Brussels, June 23rd, 2015, V 1.0
Additive Manufacturing (AM)
– Opportunities in a
digitalized production
So ur ce : W ITH INAdditive Manufacturing
European Conference
Source: FIT2 150612 Vortrag EU Cecimo.pptx
Digitalization will boost agility and responsiveness of the
manufacturing industry – AM is a key enabler for this new trend
Engineered Products & High Tech (EPHT) Competence Center
Roland Berger
> Founded in 1969 as a one-man
business, we now have successful
operations in all major international
markets
> Largest consulting firm with
European/German roots
> Among the top 3 players for strategy
consulting in Europe, number 1 for
restructuring
> Team of 250 global partners and
2,500 consultants
AM/Digitalization
> AM is part of the Roland
Berger digitalization initiative
Our offices
Source: Roland Berger
CC EPHT
Energy
equipment
Long
lifecycle
products
Digital
Techno-
logies
B2B
Electronics
Aerospace
& defense
> Our support for AM can be on strategic level
(Corporate AM strategy) as well as on
operational level (AM Industrialization strategy)
3 150612 Vortrag EU Cecimo.pptx
Europe's digital business is squeezed between large Asian and US
players – RBSC'sTerra Numerata™ shall work as incubator
Market capitalization of the top 20 internet firms [2014, USD bn, %]
Source: Roland Berger
4 150612 Vortrag EU Cecimo.pptx
Using Additive Manufacturing technology, three-dimensional solid
objects of virtually any shape can be made from digital data
> Additive Manufacturing (AM) is a
process of making a
three-dimensional solid object of
virtually
any shape
from a digital model
> AM uses an
additive process
, where materials are applied in
successive layers
Source: Roland Berger
Definition
> Direct production from
CAD data
> Freedom of design
> Complexity for free
> Part consolidation
> Elimination of tooling
> Max. material use
> Production cost
independent from batch
size
> New manufacturing
processes, e.g. in repair,
and materials
Key advantages
Definition and advantages
Introduction to Additive Manufacturing
> AM has a 26-year history
for plastic objects –
the
capacity to make metal
objects
relevant to the
engineered products and
high tech industries
has
been around since 1995
5 150612 Vortrag EU Cecimo.pptx
From today's point of view the "paths of disruption" only have a
minor impact on production – This will change in the future!
Source: EOS, Roland Berger, NASA
Limited impact Strong impact
Direct production from CAD data Freedom of design
Complexity for free Part consolidation Elimination of tooling
Prod. cost independent from batch size New manufacturing processes
Path of disruption Individual
products New geometries & materials Decentra-lized production Examples > Prototyping > Mass customization – Medical products – Jewelry – Gimmicks
> Small series production
> Integration of new, enhanced functionalities (more efficient products) in high tech materials > Development of new
materials/material properties > New repair strategies
> Industrial production on demand > production by quantity > by location (decentralized) > Home printing/production > Outsourcing to partners
Introduction to Additive Manufacturing
Paths of disruption for Additive Manufacturing
6 150612 Vortrag EU Cecimo.pptx
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Together with modern CAD/CAM technologies AM as former
prototyping technology allows rapid processes and indiv. products
Source: Roland Berger
> Production of implants in plastic or metal materials
> Implant is custom made based on scan data > Rapid production of the implant over night > Typical implants: dental, hip joints, knees,
fingers, skull or back bone implants > Production of technical prototypes for test
purposes
> Integration of new AM design features
> Rapid process with direct transformation of CAD data into products – no tools required
> Small series production, e.g. for Formula 1
> Ongoing trend in our society towards more customization and willingness to pay for individual products
> Often combined scan and print processes are used
Paths of disruption: Individual products
AM for individual products – Examples
Implants
Source: EOSProto-
types
Source: toolcraft Source: FITLife Style
Source: ingenieure.de Source: EOS, Kerrie LuftAdvantages
> Economic production of
prototypes and small series
> Rapid process chain due to
