Petrol Ofisi
Company Presentation
May 2009
2
Disclaimer
Petrol Ofisi A.Ş. (“Petrol Ofisi”) has prepared this presentation (the “Presentation”) for the sole purpose of providing information relating to Petrol Ofisi (the “Information”). The contents of this Presentation is based on public information and on data provided by Petrol Ofisi management. No reliance may be placed for any purposes whatsoever on the Information contained in this Presentation or on its completeness, accuracy or fairness. The Information in this Presentation is subject to verification, completion and change. No
representation or warranty is made by Petrol Ofisi or the Shareholders or any of their respective advisers or any of their representatives as to the accuracy or completeness of the Information and no liability is accepted by any such person for any such Information or opinion or for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this Presentation or the Information. This Presentation and/or the Information is
confidential and cannot be copied, disclosed or distributed to any person and is being provided to you solely for your information. This Presentation and/or the Information cannot be distributed or disseminated into Turkey.
This Presentation and/or the Information do not constitute or form part of any offer or invitation to sell or issue, or any solicitation of any offer to purchase or subscribe for, any securities of Petrol Ofisi, nor shall it or any part of it nor the fact of its distribution form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or investment decision.
In the UK this Presentation is being made only to and is directed at (a) persons having professional experience in matters relating to investments falling within Article 19(1) of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order 2001 (the “Order”) or (b) high net worth entities, and other persons to whom it may otherwise lawfully be communicated, falling within Article 49(1) of the Order (all such persons together being referred to as “relevant persons”). Any person who is not a relevant person should not act or rely on this Presentation or any of its contents.
Investors and prospective investors in securities of any issuer mentioned herein are required to make their own independent
investigations and appraisal of the business and financial condition of such company and the nature of the securities. Any decision to purchase securities in the context of a proposed offering of securities, if any, should be made solely on the basis of information contained in an offering circular published in relation to such an offering.
All statements other than statements of historical facts included in this Presentation, including, without limitation, those regarding our financial position, business strategy, plans and objectives of management for future operations (including development plans and
objectives relating to our products), are forward-looking statements. Such forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause our actual results, performance or achievements to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Such forward-looking statements are based on numerous assumptions regarding our present and future business strategies and the environment in which we will operate in the future. Further, certain forward-looking statements are based upon assumptions of future events which may not prove to be accurate. The forward-looking statements in this Presentation speak only as at the date of this Presentation.
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Table of Contents
Introduction
Introduction
Turkish Energy Sector
Company Overview
Business Lines
Future Story
Sales Analysis
4
A New Playing Field
New Petroleum Market Law
01.01.2005
Deregulation and Price Liberalization
Increasingly Controlled Environment
New Rules
New Playing Field
• Increased levels of competition triggering consolidation
• Number of players increased from 21 as of YE04 to 45 as of YE08
• Illegal fuel trading has considerably diminished
• The sector as a whole became more conscious of legal obligations
• Compliance had to be placed on the top of the agenda
The leader of the sector took the lead in the new playing field Petrol Ofisi supported the new regulation from day one
The Company was constantly in dialogue with the regulatory bodies communicating the difficulties and the problems the sector was coping with
• Obligation to hold a license
• Import liberalization
• National marker
• Distributor marker
• Fully accredited laboratories
• Station automation
• 20 day national stock obligation
• Vertical integration is allowed
