PEDIATRICS (ISSN 0031 4005). Copyright © 1986 by the American Academy of Pediatrics.
COMMENTARIES
1143
black populations as valid reasons for a renewed
push to reduce infant mortality. No group has a
greater reason for concern and action than the
American Academy of Pediatrics. We would like
for every Academy Fellow to make himself or
her-self knowledgeable on this subject and become an effective advocate for further change on the local
scene.
REFERENCES
MARTIN H. SMITH, MD, FAAP
President
American Academy of Pediatrics
1. Wegman ME: Annual summary of vital statistics-1985.
Pediatrics 1986;78:983-994
2. American Academy of Pediatrics, Task Force on Infant Mortality: Statement on infant mortality. Pediatrics 1986; 78:1155-1160
3. Preventing Low Birth Weight, report of a study by a com-mittee of the Institute of Medicine. Washington, DC, Na-tional Academy Press, February 1985
4. Southern Regional Task Force on Infant Mortality: Final Report-1985. Washington, DC, Southern Governors
Asso-ciation, 1985
Low
Birth Weight,
Vital
Records,
and Infant
Mortality
About one tenth of all infant deaths occur in
babies weighing less than 500 g at birth, almost all
of whom die very shortly thereafter. In 1983, when
the United States reported 3,638,933 live births, 4,368 of them were less than 500 g; that year there
were 26,507 neonatal deaths. This means that
slightly more than 0.1% of all live births
contrib-uted to 17% of neonatal mortality. Given this order
of magnitude, any change in the numbers relating
to these tiny babies can have a disproportionate
influence on reported infant mortality and on
in-terstate comparisons. Two questions promptly arise. How accurate and meaningful are the data
regarding babies born weighing less than 500 g?
What can be done to decrease the deaths in this
category?
Wilson et a!’ call attention to how the number of
very low birth weight infants reported by a state
may be affected by the state’s definition of a live
birth. The World Health Organization (WHO)
def-inition, which the US Public Health Service
rec-ommends that all states follow, specifies, in essence,
that any product of gestation which, after complete
separation from the mother, shows any one of four signs of life (breathing, heart beat, voluntary
mus-cle movement, or umbilical cord pulsation) is to be
reported as a live birth. Within our federal system,
however, each state is legally empowered to adopt
its own precise definition and regulations. Not all
are in accord with the Public Health Service
rec-ommendation.
In fact, as Wilson et al’ point out, only 33 states
have adopted the WHO definition in all its details.
Many state regulations differ from the specific
wording of the WHO definition in only a minor
way, but Ohio has departed significantly. Ohio
re-jects the definition of a live birth as “any product
of gestation” and establishes a minimum of 20
weeks of gestation as a criterion for a live birth. The definitional question is further complicated
by changes that may take place in state law. In
Michigan, for example, a new Public Health Code
adopted in 1978 led to a new State Health
Depart-ment regulation on “live birth” promulgated in
1981. In this revision, many of the details of the
WHO definition that had been previously included
were omitted. There is now neither reference to
duration of gestation nor specification of signs of
life. Nevertheless, authorities in Michigan believe
there have been no real changes in reporting
prac-tice since the new regulation took effect.
Nationwide data for 1983 analyzed by Wilson
and her colleagues show that there was indeed
substantial variation among the 50 states, both in
the rates of birth of infants weighing less than 500
g and in the proportion these babies constituted of
the state’s total neonatal deaths. On the other hand, the variation seemed to be essentially independent
of the legal definition of a live birth. The Ohio
rates, for example, indicate that approximately 195 infants were born at less than 500 g, an unlikely
figure under a 20-week gestation rule. There were
other inconsistencies. Because the proportion of
low birth weight infants among the black
popula-tion is regularly twice that among whites, one would
expect states with a large black population to have
a higher rate of babies with birth weight of less
than 500 g. Mississippi, however, is reported to
have had a 1983 rate of 1.2 births of babies less
than 500 g per 1,000 total births, whereas Vermont
had a rate of 1.6. Yet, in Mississippi 48% of all 1983
births were black as against 0.3% in Vermont.
All this lends support to the inference that what
is likely to be more important than differences in
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1 144 PEDIATRICS Vol.
