5 to 10+% of the floor plates while supplementing scanning near the shell and the floor
– 100% visual inspection of the floor
– Scanning should progressively increase if damage is found.
T 1 P V l M d l d l C l l t l
• T-1 Pressure Vessel – Modeled as a pressure vessel, C-level external shell inspection recommendation to be completed by October of 2015.
– 95 to 100% external visual inspection of the insulation
– Follow-up with profile or real time radiography of 33 to 65% of suspect areas – Follow-up of corroded areas with 95 to 100% visual inspection of the exposed
surface with UT, RT or pit gauge.
RBI Results – Risk Drivers
• T-1 Bottom
– 15+ years of service with no corrosion data for the bottom
– Conservative estimate for tank bottom corrosion rate of 9.5 mpy
– The calculated bottom thickness at this date using 9.5 mpy corrosion rate is 0.101” which is at the minimum thickness of 0.10” for tanks without leak detection as prescribed in API 653.
• T-17 Bottom
– 15+ years of service with no corrosion data for the bottom
– Conservative estimate for tank bottom corrosion rate of 11.0 mpy
– The calculated bottom thickness at this date using 11.0 mpy corrosion rate g py is 0.056” which is above the minimum thickness of 0.05” for tanks with leak detection as prescribed in API 653.
• T-1 Pressure Vessel
– Estimated external corrosion rate of 8.4 mpypy
Lessons Learned
• Received regulatory approval for the Internal Inspection deferral
Inspection deferral
• Found a few bugs in the software
– Volume display
Course height changes – Course height changes
• Suggestions for future improvements
– Change location of some inputs
• Operating height • Operating height • Specific Gravity
• Release and foundation settings
– Make course height component specificMake course height component specific – Fluids
• Adding more fluids • Using Level 2 modelerg