5 Adjusted in line with refinery prices & currency fluctuations Gasoline US$1.81/lt Diesel US$1.48/lt Dealer contracts recently limited down to 5 years 4.2 mn m3of storage capacity
Market Snapshot
12,395 stations 1 refiner 51 distributors 4 refineries 24.2 mn tons of crude processed, 86.1% CUR 22.8 mn tons of production 26.0 mn tons of total sales 19.9 domestic 6.1 export Dealer owned Dealer operated Top 5 accounting for 85% of the market No white flags 66% of the gasoline pump price is composed of tax (SCT+VAT)D
ISTRIBUTORR
EFINERs
TATIONSP
RICING6
1991
1981
2007
2008
Number of PO Stations PO SalesVolume * 6.86 mn tonsof fuel products 8.25 mn tonsof fuel products 6.01 mn tonsof fuel products 6.17 mn tons offuel products Number of Distribution Co. 7 9 47 45 5,424 3,300 3,223 n.a. Diesel Market Share 76% 59% 30% 30%
2000
6.51 mn tons of fuel products 13 4,500 29% Gasoline Market Share 69% 46% 20% 24% 25%Best Player in the New Playing Field -
Widest Network, Highest Market Shares
Leading Energy Force Owing to its Extensive Distribution Network, Innovative Product
Offerings and High Quality Service
Source: GDPA for 1981 – 2000, Petroleum Industry Association for 2007 and 2008 * Gasoline + Gasoil + Kerosene+ Black Products
7
Table of Contents
Introduction
Turkish Energy
Turkish Energy
Sector
Sector
Company Overview
Business Lines
Future Story
Sales Analysis
8
Turkey, a Gateway to the Major Global Sources of Energy
A bridge between east and west, connecting the leading energy suppliers and consumers
A bridge between east and west, connecting the leading energy suppliers and consumers
Oil Pipelines
Kirkuk – Ceyhan
Iraq’s largest export line
50 million tons capacity per annum
Baku – Tbilisi – Ceyhan
Decreasing transportation and financial costs 50 million tons capacity per annum
Ünye – Ceyhan
Ceyhan to become energy hub with new refineries and pipelines
70 million tons capacity per annum
Natural Gas Pipelines
Nabucco
Major alternative route for gas to EU to be partially operational by 2013 with an initial pipeline capacity up to 8 bcm
Construction will end in 2017, when the maximum capacity will reach 31 bcmy
Turkey – Greece – Italy
Turkey – Greece part became operational in December 2007
Undersea link between Italy and Greece will be ready by 2012
9
Energy Sector: Changing Composition of Consumption
Turkish primary energy consumption reached 101.7 mn tons with 5.0% increase in 2007
Natural gas had the leading share in energy consumption in 2007 with 31.1%, followed by oil with
30.6% and by coal with 30.5% share
In 2007, natural gas consumption rose by 15.3% while oil consumption incresed by a mere 1.5%
CAGR of oil consumption for the 1987-2007 period has been 2.0% compared to 23.4% CAGR of
natural gas
Considerable increase in oil demand despite the significant share lost to natural gas
Considerable increase in oil demand despite the significant share lost to natural gas
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 19 65 19 70 19 75 19 80 19 85 19 90 19 95 20 00 20 05
Oil Gas Coal Hydro
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 19 65 19 70 19 75 19 80 19 85 19 90 19 95 20 00 20 05 Oil Demand (mn ton)
10 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 7.1 mn ton 6.7 12.0 17.4 Demand* Production
* White Products+Black Products+LPG+Lubricants+Asphalt +Naphta+Others Source: Petroleum Industry Association, TUPRAS and Petrol Ofisi
Insufficient Domestic Refining Capacity
2008 figures have not been released yet but market is expected to slightly contract in 2008 and 2009
In 2007, Turkey consumed 31.1 mn tons of fuel products
The local refiner, Tüpra
ş
, supplied 19.9 mn tons of this demand, the remaining 11.2 mn tons was
imported
In 2020, the demand which can not be met by Tüpra
ş
production will reach 17.4 mn tons
Turkey Fuel Products* Demand
Gap between the domestic refining capacity and demand is expected to grow in time
11 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Gasoline Diesel Jet Fuel Heating Oil Fuel Oil Auto LPG 21.0 mn ton 22.4 26.8 32.8
Market* Demand
Market is Expected to Grow @ a CAGR of 3.3% between 2009 - 2020
* Excludes Bulk LPG, Cylinder LPG, Lubricants, Asphalt, Naphta and Others Source: Petroleum Industry Association and Petrol Ofisi
In 2008, the overall market demand for fuel products that PO distributed* was 22.3 mn tons
This demand is expected to rise to 32.8 mn tons in 2020
The production capacity will stand around 20 mn tons unless new refining capacity is introduced
In 2020, 40% of the domestic demand will have to be met through imports
Rapid economic expansion, demographics and EU convergence are the main drivers of growth
