EZYRIDER\Presentations\20110901 - Mgmt Strategy Presentation\Optimise returns MAIN - 190811 v 42.pptx
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easyJet plc
Year to 30 September 2011
EZYRIDER\Presentations\20110901 - Mgmt Strategy Presentation\Optimise returns MAIN - 07092011 v11.pptx
Driving performance
Re-build operational robustness
Complete and focused management team
Revenue; yield and ancillaries
Brand deals
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EZYRIDER\Presentations\20110901 - Mgmt Strategy Presentation\Optimise returns MAIN - 07092011 v11.pptx
Strong operational performance
No independent data for OTP available for Ryanair since May
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30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% J a n 2 0 1 0 Feb 2 0 1 0 Mar 2 0 1 0 A p r 2 0 1 0 May 2 0 1 0 J u n 2 0 1 0 J u l 2 0 1 0 A u g 2 0 1 0 S e p 2 0 1 0 Oc t 2 0 1 0 N o v 2 0 1 0 D e c 2 0 1 0 J a n 2 0 1 1 Feb 2 0 1 1 Mar 2 0 1 1 A p r 2 0 1 1 May 2 0 1 1 J u n 2 0 1 1 J u l 2 0 1 1 A u g 2 0 1 1 On Time Performance LGW NetworkEZYRIDER\Presentations\20110901 - Mgmt Strategy Presentation\Optimise returns MAIN - 07092011 v11.pptx
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Current trading – better than expected
Guidance for year to 30 September 2011
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22nd July 2011 Q3 IMS
22nd Sept 2011
Revenue per seat
FY
+2% to +3%
+3%
H2
+4% to +5%
+6%
FY Underlying cost per seat
ex fuel (constant currency)
-1% to -2%
-1% to -2%
Pre-tax profit
£200m to £230m
£240m to £250m
EZYRIDER\Presentations\20110901 - Mgmt Strategy Presentation\Optimise returns MAIN - 07092011 v11.pptx
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Hedging update
Percentage of anticipated requirement
hedged
Fuel
requirement
US Dollar
requirement
Euro
surplus
sale
Full year ending 30 September 2012
73%
69%
71%
Rate
$956MT
$1.59
€1.13
Full year ending 30 September 2013
27%
32%
34%
Rate
$1006/MT
$1.62
€1.14
At current fuel and exchange rates* it is anticipated that easyJet’s 2012 fuel bill will increase
by around £220 million
As at noon 21.09.11 Jet CIF $1,009 per metric tonne US $ to £ sterling 1.57 euro to £ sterling 1.15
EZYRIDER\Presentations\20110901 - Mgmt Strategy Presentation\Optimise returns MAIN - 07092011 v11.pptx
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Forward bookings and costs
83.7
52.6
24.9
84.8
53.2
24.9
September October November
2011 2010
% seats sold *
As at 19.09.11
Third of F’12 seats now booked and total revenue per seat continues to show improvement
versus the prior years albeit at a lower rate of growth that the strong fourth quarter of F’11
Costs headwinds in F’12 from ETS and regulated airports in Spain, Italy and the UK
EZYRIDER\Presentations\20110901 - Mgmt Strategy Presentation\Optimise returns MAIN - 07092011 v11.pptx
Agenda
1.
Current trading
2.
Strategic context
EZYRIDER\Presentations\20110901 - Mgmt Strategy Presentation\Optimise returns MAIN - 190811 v 42.pptx
easyJet competitive advantage
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Leading short-haul network in Europe
Leading presence on Top 100 routes
Strong positions in key markets
Good range of leisure and business destinations
Low cost and efficient
Scale and cost advantage compared to carriers flying to similar airports
High asset utilisation (average of 11 hours a day)
Consistently industry leading load factors
Financial and balance sheet strength
** Source: Deutsche Bank
44 42 12 41 20 15 13 11 10 5 1 30 2 20 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 easy Jet BA / Ib eria Rya nair Lufth ansa Gro up Air Fran ce K LM Alit alia Air Ber lin-N IKI SAS Nor weg ian Vuel ing Airl ines 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 Other Marketing Ownership Maintenance Airport & ATC Fuel
Crew
Cost per ask * * easyJet has a significant cost advantage compared to carriers flying to similar airports
Excellent market positions and highly
attractive business model
Non primary airportsNumber of market pairs operated between two primary airports 4 2 6 1 0 4 1 1 2
Presence in top 100 market pairs *
* Source: OAG 12 months to Sep10, OAG market definitions Primary airport = airport over 10 mppa or largest airport in market
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easyJet fleet dynamics
Young fleet intrinsic to achieving high asset efficiency
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Operating a young fleet is an intrinsic part of our business model Maximises aircraft availability and hence utilisation
Minimises operating costs, especially maintenance
Specification of new aircraft improves over time and hence reliability
0
5
10
15
20
25
1,8
1,2
1,4
1,6
0,8
0,4
0,6
Age of Aircraft (years)
2,0
1,0
Cost per Flight Hour
Indexed
During first five years warranty terms reduce costs
After 12-15 years work is required to contain structural fatigue
Engine on-wing time at mature levels
Engine life-limited parts may reach their replacement lives
5 to 12 years,
maintenance costs are fairly constant
Risk of maintenance costs rising due to increased unscheduled maintenance events
EZYRIDER\Presentations\20110901 - Mgmt Strategy Presentation\Optimise returns MAIN - 07092011 v11.pptx
Background to capacity plan
July 2009:
Board incl. SHI agree a medium growth rate
November 2010:
Incoming CEO / CFO carry out rigorous independent strategic review:
1.
