IPOs, Venture Capital and
High-Growth Start-ups
IPOs exits on high-growth stock markets in the EU – Improving opportunities for IPOs
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The Rationale: IPOs crucial for VC markets2
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The Markets: fragmentation and buy-out boom3
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The Rationale: IPOs crucial for VC markets2
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The Markets: fragmentation and buy-out boom3
Innovative start-ups drive structural change and growth
Technology-oriented start-ups …
… make a significant contribution to
economic growth (in addition to
many other factors).
… are instrumental in creating new
jobs.
High-tech start-ups need venture capital and advice
Company founders – as innovators – require capital. They depend largely on outside funding since they normally have little money of their own when starting out.
Owing to a lack of collateral, high probability of default and pronounced information asymmetries, they are often unable to secure sufficient funds in the form of bank loans.
The issuance of shares or debt securities does not emerge as an option until very much later.
Inventors often excel in their subjects but lack business and market knowledge.
Exit option crucial to VCs
Phases of VC finance are inextricably linked VC company EUR 1 m Investor 1 EUR 33 m EUR 100 m venture capital Stake in Company A Stake in Company B Stake in Company C etc.Trade sale IPO Buyback Failure
I n v e s t m e n t E x i t Investor 3 EUR 32 m Investor 2 EUR 34 m F u n d r a i s i n g
IPOs: Silver bullet for VC financed start-ups
Special quality of the IPO as exit
Successful IPOs compensate for the high failure rates of VC portfolios.
VC companies build up reputation by repeatedly executing successful IPOs.
The cost of capital for acquisitions falls when the companies are listed.
Owners and founders remain at the wheel.
The bookbuilding procedure and the market price of listed companies may function as benchmark for a company’s valuation.
Stock options can only be exercised if companies are listed on the market.
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The Rationale: IPOs crucial for VC markets2
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The Markets: fragmentation and buy-out boom3
PE in Europe:
Buy-outs driving growth; start-up financing drying up
13.3 10.9 16.9 18.4 20.9 14.4 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 Buy-outs dominate PE investment in Europe Buy-outs Replacement Capital Expansion Start-up Seed EUR bn
Boom in buy-out markets … … leads to stable growth in
overall European PE markets…
… hides the weakness of early stage financing …
… and diverts attention from structural problems of
financing high-growth start-ups.
European IPO markets vary from country to country
IPOs on Europe's fragmented stock markets: LSE is the runaway leader16 113 8 15 2 2 4 4 3 9 6 5 8 8 3 3 10 13 10 10 12 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 London Stock Exchange
Euronext
Deutsche Börse Stockholm
2 0 0 3 2 0 0 4
Success story - AIM
121 252 308 321 347 524 629 704 754 1,021 1,127 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05*Num ber of listed com panies
*March
Main differences to main market
No minimum shares to be in
public hands (vs. minimum 25%) No trading record requirement
(vs. 3 year trading)
No prior shareholder approval for transactions
No minimum market capitalisation
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The Rationale: IPOs crucial for VC markets2
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The Markets: fragmentation and buy-out boom3
Regaining private investors‘ trust
0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 9,000 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 Nem ax Nouveau MarcheDot-com crash caused … … wealth destruction. … mistrust of high-growth stocks.
Time for a new start
To-dos:
Sufficient liquidity
Provision of research
Harmonisation of rules
Local knowledge
necessary
Commitment of
institutional investors
No-goes:
Simple relaunch of closed high
growth exchanges
Too strict investor protection
One solution for all countries
Exclusion of traditional sectors
High market capitalisation barriers
Establishment of low-regulation stock exchanges attractive to high-growth firms
CONTACT
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Private equity in Europe:
buy-outs driving growth; start-up financing drying up
Dr. Jürgen Schaaf DB Research +49 69 910 46830