• No results found

Will the project create jobs?

CHAPTER 5: CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS

From the analysis of the data, it is evident that any development of this nature must focus on sustainable development principles. The concerns raised by the stakeholders mainly relate to the potential negative impacts on the environment. The impact on the quality of water is seen as a real concern considering that the Karoo is a water scarce area and the proposed project will use a lot of water. Although the project may provide benefits to South Africa in terms of supplying additional energy source, the proposed project must be assessed in a holistic manner. The focus of the assessment should not follow the traditional scientific view focused on economic growth and science and technology, but must take into consideration of sustainability, integration and holism (Allison and Hobbs, 2006: 2-7; 93).

There is therefore a need to embrace complexity in understanding economic development that takes into consideration the significance of networks of multiple and sometimes conflicting factors all of which contribute in large or small measure to the overall picture (Milne and Ateljevic, 2001: 369-370).

The findings of the research suggest that the project should be evaluated taking the themes of social, environment and economic aspects of sustainable development into account. The table below illustrates the criteria that can be used in assessing a project of this nature, through integrating the themes that emerged from the research findings. As discussed previously, focusing on sustainable development principles is emphasised. One of the important criteria of a sustainable development project is that it must contribute positively to the society, through contributing to social equity and poverty alleviation. Questions which should be asked when assessing the project are what number of employment opportunities will be created; what types of jobs will be created and the potential groups of people who will be employed (Brent et al, 2005: 635). It is also important that public participation is emphasised to ensure that the public is informed and is involved in the project. When the environmental criteria is taken into consideration, there is a need to concentrate on the impact the proposed project will have on human health, water availability and loss of biodiversity (Brent et al, 2005: 636). What economic benefits at local and national level will be created from the project also need to be understood as this has

links towards achieving other goals relating to employment and poverty eradication in terms of improving economic conditions of the society, and contributing to national economic growth (Brent et al, 2005: 637).

Environmental

Biodiversity

Air quality

Water quality

Economic

Employment generation

Contribution to GDP

Social

Employment opportunities

Poverty reduction

Stakeholder involvement

Capacity development

Adapted from Brent et al, 2005: 632

Table 2: Assessment Criteria for Development Projects

Suggestions for a sustainable land use option in the Karoo are to focus on preserving the biodiversity of the area, with a focus on sustainable resource use. This is to ensure that there is a balance between the costs and benefits. Considering that a moratorium has been placed on the application, and similar applications, it is important that during this period of evaluation by the Government, there must be consideration of the fears and concerns that

Sustainable development evaluation criteria

the public have. During the evaluation stage, there must be an extensive consultation with all stakeholders so that the outcomes of the assessment are inclusive. It is important that the proposed project does not have a negative impact on the society and the environment.

The highest concern raised by the public is that of water, since this is a highly important aspect of their livelihood. Assessors of this project should look at the possible impact on water resources. Experiences from other countries where similar projects are taking place must be researched, along the themes of social, economic and environmental sectors. This will ensure that the government gets a clear understanding of the extent and impact of exploration so that a sound decision is made.

The research study has revealed that there is a definite conflict between the need for economic development and the necessity for environmental conservation as a result of the proposed exploration activities in the South Western Karoo Basin. It is alleged that the benefits of the project is economic growth at a local and national level, however it has been met with a great deal of opposition from local communities and other individuals across the country. The main objections and concerns raised, as evidenced from the data collected, is that the proposed project will have a negative impact on the social and natural environment. As a result, it does not meet the requirements of sustainable development as the social and environmental costs would outweigh the economic benefits.

REFERENCES

Allison, H. and Hobbs, R. 2006. Science and Policy in Natural Resource Management.

Understanding System Complexity. New York: Cambridge University Press.

Arthur, J., Bohm, B., and Layne, M. 2008. Hydraulic Fracturing Considerations for Natural Gas Wells of the Marcellus Shale. Presented at The Ground Water Protection Council, Annual Forum. Cincinnati, Ohio. September 21-24 2008.

Asamoah, J.K. 2006. Requirements for a Sustainable Growth of the Natural Gas Industry In South Africa. PHD Thesis- School of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Faculty of Engineering and the Built Environment. http://wiredspace.wits.ac.za.

Barbier, E.B. 2002. The Role of Natural Resources in Economic Development. CIES Discussion Paper 0227. Joseph Fisher Lecture, Adelaide University, Adelaide, Australia, September 30, 2002.

Bingham, N., Blowes, A., and Belshaw, C. (Eds). 2003. Contested Environments. United Kingdom: John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

Bond, P. 2002. Unsustainable South Africa. Environment, Development and Social Protest.