Rapid economic expansion, demographics and EU convergence are the main drivers of growth
12 Diesel (mn ton) -7.40 -4.06 1.30 -5.36 -7.51 0.56 -6.95 0.51 -7.92 Ne t E x p o rts Im p o rts Ex p o rts 2006 2007 2008
Incompatible Supply and Demand Structures
The domestic refining output mix does not match the demand composition of Turkey
The country is short in diesel vs. long in gasoline and black products markets
In 2008 alone, Turkey* imported 7.9 mn tons of diesel
Gasoline (mn ton) 0.88 2.30 1.55 -0.67 1.48 2.05 -0.57 -0.33 2.63 Ne t E x p o rts Im p o rts E x por ts 2006 2007 2008
The country is short in diesel vs. long in gasoline and black product markets
The country is short in diesel vs. long in gasoline and black product markets
Source: EMRA
13 5.9 5.1 4.9 4.8 4.5 4.0 2.9 2.6 2.7 0.8 0.8 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 1Q08 1Q09 10.8 11.0 11.3 11.6 12.7 13.1 14.2 15.3 15.5 3.6 3.4 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 1Q08 1Q09
Market Dynamics
2008 and 2009 prove to be trend reversing years
2008 and 2009 prove to be trend reversing years
Diesel (mn m3)
Black Products (mn ton)
6.6 6.1 5.7 5.4 5.7 5.6 5.8 6.0 5.9 1.3 1.3 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 1Q08 1Q09 Gasoline + Auto LPG (mn m3) 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.7 2.0 2.3 2.3 2.6 2.7 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Aviation* (mn m3) CAGR: 5.1% CAGR: -11.0% CAGR: 7.2% CAGR: -1.4% 5.5% 0.5% 1.7%
Source: Petroleum Industry Association for Gasoline, Diesel, Black Products and LPG Association for Auto-LPG
* Company estimate between 2000-2008, starting from 2009, the Company can no longer provide market information with respect to jet fuel sales
14 18% 10% 10% 62% 10% 9% 17% 64%
Market Volume Composition
Economic slowdown took its toll on fuel consumption, whereby white volume (gasoline +
diesel) has shrunk by 4.9% in 1Q09
Economic slowdown took its toll on fuel consumption, whereby white volume (gasoline +
diesel) has shrunk by 4.9% in 1Q09
441 472 3,050 2,892 841 846 505 489
1Q09
1Q08
4.84 mn tons 4.70 mn tons 1% (5)% (3)% Black Products Diesel Auto LPG GasolineSource: Petroleum Industry Association for Gasoline, Diesel, Black Products and LPG Association for Auto-LPG
15
Petrol Ofisi Leading the Market
Black Products
Jet Fuel
*Diesel
Gasoline
Source: Petroleum Industry Association * Company estimate
Market shares are as of March 2009, except for jet fuel, which is as of December 2008
77.5% 22.5% 51.7% 48.3% 71.5% 28.5% 28.5% 71.5% Others Others Others Others
16
Table of Contents
Introduction
Turkish Energy Sector
Company Overview
Company Overview
Business Lines
Future Story
Sales Analysis
17
MCAP
Established in 1941 as a State Economic Enterprise
Company History
IsDogan, owner of 82% of PO shares, merged with PO in December 2002 Taken into Privatization Program in 1991
51% of PO shares acquired by IsDogan Petroleum Investments Inc. for US$ 1.26
billion in July 2000
6.7% of PO shares were sold to institutional investors in February 2005
Isbank’s PO shares (44.1%) were acquired by Dogan Holding in September 2005
A tender offer was carried out by Dogan Holding between October 14 – 31, 2005 6.25% of PO shares were sold to institutional investors in January 2006
Free float after the tender is %13.3
16.5% of total shares owned by PA were publicly offered and privatized as of
March 2002
In July 2002, the remaining 25.83% shares held by PA were sold to IsDoğan, which
already owned 51% of the Company
In November - December 2002, IsDogan increased its share to 96.3% through a
tender offer
In December 2002, 14% of the shares were transferred to Isbank and Dogan
Holding
As of 30 April 2009, Petrol Ofisi’s MCAP is US$1.8 billion 34% of shares were sold to OMV in March 2006
2009
1941
FOUNDATION PRIVATISATION SPO PRIVATISATION MERGER TENDER OFFER PRIVATE PLACEMENT SHAREHOLDER STRUCTURE TENDER OFFER TENDER OFFER PRIVATE PLACEMENT STRATEGIC PARTNERSHIP18
Shareholder Structure
LNG Transport Erk Petrol 99.96% 52.7% 13.3% 34.0%Free
Float
One of the top 3 conglomerates in Turkey and a leading
media group
Austria’s largest listed industrial company and
a leading oil and gas group in Central Europe
4 BoD members 4 BoD members
54.17% after support purchases 41.58% after support purchases Georgia Operations Refining PO Oil Financing 100.00% Kipet 52.00% PO Alternatif Yakıtlar 99.89% PO Gaz İletim 99.75% PO Georgia 100.00% PO Akdeniz Rafinerisi 99.99% Petro-finance 100.00% Financing Fuel Marketing LNG Marketing Fuel Marketing Financing E&P PO Arama Üretim 99.96%
19
CORE
BUSINESS LINES
DIFFERENTIATION
DIVERSIFICATION
EXPANSION
Transformation from a National Fuel Distributor to a Regional Energy Co.
