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2020 Election Results. November 2020

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2020 Election Results

November 2020

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2

2020 Election: Cicely’s Key Takeaways

Top 5 Takeaways

1. Two Key Numbers Drove Results: Early Votes & COVID Cases

2.

Blue Wave

became

Blue Shift

3. Shy

Biden

Voter v. Secret

Trump

Voter

4. Minority Populations Drive Turnout; Not a One Size Fits All Approach

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3

2020 Election: Key Takeaway - Early Votes Exceed 103.2 Million

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2020 Election: Key Takeaway - COVID Cases Increase Prior to Election Day

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231,000 Americans died from COVID

Cases & hospitalizations at all time high

in 44 states

U.S. surpassed 100,000 cases per day

COVID-19 - #1 issue for voters

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2020 Election

Presidential Race

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Source: 270toWin

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7

Presidential Results – 1996, 2000

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8

Presidential Races – 2004, 2008

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Presidential Races – 2012, 2016

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2020 Election: Presidential Race

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2020 Election:

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12

Voter Attitudes About

COVID-19

2020 Election:

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(14)

14

2020 Election

U.S. Senate

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2020 Election: U.S. Senate

Senate control remains in flux

and will be a determinative

factor in a Biden

Administration Agenda.

Both parties are preparing for

runoffs in Georgia’s two

Senate seats on January 5,

2021.

For Democrats to lead the

Senate, they need to win both

Georgia runoff races which

would result in a 50-50 Senate;

Vice President Kamala Harris

would be the tie vote.

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16

Democrats

48

Republicans

50

Source: Bloomberg Government; The Associated Press as of Nov. 11 as of 9 p.m. EST

Note: Yellow indicates independents caucus with Democrats; gray indicates uncalled or runoff races

Georgia Runoffs (Jan. 5, 2021)

• Sen. David Perdue (R) faces Jon Ossoff (D) • Sen. Kelly Loeffler (R) faces Raphael

Warnock (D)

Incoming Freshmen

• Bill Hagerty (R-TN)

• John Hickenlooper (D-CO) • Mark Kelly (D-AZ

• Ben Ray Luján (D-NM) • Cynthia Lummis (R-WY) • Roger Marshall (R-KS) • Tommy Tuberville (R-AL)

Defeated Incumbent Senators

• Cory Gardner (R-CO) defeated by Hickenlooper

• Doug Jones (D-AL) defeated by Tuberville • Martha McSally (R-AZ) defeated by Kelly

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2020 Election: Record Fundraising $13.9 Billion

Source: Bloomberg Government

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2020 Election: Georgia Runoff

Jon Ossoff

David Perdue

Sen. David Perdue (R) is seeking a second term

against Jon Ossoff (D), a documentary film

producer who raised $30 million in 2017 for a

nationally watched House special election

Perdue defeated Michelle Nunn (D) in 2014, 53%-45%

Race Results

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2020 Election: Georgia Runoff

Raphael Warnock

Kelly Loeffler

Sen. Kelly Loeffler (R) will face pastor Raphael Warnock

(D) in a Jan. 5. 2021, runoff

• Loeffler was appointed in January 2020 to succeed

Johnny Isakson (R), who was re-elected 55%-41% in 2016

• Multiple candidates shared the same all-party ballot in the

special election

Race Results

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117th Congress: Senate Democratic Leadership

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Democratic Leader & Chair of Conference Sen. Chuck Schumer (D-NY)

Democratic Whip Sen. Dick Durbin (D-IL)

Assistant Democratic Leader Sen. Patty Murray (D-WA)

Democratic Conference Vice Chair Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA)

Democratic Policy and Communications Committee Chair

Sen. Debbie Stabenow (D-MI)

Democratic Conference Vice Chair Sen. Mark Warner (D-VA)

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117th Congress: Senate Democratic Leadership

Chair of Outreach Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT)

Democratic Policy & Communications Committee Vice Chair

Sen. Joe Manchin (D-WV)

Vice Chair of Outreach

Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto (D-NV) Democratic Policy & Communications

Committee Vice Chair Sen. Cory Booker (D-NJ)

Democratic Steering Committee Chair

Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D-MN) Secretary of the Conference

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117th Congress: Senate Republican Leadership

22

Republican Leader Sen. Mitch McConnell (R-KY)

Republican Whip Sen. John Thune (R-SD)

Republican Conference Chair Sen. John Barrasso (R-WY)

