• No results found

CONCLUSIONS, IMPLICATIONS, AND LIMITATIONS

The principal finding from the hedonic regression analysis of ready-to-drink shelf stable cranberry flavor juices indicated that a statistically significant and positive coefficient exists for the presence of the labeling claim “No Sugar Added” on product packaging. This finding implies that consumers have been paying a significant premium for cranberry flavor juice products as a result of the inclusion of the allegedly

misbranded labeling claim. In this specific instance, consumers have overpaid by 25.35% for these products, attributed exclusively to the labeling claim “No Sugar Added”. With this premium, and considering the total sales during the class time period, damages associated with mislabeled Brand 1 products were in the range of $102.7 million to $117.4 million.

Going forward, this methodology could be employed to a wide range of food and beverage products to determine damages due as a result of mislabeled products. The hedonic regression analysis is a methodology employed to determine what price

premium consumers pay as a result of the questioned label “No Sugar Added”. But, this methodology could be applied to a variety of label claims such as “No Artificial

Flavors,” “All Natural,” “0 Grams Trans Fat,” and many others. A wide and complete body of economic and marketing research has shown that consumers are willing to pay a premium for products bearing many of these characteristics and labeling statements.

Additionally, manufacturers would not undertake the costs required in the

51

manufacturing, advertising, and promotion of these products if the benefits of doing so did not outweigh these costs.

The hedonic regression analysis is used to quantify how much of a premium consumers pay for the aspects on the product packaging taking into account other factors that may also affect prices. Simply put, a hedonic analysis involves the specification of a regression with price as a function of a potential myriad of variables, including those accounting for the presence or absence of product attributes represented on labeling claims. Once this premium is determined, the economic damages in class action lawsuits can be calculated. This methodology is not just restricted to the “No Sugar Added”

claim, or even to this specific product category of ready-to-drink shelf stable juices featuring the flavor cranberry. It is widely applicable and can be used on different product packaging claims and to a range of product categories in the entire food and beverage industry.

As in any research project, limitations in this analysis are present. With the set of estimated coefficients, omitted variable bias likely was present as the brand explanatory variable had to be dropped to avoid near perfect multicollinearity. However, this issue does not reflect adversely on the model utilized or the subsequent methodology developed in this thesis. As the introduction of hedonic price analysis becomes more prevalent in labeling cases, courts will have to assess the applicability of the method.

Consequently, proper model specification will be paramount in the use of this technique in order to capture the premium associated with the labeling claim in question.

52

Additionally, recall that price, the endogenous variable in the hedonic regression, is defined as the ratio of dollar expenditures divided by quantities sold. Hence by its very construction, volume as an explanatory variable could potentially be endogenous. As such, the estimated coefficients could then be biased. However, based on the Hausman test (1978), endogeneity of the volume variable was not evident in this particular analysis.

In subsequent analyses, the model and methodology are able to be applied if in the data collection process, certain steps are taken. Primarily, in order to avoid

collinearity issues, more brands should be included in the analysis. If more brands are utilized, then the high correlation between the brand dummy variables and the labeling claim variable likely would be reduced, permitting the set of brand variables to remain in the regression. Including brand variables will address the omitted variable bias, and more importantly, result in a more precise estimate of the coefficient on the labeling claim variable.

These limitations notwithstanding, as stated by Hartman and Doane (1987, p.

354), “clearly, any analytic technique will be useful if it can assist a court to certify the class by explicitly determining whether class members were commonly and uniformly damaged by Defendant's illegal actions. Hedonic regression analysis is such a technique.

Using it, the court can focus on the action(s) of the Defendant and measure the common damage to each putative class member. Depending on the specific statute violated, the damages will reveal themselves in such observable economic measures as product prices…” To this end, a hypothetical case study example involving ready to drink

53

cranberry juice products was developed and presented illustrating the use of the hedonic regression technique.

54 REFERENCES

Abere, A., 2010. “Using Economics to Measure Damages in Private Advertising Litigation,” The Adviser, 1(1):14-17.

Anstine, J., 2007. “Organic and All Natural: Do Consumers Know the Difference?”

Journal of Applied Economics and Policy, 26(1):15-27.

Balasubramanian, S. K., and C. Cole, 2002. “Consumers’ Search and Use of Nutrition Information: The Challenge and Promise of the Nutrition Labeling and Education Act,”

Journal of Marketing, 66(3):112-127.

Choiniere, C.J. and A. M. Lando, 2010. 2008 Health and Diet Survey. http://www.fda.

gov/Food/FoodScienceResearch/ConsumerBehaviorResearch/ucm193895.htm#FOODL ABELUSEALL.

Combris, P., S. Lecocq, and M. Visser, 1997. “Estimation of a Hedonic Price Equation for Bordeaux Wine: Does Quality Matter?” The Economic Journal, 107(441):390-402.

Court, A.T., 1939. “Hedonic Price Indexes with Automobile Examples,” The Dynamics of Automobile Demand, New York: The General Motors Corporation.

Feenstra, R.C. and M.D. Shapiro, ed., 2003. Scanner Data and Price Indexes, National Bureau of Economic Research: Studies in Income and Wealth

Hartman, R. S. and M. J. Doane, 1987. “The Use of Hedonic Analysis for Certification and Damage Calculations in Class Action Complaints,” Journal of Law, Economics, &

Organization, 3(2):351-372.

