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A critical analysis and modification of Sinclair’s MHS Redux : Emphasising the all-­‐encompassing context of the Biosphere

When  Robert  Cox  first  published  the  description  of  the  MHS  analytical  framework  in   1981,  ‘nature’  was  treated  as  an  aspect  of  the  category  ‘material  capabilities,’  which   he  defines  as  follows:  

Material capabilities are productive and destructive potentials. In their dynamic form these exist as technological and organizational

                                                                                                               

53  Having  considered  ‘Earth  System’  instead  of  ‘Biosphere’  as  the  ‘umbrella’  label  for  

‘material  capabilities,’  I  rejected  this  idea  as  Earth  System  scientists  and  authors  such  as   Clive  Hamilton  point  out  that  humans  and  their  socio-­‐economic  systems  are  now  not   only  part  of  the  Earth  System  but  major  forces  that  have  changed  what  would  have  been   its  normal  trajectory.  In  that  sense,  it  is  the  MHS  in  its  entirety  that  should  be  enclosed   within  a  larger  box,  the  ‘Earth  System,’  now.  It  is  not  clear  how  this  would  have  served   as  an  analytical  tool,  however,  so  I  decided  to  refer  to  ‘Biosphere’  and  to  trial  the  use  of   this  category  in  my  analysis.  In  this  research,  I  therefore  understand  the  Earth  System  as   comprising  of  two  key  components:  the  biosphere,  and  humans  operating  within  social   systems  (which  are,  however,  embedded  in  the  biosphere  and  dependent  on  it  for  their   existence).  

capabilities, and in their accumulated forms as natural resources which technology can transform, stocks of equipment (for example, industries and armaments), and the wealth which can command these.

(Cox 1996b, p. 98)

 Cox’s  framework  was  developed  before  US  scientist  James  Hansen’s  1988  

congressional  testimony  on  global  warming  and  the  subsequent  increasing  public   awareness  of  the  severity  of  its  effects.  Since  then,  however,  not  only  has  public   awareness  of  global  warming,  climate  change  and  environmental  degradation   increased,  but  much  more  scientific  research  has  focused  on  the  Earth  as  a  dynamic   complex  system  which  is  at  risk  of  crossing  physical  ‘tipping  points’  that  can  propel  it   into  a  new  and  unpredictable  state  (Biermann  et  al.  2012;  Hansen  et  al.  2013;  

Steffen  et  al.  2011;  Steffen  et  al.  2015)  as  a  result  of  the  spread  and  intensification  of   capitalist  relations  of  production.  

These  developments  strongly  suggest  that  ‘nature’  can  no  longer  be  treated  as  a   static  force  or  as  an  accumulation  of  natural  resources.  In  later  publications,  Cox   does  emphasise  the  urgency  of  the  threats  to  the  biosphere,  arguing  that  it  is  only   through  pressure  exerted  from  within  civil  society  that  the  changes  necessary  to   protect  its  integrity  can  be  initiated  (for  example,  refer  to  Cox  2002).  Sinclair’s   argument  for  deciding  not  to  make  a  separate  category  for  ‘the  environment’  is   similar  to  Cox’s  observation  that  the  changes  required  to  protect  the  environment   will  necessarily  emanate  from  social  struggles:  “while  we  are  material  beings  as  well   as  social  ones,  the  struggle  over  how  to  address  the  environment  is  part  of  the  social   dynamic,  and  how  we  resolve  it  will  not  be  reducible  to  material  necessity  alone”   (Sinclair  2016,  p.  515).  Given  the  evident  inability  of  capital  to  solve  the  problem  of   the  degrading  of  the  biosphere,  which  Marxists  and  ecosocialists  argue  results  from   a  fundamental  contradiction  inherent  in  the  capitalist  mode  of  production  (as   discussed  in  later  chapters),  Cox  and  Sinclair  are  correct  to  argue  that  the  issue  of   whether  or  not  the  planet  remains  habitable  will  be  resolved  through  civil  society   action  (or  what  Sinclair  refers  to  as  ‘social  dynamics’).  However,  as  Earth  System   scientists  emphasise,  the  biosphere  is  a  material  physical  system  in  its  own  right:  it   reacts  to  physical  inputs  and  also  determines  the  physical  limits  underlying  living   organisms’  productive  and  reproductive  ‘material  capabilities.’  While  ecological  

