Risk Factors Data Sources Summary of Findings Emerging trends Availability of Drugs
Indicators:
• Alcohol and tobacco sales outlets
State of Ohio Division of Liquor Control – Active Permits (09/19/09)
Ohio Investigative Unit (01/01/08 – 12/31/08)
Monitoring the Future 2008, Trends in Availability of Drugs as Perceived by 8th, 10th, 12th graders
Lorain County Common Pleas Court Data/Domestic Relations and Juvenile Branch (2008 Annual Report)
593 Active Liquor Permits in Lorain County (27% in Lorain, 23% in Elyria, 8% in Avon)
13 offenses in Lorain County for selling or furnishing alcohol to persons under 21. (4 in Elyria, 3 in Lorain)
8 licensed premises cited for selling alcohol to minors (4 violations in Lorain).
20 offenses in Lorain County for selling or distributing tobacco and or products to minors (8 violations in Elyria)
38 minors arrested for alcohol violations (12 in Oberlin)
3 minors arrested for tobacco violations (3 in Elyria)
National Data: Percentages of students saying “fairly easy” or very easy” to get drugs has been declining among 8th graders (change from 2007-2008 -0.2%), and has declined a bit among 10th graders (change from 2007- 2008 -3.2%) and has declined among 12th graders (change from 2007-2008 -4.9%), In 2008, 92.2% (same as in 2007) of 12th graders. 76.5% (reduced from 78.2% in 2007) of 10th graders and 64.1% (increase from 55.6% in 2007) of 8th graders report that alcohol is readily available. 136 cases of underage alcohol consumption; (down from 195 cases in 2004)
168 cases of drug offenses (down from 166 cased in 2004)
New data
Prior data 4 yrs, 2008 one-year only; overall no change
Trend among 8th graders continues to decline (small decline) –Why?
Indicators:
• Net Migration Rate
• New Home Construction
• Rental Residential Properties
• Transit Issues
U.S. Bureau of Census, Population Division
Ohio Department of Development; Office of Policy, Research and Strategic
Planning
Lorain County Auditor’s Office
Ohio Department of Development; Office of Policy, Research and Strategic
Planning
Lorain County Transit
From 2000-2007, Lorain County saw a net change of 5,844 residents; (calculated by subtracting outmigrants from in-migrants – migration occurs when there is a change of usual residence between clearly defined geographical units, which is the state and 88 counties, the net internal and international migration figures are combined into net summary figures.
Construction of single and multi-building
residential units decreased in Lorain County from a total of 2,262 units in 2003 to 1,076 units in 2006
New homes 100% complete registered at the beginning of each calendar year:
2006: 1,854 2007: 1,681 2008: 1,016 2009: 669
Total Housing Units: 111,368 Occupied Housing Units: 105,836 Vacant Housing Units: 5,532 Owner Occupied: 78,472 Renter Occupied: 27,364
Effective July 26, 2008, LCT discontinued 2 of 14 routes and reduced the times of the remaining routes; after July 27, 2009 LCT stays within the authorized corridors with the exception of a few customers that have life-threatening situations (such as dialysis treatment):
Risk Factors Data Sources Summary of Findings Emerging trends
• # School buildings in each district
wkyc.com; December 4, 2009
Districts/School Board Offices/Buildings
Ridership: 2008: 701,066
As of Sept. 30, 2008: 532,826 As of Sept. 30, 2009: 426,432
LCT announced Dec. 3, 2008 they were going to discontinue all 14 public routes in January 2010 because of lack of county funds (this follows defeat of .5 % sales tax increase to generate additional county funds). County says it can no longer afford to run bus service; estimates of 350 to lose jobs, including 50 transit workers. Amherst Exempted Village Schools: Elementary: (Shupe: prek, k-1): 9-3:30 p.m. (Powers: 2nd, 3rd): 9-3:30 p.m. (Harris: 4th): 8 a.m. – 3 p.m. Nord Middle (5th-6th): 8 a.m. – 3 p.m.
Amherst Junior High (7th-8th): 7:30 – 2:30 p.m. High School (Marion L. Steele): 7:30 – 2:30 p.m. Avon Local Schools:
Elementary (Kindgerarten Village): half day and all day; 8:45 a.m. 11:40 a.m.; 12:40 - 3:35 p.m.; all day: 8:45 a.m. -3:35 p.m.)
(East, 1st & 2nd grades): 8:45 a.m. – 3:35 p.m.
(Heritage South, 3rd & 4th grades): 7:38 a.m. – 2:11 p.m.
