• No results found

Conclusions

The vast amount of data created by the ENCODE Consortium, Roadmap Epigenomics Consortium, and others (Martens & Stunnenberg 2013; The GTEx Consortium 2013; The Fantom Consortium et al. 2014) has allowed for an unprecedented look into the mechanisms of cellular and transcriptional regulation. The uniformity and depth of data are an invaluable resource to better understand the basis of human disease. In particular, it becomes possible to look at the interplay between different genomic elements, such as chromatin interactions, chromatin accessibility, histone mark occupancy and transcription factor binding, using statistical and machine learning models.

However, great care must be taken to not overinterpret results in more complex machine learning models. Overinterpretation due to opaque models has caused much contention in the field, for example whether enhancer-promoter interactions are predictable (Whalen et al. 2016; W Xi & Beer 2018). Overinterpretation also exists at the data level: although kilobase resolution Hi-C maps have been reported (Rao et al. 2014), they have not been shown to be useable at that resolution. Additionally, because so many features are strongly correlated (e.g., DNA sequence, TF binding, histone marks, chromatin accessibility, mappability, k-mer frequency, etc.), it becomes very important to not draw too strong of a conclusion from complicated models. Because the possible space of hypotheses is so vast, it is difficult to show an association is causal without directly performing experiments in vivo. In our analyses, we have aimed to eliminate spurious associations by accounting for potential sources of biases and creating models that are as interpretable as possible.

We showed that we can use high resolution, one-dimensional genomic data (ChIP-seq of histone marks and transcription factors and DNase-seq) to fine map coarse, two-dimensional Hi-

C data. We suspect that c-SCNN can be not only useful for the designed application, but can be extended to either different types of data or modified to be applied to different problems altogether. In particular, the combination of training a model and using it to interpret the model predictions of data allows a deeper look into what the model is learning. Although feature attribution methods are a rapidly evolving technology in the field of machine learning, they prove to be quite useful and robust in contexts such as fine-mapping.

We have shown that we can use a mixture model of HMMs (HMX) to create region- specific annotations for protein coding genes. This data can be used either instead of or in addition to expression data. It could be applied to studies such as GWAS to select a gene set more likely to be relevant to a given cell type, then using LDSC (Finucane et al. 2018) to help to prioritize variants or cell types that are more likely to be causal for a disease. It could also be used for cell type deconvolution, which can be applicable to problems involving single-cell data (Macosko et al. 2015; Klein et al. 2015). For example, cell-free DNA (cfDNA) has been proposed as a non- invasive technology to screen for cancer (Kang et al. 2017; Salvi et al. 2016; Heitzer et al. 2015). Briefly speaking, cfDNA is released by apoptosing cells, and has non-random fragmentation patterns that inform the nucleosome positioning of the cell type of origin (Ulz et al. 2016). Because nucleosome positioning is informative of chromatin state (Snyder et al. 2016), cfDNA can thus inform the chromatin state of the cells it comes from. Finally, if we consider bulk cfDNA as arising from a mixture of cell-type specific chromatin states, we can infer the proportions of cell types most likely to compose the cfDNA. Any cell types that are “surprising”, e.g., a significant breast or colon cell-type fraction, this can be indicative of cancer.

We have shown multiple suggestive patterns and correlations between combinatorial histone marks and exon inclusion levels. However, to develop a more general model, one would

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need to control for gene length, length of introns, position along a transcript (exon number), local splicing patterns, etc. While these factors can be interesting in the context of splicing, gene structure can become a very difficult covariate to account for when studying the epigenetic determinants of splicing. We can modify HMX to model genes on a per-element basis such as exons and introns, facilitating comparison across different exons. Ideally, one would have deep data across multiple cell types, making comparing a single exon across multiple cell types possible. This would account for many covariates and provide greater certainty in results.

Finally, we showed that we can predict TF peaks that contain motifs and re-prioritize borderline-scoring TF motifs using a supervised learning framework. Although an unsupervised framework is ideal for TFs without motifs or other ChIP-seq targets, finding a robust learning methodology where TFs bind to motifs is more difficult because TFs can bind in different contexts. For example, TFs can bind with different histone marks present or either in open or closed chromatin. Finally, validation of “direct” binding predictions, either for TFs or other ChIP-seq targets, is difficult in the general sense, particularly because binding to DNA need not be sequence driven.

Although there are many difficulties in using machine learning in such complex data, great advances have been made in better understanding the functional genome. As the cost of producing data decreases and availability of deep data increases, so does the need for machine learning models that can learn from and help interpret this data.

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