direct transformation of CAD
data or scan data into
products
> Flexibility to change designs
Key enabler for
accelerated product
development and testing
processes
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AM offers new opportunities for lightweight design, highly efficient
products and materials with improved characteristics
Source: Roland Berger
> Design of lightweight components due to "bionic" design with optimized exterior (left) or inner lattice structure (right)
> Significant saving potential in combination with light weight materials like Aluminum or Titanium
> Ability of AM to "print" complex geometries out of high tech materials, like Hast-X or Inconel, is used to create smarter products. The examples shows gas turbine nozzles with optimized mixing and cooling geometry for more efficient
combustion processes
> The high power cooler for diode lasers (left) com-bines two different metal materials and offers an outstanding cooling performance in an compact design
> Amorphous metals combine high strength and high hardness with high elasticity and high plas-ticity and further offer high magnetic susceptibi-lity with low coercively and high electrical resistance
Light-weight
design
Source: Rennteam Uni StuttgartHighly
efficient
products
New
materials
Advantages
> Lightweight design and new
ways of manufacturing even
with complex materials
> Creation of new materials with
enhanced characteristics
> Improved geometries for more
efficient products
AM is a key enabler for
new high-tech products
Paths of disruption: New geometries and materials
AM for individual products – Examples
Source: FIT Source: GE Source: Morris Technologies Inc. Source: IQ- Evolution
8 150612 Vortrag EU Cecimo.pptx Water lily
Bionic Design is the design key leavers for ultimate weight reduction
and minimized life cycle cost
Source: Roland Berger, Within, EOS
Paths of disruption: New geometries and materials
Bionic Design in the context of AM
> Natural organism contain no solid parts, but a surface of varying thickness and beneath a lattice structure
> Material is only applied were it absolutely needs to be
> Design determined by functionality and persisting environment
> Components with bionic design have superior weight to stability ratio, can be flexible and sturdy at the same time
> Applicable to maximize surface (A), to maximize strength (B) or to minimize material use (C) > Used for implants with osseointegration (D)
Inspired
by
nature
…
… solves
real
world
problems
Complex bionic design
structures can be only
manufactured by AM
Bone of a bird
Micro cooler (A)
Finger implant (D) Engine block (B, C)
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"Mobile" production and repair are of high interest for e.g. military
applications, decentralized production will impact service business
Source: Roland Berger
> Decentralized production of spare parts on container vessels, oil platforms, space stations, aircraft carriers or in containerized solutions for the ground troops
> Limitations with regard to materials and post processing need to be considered
> Cheap and fast printing of simple plastic assembly tools by the maintenance staff, e.g. bending tools, gauges etc.
> AM supports in general the decentralization of production as the production cost are independent from the lot size, but still AM production cost are significantly higher
> Labor cost nearly of no relevance
> Decentralized production of e.g. spare parts in 3rd parties or OEM AM factories definitely is a
near future application
Mobile
printing
AM for
repair
Decen-tralized
produc-tion
Advantages
> Rapid availability of spare
parts even in remote locations
> Fast and cheap production of
support tooling for
maintenance
> Further decentralization of
production
AM will impact the future
supply chain design
Paths of disruption: Decentralized production
AM for decentralized production – Examples
Container vessel – triple E class Example: Containerized print center for ground forces 3D printed tools
and fighter plane nose
Professional AM Factory by RedEye
10 150612 Vortrag EU Cecimo.pptx
AM covers a wide range of "printing" technologies and materials
offering multiple business opportunities
Overview Additive Manufacturing technologies
Source: Roland Berger
Production Technologies (DIN 8550) Materials > Cell suspension > Cell-encapsulating hydrogels