Gasoline
Diesel Auto LPG Lubricants
RETAIL
Black Products LNG Lubricants
Diesel/Jet Fuel C&I SALES
Operational Excellence
R&D Performance/Quality Automation New Products DDS Control LabsPRODUCT DIFFERENTIATION SERVICE QUALITY
Site Operations Development Hardware & Software Improvement Projects
ALTERNATIVE DELIVERY CHANNELS
Vehicle Identification System Personal Payment System Loyalty Programs Automatic PositiveCard
Increasing Brand Value
Exploration & Production Refining
OIL
Distribution Storage
GAS
Vertical Integration / New Business Areas
RETAIL AVIATION MARINE LUBRICANTS
International Markets
CNG
Production (Lubricants), Supply & Logistics
20
Table of Contents
Introduction
Turkish Energy Sector
Company Overview
Business
Business
Lines
Lines
Future Story
Sales Analysis
21
Business Lines
Produ
ction
Supply
Local –TÜPRAŞ
Imports –Russia, Greece, Italy, Netherlands, Latvia, Malta and France
62% of diesel imported in 1Q09
DDS –Direct Delivery System
12 Terminals (10 fuel, 2 LPG) Largest Storage Capacity
989,996 m3
Retail
C&I
Others
#1in Aviation Marine Lubricants 3,193 stations 1,600 m3avg throughput Largest Network State Companies Private CompaniesProducts
G
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Je
t Fue
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B
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P
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Refinery PlansLogistics
E&P 26.75% share in the Black Sea Natural Gas Project22
Accounting for 24%* of Turkey’s Petroleum Storage Capacity
Large capacity gives the Company the flexibility to;
9 Distribute products more efficiently than competition 9 Access multiple sources of supply
9 Easily manage the national stock liability
9 Importhigher percentage of products than competition
Why import?
9 CIF vs. FOB differential freight advantage 9 Lower product premiums
9 More competitive payment terms 9 “Tax float” benefit
All terminal laboratories have received accreditation from Turkish Accreditation Agency as of July 2008
Currently 9 PO terminals are certified for running the mandatory EMRA Group II fuel tests, marking a first for a Turkish distribution company
In 2008, Supply Department successfully protected the stock value against the price volatility in global markets by optimizing potential market risks within VaR limits
Petrol Ofisi has the strongest logistics network in Turkey
12 terminals (including 2 LPG terminals) – 989,996 m
3DDS (Direct Delivery System) for Quality Assurance
Petrol Ofisi has launched DDS in 2002, to maximize product quality
DDS utilizes a dedicated fleet of 140
leased/subcontracted road tankers in the distribution of premium products (10 ppm diesel and 97 octane
unleaded gasoline)
In 1Q09, DDS deliveries reached 107k m3 along with
auto-LPG deliveries undertaken by PO to supply PO/gaz stations, amounting to 69k tons
* According to EMRA’s total storage capacity figure of 4,176,294 m3 for Turkey
* Batman terminal, having a storage capacity of 7,450 m3, was acquired in
September 2008 and started operations in February 2009
Haramidere Derince Kırıkkale Samsun Trabzon Aliağa (2) Antalya Mersin İskenderun Batman* Aksaray
23
Retail – Only Company with Nationwide Coverage
Network Rationalization
- Divesting stations with low throughput and efficiency and investing in new stations in Preferred Market Areaswith high throughput and high potential to;9 Generate higher throughput 9 Increase efficiency
9 Improve flexibility in adapting to changes in the market 9 Increase presence in 3 big cities
Average annual throughput has more than doubled since year-end 2000, reaching 1,600 m3
Turkey’s largest nationwide network
3,193 stations as of March 2009
Number of Stations*
March 20092,979
1,368
1,235
626
517
214
Others**
1,788
* EMRA for Opet, Shell-Turcas, BP, Total and for Others and PO for PO and Erk
** Others include Akpet, Lukoil, Moil, Alpet, Petline
24
Customer Value Proposition – Placing customer in the core of operations
High quality products and servicesAt well located and well designed convenient stations with appealing physical conditions With an optimum shop and clean restroom
Via well trained, friendly site staff that are committed to deliver all
To ensure that you and your vehicle can get back on the road rewarded for your loyalty to PO
How to differentiate?
