Forecasts and trends
Developing Forecasts and Trends for Post Concession Performance of Onne Seaport: Framework for Performance Improvement
... The study aims to use past levels of cargo throughput, ship turnaround time, berth occupancy rate, and ship traffic volume performances of the port to raise forecast and [r] ...
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Rapid Reports TRENDS IN THE EC AGRICULTURAL PRICE INDICES IN 1991 Results of forecasts 1991 17
... Comparison of the forecast real change in the EC index of producer prices of agricultural products with that of the EC index of the purchase prices of goods and services for current cons[r] ...
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Rapid Reports TRENDS IN THE EC AGRICULTURAL PRICE INDICES IN 1992 Results of forecasts 1992 15
... Producer Prices of agricultural products output: Strongest decrease recorded in real terms over the last decade -6.4% Purchase prices of goods and services for current consumption in agr[r] ...
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An Assessment of QEC Forecasts 1984 94 Quarterly Economic Commentary Special Article, Autumn 1995
... The predictors included in the analysis are the NIE Preliminary estimates; the QEC final estimates and initial forecasts, the post1acto trends for the entire period and for the two-sub-p[r] ...
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A Comparison of USDA's Agricultural Export Forecasts with ARIMA based Forecasts
... value forecasts for FY 2001-04 with forecasts based on trends in each commodity’s monthly ...USDA’s forecasts are published quarterly in the Outlook for ...trend forecasts were produced ...
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Lower vehicular primary emissions of NO2 in Europe than assumed in policy projections
... The influence of 27 this key ratio in driving trends and forecasts has already been shown in central London.16 28 Predictions of future NO2 concentrations in Europe must make assumptions[r] ...
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Global warming: Forecasts by scientists versus scientific forecasts
... forecasting, forecasts should be ...upon forecasts of related (causal) variables. For example, forecasts of no change were found to be more accurate than trend forecasts for annual sales when ...
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Volume 04 Issue 06: (2015) Nov.-Dec. 2015
... and trends of yield of principal crops in India and to generate the short term forecasts of yields of rice and wheat (principal crops) in ...The forecasts do not give an optimistic picture about ...
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Forecasts of the Scottish economy [November 2009]
... Data being developed on Scottish Household final consumption expenditure, release in 28 th October through the Scottish Government’s Scottish National Accounts Project (SNAP), show that Q2 2009 saw the third ...
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PREDICTION OF GDP BASED ON THE LAG ECONOMIC INDICATORS
... of forecasts. One of these strategies is building combined forecasts in different variants: predictions based on linear combinations whose coefficients are determined using the previous forecasts and ...
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Combining Nearest Neighbor Predictions and Model-Based Predictions of Realized Variance: Does it Pay?
... All forecasts are computed 5-days-ahead recursively using 1500-day rolling estimation ...walk” forecasts are defined as the last observed daily realized variance (in Panel A) and directional volatility ...
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Understanding Why Fiscal Stimulus Can Fail through the Lens of the Survey of Professional Forecasters
... We further investigate this conjecture by regressing …ve-quarter ahead forecasts of real GDP growth on one-quarter ahead forecasts of real government spending growth employing a …xed-size rolling window ...
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Bias correcting precipitation forecasts to improve the skill of seasonal streamflow forecasts
... precipitation forecasts can contribute to the skill of seasonal streamflow predictions, notably in terms of overall performance, reliability, sharpness and skilful lead ...4 forecasts to improve streamflow ...
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On selecting policy analysis models by forecast accuracy
... robustified forecasts with policy-scenario changes may dominate either alone in a world sub- ject to regime shifts: forecasting procedures designed to be robust to deterministic shifts that have oc- curred prior ...
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New Trends and Methods of Music recording and...
... During the 1920s, Phonofilm and other early movie Music frameworks utilized optical chronicle innovation, in which the sound sign was graphically recorded on photo[r] ...
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Demand Forecasting for New Local Rail Services: A Case Study of a New Service Between Leicester and Burton-On- Trent
... The forecasts for the disaggregate models are based on the same data as is used to forecast using the aggregate models but instead forecasts are derived separately for each individual.. [r] ...
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Quantile forecasts of daily exchange rate returns from forecasts of realized volatility
... volatility forecasts from ARCH/GARCH models 1 , instead of the usual practice of proxy- ing volatility using daily squared returns, suggests such forecasts are more accurate than had hitherto been ...
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Analysis of the logistic model for predicting New Zealand electricity consumption
... model forecasts have given rise to more accurate forecasts than those using economic data and that deregulation has had an effect on electricity ...New forecasts of the Logistic model, Ministry of ...
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Applications and Trends in Data Mining
... and Trends in Data Mining which include further efforts towards the exploration of new application areas and new methods for handling complex data types, algorithms scalability, constraint based mining and ...
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Supporting the Development of Procedures for Communications During Volcanic Emergencies: Lessons Learnt from the Canary Island (Spain) and Etna and Stromboli (Italy)
... Volcanic crises are complex to manage, owing to uncertainty in the behaviour of volcanoes and of the people and organisations responding to an emergency. Complexity is especially acute at volcanoes showing unrest after ...
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