[PDF] Top 20 Precipitation forecasts and their uncertainty as input into hydrological models
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Precipitation forecasts and their uncertainty as input into hydrological models
... Slovenian hydrological forecasting service, regression models have been developed and used for predicting the peaks of flood waves (Sunik and Polajnar, ...The input to these models is usually ... See full document
11
The effect of input data resolution and complexity on the uncertainty of hydrological predictions in a humid vegetated watershed
... Abstract. Uncertainty in hydrological modeling is of signif- icant concern due to its effects on prediction and subsequent application in watershed ...tributed hydrological models, model ... See full document
19
Systematic Uncertainty Reduction Strategies for Developing Streamflow Forecasts Utilizing Multiple Climate Models and Hydrologic Models.
... no hydrological model uncertainty, reducing input uncertainty by using MM-P strategy performs better than reducing output by using MM-Q regardless of whether the precipitation ... See full document
52
Concept of dealing with uncertainty in radar-based data for hydrological purpose
... NIMROD system is UK Met Office software to process radar data using other measurement sources and then to pro- duce analyses and forecasts of precipitation (Weipert and Pierce, 2003). The radar data used as ... See full document
13
Assessment of precipitation error propagation in multi model global water resource reanalysis
... of precipitation uncertainty propagation and its dependence on model structure and hydrologic ...different precipitation forcing datasets based on (i) reanalysis, (ii) satellite estimates, and (iii) ... See full document
22
Bias correcting precipitation forecasts to improve the skill of seasonal streamflow forecasts
... meteorological forecasts as input to a hydrological ...as input to a hydrological model whose states were initialized for the time of the ...seasonal forecasts from regional ... See full document
18
An experimental seasonal hydrological forecasting system over the Yellow River basin – Part 2: The added value from climate forecast models
... The precipitation and temperature forecasts with 99 NMME ensemble members are downscaled and used to drive the VIC land surface hydrological model to provide seasonal hy- drological ...the ... See full document
14
Flood Forecasting in Brutanga River– A Case Study of Hilly Region, India
... quantitative precipitation forecasts 113 square grid of 10 · 10 km – connected by channels, with vegetation and land use within each element categorized into one or more classes, the number of vegetation ... See full document
9
The importance of hydrological uncertainty assessment methods in climate change impact studies
... intrinsic uncertainty of their inputs: future emission scenarios are represented by a hand- ful of representative story-lines managed by the IPCC, the translation of emissions and projected radiative forcing into ... See full document
17
Performance of ensemble streamflow forecasts under varied hydrometeorological conditions
... of uncertainty sources in the forecasts is essential to improving the forecasts effectively (Yossef et ...meteorological forecasts and the hydrological model contribute to errors in ... See full document
19
Future hydrological extremes: the uncertainty from multiple global climate and global hydrological models
... the hydrological cycle from global hydrological models (GHMs) driven by global climate models (GCMs) are critical for understanding future occurrence of hydrological ...to ... See full document
19
Climate noise effect on uncertainty of hydrological extremes: numerical experiments with hydrological and climate models
... simulated hydrological extreme uncertainty related to the internal variability of the atmosphere (“climate noise”), which is inherent to the climate system and consid- ered as the lowest level of ... See full document
5
Uncertainty analysis of hydrological ensemble forecasts in a distributed model utilising short range rainfall prediction
... rainfall forecasts along with many other data fields at increasingly higher spatial ...considerable uncertainty to the final river flow forecasts as the uncertainties inherent in the NWP are ... See full document
11
Potential application of hydrological ensemble prediction in forecasting floods and its components over the Yarlung Zangbo River basin, China
... of hydrological en- semble prediction in forecasting flood volume and its com- ponents over the Yarlung Zangbo River (YZR) basin, China, has not been ...on precipitation and the maximum and minimum ... See full document
18
Hydrological model calibration for derived flood frequency analysis using stochastic rainfall and probability distributions of peak flows
... with hydrological modeling for poorly observed basins considering change and taking into account flood protection ...regarding precipitation input, discharge output and consequently the calibration ... See full document
13
HESS Opinions "Forecaster priorities for improving probabilistic flood forecasts"
... multi-model hydrological system would to a large ex- tent improve the skill and potentially benefit the decision making (Velásquez et ...the uncertainty in the predic- tions, and thus the decisions would ... See full document
11
Uncertainty Analysis of a Temperature-Index Snowmelt Model Using Bayesian Networks
... Generally speaking, taking into consideration the uncertainties from different sources (inputs, model parameters, model structure etc.), will certainly improve the reliability of the outcomes (forecasts) giving by ... See full document
11
Remote sensing based evaluation of uncertainties on modelling of streamflow affected by climate change
... important input of water in the hydrological cycle; hence, accurate and reliable precipitation information is therefore necessary to ensure better water resources management and ...the ... See full document
77
Tracking the uncertainty in streamflow prediction through a hydrological forecasting system
... To implement a hydrological forecasting model, it is thus necessary to provide the input meteorological data (precipitation, temperature, etc.) for flow simulation and weather forecast ... See full document
74
Streamflow forecast sensitivity to air temperature forecast calibration for 139 Norwegian catchments
... ensemble forecasts as input to hydrological models to quantify the un- certainty in forecasted streamflow, with a particular focus on the effect of temperature forecast calibration on the ... See full document
17
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