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The complexity and uncertainty associated with bushfires

Evolution: Complexity, uncertainty and innovation

Evolution: Complexity, uncertainty and innovation

... happening. Complexity therefore suggests a ‘messy cognitive evolution’ in which some people change their beliefs and models, generating different behaviours and responses, which lead to differential ...

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Uncertainty and complexity are business as usual in

Uncertainty and complexity are business as usual in

... Duke University, Durham, North Carolina (Received August 1996; revisions received October 1996, April 1997, March 1998; accepted April 1998) Many firms in the oil and gas business have long used decision analysis ...

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Church leaders’ narratives: An exploration in uncertainty and complexity

Church leaders’ narratives: An exploration in uncertainty and complexity

... IN UNCERTAINTY AND COMPLEXITY Abstract Organizational uncertainty and change sometimes requires leaders to practice the art of engaging with not ...

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Building resilient finance? Uncertainty, complexity, and resistance

Building resilient finance? Uncertainty, complexity, and resistance

... A number of interesting ideas about financial resilience are entailed within this sweep. First, it is interesting to note how Haldane’s point of reference for thinking about resilient systems is to emphasize their ...

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Complexity and Uncertainty in Human and Ecological Risk Assessment

Complexity and Uncertainty in Human and Ecological Risk Assessment

... Data on occurrence of congenital heart defects were obtained from The Wisconsin Pediatric Cardiac Registry (WPCR). Operation of the WPCR was reviewed and approved by the lead institution (Children’s Hospital of ...

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Complexity, uncertainty reduction strategies and project performance

Complexity, uncertainty reduction strategies and project performance

... between complexity factors affecting a project and the selected planning-stage ...market complexity, which are both considered dynamic, together with high institutional complexity, which we deemed ...

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Uncertainty Associated with Microbiological Analysis

Uncertainty Associated with Microbiological Analysis

... the uncertainty of microbiological tests; a situation that constantly faces scientists involved in laboratory ...error associated with the results ...

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How To Help The Black Saturday Bushfires

How To Help The Black Saturday Bushfires

... MANAGING DIFFERENT TYPES OF DONATIONS AND DONORS The variety of donations made by individuals and organisations may require different levels of effort and expense to manage. Transport and warehousing are key management ...

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Children's knowledge of vulnerability and resilience to bushfires

Children's knowledge of vulnerability and resilience to bushfires

... In a recent review of child-led disaster risk reduction programmes in South America and the Philippines, Mitchell et al. (2009) provide several compelling examples which challenge the standard characterisation of ...

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An Economic Analysis of Bushfires Management Programs

An Economic Analysis of Bushfires Management Programs

... of bushfires can be generated using standard econom ic framework for valuing resources based on ...of bushfires on a com munity not only come from the direct impacts on the resource base, but the indirect ...

10

Computational Complexity of Capacity Planning Problems under Uncertainty

Computational Complexity of Capacity Planning Problems under Uncertainty

... TABLE 5 STATISTICS OF PROBLEMS SOLVED USING OUR FORMULATION VI. C ONCLUSION We have shown a technique for solving capacity planning problems under our intuitive uncertainty formulation, which is tractable. ...

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Modeling the Complexity of Breast Cancer under Conditions of Uncertainty

Modeling the Complexity of Breast Cancer under Conditions of Uncertainty

... 4. 3 Model Formulation 4.3.1 Markov Chain Representation A partially-observable, five-state, discrete-time Markov model is built to represent breast cancer development, as shown in Figure 4.2. Different from other Markov ...

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Flood risk assessment and associated uncertainty

Flood risk assessment and associated uncertainty

... epistemic uncertainty in- ...with associated return intervals of more the 200 ...neglected uncertainty sources of Ta- ble 1 have also little influence on the uncertainty analysis as long as ...

14

Making sense of science for policy under conditions of complexity and uncertainty

Making sense of science for policy under conditions of complexity and uncertainty

... challenges associated with different sources of scientific funding, apparent public scepticism about the nature of ‘expert’ knowledge claims, and the changing demands on early-career researchers (Felt et ...

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Uncertainty assessment in 3-D geological models of increasing complexity

Uncertainty assessment in 3-D geological models of increasing complexity

... model uncertainty and overall model ...model uncertainty exist and that the quantifica- tion of these effects provides a trade-off between costs ...reduced uncertainty and therefore higher model ...

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Perceived Project Complexity in Terms of Uncertainty and RM in the Kingdom of Bahrain

Perceived Project Complexity in Terms of Uncertainty and RM in the Kingdom of Bahrain

... project complexity by which they can predict its ...project complexity, since the results was less than ...approach uncertainty and risk is ...

5

Complexity, Relatedness and Uncertainty in Contemporary Social Science: A Preliminary Reflection

Complexity, Relatedness and Uncertainty in Contemporary Social Science: A Preliminary Reflection

... or complexity science, is a general “post-Newtonian” meta-science usually referring to human societies characterized by emergent behaviors (reflexively resulting from everyday dynamic interactions and negotia- ...

5

Assessing uncertainty and complexity in regional-scale crop model simulations

Assessing uncertainty and complexity in regional-scale crop model simulations

... agreement between simulations of different input types was greater than for all other zones (also see Supplementary Fig. S2). Across all growing zones, the choice of weather input types (blue areas in Fig. 5) was the ...

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Cryptocurrency market contagion: market uncertainty, market complexity, and dynamic portfolios

Cryptocurrency market contagion: market uncertainty, market complexity, and dynamic portfolios

... that complexity in the cryptocurrency market has markedly increased in recent ...of complexity in the cryptocurrency market (as captured by the connectedness approach) gradually increases given that ...

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Embracing complexity and uncertainty: An analysis of three orders of ELSA research on biobanks

Embracing complexity and uncertainty: An analysis of three orders of ELSA research on biobanks

... risks associated with biobanks, the new ELSA academic discourse turned toward a pragmatic rationale and focused on finding solutions to problems such as data protection, more adequate procedures of informed ...

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