> Microfluidic fill-in for cells > Bio-filaments
Forming
(Umformen) (Trennen) Cutting Joining (Fügen) (Beschichten) Coating Change of material properties
(Stoffeig. ändern)
Master Forming
(Urformen)
Dimension
1 Materials Plastic Metal
Physical
condition Liquid Powder
2 Technology Powder Bed Fusion
VAT Photo- poly-merization
3 Application Personnel
Printers Series Production
Ceramic, glass Solid, pastrious materials
7 different technologies
Prototypes, Mock ups
Technology/Application > Inkjet printing > Acoustic bioprinting > Laser-induced bioprinting > Laser-guided bioprinting > Extrusion-based deposition
Bio Printing
AM technologies11 150612 Vortrag EU Cecimo.pptx
Foundry sands, lost wax castings,
ceramics, metals
11
AM covers a wide range of materials and applications – Large range
of technologies and applications with plastic materials
Application/ Quantity Series pro-duction/Mass customization Prototypes Mock-ups Personnel Printers Material
Jetting1) Jetting Binder Powder Bed Fusion Jetting Binder Powder Bed Fusion Direct Energy Deposition Jetting Binder
Plastics Metal Material
by laser by electronic beam Material Extrusion UV curable Plastic AM technologies
Additive Manufacturing technologies landscape
1) Stereolithography
Source: Roland Berger
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Additive Manufacturing is a step up from rapid prototyping – Series
production manufacturing readiness level differs by application
Series production manufacturing readiness level
Source: Roland Berger; expert interviews
> Crowns and copings > Artificial hip joints > Medical instruments > Tooling inserts > Fuel injection > Structural elements > Blades > Air ducts > Formula 1 components
Aerospace
Source: FITTooling
Automotive
Source: SLM SolutionsMedical
Full-rate production Low-rate productionPilot line capability demonstrated
Capability in operational environment demonstrated Systems produced (simulated environment) Basic capabilities shown (simulated environment) Technology validated in laboratory environment Manufacturing proof of concept developed Manufacturing concept identified
Basic manufacturing implications identified
Examples
AM technologies13 150612 Vortrag EU Cecimo.pptx
From 2004 to 2014 the AM industry showed a significant growth of
around 20% (CAGR), from 2010 even more than 30% (CAGR)
> Total AMmarket includes – AM Systems (~ 30%), like
machines, system upgrades and aftermarket business
– Services (~ 50%), like contract manufacturing, training,
consulting services etc. – Materials (~20%) used in all
kinds of AM systems > Compared to the machine tool
market for 60 EUR bn the AM market is still small
> Based on 2012 the market is expected to quadruple within the next 10 years
Comments
100 80 60 40 20 120 0 -20 -80 -100 -40 -60 10 48.0 08 54.2 04 06 46.0 41.1 35.5 33.5 29.3 96 00 23e 7.7 33.0 18e 4.5 14 3.1 59.7 13 57.8 12 02 66.7 98 ~10% metal AMSource: Expert interviews; VDMA, Roland Berger et al.
Machine tool market1)
[EUR bn]
1) World machine tool production excl. parts and accessories
30.0% 20.0% 50.0% AM Systems Materials Services AM market [EUR bn]
Global AM market
AM market14 150612 Vortrag EU Cecimo.pptx
In 2014, around 540 metal AM systems were sold worldwide
– More
than 80% of the machines for PBF by laser are from Germany
EXONE 36 R BJ T 28 M 245 E ARCAM 36 R PBF(EBM) 42 228 RENISHAW 443 PBF(LS) 26 3345 3D SYSTEMS 101) PBF(LS) 153) 451) EOS 138 PBF(LS) 1003) 507 SLM SOLUTIONS 33 PBF (LS) 62 164 CONCEPT LASER 181) PBF (LS) 111 591)
Source: Press research, Bloomberg, Orbis, Dafne, Wohlers Associates , Roland Berger
Revenue [EUR m] 2014 Technology Metal AM systems sold in 2014 Employees 2014
R T M E
DED = Directed energy deposition PBF = Powder bed fusion LS = Laser sintering EBM = Electron beam melting BJ = Binder jetting 1) 2013 2) Revenue 2012 for laser deposition seg. 3) RBSC estimate
R T M E R T M E R T M E R T M E TRUMPF 62) DED 9 n.a. R T M E R T M E R T M E REALIZER n.a. PBF(LS) 15 71) R T M E VOXELJET 16 BJ 14 R T M E 200 AM market
Metal AM system manufacturers 2014
> Around 540 metal AM systems have been sold in 2014
> Leading metal AM system
manufacturers are located in Germany
with a combined market share of ca. 60% > Recent consolidation (e.g. 3D Systems
acquired Phenix Systems, DM3D acquired POM)