Pietermaritzburg: University of Natal Press

Brent, A.C., Heuberger, R., Manzini, D.2005. Evaluating Projects that are Potentially Eligible for Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) Funding in the South African Context: A Case Study to Establish Weighting Values for Sustainable Development Criteria.

Environment and Development Economics, Vol. 10, pp631-649

Bridge, G. 2004. Contested Terrain: Mining and the Environment. Annual Review Environmental Resources, Vol. 29 pp205-259

Cambel, A.B. 1993. Applied Chaos Theory. A Paradigm for Complexity. San Diego: Academic Press Incorporated.

Dasmann, R.F.; Milton, J.P.; Freeman, P.H. 1973. Ecological principles for economic development. London: John Wiley and Sons.

Davidson. 2006. ‘Energy for Sustainable Development: an Introduction’ in Winkler H. (Ed), Energy Policies for Sustainable Development in South Africa. Options for the Future.

Energy Research Centre, University of Cape Town.

Desmet, P.G., Cowling, R.M., Ellis, A.G., and Pressey, R.L. 2002. Integrating Biosystematic Data into Conservation Planning: Perspective from Southern Africa’s Succulent Karoo. Systematic Biology, Vol. 51(2) pp317-330

Deutch, J. 2011. The Good News about Gas. Foreign Affairs, Vol. 90 (1) pp. 82-93

Dryzek, J. 1982. Policy Analysis as a Hermeneutic Activity. Policy Sciences, Vol. 14 (4) pp.

309-329

Economides, M.J. and Wood, D. 2009. The State of Natural Gas. Journal of Natural Gas Science and Engineering, Vol. 1 (1-2) pp. 1-13.

Folke, C., Carpenter, S., Elmqvist, T., Gunderson, L., Holling, C.S., Walker, B. 2002. Resilience and Sustainable Development: Building Adaptative Capacity in a World of Transformation. The Environment Advisory Council to the Swedish Government.

Geyer, R. and Rihani, S. 2010. Complexity and Public Policy. A new Approach to 21st Century Politics, Policy and Society. London: Routledge.

Golder Associates. 2011. Draft Summary Report. Environmental Management Plan. South Western Karoo Basin Gas Exploration Application: Eastern Precinct. Shell Exploration Company B.V. South Africa. www.golder.com. Accessed 11 March 2011.

Grossman, G.M. and Krueger, A.B. 1995. Economic Growth and the Environment. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, May 1995.

Gunton, T. 2003. Natural Resources and Regional Development: An Assessment of Dependency and Comparative Advantage Paradigms. Economic Geography, Vol. 79 (1) pp. 67–94.

Hambler, C. 2004. Conservation. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

Hardoy, J.E.; Mitlin, D., and Satterwaite, D. 2001. Environmental Problems in an urbanizing world. London: Earthscan Publications

Harris, G. 2007. Seeking Sustainability in an Age of Complexity. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

Haughton G., and Counsell, D. 2004. Regions, spatial strategies and sustainable development. London: Routledge

Hill, M.; Demirjian, H.; Mullaney, M.A.; and Speelman, J.F. 2011. United States: EPA's

"Fracking" Study: Potential Impacts on Marcellus Shale Development. Mondaq Business

Briefing, February 27, 2011.

http://www.waterworld.com/index/display/news_display/1367910602.html. Accessed on 2/03/2011.

Kerley, G.H.; Boshoff, A.F.; Knight, M.H. 1999. Ecosystem Integrity and Sustainable Land-Use in the Thicket Biome, South Africa. Ecosystem Health, Vol. 5 (2) pp104-109

Lacity, M.C. and Janson, M.A. 1994. Understanding Qualitative data: A framework of text analysis methods. Journal of Management Information Systems, Vol. 11 (2) pp137-155

Latham and Watkins. 2010. Hydraulic Fracturing: Potential for Increased Federal and State Oversight. Client Alert, December 2010 Number 1105. Accessed from www.lw.com

Legalbrief Environmental. 2011. Fracas over proposed shale mining in the Karoo grows.

Tuesday 8 February.

http://www.legalbrief.co.za/article.php?story=20110208093737561. Accessed 28/02/2011

McShane, T.O. and Wells, M.P. 2004. Getting Biodiversity Projects to Work. Towards More Effective Conservation and Development. New York: Columbia University Press.

Milne S.; and Ateljevic. 2001. Tourism, Economic Development and the Global-Local Nexus:

Theory Embracing Complexity. Tourism Geographies, Vol. 3 (4) pp. 369-393

Milton, S.J. and Dean, W.R.J. 2010. The basis for Sustainable Business in the Karoo: Bringing Ecological and Economic Issues Together. Journal for Development Support Vol.2 pp58-66

Mining, Minerals, and Sustainable Development. 2002. Breaking New Ground. United Kingdom: Earthscan Publications Ltd.

