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Despite the progress the protests made in MENA republican states, only Yemen, Tunisia, Libya,

Egypt, and Syria faced serious regime destabilizing protests. In this section, I focus on the presidential

states, including Libya, to observe what effects this monumental movement had on these countries. To do

so, I lay out how the protests evolved and spread over time, how the regimes reacted, and finally what

acted as a catalyst for their eventual downfall. Afterwards I analyze what ultimately became of these

Iraq, Algeria, and Lebanon didn’t experience strong political mobilizations and this fact must be rectified with the rest of this paper’s argument as to why.

While the self-immolation of Bouazizi on January 4th, 2011 may have been the spark that

triggered events in Tunisia, the quick exit by President Ben Ali, ten days later, emboldened many of the

protesters in neighboring countries. In Egypt, Syria, Yemen, and Libya protestors took to the streets in “Days of Rage” challenging the regime through staged, well organized protests. While protests against

these regimes were nothing new to the region these organized attacks had novel concepts behind them.

For instance, social media played a new and pivotal role in organizing and coordinating demonstrations

and sharing footage of the event with the outside world (Lynch 2014). This organization and a penchant to occupy highly visible spaces, like Tahrir Square in Egypt’s capital of Cairo, brought highly visible

attention to the mobilization. Other instigating features were unique to specific countries and should be

counted here as well. Egypt had experienced a parliamentary election in 2010 which saw the regime lose

considerable number of seats forcing Mubarak to nullify the results. Roger Owen exposes another

important variable in that the presidential regimes were aging considerably bringing to the forefront the

issue of familial succession (Owen 2014).

These now embattled leaders across the MENA reacted in typical fashion: with violence and

aggression. This is especially true in Egypt and Tunisia where gangs of regime loyalists and security

forces would attack protestors in an attempt to break their resolve. In Syria and Libya, wholesale military

action on the part of the regimes was conducted and protests turned into civil war. This split in use of

military security forces would be fortuitous in predicting the outcomes. In Yemen, Tunisia, and Egypt the

military refused to aggress against the protestors and instead sided against the regimes (Brownlee,

Masoud, and Reynolds 2015). In these instances, the long reigned rulers of Saleh of Yemen, and Ben Ali

of Tunisia chose to retreat into exile in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia while Mubarak faced imprisonment

for crimes committed during his reign. In Libya and Syria, conflict degenerated into all out civil war as

The military entrenchment of Libya’s Ghaddafi and Syria’s Al-Bashar culminated into a bloody

civil war. The conflict in Libya came to an apogee via NATO military intervention which led to Ghaddafi’s overthrow, capture and murder. However, Syria’s conflict labored on as pressure from Al-

Bashar’s allies, namely Russia, has kept western armed forces from recreating a Libyan type capitulation

event. The ability to rebuild and transition within the states that experienced political change has also

been asymmetrical. Libya and Yemen followed a similar path in that transitional governments failed to

take hold and tribalistic tensions devolved these states into conflict. Egypt had some early successes in

transitioning to a more democratic state with the election of Mohamed Morsi as the new president.

However this democratic wave was short lived when the Egyptian armed forces shut down the civilian

government and installed Abdel Sisi as the new interim leader. Of all the state to experience the Arab

Spring in its full force, only Tunisia successfully transitioned to a more democratic state and resist

recapture by old regime forces.

Interestingly, not all republican states in the MENA experienced high levels of Arab Spring

protests. The countries of Algeria, Iraq, and Lebanon were less impacted than their presidential neighbors.

One argument exists that contends these states had already experienced years of civil war prior to the

Arab Spring events and the regimes that existed at the time were reflective of this fact (Owen 2014). The

civil wars in Lebanon and Iraq were especially violent and predicated on the basis of sectarian lines which

meant the regimes that came after were meant to pacify these grievances. The Algerian civil war of the 1990’s too had repercussions that reverberated in the regime that created a unique inoculation to the

spread of the Arab Spring in its full force. In Iraq, however, spillover from the Syrian civil war created

new levels of conflict instead of a wave of democratization and instigated the formation of a rebel

government in the form of the Islamic State of the Levant. The conflict, just as in Syria, is still being