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(1)

2015-2018 Regional Budget

Presentation to Council

Bill Hughes

(2)

Council / Committee Review Process

Council January 22, 2015 Committee of the Whole (1) February 12, 2015 York Regional Police Transportation Services

Community & Health Services Committee of the Whole (2) February 19, 2015 Environmental Services Corporate Management Conservation Authorities Fiscal Strategy (reserves and

debt management) YRRTC

Budget Reduction Options

Council

(3)

Proposed tax increase

Operating Budget for 2015

Capital Budget for 2015

Ten-Year Capital Plan

Capital plan compliant with the Province’s

Annual Repayment Limit regulation

2015

2016

2017

2018

2.97%

2.85%

2.69%

2.35%

$1.9B

$826M

$5.8B

The proposed budget at a glance

(4)

A multi-year operating budget

2015 - 2018

Operating Budget

2015

$ Million

2016

$ Million

2017

$ Million

2018

$ Million

Gross Expenditures

1,886 1,972 2,052 2,126

Non-Tax Revenue

948 989 1,025 1,057

Net Expenditures

938 983 1,027 1,069

Assessment Growth* (%)

2.16 1.99 1.89 1.82

Proposed Tax Levy Increase (%)

2.97 2.85 2.69 2.35

(5)

Key features of the budget

Multi-year budget

Selected improvements to service levels

Robust capital plan

Savings for future capital asset replacement

Improved fiscal strategy to reduce future debt levels and

protect the credit rating

(6)

New initiatives included in the budget

 129 new police officers and 51 police civilian staff over the next four years to

respond to population growth, as well as implementation of a new part-time Cadet program

 Continued implementation of the Emergency Medical Services 10-year Resources and Facilities Master Plan, including the addition of 95 new EMS staff

 Responding to an increased need for mental health programs and services,

including effective crisis intervention, intensive case management and wrap-around supports to those living with mental illness

 Opening of a state-of-the-art transit operations, maintenance and storage facility in 2015

 Continued implementation of the vivaNext bus rapid transit services on the new rapidways

 Funding for the Regional contribution to a new university in Markham

 The construction of 126 new lane kilometers of roads (including urbanization of existing rural roads).

 Continued implementation of the Fiscal Strategy to lower peak debt to $2.9 billion in 2017 and eliminate tax levy debt

(7)

York’s ten-year capital plan is largest

among comparable municipalities

7 5,820 5,114 3,592 3,558 3,373 3,157 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000

York Peel Waterloo Durham Hamilton Halton

$ Millions

Ten-Year Capital Plans for York and other Regions

Figures reflect Ten-Year Capital Plans proposed in 2015, except Halton which is the 2015 approved Ten-Year Capital Plan, and Durham, which is the 2014 approved Ten-Year Plan

(8)

Major capital investments in

transportation infrastructure

The capital plan includes record levels of roads investment over the

next four years, responding to the need to address congestion

The federal, provincial and regional governments will invest

$1.9 billion in transit between 2015 and 2019

0 50 100 150 200 2006 Actual 2007 Actual 2008 Actual 2009 Actual 2010 Actual 2011 Actual 2012 Actual 2013 Actual 2014 Forecast 2015 Budget 2016 Budget 2017 Budget 2018 Budget $ Millions

(9)

Top 10 capital projects by Capital

Spending Authority

Projects Proposed 2015 CSA ($ Millions)

Spadina Subway Extension 408

Duffin Creek Incinerator 1 & 2 Rehabilitation 170 Duffin Creek Stage 1 & 2 Upgrades 149 Peel Water Supply Cost-Shared Work 112 Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) Facilities and Terminals 79

Upper York Sewage Solutions 76

York Durham Sewage System (YDSS) Southeast

Collector 67

Toronto Water Supply Cost-Shared Work 65

West Vaughan Sewage Servicing 59

Southeast Collector Rehabilitation Primary System 55

(10)

Fiscal strategy lowers debt levels

$ Millions

The fiscal strategy will lower the peak level of debt to $2.9

billion

0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

(11)

2014-2024 11 $ Millions 100 200 300 400 500 600 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 A n n u al Debt Nee d s

2014 Forecast Debt Needs 2015 Forecast Debt Needs

2014 Actual 2014

Forecast

2014 Budget Total: $2.4 Billion

2015 Budget Total: $1.1 Billion

2015 Debt Management Plan shows lower

requirements over the next 10 years

(12)

The Region is well within its Annual

Repayment Limit (ARL)

Growth-Related Annual Debt Repayment Limit – Capital Spending Authority Basis vs. Existing and Anticipated Debt and Financial Obligations

2015-2024 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 $ Millions

Existing Financial Obligations New Financial Obligations (CSA Basis) Growth-Related ARL - 80%

(13)

Fiscal strategy-related reserves will grow

strongly

13 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024

Asset Replacement Reserves Debt Reduction Reserve

(14)

Reserve-to-debt ratio will improve despite

budget reductions

0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 250% 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Est 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024

The reserve to debt ratio is declining, but is forecast to

increase in 2015 and exceed 100% by 2020

(15)

Summary of the budget

A multi-year budget to align with the term of Council

Investments to maintain service levels and provide selected

enhancements

A robust capital plan that better aligns the timing of projects

with expected growth

Dramatically less new debt and markedly lower peak debt

levels

No new tax levy debt whatsoever in next ten years

Rapidly increasing reserve balances

Improved budget book format and structure

Proposed tax increases of 2.97%, 2.85%, 2.69% and 2.35%

(16)

Tax impact on homeowner

The average assessed

value of a residential

property in the Region is

$515,000. A tax levy

increase of 2.97 percent

in 2015 equates to $64

per household, on

average.

$35 $52 $76 $70 $50 $63 $69 $62 $64

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