Provide PO customers with high quality products
Æ Innovative Product Development
9Investing in technology
Provide PO customers with high quality service
Æ Reinforcing the sales force
Æ Implementing operational improvement projects
Æ Continuous training for dealers and station personnel
Æ Completing the automation of stations through the employment of state-of-the-art technology
Offer a loyalty program which is both very widespread and has a differentiating CVP
Æ Rewarding loyalty in line with customer segmentation
Æ Utilizing technology and creative power
Invest in Petrol Ofisi Brand
“All that PO invests in its customers be it through the utilization of technology, people or the Company’s innovative spirit will translate into more satisfied customers, higher volumes and higher
profitability.”
Operational Excellence in Retail – Customer Focused Approach
25
Retail Volume Enablers
Marketing Activities Fuel Differentation
V/Max Performance Series Launched in Sep 2007
Positive effect on pump sales by increasing high income / high mileage customers
Low Sulphur Diesel – 10ppm Mandatory starting from 01.04.09 PO was the 1stin the market to offer it
in Dec 2007 – 1st mover advantage
Positive Card
Launched in Jan 2008
Broadest customer commitment program in Turkey
Payment and loyalty card in 1 Convenience of paying for fuel without leaving
the vehicle
Over 1.5 million members!
NTI/NTPO Projects
Network growth by opening or transferring new stations Each year there are ≈200
greenfield investments and ≈200 station transfers in the market
CR Projects
Contract renewals
Each year contracts of ≈200 PO stations are up for renewal
The sales performance of the station, the location, the
relationship with the dealer are taken into consideration when allocating the CR budget
* In March 2009, the Competition Board decided to limit the duration of all usufruct contracts by 5 years. Contracts signed prior to 2005 will benefit from the exemption until 18.09.2010. Contracts signed after 18.09.2005 will benefit from the
exemption for the first five years.The new
decree will lead to significant revisions in investment plans of distribution companies and thereby the NTI/NTPO and CR statistics displayed above
Network Growth Operational Improvements Site improvement projects to capture the upside volume potential of the existing stations;
Hardware Improvements
Toilets, lighting, landscaping,
visuals, car-wash and air/water, lube changing units
Software Improvements
Improvements that don’t require additional CAPEX
Training of station personnel Localized campaigns/promotions Optimum utilization of the site
Site Operations Development Program
Territory Trainers are allocated to each site for a week to train station staff
26
Petrol Ofisi used to operate through 2 channels: Contracted and Petrogaz (PO Brand) stations
The national distribution license was granted in March 2007
After receiving the national distribution license, PO launched a new brand, “PO/gaz” and started converting all Contracted and Petrogaz stations to this brand
creating higher earnings on auto-LPG sales
As of March 2009, conversion of Petrogaz stations to PO/gaz has been completed, there are 1,210 PO/gaz and 347 contracted stations as of 1Q09
As of 1Q09, sales volume has reached 86k tons, 4.9% lower than 1Q08 due to logistics problems experienced during the conversion of a group of stations
Within the scope of the national distributor license requirements, Petrol Ofisi has 2 filling facilities; Aksaray and Aliağa
2 LPG terminals with a total capacity of 50,000 m3 will become operational in 2012, enabling LPG procurement through imports to achieve higher supply margins
LPG - Growing Business Line
Turkey’s largest Auto-LPG network
1,557 stations, 2008 sales of 446k tons, marking 9.2% Y-o-Y growth, 21.1%* market share
27
Commercial and Industrial (C&I) customers are defined under 3 separate categories
9 State-owned entities, military institutions and municipalities
9 Private companies in industry, agriculture, transport, logistics and
construction
9 Sub-distributors who supply commercial customers with an annual
consumption of less than 5,000 tons that distribution companies can’t supply by law
C&I sales are comprised mostly of black product, gasoil and jet fuel sales Total C&I sales volume has exceeded 5.0 mn m3 in 2008
In 1Q09, black product sales has reached 409 thousand tons while the market share stood at 48.3%
In recent years, success ratio in state tenders has improved in the face of increasing competition while enjoying improved profit margins
Turkey’s biggest single B2P, B2B and B2D fuel distributor
Nationwide presence, established infrastructure, logistics capability & long-term business relationships
28
PO Air is present at 35 airports
Customers include Turkish Airlines, all other domestic airlines as well as more than 60 international airline carriers: KLM, SAS, Lufthansa, Air France, Aeroflot ... PO Air is the only company that can supply Istanbul Airport through its pipelines, lowering transportation costs In 1Q09, jet fuel sales volume has contracted by 1.2% Y-o-Y and reached 356 thousand m3
“En route” to becoming an international player...
