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Why is Long-Horizon Equity Less Risky? A Duration-Based Explanation of the Value Premium

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Figure

Table 1: Data Moments of Growth and Value Portfolios
Table 2: Correlation of Growth and Value Portfolios
Table 3: Performance of Growth and Value Portfolios Relative to the CAPM CAPM: R i t − R ft = α i + β i (R mt − R ft ) + ² it G Growth to Value V V-G Portfolio 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 10-1 α i (% per year) E/P -3.09 -1.62 0.69 0.95 0.74 3.25 4.08 5.33 5.60 6.
Table 4: Parameters of the Model ∆d t+1 = g + z t + σ d ² t+1 z t+1 = φ z z t + σ z ² t+1 x t+1 = (1 − φ x )¯ x + φ x x t + σ x ² t+1 M t+1 = exp ½ −r f − 1 2 x 2t − x t σ d ||σ d || ² t+1 ¾ Variable Value g 2.28% r f 1.93% ¯x 0.625 φ z 0.91 φ x 0.87 ||σ d
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