(Heritage North, 5th & 6th grades): 7:30 a.m. – 2:15 p.m.
Middle (7th & 8th grades): 8 a.m. – 2:57 p.m.
High School: 8:08 a.m. – 3:05 p.m. Avon Lake City Schools:
Elementary: (four schools with k-4): 8:15 a.m. – 3:15 p.m.
Learwood Middle (7th-8th): 7:45 a.m. – 2:45 p.m. High School: 7:45 a.m. – 2:53 p.m.
Clearview Local Schools:
Elementary (Vincent): 8:55 a.m. – 3:15 p.m. Middle (Durling): 8:10 a.m. – 2:50 p.m. High School: 7:30 a.m. – 2:30 p.m. Columbia Local Schools:
Elementary (Copopa): 8:30 a.m. – 3 p.m. Middle: 7:30 a.m. – 2:20 p.m.
High School: 7:25 a.m. – 2:20 p.m. Elyria City Schools:
Elementary: Kindergarten Village: 9:30 a.m. – 3:15
9:10 a.m. – 3:10 p.m. 9:00 a.m. – 3:15 p.m.
Middle Schools: 7:30 a.m. – 2:15 p.m. High School: 7:55 a.m. – 2:36 p.m. Firelands Local Schools: Elementary: 8:28 a.m. – 3:25 p.m. Middle: 7:30 a.m. – 2:39 p.m. High School: 7:30 a.m. – 2:30 p.m. Keystone Local Schools:
Elementary: 9:00 a.m. – 3:20 p.m. Middle School: 7:55 a.m. – 2:40 p. m. High School: 7:28 a.m. – 2:10 p.m. Lorain City Schools:
Elementary: 8:00 a.m. -2:15 p.m. 9:00 a.m. – 3:15 p.m. Middle Schools: 8:50 a.m. – 3:30 p.m.
High Schools (Southview, AK): 7:35 – 2:10 p.m. Midview Local Schools:
Elementary: (West/North; grades k-4): 8:40 a.m. – 3:10 p.m.
Risk Factors Data Sources Summary of Findings Emerging trends (East: 5th & 6th grades ): 7:40 a.m –
2:15 p.m.
Middle (7th & 8th): 7:30 a.m. – 2:30 p.m. High School: 7:15 a.m. – 2:15 p.m. North Ridgeville City Schools:
Elementary: Kind. Village: 9:10-11:55 a.m. shift 1-3:45 p.m. (aft.shift) Lear North (1st grade):8:50-3:20 Wilcox: (2nd – 5th grades) 8:50 a.m. – 3:20 p.m.
Liberty (2nd-5th grades): 8:30-3:05 Middle School (6th-8th grades): 7:35 a.m. – 2:20 p.m.
High School: 7:40 a.m. – 2:30 p.m. Oberlin City Schools:
Elementary: Eastwood (k-2nd): 8:50 – 3:50 Prospect (3rd-5th): 8:55 – 3:55 Middle (Langston: 6th-8th grades): 7:50 a.m. – 3:05 p.m.
High School: 7:45 a.m. – 3:00 p.m. Wellington Exempted Village Schools: Elementary: 9 a.m. – 3:15 p.m.
Middle: 7:30 a.m. – 2:27 p.m. High School: 7:30 a.m. – 2:27 p.m. Low Neighborhood
Attachment and Community Disorganization.
Indicators:
• Prisoners in state and federal correctional facilities
Lorain County Jail Census Stats; The average daily population for the Lorain County Jail (census count) was as follows: 2008 Average Daily population: 445 2007 Average Daily population: 454.4 2006 Average Daily population: 485.1 2005 Average Daily population: 448.7 2004 Average Daily population: 403.6
New information in 2008 for city jail and juvenile facilities, county jail continues to be over capacity.
Elyria City Jail, Administration
Lorain City Jail, Administration
Lorain County Court of Common Pleas; Domestic Relations Division Juvenile Branch (2008 Annual Report)
2003 Average Daily population: 394 2002 Average Daily population: 392
(source, Lorain County Jail Census Stats 2002-2008)
Elyria City Jail stats:
2008 Average Daily population, 43
2007 Average Daily population mid to upper 40s
(Source: Elyria City Jail Administration)
Lorain City Jail stats
2008 Average Daily population: 10 during weekdays; 20-30 weekends
(Source: Lorain City Jail)
During 2008, there were 1178 juvenile admissions to the Lorain County Juvenile Detention Home – 865 of them were males, 322 were females. The average length of stay was 21 days; the average daily male population was 52; the average female daily population was 16; the average total daily population was 68.