In 2006, PO air started supplying Turkish Airlines and other domestic carriers at international airports (22 airports as of 1Q09)
95% increase in international sales in 2008 over 2007
In 2007, PO Air started supplying Batumi Airport. Evaluating further opportunities in the region
Land, Air & Sea – No Boundaries for Petrol Ofisi
Market leaderwith 72%* market share
2008 sales of 1.9 mn m3, 249,000 aircraft refuelings per annum
Market leaderwith 41%* market share
2008 sales of 790,000 m3
PO Marine is the only Turkish supplier to
9 Own marine terminals in all seas 9 Offer all marine fuels and
lubricants
9 Provide transit bunker services in
Turkish Black Sea (Samsun and Trabzon) and İskenderun
In 2008, PO has started bunker fuel sales in Ceyhan as the first and only supplier in the region
Other than the 8 marine terminals along the coastlines, PO Marine operates the largest floating station network in Turkey In 1Q09 PO Marine has sold 128k tons of marine fuels in the domestic and transit markets
PO Marine supplies Turkish ship owners abroad and in 2008 has sold 28,000 m3 of marine fuels within this scope
PO Marine has reached 66%* market share in domestic and 40%* in transit marine sales as of YE08
Introduced in July 2005 and strong position as the second largest company in the market, 159 LNG tanks
installed, close to 35 LNG tankers
LNG is natural gas liquid form which is stored at approximately -162ºC
LNG is mainly used by commercial and industrial customers who do not have geological or economical access to natural gas pipelines
LNG is transported by specially designed cryogenic road tankers to customers’ premises and stored in specially designed cryogenic tanks
LNG was introduced to the Turkish market in 2003 and has been projected to reach a market size of 350k* tons as of YE08
PO started to market LNG in July 2005 and has reached 21%* market share as of YE08
As of 1Q09, PO LNG sales volume has reached 14k tons,
29
Leading Player in the Lubricants Market
19%* market share - 1 out of every 5 lubricants is sold by PO
2008 sales of 82,666 tons including exports of 12,925 tons to 22 countries
Petrol Ofisi is Turkey’s leading lubricant producer with a total annual capacity of 140,000 tons in its Derince plant
At the beginning of the year, Lubricants Group has been reorganized with the ultimate target of growth and the efforts have already paid off, PO lubricants gained market share in the first quarter of 2009
A strategic decision was taken to focus more on high technology product sales and less on process oil and monograde segments PO is continuously expanding its product portfolio in lubricants and total number of products has reached 382 as of 1Q09
In 1Q09, domestic sales volume reached 11k tons while the export volume was 3k tons (20 countries)
Lubricants market reacted more radically to the slowdown in economy as compared to fuel products whereby it contracted by 31%* in 2m09 Petrol Ofisi Technology Center (“POTEM”), accredited for 111
domestic and international tests and having the capacity to perform 166 different test methods, has been established in October 2007 in Derince on an area of 1,200 m2
Exporting lubricants to 3 continents
In 2008, PO exported lubricants to 22 countries totaling to 12.9k tons
In 2008, PO also continued production for Petrom and designated OMV markets
30
Table of Contents
Introduction
Turkish Energy Sector
Company Overview
Business Lines
Future Story
Future Story
Sales Analysis
31
a vertically
integrated
#1
All Fueled Up – Future
Backed by a
strong
partnership
market leader
&
WER
a regional
#1 in retail #1 in aviation #1 in marine #1 in lubricantsSupplying Turkish carriers at >100 international airports
Supplying international airports
