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Hydrology & Hydraulics

ADAPTING TO NEW WEATHER REALITIES

Presentation to Technical Committee of Lake Ontario Integrated Sub watershed Study

March 24, 2014

Neelam Gupta

Manager, Hydrology & Hydraulics Credit Valley Conservation Authority

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Our weather is changing

Real-time Gauge Network

Floodplain mapping update

July 8

th

storm and its impacts

Presentation Outline

Canadian Press

Canadian Press

Fred Loek, Mississauga News

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Recent Extreme Rainfall Events in GTA

Extreme Rainfall Event

Total Rainfall

Amount (mm)

Duration

(hr)

1 Hr Max.

Intensity

(mm/hr)

Peterborough (Trent U), July 14-15, 2004

250.0

16.5

87.2

Toronto (Finch Ave), August 19, 2005

153.4

12.5

116.6

Hamilton (Stoney Creek), July 25-26, 2009

135.5

35.0

60.8

Mississauga (Cooksville), August 4, 2009

68.0

1.0

68.0

Westcentral GTA (Pearson), July 8, 2013

126.0

3.0

96.0

Hurricane Hazel, 15 October, 1954

285.0

48.0

52.5

100 Year Design Storm

118.0

24.0

50.0

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Floodplain Vulnerability - CVC Jurisdiction

Watercourse Structures in Floodplain Cooksville Ck 309 (654) Serson Ck 154 Turtle Ck 79 Applewood Ck 20 Lornewood Ck 11 Avonhead Ck 11 Sheridan Ck 8 Birchwood Ck 5 Cawthra Ck 3 Tecumseh Ck 2 Lakeside Ck 0 Clearview Ck 1 Total 603 (948)

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102 Cheltenham, Boston Mills, &

Ferndale Park 623 0 2 12 1 47 28 34 10 38 100 43 28 34 34 3 3 19 66 3 16 # of Structures in Floodplain Stewarttown

Georgetown (Trailer Park & Other) Norval

Churchville (39), Eldorado Park (1) & Huttonville (7) Brampton Brampton Meadowvale Mississauga Streetsville QEW to Dundas St. Belfountain Inglewood Terra Cotta Melville Caledon Caledon Lake Alton Brimstone Hillsburgh Erin Acton Glen Williams Erin Orangeville

Flood Damage Centre Municipality

Total

Halton Hills Orangeville

Flood Vulnerable Structures within the

Credit River Watershed

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Frequency of bank full flows on

Frequency of bank full flows on

Cooksville Creek

Cooksville Creek

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 0 0 2 5 2 3 4 3 0 1 2 3 4 5 N u m b e r o f e x c e e d a n c e

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Pre 2013 Water Monitoring Network

-

CVC relied on Water Survey of Canada (WSC) monitoring network – Other partner organizations who contributed data are:

• Other CAs (TRCA, Halton, GRCA)

• Meteorological Service of Canada (MSC) • Upper Tier Municipalities (Region of Peel)

• Lower Tier Municipalities (City of Brampton, City of Mississauga) • Ontario Ministry of Environment

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CVC Monitoring Network 2013 and beyond

Region of Peel – invested ~ $2 million to build Real-time gauging and flood

watch/warning system

CVC operates extensive monitoring network.

– 16 rainfall gauges (CVC)

• 14 rainfall gauges (City of Mississauga)

• 10 rainfall gauges (Region of Peel)

– 27 stream flow gauges (CVC) + 10 WSC stream flow gauges

– 5 climate stations

The monitoring network will become an integral part of CVC’s flood

forecasting and warning system and will become a valuable tool to measure

and report on watershed health.

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Turtle Ck at Hindhead Park 501210008

Sheridan Creek at Truscott Dr Bridge 501210012

Applewood Creek at St James Ave Bridge 501220009

Serson Creek at Serson Park 501220010

Cooksville Creek at Central Parkway East 501220007

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Real Time Flow Gauge

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Climate Stations

Lakeshore Climate Station

Silver Creek Conservation Area Acton Climate Station

Caledon Climate Station Orangeville Climate Station

CVC’s Climate Station Name

Proposed Works – 2014



Upgrade existing Climate Station to real-time climate station



Weather equipment will be contacted to new Sutron 9210 data logger

 Automatic polling of data through cellular modem



Parameters that will be measured:

Air temperature, wind speed & direction, barometric pressure, ground temperature, snow depth, solar

radiations, relative humidity Oakville TWN

Toronto Pearson Int’l Airport

Georgetown WWTP

Fergus Shand Dam

Orangeville MOE

MSC’s Climate Station Name

Outside watershed Outside watershed Within watershed Outside watershed Within watershed Location

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Real-time Rainfall

Gauge Network

16 CVC 14 City of Mississauga 40 Total 10 Region of Peel

Distribution of Rainfall Gauge Network

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Data Management Software

• WISKI (Water Information System-Kisters)

• WISKI software and database system is currently hosted within Region of Peel Network. – Soda system

– Alarm Manager

– Biber, Sked, and Water Quality Modules – Wiski Web Pro

– GIS Graphic Modules

• This software and database system is currently in use at the Ontario Ministry of Natural Resources Stream Forecast Centre and at several other Conservation Authorities.

• This provides CVC with an opportunity to leverage work that has already been done and to partner with the Province and other Conservation Authorities to implement a more cohesive solution

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Updated Floodplain Mapping and Modelling

 Consultant proposals received and currently under review for:

 Clearview, Avonhead, Lakeside, Turtle, Birchwood, Lornewood, Moore, Cumberland, Tecumseh, Cawthra, Serson and Applewood creeks

 Extensive Survey Work

 Separate RFP to update flood lines for Cooksville Creek to be issued in

November

 RFP to evaluate climate change vulnerability and sensitivity across southeast Mississauga planned for 2014

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July 8th Storm



Extreme rainfall, prolonged power

outages, transit delays, flooded

highways and streets



Extensive basement flooding in

parts of Mississauga and Toronto



Bank erosion damages in affected

watercourses



$850+ million in property damages



Impacts more widespread and

severe than Aug 4, 2009

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July 8th Storm

17

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IDF Curves Comparison for July 8, 2013,

and August 4, 2009 Events

Stations 1 10 100 1000 5 10 15 20 30 60 120 180 240 360 720 1440 Duration (min) In te n s it y ( m m /h r) 2 Year Storm 5 Year Storm 10 Year Storm 25 Year Storm 50 Year Storm 100 Year Storm Station 1 Station 5 Station 6 Station 6 - August 4, 2009 100 year July 8, 2103 August 4, 2009

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Residential Flooding

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Mississauga Valley Blvd at Lolita Gardens QEW & N. Service Road at Cooksville Ck

Paisley Blvd East Dixie Rd north of Lakeshore Rd

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QUESTIONS

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Future Directions

• Hydrometeorological Monitoring Network

– Gauge network will be operated in near real-time mode to provide rapid response to significant events. – Rainfall gauges will be operated year round

– Import of all historic metrological data into WISKI system

• Access of rainfall and other hydrometric data to municipal partners and various stakeholders in the watershed • Standardized data storage and retrieval system

– Rapid evaluation and response system to significant findings – Processing data as soon as possible (i.e. automatic QA/QC) – Weekly/monthly report

• Web-Pro integration

– Enable remote access to partner organizations

– Enhance flood forecasting communications available on CVC website

• Enhanced CVC’s flood forecasting and warning capabilities to assist municipal partners – Flood forecasting models

– GIS & IWMP monitoring integration • GIS & IWMP monitoring integration

References

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