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Parma, 11 th May Teleconference EFSA / SAS. Agreed by the WG on 15 th May René Bødker(RB); Thomas Balenghien (TB) and Anette Bøtner(AB)

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Scientific Assessment Support Unit

European Food Safety Authority • Via Carlo Magno 1A • 43126 Parma • ITALY Tel. +39 0521036111 • Fax +39 0521036110 • www.efsa.europa.eu

Parma, 11th May 2012

Scientific Working Group on Schmallenberg Epidemiological Scenarios

Minutes of the 5th meeting of the Working Group on Schmallenberg Epidemiological

Spread and Impact Scenarios Parma, 11th May 2012 - Teleconference

EFSA / SAS

Agreed by the WG on 15th May 2012

Participants

WG Experts: René Bødker(RB); Thomas Balenghien (TB) and Anette

Bøtner(AB)

EFSA: Jose Cortiñas Abrahantes(JCA)

1. Welcome and apologies

The Chair welcomed the participants.

2. Adoption of agenda

The agenda was adopted without changes.

3. Declarations of interest

In accordance with EFSA’s Policy on Declarations of Interests, EFSA screened the Annual Declaration of interest (ADoI) and/or Specific Declaration of interest (SDoI) filled in by the experts invited for the present meeting. No conflicts of interests related to the issues discussed in this meeting have been identified during the screening process or at the beginning of this meeting.

4. Discussions

The section of characterization of SBV was discussed. AB will provide some comments on the commented version provided by Martin Beer. TB described the section that he has drafted in relation to the potential role of vectors in SBV transmission. RB prepared a small presentation showing the model used to illustrate the in herd transmission.

5. Next meeting date

15th of May: Physical Meeting of Working Group in Brussels

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Scientific Assessment Support Unit

European Food Safety Authority • Via Carlo Magno 1A • 43126 Parma • ITALY Tel. +39 0521036111 • Fax +39 0521036110 • www.efsa.europa.eu

Parma, 8th May 2012

Scientific Working Group on Schmallenberg Epidemiological Scenarios

Minutes of the 4th meeting of the Working Group on Schmallenberg Epidemiological

Spread and Impact Scenarios Parma, 8th May 2012 - Teleconference

EFSA / SAS

Agreed by the WG on 15th May 2012 Participants

WG Experts: Simon Gubbins(SG) and Anthony Wilson(AW)

EFSA: Jane Richardson (JR), Jose Cortiñas Abrahantes(JCA) and Franck

Berthe(FB)

1. Welcome and apologies

The Chair welcomed the participants.

2. Adoption of agenda

The agenda was adopted without changes.

3. Declarations of interest

In accordance with EFSA’s Policy on Declarations of Interests, EFSA screened the Annual Declaration of interest (ADoI) and/or Specific Declaration of interest (SDoI) filled in by the experts invited for the present meeting. No conflicts of interests related to the issues discussed in this meeting have been identified during the screening process or at the beginning of this meeting.

4. Discussions

Discussion was held on the spread model that is developed by SG. It was agreed that a separated section containing all assumptions of the spread model should be written. AW presented the approach proposed to estimate impact of SBV, and the vulnerable period for sheep and cattle was discussed. The final draft of the report will be discussed the 15th of May during the WG in Brussels.

5. Next meeting date

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Scientific Assessment Support Unit

European Food Safety Authority • Via Carlo Magno 1A • 43126 Parma • ITALY Tel. +39 0521036111 • Fax +39 0521036110 • www.efsa.europa.eu

London, 30th April 2012

Scientific Working Group on Schmallenberg Epidemiological Scenarios

Minutes of the 3rd meeting of the Working Group on Schmallenberg Epidemiological

Spread and Impact Scenarios London, 30th April 2012 - Meeting

EFSA / SAS

Agreed by the WG on 3rd May 2012

Participants

WG Experts: Simon Gubbins(SG) and Anthony Wilson(AW)

EFSA: Jose Cortiñas Abrahantes(JCA))

1. Welcome and apologies

The Chair welcomed the participants.

2. Adoption of agenda

The agenda was adopted without changes.

3. Declarations of interest

In accordance with EFSA’s Policy on Declarations of Interests, EFSA screened the Annual Declaration of interest (ADoI) and/or Specific Declaration of interest (SDoI) filled in by the experts invited for the present meeting. No conflicts of interests related to the issues discussed in this meeting have been identified during the screening process or at the beginning of this meeting.

4. Discussions

Discussion was held on the spread model that is developed by SG. The vulnerability period was discussed and also the back calculation of the risk period. SG present the force of infection model based on approaches previously developed. AW will estimate the impact of SBV for which calving and lambing data have been made available by national authorities and which have been included in SG’s model above.