78 No. 6 December
1986
regulations per se are differences in local practice, either in applying the legal definition or in puttingthe correct information on the birth certificate. For
example, rates might be affected considerably if,
despite a state’s adoption of the precise WHO
def-inition, all babies who did not breathe were
rou-tinely considered stillborn because no great
diii-gence was exercised in searching for a heart beat or
movement of voluntary muscle. Such a practice
would, of course, compound the problem of
inter-state or intercity comparison. As I have pointed out
repeatedly in the “Annual Summary of Vital
Sta-tistics”2 rates in some states and cities are affected
seriously because a border is crossed to obtain
med-ical care.
Another aspect of the accuracy problem is the
question of how the weight is recorded on the birth
certificate; an example might be reading 5 lb as 500
g. Some light is thrown on the situation when birth
and death records are routinely matched, because
birth certificates provide information on the
char-acteristics of baby and parents, not ordinarily
pres-ent on the death certificate. Michigan, like a
num-ber of other states, searches for a birth certificate
when a death is reported in the first year. In
addi-tion, whenever a birth is reported of a baby
weigh-ing less than 1,000 g, an investigation is undertaken
if a death certificate does not turn up in the
ordi-nary course of events. Michigan experience suggests
that as many as 5% to 7% of infants whose birth
weight is reported at less than 1,000 g actually have
higher weights. An even larger proportion of these
errors may occur within the less than 500-g group.
Thus, without careful follow-up, the number of
infants weighing less than 500 g may be overstated,
making it seem that a higher proportion of births
are in this weight group.
A constant difficulty in interpreting infant
mor-tality data is underreporting of births, deaths, or
both. In a recent editorial in the American Journal
of Public Health, Kleinman3 reviewed
underreport-ing from a historical perspective. For many years,
underreporting of births in the United States was
so prevalent that statistical adjustment was
re-quired to approximate the true situation more
closely. This practice was discontinued in 1959, but
David4 suggests that the problem has not been
entirely resolved. He noted that in seven southern
states the proportion of nonwhite births in
hospi-tals more than doubled between 1950 and 1967. One
might think that this change, in addition to being
conductive to greater availability of medical care,
would have led to more reporting of births (the
denominator of the fraction “infant deaths/live
births”) and, consequently, a lower infant mortality
rate. Yet, the infant mortality rate in nonwhite
infants declined only slightly during the period. One
possible explanation is that, because low birth weight infants born outside the hospital often die
quickly, and may be buried without an undertaker,
they may not have been reported as births or deaths. David’s suggestion that the move into hos-pitals led to increases in both the numerator and
denominator of the infant mortality fraction is
supported by the observation that, although 8.37%
of nonwhite infants in the seven states were
re-ported with a birth weight of less than 2,500 g in
1950, the proportion increased to 13.34% in 1967,
an increase of 62%.
Kieinman3 believes that underreporting of
out-of-hospital births and deaths may also be a serious
problem in groups like undocumented aliens. He
conjectures that if even 5% of births to Latino
mothers in California were not reported and 25%
of them died-not an unreasonable
assumption-the rate of fetal and infant deaths in Mexican-born
mothers would have doubled. Furthermore,
un-derreporting is not limited to out-of-hospital births,
as shown by recent studies in Kentucky and
Geor-gia.5’6
These observations, as well as the paper by
Wil-son and collaborators, reinforce the need to take
into account differences in population composition
and in accuracy of vital records when comparing
different states or countries. If there is systematic
underreporting or inaccuracy of data for any
seg-ment of the population and that segment has, in
fact, a higher death rate, the total figures will be
distorted.
One way to derive useful information, rather than
comparing two states for a given year, is to study
trends over a number of years.7’8 If it is assumed
that there has been no major change in procedures
or practice, trend analysis may lead to valid
conclu-sions for one state as well as in comparison with
others. By analyzing trends over the period 1968 to
1983, Kleinman7 has identified nine states that had
infant mortality trends less favorable than the
na-tional average.
Finally, the other issue-what can be done to
decrease mortality among low birth weight
in-fants-is thornier. Identifying the size of the
prob-lem through the use of vital records is a beginning.
At present, treatment of extremely low birth weight
infants is long drawn out, very costly to limited
resources, and, in the case of infants weighing less
than 500 g at birth, uniformly unsuccessful. Much
the more promising avenue is prevention. Yet, the
proportion of pregnant women in the United States
benefiting from so simple and proven a technique
as routine prenatal care actually decreased for both
white and black mothers between 1981 and 1982.’
