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forecasting tourist arrivals

Forecasting tourist arrivals to Turkey

Forecasting tourist arrivals to Turkey

... and forecasting tourist arrivals: the causal econometric approach and the time series ...total tourist arrivals (Song & Li, ...on tourist arrivals; they have indicated ...

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Modelling and Forecasting Tourist Arrivals to Cambodia: An Application of ARIMA-GARCH Approach

Modelling and Forecasting Tourist Arrivals to Cambodia: An Application of ARIMA-GARCH Approach

... International tourist arrivals are the crucial source of revenue for many developed and developing ...adequately tourist arrivals and their associated volatility with its order of ...and ...

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Forecasting Tourist Arrivals in Prague: Google Econometrics

Forecasting Tourist Arrivals in Prague: Google Econometrics

... predicting tourist arrivals and overnight stays in ...for forecasting tourist arrivals and overnight stays in Prague, as well as whether higher fre- quency data (weekly data) outperform ...

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Forecasting Tourist Arrivals Using Origin Country Macroeconomics

Forecasting Tourist Arrivals Using Origin Country Macroeconomics

... demand forecasting. The consensus is that forecasting tourist arrivals is necessary for tourism planning, policy decision making, as well as, budgeting issues by tourism operators, especially ...

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Forecasting Tourist Arrivals: Google Trends Meets Mixed Frequency Data

Forecasting Tourist Arrivals: Google Trends Meets Mixed Frequency Data

... predicting tourist demand while making the following contributions to the field: First, the paper is focused on a possible connection between internet searching and tourist arrivals in real ...

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Modelling and Forecasting Tourist Arrivals to Cambodia: An Application of ARIMA GARCH Approach

Modelling and Forecasting Tourist Arrivals to Cambodia: An Application of ARIMA GARCH Approach

... sample forecasting or say ex-post and ex- ante ...conventionally. Forecasting in macroeconomic or financial data is widely acknowledged since it has played an important catalyst for policy makers as well as ...

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Forecasting international regional arrivals in Canada

Forecasting international regional arrivals in Canada

... Tourism forecasting has been an important component in tourism research and different approaches have been used to generate forecasts of tourism ...for forecasting tourist arrivals ...arrival ...

281

The ARDL Approach to Cointegration Analysis of Tourism Demand in Turkey: with Greece as the substitution destination

The ARDL Approach to Cointegration Analysis of Tourism Demand in Turkey: with Greece as the substitution destination

... In this section we report estimation results of the bounds tests for cointegration between Turkey and 13 countries, share of tourist arrivals from which composed 65 percent from total tourist ...

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United Kingdom and United States Tourism Demand for Malaysia:A Cointegration Analysis

United Kingdom and United States Tourism Demand for Malaysia:A Cointegration Analysis

... In general, the literature on modeling tourism demand focuses either on analysis of the effects of the various determinants and/or on the accurate forecasting of tourism demand. During the past two decades, ...

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A case study of an emerging tourist destination at namchi in south sikkim

A case study of an emerging tourist destination at namchi in south sikkim

... major tourist destination in Sikkim with the coming up Siddhesvara Total tourist arrival (domestic and was recorded at 162,747 in the year 2013 and 242,154 in 2014 touching the growth rate at 33 ...of ...

6

Predicting disaggregated tourist arrivals in Sierra Leone using ARIMA model

Predicting disaggregated tourist arrivals in Sierra Leone using ARIMA model

... of Tourist Arrivals (Business, Conference, Holiday, Others, Visit and Tour), with a maximum of 11 scalar AR (p) and MA (q) ...for forecasting the given out-of-sample range in the short-term ...

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Analysis of District Wise Tourist Arrivals in Tamil Nadu India

Analysis of District Wise Tourist Arrivals in Tamil Nadu India

... The state Tamil Nadu located on the southern part of India, which shares its border with Andhra Pradesh in North, Bay of Bengal in East, Indian Ocean and Arabian Sea in the south, Kerala in the West and Karnataka in the ...

6

Predicting disaggregated tourist arrivals in Sierra Leone using ARIMA model

Predicting disaggregated tourist arrivals in Sierra Leone using ARIMA model

... then outputted based on the Akaike Information Criterion (AIC), hence making it possible to reveal the best choice of out-of-sample forecast for each component from 2019M04 to 2019M12. The summary statistics in Table 1 ...

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An Empirical Investigation on Macroeconomic Determinants of Tourist Arrivals to Sri Lanka

An Empirical Investigation on Macroeconomic Determinants of Tourist Arrivals to Sri Lanka

... the tourist attraction factors by the ...influence tourist arrivals. It is widely acknowledged tourist arrivals contributes to economic growth through its various impacts, such as ...

8

Migration and Tourist Flows

Migration and Tourist Flows

... Where, VFRit is the number of foreign tourist arrivals; VFRit-1 lagged dependent variable permits to analyse long run effects; GDP is the income in tourist generating countries; IMI is t[r] ...

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The Effects of Terrorism and Political Instability on International Tourist Arrivals: A Focus on Turkey.

The Effects of Terrorism and Political Instability on International Tourist Arrivals: A Focus on Turkey.

... studied tourist arrivals in Pakistan by using the Johansen and Jeuuselius, and Autoregressive-Distributed Lag (ARDL) bound testing cointegration approaches for the period 1980-2010 and found that there was ...

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Panel Data Model For Tourism Demand

Panel Data Model For Tourism Demand

... and forecasting from both the business and academic ...affecting tourist arrivals to ...international tourist arrivals to Asian, European and African countries estimated in [10] and a ...

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Co movement in tourist arrivals in the Caribbean

Co movement in tourist arrivals in the Caribbean

... visitor arrivals for 22 Caribbean ...monthly tourist arrivals from 1977 to 2002 is taken from the Caribbean Tourism Organisation’s Annual Statistical Digest for various ...

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Forecasting international regional tourist arrivals to China

Forecasting international regional tourist arrivals to China

... tourism forecasting have been predominately concentrated on tourist arrivals at the national level using tourist arrival data collected at the immigration ...tourism forecasting from ...

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Modeling and Forecasting the Volatility of Long stay Tourist Arrivals

Modeling and Forecasting the Volatility of Long stay Tourist Arrivals

... The results for the ARCH(4) specification shows that with the exception of the second lag (which is insignificant), all the lags have a positive effect. Moreover, the coefficients on the lags do not appear to decrease to ...

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