[PDF] Top 20 Cascading model uncertainty from medium range weather forecasts (10 days) through a rainfall runoff model to flood inundation predictions within the European Flood Forecasting System (EFFS)
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Cascading model uncertainty from medium range weather forecasts (10 days) through a rainfall runoff model to flood inundation predictions within the European Flood Forecasting System (EFFS)
... provide medium to long term flood forecasts has increased in the light of recent flooding events in ...different model components (weather forecast, rainfall runoff forecast and flood ... See full document
13
Uncertainty analysis of hydrological ensemble forecasts in a distributed model utilising short range rainfall prediction
... numerical weather prediction (NWP) in re- cent years as well as an increase in computing power, it is now possible to generate very high resolution rainfall fore- casts at the catchment scale and therefore, more ... See full document
11
Chemical transport model ozone simulations for spring 2001 over the western Pacific:comparisons with TRACE P lidar, ozonesondes, and Total Ozone Mapping Spectrometer columns
... for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) using the Integrated Forecast System (IFS) model [Gregory et ...vertical, from the surface to 10 hPa, the standard vertical resolution ... See full document
16
A perspective on the fundamental quality of GPS radio occultation data
... for weather and climate applications. However, the uncertainties arising from imperfect retrieval algorithms may weaken the overall confidence in the data and discour- age their ...their model ... See full document
14
Limited area short range ensemble predictions targeted for heavy rain in Europe
... precipitation forecasts (QPF) from the high-resolution, limited-area numerical weather prediction model DMI-HIRLAM (LAM) are addressed using two different approaches to creating a small ... See full document
13
Comparisons of the tropospheric specific humidity from GPS radio occultations with ERA-Interim, NASA MERRA, and AIRS data
... observations from the Constellation Observing System for Meteorology, Ionosphere, and Climate (COSMIC) ...humidity from 700 up to 400 ...for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts ... See full document
14
Quality assessment of Automatic Dependent Surveillance Contract (ADS-C) wind and temperature observation from commercial aircraft
... (NWP) model and wind and temperature observa- tions derived from Enhanced Surveillance (EHS) air-traffic control radar which interrogates all aircraft in selective mode (Mode-S ...compiled from the ... See full document
8
Impacts of Amazonia biomass burning aerosols assessed from short-range weather forecasts
... an uncertainty of ± ...nm from eight AERONET stations in the Amazonia re- gion (Holben et ...obtained from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasting (ECMWF) with a ... See full document
16
Value of medium range weather forecasts in the improvement of seasonal hydrologic prediction skill
... of medium range weather forecasts with lead times of up to 14 days to seasonal hydrologic prediction skill over the conterminous United States ...hydrology model to generate ... See full document
14
Downscaling medium-range ensemble forecasts using a neural network approach
... semble forecasts for probabilistic prediction of local precipitation in ...derived from the JRA55 reanalysis over area of study (Southwestern Japan), whereby a two-dimensional lattice of weather ... See full document
5
Description and evaluation of the tropospheric aerosol scheme in the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) Integrated Forecasting System (IFS-AER, cycle 45R1)
... numerical weather prediction (NWP) model operated by the ECMWF to provide op- erational weather forecasts with extensions to represent tropospheric aerosols, chemically interactive gases, and ... See full document
33
A comparison of predictors of the error of weather forecasts
... for Medium Range Weather Forecasting. The ensemble forecasts were produced by the ECMWF en- semble prediction system (EPS) (Molteni et ...EPS forecasts are global only the ... See full document
12
Potential application of hydrological ensemble prediction in forecasting floods and its components over the Yarlung Zangbo River basin, China
... ical weather predictions can provide an early warning with extended lead ...(VIC) model to forecast the annual max- imum floods and annual first floods in the YZR based on precipitation and the maximum and ... See full document
18
Flood forecasting using medium range probabilistic weather prediction
... probabilistic weather forecasts in the short- and medium-range (£10 days) and a large scale rainfall-runoff model (De Roo et ... See full document
16
Communication of uncertainty in weather forecasts
... indicated range 9 out of 10 times, and zero for Group B participants who were shown tables that did not mention that the maximum temperature ranges fall within the indicated range 9 out of 10 times ... See full document
33
Understanding and representing atmospheric convection across scales: Recommendations from the meeting held at Dartington Hall, Devon, UK, 28-30 January 2013
... and model cloud-scale dynamics over large domains and a large portion of convective regime parameter ...coarser-resolution model simulations [CRMs and general circulation models (GCMs)], observations, ... See full document
6
Simulation of SEVIRI infrared channels: a case study from the Eyjafjallaj¨okull April/May 2010 eruption
... ash from erupt- ing volcanoes. We describe a new radiative transfer model framework for the simulation of infrared radiances, which can be compared directly with satellite ...transfer model, the ... See full document
12
STAFF REGULATIONS OF THE EUROPEAN CENTRE FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECASTS
... km from the duty station, such an official shall not be entitled to the expatriation allowance and the related education allowance and home leave unless he or she supplies proof that he has established his actual ... See full document
119
Optimisation of Run of River Production Forecasting Using Aiolos Forecast Studio
... Ever since the deregulation of the electricity market, power companies have been in a very long race to acquire the most accurate forecasts, making electricity price forecasting a continuous research area. The ... See full document
67
Research On Stochastic Forecasting Discharge Level Time Series Data Using Extended Linear Group And Extended Semi-Group Approach
... new model is MLE by Gaussian distribution is a method that we will find the values of that result are best fit the data ...new model is used, the present proposed arti cle is to predict future values using ... See full document
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