18 results with keyword: 'stock return predictability and oil prices'
In our opinion, if a variable exhibits significant forecasting power for stock market returns, there should be a conditioning asset pricing model on that variable with
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2017 – 2020 Member, Doctor of Nursing Practice Program Curriculum Subcommittee 2016 – 2019 Co-Leader, Leadership in Health Care Systems Faculty Committee 2014 – 2016 Member,
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Table 2 shows that changes in the oil price has strong predictive power for both nominal and real returns and for both actual and excess returns.. Nominal oil price changes fore-
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Cremers, M. Deviations from put-call parity and stock return predictability.. Liquidity, information, and infrequently traded stocks. Srinivas, 1998, Option Volume and Stock
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MV is realized stock market variance; IV is the CAPM-based average idiosyncratic variance constructed using the 100 largest stocks; V_IVF is realized variance of the hedging
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Our findings indicate that real oil prices are useful predictors of the direction of stock returns in a number of markets over and above commonly used predictors, but results
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Therefore, based on the theory put forward by Christoffersen and Diebold (2006), we consider only these two volatility models when constructing return sign forecasts.. We
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In addition to the comparisons based on the out-of-sample R-squared, defined as one minus the ratio of the mean squared prediction error (MSPE) from the Fed model with Taylor rule
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With the additional pressure, Tiffany glances and takes note of the other aircrafts on the radar, just to make sure, before she sends the new information to the waiting
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Given that the EGARCH-SVI and the EGARCH models produce the best volatility forecasts among all competing models under consideration, we now further explore whether we can exploit
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While only United States stock market assets were used in the analysis, this project did examine how significant political events which occurred in foreign countries can affect
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Ciner (2001) investigates the relationship between oil prices and the stock market in the United States using daily data and find the evidence that oil shocks affect stock
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We analyze the predictability of US aggregate stock market return volatility using a measure of credit conditions, credit standards (Standards), from the Federal Reserve Board’s
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1 Extended version of this paper is available online.. The following sample selection criteria are imposed: 1) Full information (daily basis) for trade options, 2) Daily stock
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The findings confirm the impact of idiosyncratic volatility on stock returns predictability; the best predictor among the different volatility measures used is the
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GRIGLIA INTERNA CR130/CR195 INTERNAL SHELF FOR CR130/CR195 FILONCINO PER BALCONCINO PORTA METAL RETEINER CR130 RIPIANO IN VETRO GLASS SHELF CR130 SET 2pz CASSETTO PORTAVERDURE
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Panel A reports the out-of-sample forecasting results for the open-to-close daytime stock returns on Shanghai stock exchange (SSE) index, which are generated by the recursive
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