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Choice probabilities in the declining expectations model

The Role of Expectations in a Specialization-driven Growth Model with Endogenous Technology Choice

The Role of Expectations in a Specialization-driven Growth Model with Endogenous Technology Choice

... the model of Murphy, Shleifer, and Vishny, when the market is not large, no firm could gener- ate sufficient demand to make adoption of an increasing returns technology profitable, even though simultaneous adoption ...

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Analytic approximations for computing probit choice probabilities

Analytic approximations for computing probit choice probabilities

... probit model has long been used in transport applications; as the basis for mode- and route- choice in computing network flows, and in other choice contexts when estimating preference ...probit ...

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Optimal Policy to Influence Individual Choice Probabilities

Optimal Policy to Influence Individual Choice Probabilities

... the choice of best occupation is accomplished with only partial ...of choice made by individuals. Following a model proposed by Tinbergen (1951) and developed by Houthakker (1974), we use Luce’s ...

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Ordered choice probabilities in random utility models

Ordered choice probabilities in random utility models

... We believe that rankings are more likely to matter with increasingly com- plex technologies, larger variety of goods and services, which make individual choices for the best alternative more dicult. A recent body of the ...

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Optimal Policy to Influence Individual Choice Probabilities

Optimal Policy to Influence Individual Choice Probabilities

... the choice of best occupation is accomplished with only partial ...of choice made by individuals. Following a model proposed by Tinbergen (1951) and developed by Houthakker (1974), we use Luce’s ...

10

Optimal Policy to Influence Individual Choice Probabilities

Optimal Policy to Influence Individual Choice Probabilities

... a model in which government may affect outcomes by manipulating individual choice probabilities through the design of the domain of choice or the use of fi scal ...

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Cyclical Occupational Choice in a Model with Rational Wage Expectations and Perfect Occupational Mobility

Cyclical Occupational Choice in a Model with Rational Wage Expectations and Perfect Occupational Mobility

... other model aimed at explaining cycles in occupational ...his model the assumption of myopic wage expectations is replaced by that of rational wage ex- pectations so that occupations are ranked by ...

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Subjective Probabilities in Choice Experiments' Design: Three Essays

Subjective Probabilities in Choice Experiments' Design: Three Essays

... subjective probabilities are important because they explain behaviors under risk and uncertainty and thus, can be used in risk-oriented behavioral models that incorporate them, such as the subjective expected ...

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Physician Income Expectations and Specialty Choice

Physician Income Expectations and Specialty Choice

... Income expectations play a central role in many economic studies, particularly studies of schooling decisions and occupational ...income expectations and therefore must make assumptions about how ...

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Vehicle Choice Behavior and the Declining Market Share of U.S. Automakers

Vehicle Choice Behavior and the Declining Market Share of U.S. Automakers

... However, as noted, an outside good does not control for these attributes; hence, the conditional density is likely to be incorrectly inferred from the population density. In our view, the distribution of preferences ...

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Choice of Prizes Allocated by Multiple Lotteries with Endogenously Determined Probabilities

Choice of Prizes Allocated by Multiple Lotteries with Endogenously Determined Probabilities

... investigation experimentally in a conflict situation that allows for both strategic and outcome uncertainties. The CCP game was introduced to model interactive decision situations in which agents have to choose ...

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Transition choice probabilities and welfare analysis in random utility models

Transition choice probabilities and welfare analysis in random utility models

... dynamic model. It is easy to consider situations, and model situations where individuals have some probability to inherit a new error term (for some or all alternatives) when a change has ...the ...

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GENDER DIFFERENCES IN MAJOR CHOICE AND COLLEGE ENTRANCE PROBABILITIES IN BRAZIL

GENDER DIFFERENCES IN MAJOR CHOICE AND COLLEGE ENTRANCE PROBABILITIES IN BRAZIL

... ENTRANCE PROBABILITIES IN BRAZIL ∗ (PRELIMINARY VERSION) ALEJANDRA TRAFERRI † PONTIFICIA UNIVERSIDAD CAT ´ OLICA DE CHILE ...major choice and col- lege entrance probabilities in University of ...

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Gender Differences in Major Choice and College Entrance Probabilities in Brazil

Gender Differences in Major Choice and College Entrance Probabilities in Brazil

... major choice and col- lege entrance probabilities in University of Campinas, a Brazilian public university dependent on the State of S˜ ao ...entrance probabilities and preferences. I propose a ...

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Capturing Preferences Under Incomplete Scenarios Using Elicited Choice Probabilities.

Capturing Preferences Under Incomplete Scenarios Using Elicited Choice Probabilities.

... (RUM) model (McFadden [15, 16]) provides the founda- tion of most discrete choice analyses in transportation, housing and a wide array of consumer ...a choice among the available alternatives, know ...

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Capturing preferences under incomplete scenarios using elicited choice probabilities

Capturing preferences under incomplete scenarios using elicited choice probabilities

... (RUM) model (McFadden [15, 16]) provides the founda- tion of most discrete choice analyses in transportation, housing and a wide array of consumer ...a choice among the available alternatives, know ...

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Using elicited choice probabilities in hypothetical elections to study decisions to vote

Using elicited choice probabilities in hypothetical elections to study decisions to vote

... voting probabilities in hypothetical election ...voting probabilities with election characteristics and through estimation of a random utility model of ...a model fit to ALP data on ...

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A Joint Specification Test for Response Probabilities in Unordered Multinomial Choice Models

A Joint Specification Test for Response Probabilities in Unordered Multinomial Choice Models

... the model is misspecified or poorly approximates the true ...multinomial choice models with unordered outcome ...response probabilities that an option is chosen from multiple alternatives, and ...

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Probabilities and certainties within a causally symmetric model

Probabilities and certainties within a causally symmetric model

... n n 2 P f i  f i (15) Now this standard formulation raises obvious concerns. If the two measurements are spacelike separated, the description is not Lorentz invariant because the time order of the measurements will ...

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Estimating transition probabilities for the illness-death model

Estimating transition probabilities for the illness-death model

... method choice, at least for the s values we are ...pation probabilities, but calculation of transition probabilities for s > 0 should be handled with ...

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