seasonal forecast
Seasonal forecast of French Mediterranean heavy precipitating events linked to weather regimes
... actual forecast dataset into ...of seasonal forecast using the MOS ...of seasonal forecast using LDA together with the MOS strategy are presented in ...
10
SEAS5: the new ECMWF seasonal forecast system
... for seasonal forecasting and has been included in ...new seasonal forecast model at ECMWF has always used a recent version of the medium- range weather forecast model, with components added as ...
31
S 4CAST v2.0: sea surface temperature based statistical seasonal forecast model
... any climate-related variable susceptible of being predicted from it, the concept of stationarity is raised as one of the motivating factors in creating the S 4 CAST model. The sta- tionarity refers to changes in the ...
20
The use of regression for assessing a seasonal forecast model experiment
... whether seasonal forecasting has useful skill is getting increasingly relevant with the progress in climate ...for seasonal forecasting if a correct initial state is pro- vided, and from which the ...
11
Scenario approach for the seasonal forecast of Kharif flows from the Upper Indus Basin
... the seasonal water al- location to the different canal command areas depending upon the water availability forecast carried out at the end of March for the forthcoming Kharif cropping season (April– ...
19
Seasonal forecast of Kharif flows from Upper Jhelum catchment
... Flows in the Indus Basin mainly originate from the high mountain ranges of the Western Himalaya – Karakoram – Hindu Kush region. Though the flow regime also comprises glacier melt and runoff from rainfall during monsoon ...
6
Ensemble seasonal forecast of extreme water inflow into a large reservoir
... (e.g. seasonal) forecasting methodology, forecasts remain far from ...hydrological forecast and satisfac- tion of rising society’s demand for forecasts, lies in improv- ing description of uncertainty of ...
6
Development of a monthly to seasonal forecast framework tailored to inland waterway transport in central Europe
... of forecast sensitiv- ities and forecast ...ing forecast approaches (see ...ing forecast approaches for predicting the spring-flood vol- ume relevant for hydro power generation in a Swedish ...
23
Constraints To Forecast Application For Agricultural Production In Bungoma Central Sub-County, Bungoma County Kenya
... The findings of this study showed that most of the respondents (91%) were married and living with their spouses. A further (4%) were divorced and (5%) were single (figure 3.4). Marital status was perceived to be vital as ...
9
Seasonal climate forecasts and decision support systems for drought prone agriculture: a case study based on the development and application of the Rainman climate analysis software
... improved seasonal forecast analyses and capacity for world-wide mapping of seasonal rainfall information at district and regional ...of seasonal climate forecasts in agricultural management” ...
20
A statistical model of North Indian Ocean tropical cyclone genesis, tracks and landfall
... (TCs). Seasonal forecasting of TC landfall probabilities is potentially beneficial to insurance/re-insurance companies, decision makers, government policy and planning departments, and residents in coastal ...
222
An experimental seasonal hydrological forecasting system over the Yellow River basin – Part 1: Understanding the role of initial hydrological conditions
... the seasonal drought forecasting should not neglect the improvement in the ...the forecast lead time will greatly benefit the agri- cultural preparedness for the drought ...the seasonal ...
15
Sources of interannual yield variability in JULES-crop and implications for forcing with seasonal weather forecasts
... with seasonal forcing data, which may not have been provided at subdaily resolution for all required driving ...with seasonal forecasts, since obtaining observations or reanalysis output for all the ...
11
Climate forecast information: the status, needs and expectations among smallholder agro pastoralists in Machakos district, Kenya
... climate forecast information received and channels of dissemination: Of the five types of climate forecasts issued by KMD, the seasonal forecast turned out to be the most commonly received product ...
7
Determining the Better Approach for Short-Term Forecasting of Ghana’s Inflation: Seasonal-ARIMA vs. Holt-Winters Maurice Omane-Adjepong, Francis T. Oduro, Samuel Dua Oduro
... To forecast the inflation series in Figure 1, there is a need to make the series ...A forecast from a non- stationary series may results to spurious forecast values which would be inconsistent and ...
11
Comparison of cross-validation and bootstrap aggregating for building a seasonal streamflow forecast model
... – Catchments were selected without a priori reasoning about their adequacy for seasonal streamflow forecast- ing. Strictly speaking, none of these catchments exhibits natural streamflow, though some ...
5
Forecasting Seasonal Inflow to Reservoirs Combining Copula-Based Bayesian Network Method with Drought Forecasting
... were used to verify the forecast results from the trained copula-based Bayesian network module.. Seasonal inflow of dams. 98.. 3 Methodology 99.[r] ...
20
A COMPARATIVE STUDY OF UNIVARIATE TIME SERIES MODELLING FOR NATURAL RUBBER PRODUCTION IN MALAYSIA
... a seasonal component which is the integrated seasonal autoregressive moving average (SARIMA) models are useful for data series that have seasonal effects (Hipel and McLeod, ...to forecast ...
11
Decomposition of Sources of Errors in Seasonal Streamflow Forecasting Over the US Sunbelt Using Multiple Land Surface Models.
... in seasonal streamflow potential based on climate information to ensure supply for multiple uses include municipal water demands, hydroelectric power generation, and agricultural ...in seasonal streamflow ...
68
Statistical Models for Long range Forecasting of Southwest Monsoon Rainfall over India Using Step Wise Regression and Neural Network
... possible to construct 31 (63) models. Using sliding fixed training window (of optimum period of 23 years, 1958- 1980) period, independent forecasts were prepared by all possible models for the period 1981-2008. For ...
15