Republican Policy Committee Chair Sen. Roy Blunt (R-MO

RSCC Chair Sen. Rick Scott (R-FL)

Republican Conference Vice Chair Sen. Joni Ernst (R-IA)

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2020 Election

U.S. House

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Source: Bloomberg Government

2020 Election: U.S. House

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25

Democrats

220

Republicans

204

2020 Election: U.S. House Balance of Power

Source: Bloomberg Government Note: Gray indicates uncalled races - 11

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2020 Election: U.S. House By the Numbers

Defeated in General

IA-01 – Abby Finkenauer (D)

FL-26 – Debbie Mucarsel-Powell (D) FL-27 – Donna Shalala (D)

MN-07 – Collin Peterson (D)

OK-05 – Kendra Horn (D) SC-01 – Joe Cunningham (D) NM-02 – Xochitl Torres Small (D)

Defeated in Primary

CO-03 – Scott Tipton (R) FL-15 – Ross Spano (R) IA-04 – Steve King (R) IL-03 – Dan Lipinski (D)

KS-02 – Steve Watkins (R) MO-01 – Lacy Clay (D) NY-16 – Eliot Engel (D)

VA-05 – Denver Riggleman (R)

Defeated for Other Office

AL-01 – Bradley Byrne (R), lost Senate primary

GA-09 – Doug Collins (R), defeated in Senate special election MA-04 – Joe Kennedy (D), lost Senate primary

UT-01 – Rob Bishop (R), lost primary for lieutenant governor

Did Not Seek Re-election

AL-02 – Martha Roby (R) CA-53 – Susan Davis (D) FL-03 – Ted Yoho (R) FL-19 – Francis Rooney (R) GA-07 – Rob Woodall (R) HI-02 – Tulsi Gabbard (D) IA-02 – Dave Loebsack (D) IL-15 – John Shimkus (R) IN-01 – Pete Visclosky (D) IN-05 – Susan Brooks (R) LA-05 – Ralph Abraham (R) MI-03 – Justin Amash (L) MI-10 – Paul Mitchell (R) NC-02 – George Holding (R)

NC-06 – Mark Walker (R) NY-02 – Peter King (R) NY-15 – José Serrano (D) NY-17 – Nita Lowey (D) OR-02 – Greg Walden (R) TN-01 – Phil Roe (R) TX-11 – Michael Conaway (R) TX-13 – Mac Thornberry (R) TX-17 – Bill Flores (R) TX-22 – Pete Olson (R) TX-23 – Will Hurd (R) TX-24 – Kenny Marchant (R) WI-05 – Jim Sensenbrenner (R)

Source: Bloomberg Government

Elected to Other Office

CA-08 – Paul Cook (R), elected to San Bernardino County Board of Supervisors KS-01 – Roger Marshall (R), elected to Senate

MT-AL – Greg Gianforte (R), elected governor NM-03 – Ben Ray Luján (D), elected to Senate

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117th Congress: House Democratic Leadership

Democratic Caucus Vice Chair Rep. Pete Aguilar (D-CA)

27

Speaker of the House Rep. Nancy Pelosi (D-CA)

Democratic Majority Leader Rep. Steny Hoyer (D-MD)

Democratic Majority Whip Rep. Jim Clyburn (D-SC)

Assistant Democratic Leader Rep. Katherine Clark (D-MA)

Democratic Caucus Leadership Representative

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Rep. Debbie Dingell (D-MI) Rep. Ted Lieu (D-CA) Rep. Matt Cartwright (D-PA) Rep. Joe Neguse (D-CO)

117th Congress: House Democratic Leadership

28

Democratic Policy and Communications Committee Co-Chairs

DCCC Chair – Two Members are vying for DCCC Chair. Election will occur after Thanksgiving.

Rep. Tony Cardenas (D-CA)

Rep. Sean Patrick Maloney (D-NY)

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29

117th Congress: House Republican Leadership

House Minority Leader

Rep. Kevin McCarthy (R-CA)

Minority Republican Whip Rep. Steve Scalise (R-LA)

Republican Conference Chair Rep. Liz Cheney (R-WY)

Republican Conference Vice Chair Rep. Mike Johnson (R-LA)

Republican Conference Secretary Rep. Richard Hudson (R-NC)

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30

117th Congress: House Republican Leadership

Republican Policy Committee Chair

Rep. Gary Palmer (R-AL)

NRCC Chair

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31

2020 Election

Governors

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32

2020 Election

Gubernatorial

Races

(33)

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