[PDF] Top 20 CLIVAR Exchanges No 32 Seasonal Predictability

... The predictability demonstrated here can be attributed to the domination of the coupled air-sea-ice system by a few distinctive, slowly-changing modes such as the Antarctic dipole, although a self-sustained ... See full document

... types, seasonal cycles (measured by the difference between July and January surface air tem- perature) generally differ from observations by an amount that is not much greater than the observation- al ... See full document

... the seasonal sea ice cover allows access for non-ice-strengthened research ...Although seasonal coverage has been extended through the use of moorings and drifting buoys, winter shipboard programmes have ... See full document

... the CLIVAR Scientific Steering Group had identified African Climate Variability as one of the eleven principal research areas for CLI- VAR and asked a small group of interested scientists to organize a study ... See full document

... potential predictability of the mon- soon and the processes interacting in the land-ocean- atmosphere system on interannual ...the CLIVAR Mon- soon Panel to meet with the WMO/CAS Working Group on Tropical ... See full document

... • Ensemble S: The same as Ensemble R, except only the subsurface soil moisture prognostic variables are forced to be identical amongst the member simulations. In Ensemble R, the atmospheres in all member simulations see ... See full document

... The South American monsoon system (SAMS) develops over a land mass characterized by a large area at the equator, very high mountains to the west that effectively block air transport, and surface cover that varies from ... See full document

... within CLIVAR continue to be very active, and this past year has seen considerable amount of effort in support of the IPCC ...by CLIVAR and the WMO Commission for ...of CLIVAR science, with respect ... See full document

... of seasonal prediction based on the behavior of the multimodel synthetic superensemble approach (Yun et ...of seasonal climate forecasts over South America (Chaves et ... See full document

... on seasonal to interannual cli- mate variability was centred in the tropical Pacific ...of CLIVAR, steps have been taken to build upon the accomplishments of TOGA and expand this focus both meridionally and ... See full document

... the CLIVAR science programme offers an opportunity to cooperate in a comprehensive study of climate varia- bility and ...for CLIVAR as part of the ...the CLIVAR programme that aims to understand the ... See full document

... of 32 TW, while deep colder waters add only 6 TW (mean values for 1997-2006; Beszczynska-Möller et ...strong seasonal signal, significant warming is observed during periods of increased heat ... See full document

... the CLIVAR Science ...of CLIVAR in providing these answers will also de- pend on the advances of each of the other WCRP compo nent projects, namely WOCE, GEWEX, SPARC and ...of CLIVAR, therefore, is ... See full document

... tury climate, a presentation (Jim Hurrell, NCAR) was made on the question of how limited AGCMs may be in simulating the variance of climate adequately. A specially designed experiment was created whereby the Hadley ... See full document

... to seasonal to interannual prediction work within CLIVAR and to new insights needed for the emerging topic of decadal climate ...for seasonal prediction can be generalized to include air-sea coupling ... See full document

... The seasonal forecasts of most interest were the February starts with the forecast windows of two to four months (MAM) and four to six months (MJJ), as these coincide with the development of mosquitoes and malaria ... See full document

... The seasonal differences of the climate response are largest at the continental scale following tropical eruptions. Over northern hemispheric (NH) land regions, radiative cooling is dominant only in the summer ... See full document

... the CLIVAR Scientific Steering Group will meet in Geneva, Switzerland from 11-14 September ...of CLIVAR and on what legacy we might ...assigned CLIVAR the lead on two cross-cutting topics: ... See full document

... Leaving aside this rampant speculation, what can we conclude about decadal variability and climate predic- tion? Basically, the conclusion that this little story leads to is that understanding decadal variability of ... See full document

... broadly as possible the results of global change research in the form of an atlas. Specific objectives are to estab- lish a single source of information that has undergone peer review, to present the research results in ... See full document