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PEDIATRICS (ISSN 0031 4005). Copyright © 1986 by the American Academy of Pediatrics.
COMMENTARIES 1145
Prevention is much less glamorous than use of
modern neonatal technology, involves a
socioeco-nomic as well as medial approach, and is by no
means cost free. The long-term results, however,
are well worth the investment. Attention certainly
must be paid the improving accuracy and
compar-ability of vital statistics, but we need even more to
attack the underlying reasons for deaths that need
not occur. In most of the other countries of the
world that have infant mortality rates lower than
that of the United States, the proportion of babies
born at low birth weight is distinctly lower than in
the United States. This success should stimulate us
to greater action.
REFERENCES
1.
MYRON E. WEGMAN, MD
University of Michigan
School of Public Health
Ann Arbor
Wilson AL, Fenton LI, Munson DP: State reporting of live births of newborns weighing less than 500 grams: Impact on neonatal mortality rates. Pediatrics 1986;78:850-854
2. Wegman ME: Annual summary of vital statistics, 1984.
Pediatrics 1985;76:861-871
3. Kleinman JC: Underreporting of infant deaths: Then and now. Am J Publw Health 1986;76:365-366
4. David RI: Did low birth weight among U.S. blacks really increase? Am J Public Health 1986;76:380-384
5. McCarthy BJ, Terry J, Rochat RW, et al: The underregis-tration of neonatal deaths: Georgia 1974-1977. Am J Public Health 1980;70:977-982
6. Centers for Disease Control: Birthweight-Specific neonatal mortality rates-Kentucky. MMWR 1985;34:487-488 7. Kleinman JC: State trends in infant mortality, 1968-1983.
Am J Public Health 1986;76:681-687
8. Zemach R: Comments on ‘state trends in infant mortality.’
Am J Public Health 1986;76:688
Accumulating
Evidence:
Using
Meta-Analysis
to Carry
Out
Research
Reviews
in
Pediatrics
In pediatric research, as in most fields, new
find-ings generate the most excitement. Summarizing
old ones has traditionally been a task assigned to
research assistants. But as research results
accu-mulate, should we make stronger efforts to see what
a body of research, taken overall, tells us? And
would systematic methods to do this improve on
the ad hoc or idiosyncratic efforts of the past?
In this spirit, several books and articles have
recently appeared describing procedures called
meta-analysis.’9 They urge both researchers and
policymakers to improve the quality of research
reviews by making them more systematic, and they
outline simple but concrete techniques for doing
this. The authors of these books and papers express dismay at the poor quality of most research reviews
and offer suggestions for strengthening them. Their
underlying theme is that planning a review brings
up certain decisions, and how they are made will
ultimately drive a review. What are these key
de-cisions?
WHAT QUESTION IS A REVIEW ORGANIZED TO ANSWER?
In my experience, there are at least three: (1) For
a treatment or therapy or drug, what is its effect on
average? (2) Where and with whom is a treatment
particularly effective? (3) Will it work here? What
are practical guidelines for implementing a
treat-ment in a particular place?
An example of how a research review emphasizes
different answers depending upon the question is
recent work by Hauser-Cram and Shonkoff.’#{176} They
summarize results of 31 studies of the value of early
intervention for disabled infants and their families.
All of them focused on children less than 3 years of
age, who were raised at home or in a foster home
(not a residential facility) and who had a physically
identifiable handicapping condition. Among these
studies, the value of early intervention “on the
average” is more than .5 SD. A highly positive
result.
Does the review offer any insights about how to
organize such interventions better in the future?
Can we learn from past experience? Hauser-Cram
and Shonkoff’#{176} examine the question of where and
with whom these programs work especially well,
and the results are interesting. Interventions
de-signed for children categorized as “developmentally
delayed” offer significantly greater benefits than
those designed for mentally retarded children. The
smallest positive impact comes from programs for
children with orthopedic handicaps.
Finally, the reviewers ask whether an early
inter-vention program works well in a specific place or
at a certain time-what do the studies teach us?
The answer is, quite a lot. For example, they find
an interaction between severity of disability and
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1986;78;1143
Pediatrics
MYRON E. WEGMAN
Low Birth Weight, Vital Records, and Infant Mortality
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1986;78;1143
Pediatrics
MYRON E. WEGMAN
Low Birth Weight, Vital Records, and Infant Mortality
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