Summary Results: Communicating risk and uncertainty
Managing and communicating risk and uncertainty in macroeconomic policymaking
... The risk classification yields useful insights. For example, most of the risks related to statistical confidence are over short time horizons, and thus the government could not control or reduce these risks. ...
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EXPRESSING AND COMMUNICATING UNCERTAINTY IN RELATION TO QUANTITATIVE RISK ANALYSIS ABSTRACT
... The risk picture described above covers the probability and sensitivity ...total risk picture needs to include a broader reflection of ...the risk description involves a prediction of the number of ...
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Communicating uncertainty about benefits and
... extra uncertainty inherent with study duration shorter than FDA standard, weak study uncontrolled studies or surrogate ...when results will be available –in the Highlights of the label (in either ...
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Communicating Uncertainty in Official Economic Statistics
... "A statistical agency should be open about the strengths and limitations of its data, taking as much care to understand and explain how its statistics may fall short of accuracy as it does to produce accurate data. ...
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Understanding and communicating risk
... of risk and probability that are important in understanding and communicating the benefits and harms associated with preventive health ...the results of cancer screening stud- ies and misinterpreted ...
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Communicating uncertainty - a fan chart for HICP projections
... width of the bands. This means that the width of the bands can sometimes be narrower than historical errors would suggest, and sometimes wider, depending on the forecaster’s best assessment of uncertainty given ...
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Communicating uncertainty about facts, numbers, and science
... which uncertainty is acknowledged without being able to provide a list of ...direct uncertainty could be applied to all three objects of uncertainty in our framework - categorical or binary facts, ...
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Communicating uncertainty a fan chart for HICP projections
... width of the bands. This means that the width of the bands can sometimes be narrower than historical errors would suggest, and sometimes wider, depending on the forecaster’s best assessment of uncertainty given ...
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Communicating uncertainty about facts, numbers, and science
... “your risk of colon cancer is somewhere between 5% and 13%”) elicited more worry from most people than a point estimate (“…9%”), but for others they noted the opposite effect or indifference between ...The ...
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Decentralized planning under uncertainty for teams of communicating agents
... We propose a decentralized model for tackling cooperative multiagent planning problems, which incorporates a commu- nication channel. In contrast to most work on distributed POMDPs, we do not define an explicit ...
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The effects of communicating uncertainty on public trust in facts and numbers.
... of uncertainty (M = 4.23, SD = 1.31; see Figure 2c). The results of Experiment 2 thus suggest that magnitude, communicated without further context, did not have a strong impact on people’s reactions to ...
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Development of a Landscape Visualisation Tool for Communicating Hydrological Uncertainty
... visualise uncertainty (Reinke et al, ...express uncertainty both within the GIS environment and all spatial ...of uncertainty is not a new concept (Cliburn et al, ...display uncertainty in ...
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Uncertainty and Risk
... • Common themes for discussions: individualizing patient care when evidence is insufficient and guidelines may not apply, making treatment decisions despite uncertainty, communicating[r] ...
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Communicating the uncertainty in estimated greenhouse gas emissions from agriculture
... this uncertainty must be communicated effectively, if government bodies, research scientists or members of the public are to draw sound ...in communicating the uncer- tainty in estimates of greenhouse gas ...
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Risk, Uncertainty, and "Super-Risk"
... the risk of adjudicative error works by making two important (and simplifying) assumptions: The assumptions are that (1) the base rate for deserving parties on either side will be equal, and (2) the quantified ...
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Risk and Uncertainty in Anesthesia
... of risk in- clude the fact that the more information we seek, the more likely it is that we will include erroneous ...reduce risk may have the opposite results: periopera- tive consultations seem to ...
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Communicating Uncertainty During Public Health Emergency Events: A Systematic Review
... experienced uncertainty; reduced uncertainty about health protection actions; reduced information void, circulation of misinformation and rumors, and reliance on sensationalized media stories; improved ...
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PART 1: GUIDANCE DOCUMENT ON CHARACTERIZING AND COMMUNICATING UNCERTAINTY IN EXPOSURE ASSESSMENT
... particular uncertainty analysis depends on the intended purpose and scope of a given ...environmental risk management decision ...reduce uncertainty and improve the characterization of ...informing ...
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Human Rights Risk Survey Results. Sector Summary Oil & Gas
... This signifies a waste of opportunity. Active management of human rights can be driven by building relationships with all relevant stakeholders. Driving a proactive and effective stakeholder dialogue and engagement can ...
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Communicating risk in major incidents: The public's perception
... Results indicated that after the exercise there was a significant decrease in the extent to which people felt their concerns were understood by the emergency services and people were significantly less satisfied ...
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