5. Next deliverables and meetings

8th of May 2012: Draft of preliminary results for spread and impact and discussion during the teleconference.

15th of May 2012: Physical Meeting of Working Group in Brussels to discussed the final report based on the reported data on May 10th 2012.

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Scientific Assessment Support Unit

European Food Safety Authority • Via Carlo Magno 1A • 43126 Parma • ITALY Tel. +39 0521036111 • Fax +39 0521036110 • www.efsa.europa.eu

Parma, 24th April 2012

Scientific Working Group on Schmallenberg Epidemiological Scenarios

Minutes of the 2nd meeting of the Working Group on Schmallenberg Epidemiological

Spread and Impact Scenarios Parma, 24th April 2012 - Teleconference

EFSA / SAS

Agreed by the WG on 30th April 2012 Participants

WG Experts: Simon Gubbins(SG); René Bødker(RB); Aline de Koeijer(AK);

Anthony Wilson(AW) and Anette Bøtner(AB)

DG SANCO: Francesco Berlingieri

EFSA: Didier Verloo(DV); Angeliki Vlachou(AV); Jane Richardson, Jose

Cortiñas Abrahantes(JCA); and Katriina Willgert(KW)

Excused: Eugen Christoph(EC); Thomas Balenghien (TB); Franck

Berthe(FB) and Ana Afonso(AA)

1. Welcome and apologies

The Chair welcomed the participants.

2. Adoption of agenda

The agenda was adopted without changes.

3. Declarations of interest

In accordance with EFSA’s Policy on Declarations of Interests, EFSA screened the Annual Declaration of interest (ADoI) and/or Specific Declaration of interest (SDoI) filled in by the experts invited for the present meeting. No conflicts of interests related to the issues discussed in this meeting have been identified during the screening process or at the beginning of this meeting.

4. Discussions

Discussion was held on the contents of the final report regarding materials and methods part. In the report of May the data submitted on April would be used to develop the modelling approaches. Discussion was held on lambing and calving data. Data regarding lambing and calving are missing from the affected countries. It was informed that JC will work together with SG and AW on the modelling approach on April 30 in London UK.

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5. Next meeting date

8th of May: Draft of Results and Methods

10th of May: Final data to be discussed in Brussels for finalising the report 11th of May: Draft of Results and Methods

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Scientific Assessment Support Unit

European Food Safety Authority • Via Carlo Magno 1A • 43126 Parma • ITALY Tel. +39 0521036111 • Fax +39 0521036110 • www.efsa.europa.eu

Parma, 10-11 April 2012

Scientific Working Group on Schmallenberg Epidemiological Scenarios

Minutes of the 1st meeting of the Working Group on Schmallenberg Epidemiological

Scenarios

Parma, 10-11 April 2012 EFSA / SAS Unit

Agreed by the WG on 24th April 2012 Participants

WG Experts Simon Gubbins(SG); René Bødker(RB); Aline de Koeijer(AK);

Anthony Wilson(AW); Thomas Balenghien(TB);

EFSA: Didier Verloo(DV); Angeliki Vlachou(AV); Jose Cortiñas

Abrahantes(JCA); Ana Afonso(AA); Katriina Willgert(KW)

Excused: Anette Bøtner(AB); Eugen Christoph(EC); Franck Berthe(FB);

1. Welcome and apologies

The Chair welcomed the participants.

2. Adoption of agenda

The agenda was adopted without changes.

3. Declarations of interest

In accordance with EFSA’s Policy on Declarations of Interests, EFSA screened the Annual Declaration of interest (ADoI) and/or Specific Declaration of interest (SDoI) filled in by the experts invited for the present meeting. No conflicts of interests related to the issues discussed in this meeting have been identified during the screening process or at the beginning of this meeting.

4. Discussions

The different documents foreseen in the agenda were presented and discussed. Specifically, the documents on:

- “Schmallenberg” virus: likely epidemiological scenarios and data collection (KW) - Exploratory Data Analysis of the “Schmallenberg” virus (JCA)

- Geo Climate Information (JCA), Population Data (AV)

- Vectors (KW)

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- Overviews on Impact Assessments Methods (AA)

Presentations were followed by discussion on relevant type of data, modelling approaches, measures of impacts, potential transmission routes as well as prediction of geographical spread. Task were distributed to address the issues discussed during the meeting.

5. Next meeting date

The following teleconferences and physical meetings were set: Teleconferences:

April 24th , 15:00 -16:00 (GMT+01:00) May 8th , 15:00-16:00 (GMT+01:00)

11th of May, 15:00-16:00 (Thomas Balenghien(TB) and René Bødker(RB))

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