Minister Economic Development Republic of South Africa. Economic Development. Medium Term Strategic Plan 2010/2011-2012/2013. Accessed from www.info.gov.za/view/DownloadFile . Accessed 16 March 2011.

Morrison, K. 2002. School Leadership and Complexity Theory. London: Routledge.

Nath, B., Hens, D., Devuyst (Eds). 1993. Environmental Management: Volume 3, Instruments for Implementation. Belgium: Vubpress Brussels.

Norberg, J. and Cumming, G.S (Eds). 2008. Complexity Theory for a Sustainable Future. New York: Columbia University Press.

Pierce, S.M.; Cowling, R.M.; Sandwith, T.; and MacKinnan, K. (Eds). 2002. Mainstreaming Biodiversity in Development. Case Studies from South Africa. Washington: The World Bank Environmental Department.

Radermacher, W. 1999. Indicators, Green Accounting and Environmental Statistics.

Information Requirements for Sustainable Development. International Statistical Review 67 (3) pp.339-354

Roberts, P. 2004. Wealth from Waste: Local and Regional Economic Development and the Environment. The Geographic Journal 170(2) pp.126-134

Ryan, K.J and Natalle, E.J. 2001. Fusing Horizons: Standpoint Hermeneutics and Invitational Rhetoric. Rhetoric Society Quarterly 31 (2) pp. 69-90.

Scott D., and Oelofse, C. 2005. Social and environmental justice in South African cities:

Including ‘Invisible stakeholders’ in environmental assessment procedures. Journal of Environmental Planning and Management, Vol. 48(3) pp445-469

Shafik, N. 1994. Economic Development and Environmental Quality. An Econometric Analysis. Oxford Economic Papers 46(1994) pp.757-773.

Stevens, B. 2012. Why Shale gas is the Best Hope for Our Energy Future. 22 February 2012.

http://oilprice.com/Energy/Natural-gas/Why-shale-gas-is-the-best-hope-for-our-energy-future.html.

Sullivan, T.J. 2001. Methods of Social Research. Fort Worth: Harcourt College Publishers.

Tallis, H.; Kareiva, P.; Marvier, M.; Chang, A. 2008. An Ecosystem Services Framework to Support both Practical Conservation and Economic Development. Proceeding of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 79(28) pp.9457-9464.

Todd, S. 2006. Gradients in Vegetation Cover, Structure and Species Richness of Nama-Karoo Shrublands in Relation to Distance from Livestock Watering Points. Journal of Applied Ecology (43) pp293-304

Tourism Update. 2011. Gas Mining in Karoo Upsets Industry Players. 23 February 2011.

www.tourismupdate.co.za/NewsDetails.aspx?NwesId+58200. Accessed on 28/02/2011

Water Shed Council. Natural gas drilling and water.

http://www.watershedcouncil.org/learn/hydraulic-fracturing/. Accessed 2/03/2011

Winkler, H. (Ed). 2006. Energy Policies for Sustainable Development in South Africa. Options for the Future. Energy Resource Centre, University of Cape Town.

World Economic Forum on Africa- Tanzania. 2010. Case Study: Mozambique Natural Gas Project.

http://www.thegreatkaroo.com/

www.etu.org.za/toolbox/docs/development/sustainable.html. Accessed 16 March 2011.

APPENDIX 1: QUESTIONNAIRE

Questionnaire

Name Title

Age Race

Karoo resident Yes No

1. Were you consulted by Shell Exploration Company BV with regards to the proposed exploration project during the public participation phase?

Yes No

2. Did you comment on the application during the public participation phase?

Yes No

3. Have you read the draft Environmental Management Plan submitted in support of the application?

Yes No

4. What are your concerns with the proposed exploration activities by Shell?

5. Have your concerns been addressed in the draft Environmental Management Plan compiled for the proposed activity?

Yes No

6. If no, what environmental issues need further assessment by the project proponent (Shell Exploration Company) and included in the final Environmental Management Plan?

7. Would the biodiversity of the Karoo be affected by the proposed activities?

Yes No

8. There are concerns that the Karoo water supply will not be able to sustain the proposed activities. Do you agree?

Yes No

9. The draft EMP states that a number of jobs will be created with consequent benefits to the Karoo region. Do you agree with this statement?

Yes No

10. If yes, please elaborate.

11. If no, please elaborate.

12. From your perspective, would a gas exploration project be a good development option for the Karoo region?

Please give reasons.

13. In your opinion, does the proposed project meet the objectives of sustainable development?

14. What would be a viable sustainable development option for the Karoo region?

15. The Minister of Mineral Resources has put a moratorium on gas exploration activities in South Africa. What should the assessors of this project take into consideration when assessing gas exploration activities?

Thank you for the time spent completing this questionnaire

Related documents