In 2008, Pathways Group Home (non-secure court operated program for female offenders ages 13-17) had 38 participants, 20 new admissions; 9 who successfully completed the programs, 8 committed to Ohio Department of Youth Services, 5 sentenced to the Detention Home, 1 to the Lorain County Jail and 1 was transferred to CIP.
In 2008, Steppingstone (non-secure court operated program for male offenders ages 13-17) had 58 participants, with 31 new admissions; 8 successfully completed the program, 12 were committed to the Ohio Department of Youth Services, 6 were sentenced to the Detention Home, 4 were sent to the Lorain County Jail, 1 was transferred to CIP, 1 was sent to specialized services, 1 was transferred to prison out of state.
Risk Factors Data Sources Summary of Findings Emerging trends • Supervision following incarceration • Population voting in congressional and presidential elections.
Ohio Department of Corrections
Lorain County Board of Elections (website data for election results).
In 2008, Turning Point (a non-secure residential facility providing short-term – no more than 14 days – stay for juveniles ages 12-17; during the year Turning Point served 247 youths – 120 males and 127 females.
During 2008; 1,448 Lorain residents were supervised by the Ohio Department of Corrections for probation, parole, community control of post-release control.
2008 General Election (Presidential Election); countywide voter turnout was 72.51%; the highest voter turnout was in Amherst with 80.55% where 7,274 registered voters voted to a low of 61.97% in Oberlin where 5,323 registered voters voted.
In the 2007 General Election, countywide voter turnout was 33.42% with a high of 43.13% in North Ridgeville with 7,420 of the registered voters voting to a low of 26.68% in Lorain, where 10,174 of the registered voters voted.
Higher overall voter turnout in 2008; may use local voter data in each community; possibly connect y/s data. Extreme Economic Deprivation Indicators: • Temporary Assistance to Needy Families • Unemployment
Lorain County Department of Job & Family Services FE/SS annual report
Civilian Labor Force Estimates, August, 2009 (ODJFS); U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (09/04/09)
Ohio Works First (OWF) (cash assistance) rolls increase by 12% in 2008 in Lorain County. 4,826 individuals in Lorain County were receiving OWF in December, 2008.
Unemployment rates (August, 2009):
Lorain County (9.7%), Elyria (10.2%), Lorain City (11.8%); State of Ohio (10.5%), United States (9.7%). Of the 158,100 in the Lorain County labor force, 15,400 were unemployed.
Cash assistance is new data for 2008; unemployment rate has gone up;food stamp data is newly collected data in2008; free lunch data utility has increased; # of adults without h/s diplomas have reduced; foreclosure data is new data
• Free & Reduced Lunch Programs
• Food Stamp Recipients
• Poverty
Children’s Hunger Alliance Lorain County
Lorain County Department of Job & Family Services FE/SS annual report, Food and Research Action Center
“Our People, Education, and Economy: Changing Nature of Lorain County” (updated w/ 2007 American Community Survey), LCCC, Joint Center for Policy Research, October, 2008
In 2007-2008, 9,569 of Lorain County students participated in the School Breakfast Program (a 22% increase from 2003-2004). In 2007-2008 24,373 Lorain County students participated in the National School Lunch Program (51% of the students), this is an increase in 8% from 2003-2004. In 2007-2008 903 Lorain County students participated in the Summer Meals program (an increase of 1498% from 2003-2004). “If as many of Lorain County’s school children received School Breakfast and Summer Meals as they do National School Lunch, Lorain County would realize at least $2,519,112.” (CHA report) There was a 6.5% increase in the number of individuals receiving Food Assistance (formerly known as Food Stamps) in 2008. As of
December, 2008, there were 30,030 individuals in Lorain County receiving Food Assistance, compared with 28,208 people in December, 2007. By April, 2009, that number had already increased to 33,110.