> Other small companies include Beijing Longyuan (CHN), DM3D (USA), Fabrisonic (USA), Irepa Laser/BeAM (FRA), Insstek (KOR), Matsuura (JPN), OPM Lab (JPN), Sciaky (USA), Optomec (USA), Wuhan Binhu Mech. & Elect. (CHN), Sisma (ITA)
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15
Many service providers for metal AM contract manufacturing exist
worldwide – strong demand from the aerospace industry
Advanced Manufacturing Services Layer Wise
Axis Prototypes RPC Group
3T PRD Laser Lines Material Solutions CRDM
Source: Roland Berger
C&A Tool Engineering ExOne
Fineline Prototyping Directed MFG
GPI Prototype & Manufacturing Services InterPRO
Laser Reproductions
Linear Mold and Engineering Morris Technologies Solid Concepts Ecoparts INITIAL FIT BKL Lasertechnik Blue Production Citim FKM Sintertechnik PTZ-Prototypenzentrum toolcraft Alphaform Edelstahl-Rosswag
Service providers for metal AM contract manufacturing (selection)
> Worldwide, more than 90 companies
provide metal AM manufacturing services
> Most companies are small (<100 employees) and independent
> Approx. 10% of service providers have advanced capabilities for designing difficult applications like aerospace components
> Companies have different backgrounds and different business models
Additional information
16 150612 Vortrag EU Cecimo.pptx
Especially for B2C business the internet offers different platforms for
"online 3D-printing" services
Revenue [EUR m] 2014 Material Employees 2014
R Trinckle 3D GmbH n.a 9 R M E MP Rapidobject GmbH 0.3 n.a R M E MP i.materialize (Materialize NV) 81.4 1,244 R M E MP Sculpteo n.a 10 R M E MP
M = Metal P = Plastic MP= Metal and Plastic
Amazon.com Inc. n.a n.a R M E MP 3D systems Corp. USD 354 m n.a R M E MP Shapeways Inc. c.22 >140 R M E MP
Overview: Selection of 3D printing platforms and revenues 2014
Rinkak (Kabuku Inc.) n.a n.a R M E MP Impression-3D n.a n.a R M E P Ponoko2) n.a n.a R M E MP Offload studios Inc. 0.1 1 R M E P
1) 2013 2) Ponoko was founded and is based in New Zealand, but is represented in the US and in Europe as well E
M
Source: Bloomberg, Press research, company websites, OneSource, Roland Berger
> Many small companies offer platforms for 3D-printing > The selection of providers
indicates that most prominent platforms are based in Europe and North America
> The majority of the players offers printing of metal and plastic parts, only a few focus on plastic parts only
Comments
17 150612 Vortrag EU Cecimo.pptx
Still Europe has a leading role in Additive Manufacturing but
competition from Asia and the US is arising rapidly
Summary and recommendations
Further support by the EU is required to
> Support the European AM equipment suppliers in further developing their product and
service portfolio. Most of them are small medium size (SME) enterprises competing against
large national conglomerates
> Make AM an essential part of engineering education at the universities and in parallel to
develop AM design and manufacturing skills in the industry
> Develop an European AM supplier infrastructure, that can fulfill the industry demand for the
AM components, e.g. for the aerospace industry
> AM is a key enabler for accelerated engineering processes, highly efficient products and
new agile supply chains and further of high strategic relevance for the European industry
> The market for AM is still expected to grow significantly throughout the upcoming 10 years.
Technical applications for prototyping, small series production and "smart" AM products will
be the key driver
> Europe still has a leading role which is challenged by new machine OEMs from Asia and
the US. With regard to product and process development the US have a leading position
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To identify the latest trends around AM and digitalization, Roland
Berger continuously conducts research and publishes studies
Source: Roland Berger
Recent Roland Berger digitalization studies and publications
Digitalization and I 4.0
Semiconductors
Big Data
Additive Manufacturing
Cyber Security
Predictive
Mainten-ance
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Please contact us if you have any further questions
Source: Roland Berger
Dr. Bernhard
Langefeld
Principal Engineered Products/High Tech
OpernTurm, Bockenheimer Landstraße 2-8
D-60306 Frankfurt
Tel.: +49 160 744 6143