Switch to focus on ROCE as the key metric
2.
Reconfirm medium growth rate
3.
Flexibility in capacity and fleet is critical
May 2011:
Board announced it was utilising flexibility to take a cautious approach to
capacity and in light of high cost of jet fuel and uncertain consumer
demand will cap the fleet at 204 aircraft for Winter 11/12 and 12/13
EZYRIDER\Presentations\20110901 - Mgmt Strategy Presentation\Optimise returns MAIN - 07092011 v11.pptx
High degree of fleet flexibility
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Required deliveries
FY11 H2 FY12 H1 FY12 H2 FY13 H1 FY13 H2 FY14 H1 FY14 H2 FY15 H1 FY15 H2
Min Fleet 16 3 17 5 2 1 3 1 3
Market Growth 16 3 17 5 5 3 6 7 9
Max Fleet 16 10 10 6 6 8 11 9 10
Fleet count if 15 aircraft had not been
announced in Jan 2011 214 217 221 227 241 251 259 206 200 200 197 197 204 204 213 204 216 215 219 218 220 180 190 200 210 220 230 240 250 260 270
FY11 H2 FY12 H1 FY12 H2 FY13 H1 FY13 H2 FY14 H1 FY14 H2 FY15 H1 FY15 H2
Fle et Cou n t Max fleet Min fleet
Fleet requirement for market growth of 3%
EZYRIDER\Presentations\20110901 - Mgmt Strategy Presentation\Optimise returns MAIN - 190811 v 42.pptx
Framework for managing route performance
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CPBH
1. CPBH or Contribution Per Block Hour expresses total contribution in terms of aircraft operating time, using the industry standard metric, namely "block hour". For a given level of capital employed, we derive the direct contribution per block hour required to cover overhead and achieve a 12% ROCE
2. Analysis based on actual performance of the FY2011 route network up to July 2011(10 months) plus outlook for the remainder of FY2011 Source: easyJet management plan
EZYRIDER\Presentations\20110901 - Mgmt Strategy Presentation\Optimise returns MAIN - 190811 v 42.pptx
Managing route performance
Evolution of ROCE by route evolution (2009 routes)
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10%Routes
Track record of improving performance over time
FY2011 FY2010
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easyJet finance strategy
Ensure robust capital structure
Return excess capital to shareholders
Maintain sufficient level of liquidity to manage through the cycle and industry shocks
Targeting consistent and continuous dividend payout Return Targets Capital Structure And Liquidity Dividend Policy
Earn returns in excess of cost of capital through the cycle
Invest in growth opportunities where returns are attractive
Aircraft Ownership
Hedging
Maintain flexibility around fleet deployment and size
Insulate short term operating performance against adverse movements in fuel price and exchange rates
Objectives
Maximum gearing of 50% *
Cap of GBP 10m adjusted net debt per aircraft
Minimum GBP 4m cash per aircraft
5x cover, subject to meeting gearing and liquidity targets
Annual payment based on full year PAT; introduced for FY 2011, payable 2012
Consider returns over 5x cover to reduce excess capital
Improve PBT per seat to GBP5
Post tax ROCE of 12% through the cycle
Target of 70% owned aircraft, 30% leased aircraft
65%-85% of the next 12 months’ anticipated requirements
45%-65% of the following 12 months’ anticipated requirements
Measures
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*Gearing defined as (debt + 7 x annual lease payments – cash) divided by (shareholders funds + debt +7 x annual lease payments – cash)
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Capital allocation
Ordinary dividend:
5x cover or c. £40m or c. 9 pence per share based on current guidance
One-off capital return:
Board expects in November 2011 recommend a one-off capital return, of £150
million, likely to be in the form of a special dividend payable early calendar 2012
Capital expenditure:
1.
Maintain fleet size (replacement of leased aircraft and engine overhaul)
2.
New network opportunities; required to deliver on-target returns within a tight and
defined timescale
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Capital cash flow including financing and overhauls
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Total Aircraft Capex: 786m Total Aircraft Capex: 627m Total Aircraft Capex: 401mSource: easyJet management plan
1) Including $118m of proceeds from disposals and $101 additional cumulative capex
2) Capex is shown pre-financing – current plan is to maintain 70%/30% owned/leased mix
3) Shop visits are assumed at an engine life of seven years
$318m $431m
$590m
EZYRIDER\Presentations\20110901 - Mgmt Strategy Presentation\Optimise returns MAIN - 07092011 v11.pptx