In February, 2009, 32,554,795 individuals in the United States were receiving Food Stamps, the highest participation level on record, and an increase of nearly 350,000 individuals from January, 2009, the prior record level. Poverty Rates up over the past 7 years: Percentage of Lorain County families living in poverty declined from 9.1% in 1990 to 6.7% in 2000, however the rate has climbed back up to 9.2% in 2007. During the same period, a similar pattern of change is observed at all other larger geographic levels. Both in 1990 and 2000, Lorain County was ranked 5th in family poverty among eight Northeastern Ohio counties. Similar to the state, proportion of Lorain County children under age 18 living in poverty declined
Risk Factors Data Sources Summary of Findings Emerging trends
• Single-parent Family
Households “Our People, Education, and Economy: Changing Nature of Lorain County” (updated w/ 2007 American Community Survey), LCCC, Joint Center for Policy Research, October, 2008; “Quick Facts About America’s Youth, 03/31/2009”
from 17.1% n 1990 to 12.9% in 2000, but it went up again to 17.4% in 2007. As a
percentage of total population under 18, Lorain County ranked 5th in child poverty among the Northeastern counties in 1990 and 2000. Twenty-five percent of all African American Families in Lorain County live in poverty, compared with 19% of Hispanic families and 4.5%of White families (2000). The city of Lorain has the highest percentage of persons living in poverty and extreme poverty. Seventeen percent of the city of Lorain residents (11,582 individuals) live in poverty and 8% (5,334) in extreme poverty (less than 50% of poverty line). These figures are almost twice as high as the Lorain County average (9% and 4%
respectively). In addition, 16.1% of all households in the city of Lorain (4,245 households) live in poverty, which is also
considerably above the county average of 8.8%. While not the highest in actual numbers,
proportionately, the city of Oberlin has the highest percentage of persons living in poverty and extreme poverty among all minor civil divisions of Lorain County. Nineteen percent or 1,206 of all residents in the city of Oberlin live in poverty and 13% or 813 residents in extreme poverty. These figures are more than twice as high as those of Lorain County as a whole. Additionally, 17% or 458 of households in the city of Oberlin live in poverty, which also also more than twice higher than the county average. In 2000, 47% of all African American families were female-headed households with no
husband present (compared to 43% in 1990). In fact, 88% of all African American births in Lorain County were to single mothers in the mid 1990s. Another 9% of all African American families were
• Adults without High School Diplomas
• Foreclosures
“Our People, Education, and Economy: Changing Nature of Lorain County” (updated w/ 2007 American Community Survey), LCCC, Joint Center for Policy Research, October, 2008; “Quick Facts About America’s Youth, 03/31/2009” 1990 and 2000 U.S. Bureau of Census, 2005 American Community Survey, Sheriff Sales, reports from 2008, 2007, 2006, 2005
male-headed households with no wife present (compared to 6% in 1990). The percentage of single headed households has also increased within the Latino population as 30% of all families were female headed and 7% were male-headed (compared with 22% and 7% in 1990 respectively). {13.5% of white families were female headed and 5.4% of white families were male-headed in 2000.}
“Children who grow up in households with their married mother and father do better on a wide range of economic, social, education and emotional measures than do children in other kinds of family arrangements.” “Children raised in married-parent homes are less likely to experience mental health, behavioral or health problem, achieve higher levels of education, are less likely to become teen parents.” “Children living in households headed by unmarried women in 2004 were more likely to be poor (42%) compared with 9% of children living with two parents.”
Percentage of Lorain County adults with no high school diploma has been decreasing over the years. In 1990 it was 25%, and in 2000 it was 17%; in 2005 it was 13%
2005 countywide foreclosures totaled 1,474; with a high of 564 in the city of Lorain (Elyria had 316) and a low of 1 each in Grafton Township, Litchfield and New Russia Township. 2006 countywide foreclosures totaled 1,647; with a high of 596 in the city of Lorain (Elyria had 410) and a low of 1 each in Kipton, Medina, New Russia Township, Pittsfield Township,
Risk Factors Data Sources Summary of Findings Emerging trends Russia Township, Sheffield and Valley City.
2007 countywide foreclosures totaled 1,992; with a high of 762 in the city of Lorain (Elyria had 469); and one each in Carlisle Township, Eaton Township, Grafton Township, Kipton, Nova, Sheffield, Spencer and Wellington.
2008 countywide foreclosures totaled 2158; with a high of 761 in the city of Lorain (Elyria had 542); and 1 each in Kipton, LaGrange Township, Litchfield, New London, Penfield Township, Pittsfield Township, Sheffield Township and Wakeman.
Foreclosures in 2009 through Oct. 7 are 1,872 to date; with a high of 623 in the city of Lorain (Elyria had 467); and 1 each in
Brownhelm Township, LaGrange Township, Rochester, Rochester Township and Spencer. (represents approximately 9 months of data) Family History of the
Problem Behavior
Indicators:
• Adults in Alcohol or other
Treatment Programs NIDA InfoFacts SAMHSA-TEDS
N-SSATS, National Survey of Substance Abuse Treatment Services. This is a one day survey of all tx agencies. 2006 MACSIS data, publicly funded. DataMart ,extracted July 4, 2009.