Biggest marine refueler of the East Mediterranean Exporting lubricants to >30 countries
32
Going into Refining - A Step Towards Vertical Integration
July 12, 2006 – In line with its strategy of becoming a vertically integrated regional energy player,
Petrol Ofisi applied to EMRA to build a refinery in Ceyhan, the energy hub of the region
June 11, 2007 – EMRA stated that all paperwork regarding PO’s application was complete but
decided that it was not legally acceptable for a fuel distributor to hold a refining license
June 13, 2007 – A separate refining company was established and the license application was refiled
June 27, 2007 – EMRA approved PO’s application and decided to issue a provisional license on the
condition that the “Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA) Positive” certificate is submitted to EMRA
within 90 days
October 1, 2007 – “EIA Positive” certificate was issued by the Ministry of
Environment and Forestry and submitted to EMRA by PO
December 6, 2007
–EMRA Commission decided to get opinion of its legal
department regarding some other company’s application to EMRA for installing a
power plant on the parcels within PO’s nominated land
December 15, 2008
–EMRA published a communiqué regarding the criteria to
be employed in the evaluation of license applications submitted for the same
location and stated that electricity projects would be regarded as public utility
service and thus given priority over refinery license applications
33 26.75% 51.00% 12.25% 10.00% ENERGY CORPORATION
Project Details
Offshore E&P project, where natural gas is being produced through
three platforms, located in two licenses out of eight
1976 – First Well Drilled
2007 – First Gas Delivery
TPAO is the operator with 51% share, PO is the second largest shareholder
Phase I producing 340 tcm/day from 3 offshore platforms
Phase II will start production in 2010 and will constitute the majority of the total production
%26,75
Western Black Sea Project – A Huge First Step into Upstream
Petrol Ofisi purchased Toreador’s 26.75% share in the Western Black Sea Project
for USD55 mn in March 2009 - largest recorded E&P deal in Turkey - and became a
partner in Turkey’s largest natural gas production project
Why this project?
Cash generating proven and producing reserves
Reserve growth upside
New development areas and exploration potential in undrilled structures
Enabling to enter the upstream business with exploration and production assets
all within one deal
34
Introduction
Turkish Energy Sector
Company Overview
Business Lines
Future Story
Sales Analysis
Sales Analysis
Financial Overview
35 114 110 90 86 844 824 288 285 489 409 15 11 13 14
Gasoline Auto LPG Diesel Jet Fuel Black Products Lubricants LNG
Sales Volume Comparison
-4% 204 196 Gasoline + Auto LPG 1,337 1,305 White Products
1,855
1,
739
Total Sales ‘000 tons -4 % 1Q08 1Q09 -29% -5% -2% -1% -16% 11% -6.3% -2 %36 6.7% 7.6% 5.4% 5.1% 47.8% 48.3% 18.6% 18.2% 19.8% 19.0% 0.8% 1.0%0.9% 0.9%
Volume Composition
6.3%
6.1%
4.9%
4.9%
47.4%
45.5%
16.4%
15.5%
23.5%
26.4%
0.6%
0.8%
0.8%
0.7%
Volume
1Q08
1Q09
Jet Fuel Black Products Diesel Auto LPG Gasoline LNG Lubricants1.85
mn tons, 72.1% white, 26.4% black1.74
mn tons, 75.0% white, 23.5% black2
0
0
7
2
0
0
8
8.02 mn tons, 79.1% white, 19.0% black 8.30 mn tons, 78.4% white, 19.8% black37
Introduction
Turkish Energy Sector
Company Overview
Business Lines
Future Story
Sales Analysis
Financial
Financial
Overview
Overview
38
Performance Higlights
Y-o-Y sales revenue declined by 13.9% to TL2.92 bn due to lower crude prices witnessed in 1Q09 (ranging between USD 42-58) and contraction in volumes as compared to the same quarter of 2008
Despite the lower sales figure, 1Q09 gross profit climbed to TL266 mn, indicating a 25.6% growth over 1Q08 Another quarter of successful cost management led to OPEX remaining flat at TL96 mn
