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PREDICTIVE ANALYTICS & CUSTOMER DATA: A LOOK AT THE RETAIL INDUSTRY
PROF. GINO VAN OSSEL
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VALUE PROPOSITION
market test: “collection of heavy items”
50% discount on cost of delivery
1 week time to come & collect
normal delivery time 5 working days
only for who’s living <15 km from the depot
5
41%
collects
DISTANCE TO THE DEPOT?
6 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% < 5 km 5 - 10 km > 10 km 48% 40% 12%
AGENDA
1. big data?
2. pump up the volume 3. omni-channel retail 4. the single view of the
customer
5. predictive analytics 6. conclusion
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9
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who are you ?
name
address
family composition
age & gender
tell me some more ?
do you have pets ?
select your hobbies
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relationship intensity ?
recency
frequency
monetary value
what do you buy ?
basket analysis
customer
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13
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“adepts”4
“potentials”“unlikelies” “never evers”
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17
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AGENDA
1. big data?
2. pump up the volume 3. omni-channel retail 4. the single view of the
customer
5. predictive analytics 6. conclusion
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relationship intensity ?
recency
frequency
monetary value
what do you buy ?
basket analysis
how do you buy ?
customer
data
purchasing
history
orientation
behavior
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25
36% 55% 57% 65% 70% 70% 73%
Consulting online store reviews by consumers
Exploring the offer online before going to a store
Consulting online products reviews by consumers
Looking up online what's for sale in stores before I go shopping Comparing prices of products & services
online
Comparing prices of stores online Looking up more information on
something I saw in a folder
% somewhat to totally agree
source: “Retail in Belgium,” InSites/Vlerick, 2012 (n = +170 statement)
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plus d’info sur
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AGENDA
1. big data?
2. pump up the volume 3. omni-channel retail 4. the single view of the
customer
5. predictive analytics 6. conclusion
mono- channel multi- channel mono- channel
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© Vlerick Business School
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“For technical & operational reasons it is unfortunately not possible to return the goods in a C&A store”
cross- channel multi- channel mono- channel
29/01/2014 21 41 | OMNI-CHANNEL omni- channel cross- channel multi- channel mono- channel
customer centric
commerce
29/01/2014 23 45 growth non-food online +19.2% growth overall retail +1.8% online share of retail +18.6% growth John Lewis online +22.6% growth John Lewis click & collect
+62%
source: British Retail Consortium / KPMG – Dec. 13 (growth is vs. year ago)
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“We are seeing about 34% of (pick-up) visits translating into additional sales in shop and that number is growing
exponentially at the moment.
It’s typically or increasingly for purchases that the customer didn’t think they would make. So it is quite
“the launch of a webshop compares to omnichannel,
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“We started to think about ourselves as a pure play e-commerce company that happened to have really great, differentiated stores
in 500 locations around the world”
Matthew Kaness, chief strategy officer for Urban Outfitters
AGENDA
1. big data?
2. pump up the volume 3. omni-channel retail 4. the single view of the
customer
5. predictive analytics 6. conclusion
FROM SINGLE TO MULTIPLE TOUCHPOINTS
51 Source: “The New Multi-screen World: Understanding Cross-platform Consumer Behavior”, Google, August 2012 (n=1611 US consumers; online survey + 24 hr. log)
SINGLE VIEW OF THE CUSTOMER:
FROM SINGLE TO MULTIPLE TOUCHPOINTS
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SINGLE VIEW OF THE CUSTOMER
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SINGLE VIEW OF THE CUSTOMER
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TRACKING
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AGENDA
1. big data?
2. pump up the volume 3. omni-channel retail 4. the single view of the
customer
5. predictive analytics 6. conclusion
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63 SERVICE 2.0 pre-digital sales associate: knows little about a lot ignorant consumer: knows nothing digital sales associate: knows little about a lot informed consumer: knows a lot about little result conversion: increasing interactions: less & shorter
satisfaction: decreasing
(customer & staff !!)
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from selling towards helping to buy
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from selling to helping to buy…
SERVICE 2.0
AGENDA
1. big data?
2. pump up the volume 3. omni-channel retail 4. the single view of the
customer
5. predictive analytics 6. conclusion
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Jamie Nordstrom head of Nordstrom Direct
“If we focus on the customer, the outcome will be right”
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customer centric
commerce
70customer
data
purchasing
history
orientation
behavior
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big
VOLUME
big
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big
VELOCITY
7475
CONCLUSION
Prof. Gino Van Ossel
Retail management E-commerce & omni-channel Shopper & trade marketing Channel management
@ginovanossel
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CUSTOMISED MANAGEMENT PROGRAMMES
UNLEASH THE TRUE POTENTIAL OF YOUR PEOPLE & YOUR ORGANISATION
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