National:
∗ 2007 23.6 million needed tx, only 9.6% received tx(2.5 million)
∗ 2008 23.1 million (9.2% of the population) needed tx,
∗ 2008 .9% of the population received tx (9.9% of those who needed it) 1.6 million received tx of the 17.4 million who reported needing tx. (different from the number reported in the SAMHSA-TEDS)
∗ 2008 of those surveyed 4.8% self reported needing tx and only 23% of these individuals sought tx in the past year.
∗ 2008 Rate of Dependence and Abuse
New local, state and national substance abuse data; (approximately 90% of those assessed progress into treatment – education, outpatient,
residential etc. );local substance abuse and mental health data for publicly funded treatment only; rates of dependence and abuse highest among 18-25 year olds (20.8%)
The numbers of adults with severe mental disability and the number of youth with severe
• Adults and Youth receiving treatment for Mental Health disorders.
Data provided by theLorain County Board of Mental Health;
o 12-17 yr olds is 7.6% (60.6% of
these are to drugs)
o 18-25 yr olds is 20.8% (37.4%
of these are to drugs)
o 26 and older is 7.0% (24.3% of
these are to drugs)
∗ Of those receiving tx 40% were for alcohol, 18% were for heroin and other opiates, 16% were for marijuana, and 13.9% were for cocaine.
∗ 2008 12-17 year olds: 1.9 million needed tx, only 143,000 received it (7.8%) 1.8 million who needed it did not receive it. Ohio:
∗ 2008 75,117 (12 and over) received tx.
∗ 2006 34,988 individuals were in tx. 32,001 were in Outpatient tx, 4,551 were under the age of 18.
Lorain County:
• 2008: 1668 persons were assessed, 209 were under the age of 17.
2006: 1369 persons were assessed, 200 were under the age of 17.
In FY 08, there were 9,493 adults and children using mental health services within the network of partners affiliated with the Lorain County Board of Mental Health; this included 2,994 adults with severe mental disability and 1,715 children with severe emotional disturbance. In FY 09, there were 9,859 adults and children using mental health services within the network of partners affiliated with the Lorain County Board of Mental Health.
.
emotional disability have continually increased since FY 1997 when 1,269 adults with Severe Mental Disability and 488 youth with Severe Emotional Disability were seen to FY 2008 when the numbers were 2,994 and 1,715, respectively
Family Management Problems
Risk Factors Data Sources Summary of Findings Emerging trends
Indicators:
• Children Living Outside the Family
• Children living in Foster care
Lorain County Children
Services records/annual reports; Ohio Kids Count 2007.
Lorain County Children
Services records/annual reports; Ohio Kids Count 2007.
In 2008, 322 cases required long-term services (protective services); 107 children were in placement; during 2008, 77 children entered placement and 91 exited placement. There were 93 children in placement on Dec. 31, 2008. Of the total (2,076 cases screened); 46.44% (964) were for neglect; 32.56% (676) were for physical abuse; 14.16% (294) were for sexual abuse; 8.53% (177) were for emotional abuse; and 2.50% (52) were for medical neglect. In 2007, Lorain County Children Services received 3,432 reports regarding concerns for a child; 918 were for neglect, 622 for abuse, 307 were for sexual abuse, 68 family in need of service; 34 dependency and 145 for Information and Referral. On January 1, 2007, LCS had 139 children in custody (living with relatives, foster families or another interested and approved adult – i.e. friend of the family). During 2007, 68 entered custody and 101 left the agency’s custody. On Dec. 31, 2007, 106 children were in the agency’s custody.
In 2001 496 Lorain County children were placed in foster care, in 2005 262 Lorain County children were placed in foster care.
Data for 2008 is more targeted
Family Conflict
Indicators:
• Divorce
• Domestic Violence
Lorain County Court of Common Pleas; Domestic Relations Division Juvenile Branch (2008 Annual Report)
In 2008, there were 377 new court filings for couples with children divorcing; and 391 terminations of cases for couples with children divorcing;
In 2008, there were 184 cases of dissolution filed for couples with children and 181 cases
terminated for couples with children seeking a dissolution.
There were 373 new cases of domestic violence cases filed in 2008 and 376 domestic violence
Divorce numbers have decreased, domestic violence numbers have increased for adults (from 2004).