1Q09 EBIT at TL171mn was 48.1% higher than 1Q08 representing record margins with respect to operational profitability EBITDA reached TL204 mn, 41.1% higher than 1Q08 figure of TL145 mn
Gross, EBIT and EBITDA margins increased by 287bps, 245bps and 273bps to 9.12%, 5.84% and 6.99%, respectively Once again, the good performance displayed at the topline could not be translated to the bottomline due to FX losses booked on the back of the depreciation of TL in 1Q09
Cumulative F/X losses reached TL136 mn while the net financial expenses at TL21 mn were 28.6% higher than last year 1Q09 net loss was TL32 mn, compared to the TL41 mn of loss posted in 1Q08
Q-o-Q cash position continued to grow, this time by 28.3% to reach TL2.0 bn! (YE08 TL1.5bn) largely owing to the increase in USD time deposits
Q-o-Q financial debt increased by 15.4% from TL984 mn to TL1,135 mn largely due to the expansion in long term USD bank borrowings and short term portion of long term TL borrowings
Similar to the previous quarter, PO had a net cash position of TL835 mn, marking a 51.2% increase compared to YE08 Quarterly operating profits of the C&I segment rose from TL40 mn (1Q08) to TL67 mn (1Q09), causing the C&I operating margin to jump from 2.87% to 5.55% largely owing to increasing margins of the state contracts in a declining price environment
39
Strong Operating Performance
-68% 45% 53% 31% 28% U 08/07 2.3% 311 4.8% 644 3.9% 532 6.8% 923 13,480 2007 -3.9% -148 7.0% 266 6.2% 236 8.7% 331 3,806 4Q08 0.6% Net Income Margin %
-1.2% -1.1% 101 Net Income -22% -41 -32 5.4% EBITDA Margin % 4.3% 7.0% 935 EBITDA 41% 145 204 4.7% EBIT Margin % 3.4% 5.8% 814 EBIT 48% 115 171 7.0% Gross Margin % 6.3% 9.1% 1,206 Gross Profit 26% 212 266 17,196 Net Sales -14% 3,393 2,920 2008 TL mn U 09/08 1Q08 1Q09
40
-41.0
54.1
5.3
20.3
4.1
5.5
17.9
1.0
2.2
0.3
-32.2
Net Income 1Q08 Gross Profit Cash OPEX Depreciation FX Income-net Other Income-net Interest
Expense-net
Minority Interest Cash Tax Deferred Tax Net Income 1Q09
Positive effect Negative effect
TL mn
Record Margins were Once Again Overshadowed by the FX Losses
Mainly due to increase in unit
margins
Due to depreciation in TRY against USD
Due to increase in provision expenses Due to increasing TL borrowings Δ Δ Δ Δ Δ Δ Δ Δ Δ Successful cost management
41
Strong & Sustainable EBITDA Growth
45% 8% 53% U 08/07 644 112 532 2007 935 121 814 2008 266 31 236 4Q08 EBITDA 41% 145 204 Depreciation 14% 29 34 EBIT 48% 115 171 TL mn U 09/08 1Q08 1Q09
269
352
451
502
601
644
935
145
204
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 1Q08 1Q0923
% CAGR41
%42
Net Liability Position
214 139
-175 Change in Net Liabilities
875 731
592 Net Liabilities
* Excluding deferred tax liabilities and long term provisions but including short term provisions (tax liability)
260 253 98 Net Assets 1,135 984 690 Total Financial Debt
1.07 1.08 1.04 Assets/Liabilities 178 133 267 Other Payables* 359 342 264 Taxes Payable 3,040 2,661 1,853 Trade Payables 3,577 3,136 2,384 Liabilities 1,117 1,074 1,331 Trade Receivables & Other Current Assets
750 780 747 Inventories 1,970 1,536 405 Cash 3,837 3,389 2,482 Liquid Assets March 31, 2009 December 31, 2008 December 31, 2007 TL mn
43
July, 2004
B Stable
February, 2005
B Positive
April, 2005
B+ Stable
September, 2006 B+ watch neg
February, 2007
B+ Stable
Sovereign
BB- Stable
July, 2004
B+ Stable
June, 2005
B+ Positive
March, 2006 BB- Stable
National AA- (tur)
Sovereign
BB- Stable
AAA
AA+
AA
AA-A+
A
A-BBB+
BBB
BBB-BB+
BB
BB-B+
B
B-CCC+
CCC
CCC-CC
C
D
AAA
AA+
AA
AA-A+
A
A-BBB+
BBB
BBB-BB+
BB
BB-B+
B
B-CCC+
CCC
CCC-CC
C
DDD
Investment Grade
Investment Grade
Hi
gh Yield
Hi
gh Yield
Our Ratings