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(1)

22 april 2014, theater Zuidplein Rotterdam

prof. dr. Derk Loorbach

R. van Raak, M. Verhagen, M. Lodder G.J. Peek, M. Meijer

(2)

Who

DRIFT (Dutch Research Institute for Transitions)

• Research Institute Erasmus University

• Research and consultancy societal transitions

• Interdisciplinary and cross sectoral research, education and experimental governance

Hogeschool Rotterdam

• Lectoraat Gebiedsontwikkeling & Transitiemanagement

• Research and education new forms of area development

• Integral approach sectors, life-cycle fases, sustainability and economy

(3)

Core messages

We live in an era of change

– Socially, ecologically, economically and institutionally

The city is the testing ground for transitions

– Government and society reinvent themselves

‘Luchtsingel’ as urban transition lab

– For new type of area development and participation

‘Burgerkracht’ requires organizational power

– Bottom-up and top-down need each other

(4)
(5)
(6)
(7)
(8)

Transition = regime change

Long-term (one or two generations) fundamental change of structure, culture and practices in a societal (sub)system

– culture: collective set of values, norms, perspectives (shared orientation), paradigms

– structure: physical infrastructure, economic infrastructure, institutions, rules, regulations, collective routines

– practices: behavior, operation, implementation

Periodic, non-linear systemic shift common in ecological and socio-economic systems

(9)

Transition levels

Macro-level: landscape

Sustainability, ICT, ageing population, economic crisis

Meso-level: regime Growth orientation,

planning, specilisation, top-down

Micro-level: niches innovative ideas, projects, technologies, niche actors

(10)

Transition phases

predevelopment tipping phase reconfiguration stabilisation Sustainable Society? enhanced lock-in decline

(11)

Transitions in (Urban) Area Development

1950-1990 Government driven focused on

building production

1990-2010 Governance driven focused on

development profits

2010- Participation driven focussed on

dealing with temporality

(12)

Transitions in governance

1950-1980 Government creates society

top-down

1980-2000 Governments facilitates

markets and formal participation

2000-

Governance with increased civil

(13)

Rotterdam’s current regime

Fossile, stoney and large scale

– Little diversity, green and small scale

Blueprints, plans and project development

– Planned city made by professionals

Always changing, rebuilding, destroying and

doing

– Little vision, reflection, learning and balance

(14)
(15)
(16)
(17)
(18)

Elements

Pedestrian bridge

Dakakker

Parkpompenburg

• Boxingschool

Hofbogendak

‘Accelerating’

developments

(‘aanzwengelen’)

(19)

‘Communication-Luchtsingel was elected by cross-section

of the citizens

30-4-2014

New ‘burgerpanel’

survey indicates support from citizens of all

age groups,

educational levels and etnicities

Source: uitslag verkiezingen Stadsinitiatief / analyse COS

(20)

Why this research

Research into impact of all city initiatives

Learning for policy innovation, area

development and next phase Luchtsingel

Reorienting complex spatial development

Central District

(21)

How: methods

Combination of methods

(triangulation):

Previous studies/date

Interviews

Questionnaires (firms in the area, citizens)

Documentanalysis

– Plans, policy documents

– Media analysis, online blogs and debates

(22)

4 stories + 2 reflections

Story of gradual area transformation

Story of city branding and image

Reflection from the perspective of area development

Story of civil society initiative on major scale

Story of doubt and criticism

(23)

PERSPECTIVE AREA DEVELOPMENT

(24)

Gradual area transformation

Strong bottom-up development in the area, driven by

a vision on long-term value development

Luchtsingel builds upon, connects and accelerates

these developments

Crucial question whether Luchtsingel sustains and

strengthens local scale bottom-up initiative or creates

springboard for next phase of a new type of area

development

ARE

A DEVEL

OPMEN

(25)

30-4-2014

(26)

Question to firms in

the area

:

How big do you

estimate the impacts

of the Luchtsingel are

on the local economy

and real estate prices

now and in the coming

years?

ARE

A DEVEL

OPMEN

T

Majority of local firms observes and

expects impact….

(27)

Luchtsingel, March 7 2014.

…in different ways

ARE

A DEVEL

OPMEN

(28)

Tangible indicators for economic impact and

future development:

Co-investment

– Lower than originally proposed

Spin-offs

– Already visible on modest scale

Expectations turn-over growth local firms

– Over 80% expects positive impact on business in area, 40% on own firm.