Arrests cases terminated the same year.
During 2008, there were 71 female juveniles arrested for domestic violence and 92 juvenile males arrested for domestic violence.
Favorable Parental Attitudes & Involvement in the Problem Behavior
Indicators:
• Babies Born Affected by Alcohol and other Drugs
Ohio Department of Health
Lorain County Census Data
National Rates of:
o FAS .5-2.0 per 1000 births o FASD .2-1.5 per 1000 births
Ohio:
o 114,000 have FASD, and only 300 have
been clinically diagnosed. Lorain County:
o 2008 3588 births
o Teen births: under the age of 15 5 o 15-17 112
o 18 283
National Incidence Rate extrapolated to Lorain County would result in 1.8-7.2 FAS births last year, and .7-5.3 FASD births last year.
Lack of Commitment to School
Indicators:
• Truancy Rates
• School Drop Out Rates – Event drop outs
• School Drop Out Rates – Status drop outs
Lorain County Court of Common Pleas, Domestic Relations Division Juvenile Branch
(2008 Annual Report)
During the 2007-2008, five attendance officers addressed 934 referrals from the following school districts and alternative-education schools:
• Avon: 68 referrals
• Avon Lake: 31 referrals
• Clearview: 93 referrals • Columbia: 16 referrals • Elyria: 285 referrals • Firelands: 19 referrals • Keystone: 54 referrals • Midview: 132 referrals
• North Ridgeville: 41 referrals
• Oberlin: 75 referrals
Risk Factors Data Sources Summary of Findings Emerging trends
Local data not available, trends were determined through the “High School Dropout and Completion Rates in the United States: 2007” (Institute of Education Services – National Center for Education Statistics
• Wellington: 13 referrals
• Lorain County Academy: 4 referrals
• Lorain County Joint Vocational School: 46 referrals
• Education Alternatives: 5 referrals
• Positive Education Program (PEP): 1 referral
Seventy-eight percent (78%) of the students referred to the program during the 2007-2008 school year reduced the number of unexcused absences. The average percentage of decrease in unexcused absences, per child, was sixty percent (60.43%). The program’s rate of recidivism for the 2007-2008 school year was approximately three percent (2.9%).
Lorain City Schools tracks their own attendance rate, through truancy officers/aids at each of the High Schools (Admiral King and Southview); according to those numbers, in 2008, 85 Admiral King High School students were referred for chronic truancy (15 or more unexcused absences) at Admiral King High School; during the same time period, 180 Southview High School students were referred for chronic truancy.
Event Dropouts: (an estimate of the
percentage of high school students who left high school between the beginning of one school year and the beginning of the next without earning a high school diploma or its equivalent (e.g. a GED).) Nationally, three and one-half of every 100 students who were enrolled in public or private high schools in October 2006 left school before October 2007 without completing a high school program. There is no measurable difference in the 2007 event dropout rates for
• School Mobility Rate Ohio Department of Education School Mobility Report.
males and females (same pattern over 30 years); Hispanic students in public and private high schools were more likely to drop out (6.0
percent) than were White students (2.2 percent) – between October 2006 and October 2007; In 2007, the event dropout rate of students living in low-income families was about 10 times greater than the rate of their peers from high0income families (8.8% vs. 0.9%); Students who pursued a high school education past the typical high school age were at higher risk than others of becoming an event dropout; in 2007, no measurable differences in the event dropout rates for public and private high school students were apparent by region.
Status Dropouts: (a percentage of individuals in a given age range who are not in school and have not earned a high school diploma or equivalency credential.) In October 2007, approximately 3.3 million 16 through 24 year olds were not enrolled in high school and had not earned a high school diploma or alternative credential. Males ages 16-24 were more likely than females to be high school dropouts in 2007 (9.8 percent vs. 7.7percent); The status dropout rates of Whites (5.3 percent) and Asian/Pacific Islanders (6.1 percent) were the lowest among the racial/ethnic groups. The Black status dropout rate was 8.4 percent, followed by the Hispanic rate (21.4 percent); Status dropout rates for Whites and Hispanics varied by sex. Among White students, 6.0 percent of males were status dropouts in 2007 compared with 4.5 percent of females; Hispanic males were also more likely to be high school dropouts than their female counterparts (24.7 percent vs. 18.0 percent, respectively). No differences were detected between the status dropout rates of Black or Asian/Pacific Islander males and females; Persons aged 16 and 17 had lower
Risk Factors Data Sources Summary of Findings Emerging trends status dropout rates in 2007 (3.3 percent and 4.5
percent, respectively), than 18- through 24-year olds (7.8 percent to 11.1 percent) at least in part because most 16- and 17-year olds were still actively pursuing a high school diploma. In 2007, the South and West had higher status dropout rates (10.1 percent and 10.0 percent, respectively) than the Northeast and Midwest (6.8 percent each).
