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February 21, 2017 `

OPERATIONAL LANDSCAPE UNITS FOR SF BAY:

Using nature’s jurisdictions to plan for sea level rise

BCDC ART BAY AREA WORKING GROUP

June 19, 2018

Julie Beagle, Jeremy Lowe, Sam Safran, Katie McKnight, SFEI

Laura Tam, Sarah Jo Szambelan, SPUR

Funded by:

SF Bay Regional Water Quality

Control Board

Marin Community Foundation Moore Foundation

(2)

Goals

of today

Describe the Operational Landscape Unit (OLUS) Project

Project motivation

What are OLUs?

(3)

Create spatial framework

to guide

nature-based adaptation strategies for

sea-level rise

“Nature’s jurisdictions”

Pairing problems with adaptation

measures

in appropriate places

(4)

Project Rationale

1.

Processes that govern the shoreline

happen at the

Bay scale

. Too large

and complex for individual projects.

(5)
(6)

Project Rationale

1.

Processes that govern the shoreline happen at the

Bay scale

. Too large and complex for individual

projects.

2.

Need to

divide up the Bay

into smaller

manageable pieces: Sea level rise won’t stop at

city boundaries.

(7)
(8)

Project Rationale

1.

Processes that govern the shoreline happen at the

Bay scale

. Too large and complex for individual

projects.

2.

Need to

divide up the Bay

into smaller

manageable pieces: Sea level rise won’t stop at

city boundaries.

3.

Risk of the

wrong type

of actions in the

wrong

places,

less resilience, and not all the benefits.

4.

Opportunity to maximize

multi-benefit,

nature-based solutions

. More resilience, most

co-benefits, more adaptable over time.

(9)

How can this be used?

A resource to assist

environmental

review and permitting

Guidance for

restoration practitioners

Inform local and regional

vulnerability

(10)
(11)

Another way of

splitting up the Bay?

• Watersheds

• Poorly defined in flat Baylands

• Bayland Goals segments

• Based on historical wetlands

County boundaries often split creeks

What is the right scale?

Sonoma

Napa

Solano Marin

(12)

Operational

Landscape Units:

Defined

Areas of the

baylands and their watersheds

that

are expected to support a coherent suite of

upland, intertidal, and subtidal ecosystem

functions

as appropriate for

their location in the

Bay,

along with the physical processes of

water

and sediment

needed to sustain these

functions.

Adapted from Verhoeven et al. 2008

upland

intertidal

(13)

0%

80% Percent Slope

(14)

STEEP HEADLANDS + SMALL VALLEYS Hills Alluvial Plain Baylands Shallow Bay Deep Bay 0% 80% Percent Slope

(15)
(16)

STEEP HEADLANDS + SMALL VALLEYS ALLUVIAL PLAIN Hills Alluvial Plain Baylands Shallow Bay Deep Bay 0% 80% Percent Slope

(17)

Surficial

Geology

Holocene Bay Mud

Fine-grained Holocene Alluvium Coarse-grained Holocene Alluvium Late Pleistocene Alluvium

Holocene beach and dune sand Franciscan Assemblage Great Valley Sequence

(18)
(19)

STEEP HEADLANDS + SMALL VALLEYS ALLUVIAL PLAIN WIDE ALLUVIAL VALLEY Hills Alluvial Plain Baylands Shallow Bay Deep Bay 0% 80% Percent Slope

(20)
(21)
(22)
(23)
(24)

SAN PABLO BAY

(25)

WIDE ALLUVIAL

VALLEYS

OLU breaks between major tidalsheds

Used to split otherwise contiguous baylands

e.g. Suisun Slough drainage vs. Montezuma Slough drainage Napa-Sonoma drainage vs. Petaluma drainage

Dividing geomorphic units along

the shoreline

ALLUVIAL FANS &

ALLUVIAL PLAINS

OLU breaks at the apex of alluvial fans

Generally located where the baylands are relatively narrow

e.g. Alameda Creek fan apex @ Dumbarton Point San Mateo Creek fan @ Coyote Point

HEADLANDS &

SMALL VALLEYS

OLU breaks at the apex ofmajor points

Determined where distance to deep water reached a local minimum

(26)

