survey of professional forecasters
Understanding Why Fiscal Stimulus Can Fail through the Lens of the Survey of Professional Forecasters
... Also, we use the Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF) data to understand how market participants revise their forecasts of key macroeconomic variables. The median SPF forecasts data for relevant ...
44
Estimating Phillips Curves in Turbulent Times using the ECB's Survey of Professional Forecasters
... Bank’s Survey of Professional Forecasters to investigate the relationship between in- ‡ation and in‡ation expectations in the euro ...the Survey of Pro- fessional Forecasters and the ...
35
Internal consistency of survey respondents’ forecasts: evidence based on the Survey of Professional Forecasters
... individual forecasters are consistent with one ...whether forecasters’ point forecasts are consistent with the central tendencies of their reported histograms, and whether their reported probability ...
29
Results of a special questionnaire for participants in the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF)
... There were 45 replies to the special questionnaire, which is approximately three- quarters of the average number of responses received in the regular survey rounds (around 60). The respondents were a broadly ...
17
Estimation of Unobserved Inflation Expectations in India Using State Space Model
... Inflation expectation is an important marker for monetary policy makers. Both theoretically and empirically, it has been established that current inflation is in- fluenced by expectations about future inflation and ...
9
Real time nowcasting of GDP: Factor model versus professional forecasters
... the Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF) does not carry additional information with respect to the model best specification, suggesting that the often cited superiority of the SPF, attributable ...
36
Can we beat the Random Walk? The case of survey based exchange rate forecasts in Chile
... It is important to emphasize here that our analysis is based on a straightforward out-of-sample methodology: we compare the no change forecast resulting from the Driftless Random Walk model to real-time exchange rate ...
28
Rounding of probability forecasts: the SPF forecast probabilities of negative output growth
... the Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF), and assess the potential impact of rounding in terms of: i ) the e¤ect on internal consistency of the probability forecasts of a decline in real output ...
20
Uncertainty and disagreement in economic prediction: the Bank of England Survey of External Forecasters
... quarterly survey of macroeconomic forecasters in the United States, known as the ASA-NBER survey; Zarnowitz (1969) describes its original ...the survey, and changed its name to the ...
31
Explanations of the inconsistencies in survey respondents’ forecasts
... US Survey of Professional Forecasters, and Clements (2008), who in addition assesses the evidence for consistency of the SPF respondents’histograms and forecast probabilities of declines in real ...
36
Are some forecasters really better than others?
... some forecasters will perform better than ...all forecasters in the US Survey of Professional Forecasters have equal ...best forecasters are actually innately better than others, ...
22
Do professional forecasters pay attention to data releases?
... the survey quarters of these years, as all the forecasts are made on the new base-year data, and all the relevant data releases by the BEA for our purposes are in terms of the new ...quarter survey returns, ...
28
An Analysis of Interest Rate Forecasts from Professional Forecasters.
... Usually, August 9, 2007 (BNP Paribas suspended funds) is marked as the start of the 2007-2008 financial crisis (Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, 2009). But the time line of the financial crisis events in Federal ...
195
Learning and heterogeneity in GDP and inflation forecasts
... Various survey data on expectations from many countries over last few decades have produced mounting evidence on substantial inter-personal heterogeneity in how people perceive the current and form inferences ...
63
Review of Forecasters Application to Solar Irradiance Forecasting
... International Journal of Scientific Research in Computer Science, Engineering and Information Technology CSEIT172215 | Received 05 March 2017 | Accepted 14 March 2017 | March April 2017 [(2)2 26 30] I[.] ...
5
Understanding the needs of professionals who provide psychosocial care for children and adults with disorders of sex development
... This survey has several ...a survey carried out among paediatric endocrinologists who were regis- tered clinical users of the I-DSD Registry or members of ...
7
An analysis of the performance of European foreign exchange forecasters
... Abstract: A database of individual forecasters' exchange rate predictions is analyzed. We demonstrate that only a small minority can be classed as rational, that most forecasts are inferior to easily available ...
19
The Importance of Professional Dispositions: A Survey of Diverse Teacher Educators
... qualities needed of effective teachers are those of dispositions. The variety of definitions and terms utilized in studies of dispositions are typically compatible with other working definitions of dispositions developed ...
9
A survey of manpower in the social service field of Windsor and Essex county and attitudes about the professional association (OAPSW).
... the professional attitudes of the social workers in Windsor and Essex County, with repetition of three °ut of four of Law's hypotheses, (3) an examination of the ■functions and roles of the professional ...
198
The limits of Higher Education websites as sources of learning and teaching information for prospective students: a survey of professional staff
... of professional practice within the HEI, which appears to be driven by the values of consumerism where ‘the student-HEI relationship is clearly defined in legal terms’ (Palfreyman 2013, ...
23