• 7.1% average of students in all Lorain County school districts are in the DISTRICT less than one full year. School Districts with mobility rates of being in district less than year, that are over 10%: (Elyria, 11.2%); Lorain (15.8%); Oberlin (10.5%)
92.9% average of students in all Lorain County districts are in the DISTRICT more than a full academic year.
• 7.56% average of students in all Lorain County Districts are in the SAME SCHOOL less than a full academic year. School districts with higher than 10% average of students staying in the same school less than a year: (Elyria: 12.8%); Lorain: (19.1%); Oberlin (10.5%) 92.4% average of students in all Lorain County districts are in the SAME SCHOOL more than a full academic year.
Early Initiation of the Problem
Behavior/delinquency
Indicators:
• Drop outs prior to ninth grade
No data or national trend information was found regarding dropouts prior to ninth grade
• Juvenile Arrest Rates: alcohol and other Drug Arrest ages 10-14)
• Vandalism Arrests (ages 10-14)
• Personal and Property crimes (ages 10-14)
Lorain County Domestic Relations Juvenile Branch Annual Report – 2008
FBI Statistics “Percent of all arrests involving persons under age 18 in Lorain County, 6/16/09”; Lorain County
Domestic Relations Court Annual Report - 2008
Drug Abuse Violations (11.2%), Driving under the influence (1.9%), Liquor laws (25.3%), and Drunkenness (31.4%) are reported as percents of all arrests involving persons under age 18 in Lorain County in 2005, n= 35,068;
L/C. Domestic Relations Court reported: 136 cases of alcohol consumption and 99 cases of drug offenses in 2008 (ages 10-18)
L/C Domestic Relations court reported 20 vandalism offenses (all male) in 2008, FBI statistics reports that vandalism accounts for 65.8% of all arrests involving persons under age 18 in Lorain County in 2005.
L/C. Domestic Relations court reported 61 burglary offenses, 7 arson offenses and 169 property crime offenses; FBI statistics report that property crimes account for 29.0% of all arrests involving persons under age 18 in Lorain County in 2005.
Substance Use
Indicators:
• Use Rates National: 2008
• Rates of Alcohol Use: *12-13, 3.4% *14-15, 13.1% *16-17, 26.2% *18-20, 48.7% *21-25, 69.5%
Risk Factors Data Sources Summary of Findings Emerging trends
• Alcohol related traffic fatalities
• Arrests for Driving Under the Influence
Ohio Highway Patrol website
Lorain County Domestic Relations Court Annual Report – 2008
National Institute of Health Fact Sheet National Center on Statistics and Analysis, Dept. of NHTSA
2006
Sourcebook of Criminal Justice Studies
• Rates of binge drinking: *12-13, 1.5%
*14-15, 6.9% *16-17, 17.2% *18-20, 33.7% *21-25, 46%
In 2008, the Ohio Highway Patrol reported 10 alcohol related traffic fatalities in Lorain County. L/C Domestic Relations court reported 35 alcohol related traffic offenses in 2008
National:
o 40% of all auto fatalities are alcohol related,
o 16-20 year olds auto fatalities are alcohol related
o 2008 11,773 alcohol related fatalities
o 8027 were the driver
o 1875 were the passenger
o 1179 were the occupant of the other vehicle
o 692 were non- occupants
o 1347 were children and 46% were children in the vehicle with the impaired driver
Ohio: 2006: 451 alcohol related fatalities/ 37% of all Ohio auto fatalities
National:
• 1,056,000 DUI arrests (2007)
• 2008: 12.4% report driving under the influence
*7.2% age 16-17 report driving under the influence
*16.7% 18-20 report driving under the influence
• Juvenile alcohol related arrests
• Adult alcohol related arrests
• Adult drug-related arrests
Crime in the United States 2006, (Washington, D.C.: Federal Bureau of Investigation, 2007)
www.fbi.gov/ucr/cius2007
www.fbi.gov/ucr/cius2007
Ohio Office of Criminal Justice Services www.ocjs.ohio.gov
Crime in the United States 2006, (Washington, D.C.: Federal Bureau of Investigation: 2007)
influence
*Rates then declined with increased age Ohio:
• 2007; 20,954 (7% of all arrests in Ohio) Lorain County:
• January 2005-November 2006, 38 cases of felony drunk driving cases (5 or more arrests for drunk driving)
National:
• 2006:
*20,100 Driving Under the Influence *141,400 Liquor Laws
*16,300 Drunkenness *207,700 Disorderly Conduct Lorain County:
• 2004, 195 cases of underage alcohol consumption
National: 2007
• 2,552,000 Ohio: 2008
• Total arrests 286,439
• Total alcohol-related arrests 64,501 (22.5% of all arrests)
National: 2007
• 1,841,200 Drug abuse violations
• 80% were for possession
• Drug Arrests accounted for 13% of all arrests in the U.S.