Area of analysis

Back boundary

○ Baylands + 5 m SLR + Transition zone with SLR

Side boundaries

(27)

Subtidal

boundary

Influence of wave height on critical depth of resuspension

(28)
(29)

Watershed inputs

Sediment loads

Freshwater (Rivers and Creeks)

Nutrients

Creek-Bay Interfaces

(30)

Marshes &

tidal flats

(31)

Wave heights

(32)

Bayshore Inventory (SFEP DWR Prop 84)

(33)

Low-density residential Low-density commercial and industrial High-density downtowns Open Space Small-lot residential with mixed use Job-dense suburban centers

(34)
(35)

Corte Madera San Rafael Carquinez South Mission-Islais Alameda Mowry

(36)
(37)

Nature based measures (examples)

Oyster reef creation

Submerged vegetation restoration

Mudflat augmentation

Beach creation (sand, cobble, shell)

Marsh restoration (various)

Polder management

Horizontal levee creation

Migration zone preparation

Adaptation measures

Regulatory, Financial, Policy tools

Easements

Building restrictions

Policy changes

Zoning changes or overlays

Buyouts

Transfer of Development Rights

(38)

Pairing Problems with Measures

Problem

Cause

Example measure

Wave overtopping or erosion of levee with wide foreshore

Large waves reach levee Marsh, fine beach, horizontal levee Waves overtopping or erosion with

narrow foreshore

Close to deep water Coarse beach

Combined flooding Loss of floodplain Retention basins, setback levee

Combined flooding Channel conveyance Tidal restoration, geomorphic channels Loss of marsh area Wave erosion of scarp Coarse beach, oyster reef

Loss of elevation capital Low accretion rate Strategic placement No space to migrate marsh Development up to levee Horizontal levee

(39)

Horizontal levees

Methods and notes:

For each OLU determined approximate needed levee height: = storm surge height + swell height + SLR

Based on height, determined needed levee width assuming slope of 1:30 ● Mapped horizontal levee opportunities where potential marsh habitats

(see “Marsh restoration”) at least this wide front developed areas (NLCD 2011)

Potential marsh

Developed areas

Horizontal levee opportunity

500-year storm surge height 1.5 m SLR 100-year swell height

Needed levee height

1:30 slope

Needed levee width

* strongly influenced by high swell along outer parts of OLU; plan to recalculate for inner bay only

(40)

Horizontal levees

Methods and notes:

For each OLU determined approximate needed

levee height:

= storm surge height + swell height + SLR ● Based on height, determined needed levee

width assuming slope of 1:30

● Mapped horizontal levee opportunities where potential marsh habitats (see “Marsh restoration”) at least this wide front

(41)

Submerged vegetation restoration Oyster reef

creation Mudflat augmentation Beach creation

Polder

management Tidal marsh restoration

Horizontal levee

construction Migration space preparation

Analysis in

(42)

Measures by OLU type

DRAFT

(43)

Vulnerability

(44)

Physical

Processes &

Drivers

Also sediment load (see large map)

(45)

Richardson Bay

s

Opportunities MapS

lack of migration spaced

low elevation capitald

creek floodingd

combined fluvial flooding

(46)
(47)

Technical Advisory Committee

Peter Baye, Coastal Ecologist

Mark Stacey, UC Berkeley

Roger Leventhal, Marin County Flood

Kristina Hill, UC Berkeley

Andy Gunther

Regional Advisory Committee

Luisa Valiela, EPA

Naomi Feger, RB2

Lindy Lowe, formerly BCDC

Matt Gerhart, SCC

Caitlin Sweeney, SFEP

David Lewis, Save the Bay

Technical

feedback

(48)

Check out the “All Data” tab

of the

Resilience Atlas:

Resilienceatlas.sfei.org

or

sfei.org/projects/OLUs

(49)

February 21, 2017

Contact Us:

Julieb@sfei.org Jeremyl@sfei.org

THANK YOU

Thanks to our team: Katie McKnight, Sam Safran, Letitia Grenier Laura Tam, Sarah Jo Szambelan, SPUR

Funded by: SF Bay Regional Water Quality Control Board (thank you!)

References

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