Hirogaki, M., 2013. “Estimating Consumers’ Willingness to Pay for Health Food Claims: A Conjoint Analysis,” International Journal of Innovation, Management, and Technology, 4(6):541-546.

Hottman, C., 2014. “Retail Markups, Misallocation, and Store Variety in the US” Job Market Paper, Department of Economics, Columbia University.

Jain, S. “Using Hedonic Price Analysis in Food Labeling Class Actions,” Law360, June 8, 2015.

Kim, S.-Y., R.M. Nayga, Jr., and O. Capps, Jr., 2000. “The Effect of Food Label Use on Nutrient Intakes: An Endogenous Switching Regression Analysis,” Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, 25(1):251-231.

55

Li, J. and N.H. Hooker, 2009. “Documenting Food Safety Claims and Their Influence on Product Prices,” Agricultural and Resource Economics Review, 38(3):311-322.

Maguire, K., N. Owens, and N. B. Simon, 2004. “The Price Premium for Organic Baby Food: A Hedonic Analysis,”, Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics

29(1):132-149.

Markosyan, A., T. I. Wahl, and J. J. McCluskey, 2007. “Functional Foods in the Marketplace: Willingness to Pay for Apples Enriched with Antioxidants,” Selected Paper Prepared for Presentation at the AAEA Annual Meeting, Portland, OR.

Mayen, P. D., 2013. “Influence of Antioxidant Information on Consumer Preference for Tree Nuts,” Working Paper, New Mexico State University.

Moro, D., P. Sckokai, and M. Veneziani, 2012. “Consumers’ Willingness to Pay for a Functional Food,” Paper Prepared for Presentation at the 1st AIEAA Conference, Towards a Sustainable Bio-Economy: Economic Issues and Policy Challenges.

Miskolci, S., 2011. “Consumer Preferences and Willingness to Pay for the Health Aspects of Food,” Acta Universitatis Agriculturae et Silviculturae Mendelianae Brunensis, 54(4):167-175.

Muth, M.K., C. Zhen, J. Taylor, S. Cates, K. Kosa, D. Zorn, and C. Choiniere, 2013.

“The Value to Consumers of Health Labeling Statements on Breakfast Foods and Cereals,” Journal of Food Products Marketing, 19(4):279-298.

Nerlove, M., 1995. “Hedonic Price Functions and the Measurement of Preferences: The Case of Swedish Wine Consumers,” European Economic Review, 39(9):1697-1716.

Newey, W. K. and K. D. West, 1987. “A Simple, Positive Semi-Definite,

Heteroscedasticity and Autocorrelation Consistent Covariance Matrix,” Econometrica, (55)3:703-708.

Nielsen, A. 2012. 2012 Nielsen Retail Scanner Data. Chicago, IL.

https://research.chicagobooth.edu/nielsen/.

Rosen, S., 1974. “Hedonic Prices and Implicit Markets: Product Differentiation in Pure Competition,” The Journal of Political Economy, 82(1):34-55.

Rubinfeld, D. L., 2000. “Reference Guide on Multiple Regression,” in Federal Judicial Center, Reference Manual on Scientific Evidence, pp. 179-227.

Russo, J. E., R. Staelin, Nolan, C. A., Russel, G. J., and Metcalf, B.L. 1986. “Nutrition Information in the Supermarket,” Journal of Consumer Research, 13(1):48-70.

56

Satimanon, T., and D. Weatherspoon, 2010. “Hedonic Analysis of Sustainable Food Products,” International Food and Agribusiness Management Review, 13(4):57-74.

Steiner, B, 2004. “Australian Wines in the British Wine Market: A Hedonic Price Analysis,” Agribusiness, 20(3): 287-307.

U.S. Food and Drug Administration, 2007 Guidance for Industry: Dear Manufacturer Letter Regarding Sugar Free Claims. http://www.fda.gov/RegulatoryInformation/

Guidances /ucm053431.htm

U.S. Food and Drug Administration, 2009 Guidance for Industry: Letter Regarding Point of Purchase Food Labeling. http://www.fda.gov/Food/GuidanceRegulation/

GuidanceDocumentsRegulatoryInformation/LabelingNutrition/ucm187208.htm.

U.S. Food and Drug Administration, 2013. Food Labeling Guide. http://www.fda.gov /Food/GuidanceRegulation/GuidanceDocumentsRegulatoryInformation/LabelingNutriti on/ucm2006828.htm.

U.S. Food and Drug Administration, 2014. Code of Federal Regulations. 21 CFR 101, Food Labeling. http://www.accessdata.fda.gov/scripts/cdrh/cfdocs/cfcfr/cfrsearch .cfm?fr= 101.60.

Waugh, F.V., 1928. “Quality Factors Influencing Vegetable Prices,” Journal of Farm Economics, 10(2):185-196.

Xiao, J. 2012. “A Hedonic Analysis of Retail Milk and Oatmeal Attributes in Quebec”

Department of Agricultural Economics, McGill University, Montreal.

Related documents