Indicators for impact LS

ARE

A DEVEL

OPMEN

(29)

Luchtsingel, March 7 2014.

expected effect on own firm’s turn-over and/or value

Indicators for impact LS

ARE

A DEVEL

OPMEN

T

(30)

Iconic function?

Broad impact across various media

– Traditional and new professional media

– General media (paper, TV, internet)

Various target groups

– Urban planning and project development (office space location)

– Tourism

– Creative industry

Talk of the town

Luchtsingel, March 7 2014.

ARE

A DEVEL

OPMEN

(31)

Awareness in city

30-4-2014

IMP

A

C

T

Citizen panel: do you know the city initiative of the Luchtsingel?

(32)

CITIZEN PARTICIPATION

PERSPECTIVE

(33)

Stadsinitiatief: citizen participation

on enormous scale

Adaptive Luchtsingel versus ‘one-shot’

Stadsinitiatief

Larger scale means more impact?

Emphasis on elections

Initiative in the public space

Different phases and scales of participation

• Before and after elections

• City and direct area

CI

TIZEN

P

AR

TICI

PA

TION

Luchtsingel, March 7 2014.

(34)

Citizen’s satisfaction with LS

CI

TIZEN

P

AR

TICI

PA

TION

(35)

Local firms see unique opportunities

Local firms on Stadsinitiatief:

30-4-2014

CI

TIZEN

P

AR

TICI

PA

TION

The approach has resulted in a

positive change, which conventional parties could not have realised

The approach is a good way to

develop from citizen’s initiatives

(36)

Doubts and criticism

• Very diverse criticisms, both on Stadsinitiatief and Luchtsingel

• Broader debates can be considered form of impact

– Well-founded debates and criticisms related to governance and area development, spending public money

• Extreme expectations and ambitious-realistic plan

– Polarising all-or-nothing debate

– Enormuous ‘public participation’ budget, but quite modest ‘public-space’ budget, no iconic budget

• Seemingly toned-down plan because of budget control

• Perception of only ‘elite’ support, at least not true for voters

DOUB

TS

AND CRITIC

IS

M

Luchtsingel, March 7 2014.

(37)

Dissatisfied Rotterdammers voted

differently or not…

30-4-2014

DOUB

TS

AND

CRI

TICI

SM

AGREE DISAGREE

“LS has no added value for the city”

Those who voted for LS

Those who did not vote

Those who voted different

(38)
(39)

Transition in Urban Area Development

• Move away from a process of city-making to city-being

• Although cities will keep growing in numbers of

inhabitants, workers and visitors, most of the real estate is already built

• Development turns into redevelopment as (vacant)

supply, such as office-buildings, does not match demand

• Temporary use is key in the redevelopment process of a city district; keeping it alive and altering it’s image

• Temporary use allows start-ups and creative class to A-locations they otherwise could not afford and, as such, supporting their growth

ARE

A DEVEL

OP

(40)

Lessons from the Luchtsingel

• Investment in urban infrastructure might lead to a dispersal of scarce property development potential, yet it stimulates bottom-up urban development

• Involvement of professional civil-servants is essential for success

• Investments in city-making upfront prevent districts from ‘dying’ during a lengthy redevelopment process

• Investments in public space can be kick-starter of a bottom-up regeneration process, rather than as finally spending some of the development’s profit

A DEVEL

OP

(41)

Participatory governance?

• Unorthodox approach created breakthrough

– Working SMART and based on consensus could not have

• Local government internally divided and confused

– Participating, ´gedogen´, facilitating, directing, legitimizing, blocking, …?

• Underestimated potential for learning and experimenting

– More a continuous struggle

• Area developing coalition sub-optimal

– Low-levels of participation and transparency in the process

• Luchtsingel as experiment demonstrates potential

– But also the need for synergetic top-down and bottom-up forces

Luchtsingel, March 7 2014.

NE

W

GO

VERNAN

CE

(42)

Conclusions

Luchtsingel exemplifies the dilemmas and

possibilities of a new style urban area development

Luchtsingel connects, strengthens, opens up

Impact already noticeable, expectations for the

future high and ambiguous

New phase requires broader vision and new style of

(43)

Conclusions

Government struggles with participation if not

supporting policy

Participatory governance requires redefining every

role as well as playing multiple roles

Stadsinitiatief should be complemented by other

(smaller scale) innovative instruments

Rotterdam should more consciously organize and

experiment with such spaces as urban transition labs

(44)

Thank you for your attention

Voor meer informatie en publicaties:

[email protected] www.drift.eur.nl

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