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A Combinatorial Testing Problem

Chapter 6 Conclusions and Future Work

D.2 A Combinatorial Testing Problem

A related problem to the main problem of interest in this thesis (2.1) is the following combinatorial testing problem (see, for example, [68] for a related problem):

Under the null hypothesis H0,n, the data is n samples drawn i.i.d. from

f0,n.

Under the alternative hypothesis, the data is generated by the following procedure (assuming nn is integral):

1. Generate n(1−n) samples from f0,n and nn samples from f1,n inde-

pendently.

2. Apply a uniformly at random permutation to the samples.

In other words, the null hypothesis consists of pure noise (as in the sparse mixture detection problem (2.1)). However, the alternative hypothesis for the combinatorial testing problem consists ofexactly nnsamples drawn from

the signal distribution and the remainder noise (but it is not known which coordinates are signal). In the case of the sparse mixture detection problem (2.1), there is arandomnumber of samples drawn from the signal distribution (following a Binomial(n, n) distribution) under the alternative hypothesis.

In many cases (see, for example, [2,15,17]), the combinatorial testing prob- lem has been used as a surrogate for sparse mixture detection problem (2.1)

for performance evaluation of statistics designed for the sparse mixture de- tection problem (2.1).

However, the combinatorial testing problem may be the true problem of interest. As in [14, 68], the use of statistics designed for the sparse mixture detection problem for the combinatorial testing problem may be desirable from a computational perspective in order to avoid the combinatorial search of a generalized likelihood ratio test or scan statistic-based tests. The com- binatorial testing problem is also of interest in microarray analysis [7, 15].

We make the following observation: Depending on the signal strength, one can have vastly different error probabilities between the combinatorial testing problem and the sparse mixture detection problem.

Consider the Gaussian location model described in Section 2.2.1. Recall the Max test from Theorem 6, where we reject the null hypothesis if the sample maximum exceeds τn. The probability of missed detection for the

combinatorial testing problem for the Max test is

PMD,Max,Combinatorial(n) = (Φ(τn−µn))nn(Φ(τn))n(1

−n)

. (D.2)

We can easily see from (D.2) that if τn =

p

2(1 +o(1)) logn and µn is

large (say, growing linearly in n), then logPMD,Max,Combinatorial(n) can decay

significantly faster thannn. However, by Theorem 2, for any sparse mixture

detection problem, logPMD(n) can decay no faster thannn (due to the event

of not observing any signals), independent of µn.

While the argument above considers a relatively uninteresting detection problem due the very high signal strength, the point is that the error prob- abilities in the combinatorial testing problem may be vastly different from that in the sparse mixture detection problem.

We repeat the experiments of Section 5.4 showing the trade-off between signal strength and sparsity in the Gaussian location model in an identical manner, but with the data being drawn under combinatorial testing setup with same signal and noise distribution parameterization as the Gaussian location model. We refer to this combinatorial testing problem as a Gaussian location combinatorial testing problem. The results are given in Figs. D.2a and D.2b. Note that the LRT is for the sparse mixture detection problem, given by (2.10), not the combinatorial testing problem. We see while the relative performance and shape of power curves between tests are similar to

0.5 0.55 0.6 0.65 0.7 0.75 0.8 0.85 0.9 0.95 1 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 β PD =1−P MD LRT BJ M=8 M=4 ACW HC Max

(a)n= 104 (Compare to Figure 5.4a)

0.5 0.55 0.6 0.65 0.7 0.75 0.8 0.85 0.9 0.95 1 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 β PD =1−P MD LRT BJ M=8 M=4 ACW HC Max (b)n= 106 (Compare to Figure 5.4b)

Figure D.2: Plot of PD= 1−PMD versus β for r = 1.2rcrit(β) + 0.1,

PFA = 0.05 andn = 106 with data drawn under Gaussian location

combinatorial testing problem.

the results of Section 5.4 for the tests applied to the sparse mixture detection problem, the actual power of tests may be different.

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