• 2008, 34% of those on probation were classified as substance dependent/abuse. Ohio: • 2006: *36,500 Drug-related arrests *Possession: 54.7% 2,142 *Trafficking: 19.6%, 768 *Paraphernalia: 20%, 787 *Only 1.5% were under 18
Risk Factors Data Sources Summary of Findings Emerging trends
• Juvenile drug related arrests
• Substance use during pregnancy www.lorainadas.org/Archival%20data *27.5% were 18,25; 19% were 25-29; 24.2% were 30-39; 19.5% were 40-49; 8.4% were over 50
*28% had no prior arrests; 29.6% had 5 or more prior arrests; 14% had a history of violent crime
• 2009 Total Population 11,435,798
• 2009 Prison Population 44,806
• 2009 Probation Population 227,891 National:
• 2006: 196,700 Drug Abuse Violations Lorain County
• 2006: 166 cases of drug offenses
National
o 4.5% of pregnant women report binge drinking during pregnancy
o 10.3% report binge drinking during 1st trimester (I assume the difference between this and the first bullet is that many stopped binge drinking after they found out they were pregnant and the first bullet represents those that continued binge drinking through their pregnancy)
o .8% report heavy drinking
o 10.6% of pregnant women report alcohol use
o Tobacco use during pregnancy
o 16.4%
o Age 15-17 is 20.6%
o Age 18-25 is 22.1%
o Ages 26-44 is 12.6% Ohio:
12.4%-16.2% prevalence of binge drinking among childbearing age women
Indicators:
• Juvenile arrests for violent crimes
• Homicides
• Adult arrests for Violent Crimes Teen Pregnancy Indicators: • Birthrates among juveniles • Adolescent pregnancies (ages 10 -17)
Ohio Department of Health (2007) and
City of Lorain website, Health District. Ohio Live Births for Lorain County residents by age, giving birth in Lorain County (2007) Ages 10-14: 0 (5. if including out-of county residents who delivered)
Ages 15-17: 92 (112, if including out-of county residents who delivered)
Ages 18-19: 209 (263, if including out-of county residents who delivered)
Total for Lorain County residents ages 14-19 delivering during 2007: 301
There were 1,991 live births in Lorain County during 2007 by Lorain County residents, so 15% of the deliveries were to 10-19 year-old
residents.
Data from last year included Lorain City Health Department’s data just for city of Lorain: Teen pregnancy rates went up by .5% or 6 births, according to their website.
School Drop-out/Lack of Commitment to School
• Event Drop outs
• Status Drop Outs
• School Report Cards
2007-2008 School Report cards
(reportcard.ohio.gov) See the risk factor – lack of commitment to school for information on drop outs. 13 of the fourteen school districts had graduation rates above the state average (86.9%). Lorain County public schools reported an average rate of 94.4%.
Risk Factors Data Sources Summary of Findings Emerging trends
• Juvenile arrests for curfew violation, vandalism and disorderly conduct
• Juvenile arrests for property crimes
• Adult arrests for property crimes
FBI Statistics “Percent of all arrests involving persons under age 18 in Lorain County, 6/16/09”; Lorain County
Domestic Relations Court Annual Report - 2008
100% of all arrests involving persons under age 18 in Lorain county in 2005 (n = 35,068) included curfew and loitering.
L/C. Domestic Relations Court reported: 20 cases of vandalism (all males) and 204cases of disorderly conduct 2008 (ages 10-18)
L/C. Domestic Relations court reported 61 burglary offenses, 7 arson offenses and 169 property crime offenses; FBI statistics report that property crimes account for 29.0% of all arrests involving persons under age 18 in Lorain County in 2005.
FBI statistics report that property crimes account for 70.9% of all arrests involving persons age 18 and over in Lorain County in 2005.