economists  such  as  Herman  Daly  and  Joshua  Farley  (2004)  recognised  this  fact  and   incorporated  their  understanding  of  environmental  limits  and  ‘the  laws  of  

thermodynamics’  in  their  economic  models  decades  ago,  standard  IR  and  IPE   analyses  of  environmental  politics  fail  to  take  such  natural  limits  into  account   (Williams  1996).  Williams  (ibid.,  pp.  55-­‐56)  argues  that  “contemporary  analyses  of   the  political  economy  of  global  environmental  change  can  be  challenged  on  two   broad  grounds”:  firstly,  their  positivist  epistemology  (which  Williams  points  out  that   the  neo-­‐Gramscian  perspective  successfully  challenges)  and,    secondly,  their  failure   “to  incorporate  the  ecological  perspective  on  political  economy,  a  perspective  which   starts  from  the  assumption  that  economics  and  the  environment  are  inseparable.”   My  modification  of  the  MHS  Redux  aims  to  apply  these  crucial  insights  from   ecological  economics  and  thereby  to  address  Williams’s  (ibid.,  p.  56)  advice  that   “…IPE  should  explore  the  prevailing  assumptions  concerning  the  relationship  

between  humans  and  the  natural  world.  This  critical  task  will  not  be  accomplished  if   ecological  economics  remains  invisible  in  IPE.”  My  modification  of  the  MHS  Redux   schema  is  thus  designed  to  emphasise  the  way  in  which  social  systems  are  

embedded  within  the  biosphere  and,  ultimately,  rely  on  it  continuing  to  support  life   for  their  existence.  

One  idea  about  how  to  fit  the  environment  into  the  MHS  Redux  schema  more   overtly  is  to  add  it  to  Sinclair’s  already-­‐expanded  category  of  ‘productive  and   reproductive  capabilities,’  while  a  second  idea  is  to  enclose  ‘productive  and   reproductive  capabilities’  within  an  ‘umbrella’  category,  ‘Biosphere.’  As  we  are   increasingly  beginning  to  understand,  the  latter  is  a  more  realistic  depiction  of  the   world  we  live  in  as  the  state  of  the  biosphere  determines  the  conditions  under  which   both  productive  and  reproductive  activities  occur,  and  scientists  warn  that  its  health   could  deteriorate  to  the  extent  that  it  no  longer  supports  either  production  or   reproduction  of  many  species  (including  humans).  To  emphasise  the  centrality  of  the   biosphere  in  this  analysis,  I  make  a  further  modification  to  Sinclair’s  ‘Forces  Redux’   (Figure  3),  as  shown  in  Figure  5  (‘Forces  Redux  Version  II’).  The  placement  of   ‘Material  Capabilities:  Biosphere’  at  the  top  of  the  triangle  is  intended  to  draw  

additional  attention  to  the  exceptional  importance  of  the  Biosphere  as  an  analytical   category.  

 

In  Figure  6  (see  below),  I  make  a  very  minor  modification  to  Sinclair’s  ‘Spheres   Redux’  by  changing  the  format  of  the  arrows  in  Figure  4  to  depict  more  clearly  that   ‘social  forces’  and  ‘social  dynamics’  influence  each  other,  as  do  ‘forms  of  state’  and   ‘world  order.’  

 

Figure  5:  MHS  Forces  Redux  Version  II  

The  approach  adopted  when  analysing  the  role  of  the  ecosocialist  social  movement   in  the  current  historical  structure’s  framework  for  action  involves  applying  the  forces   represented  in  Figure  5  to  the  spheres  and  levels  of  action  shown  in  Figure  6.54  This  is   done  with  reference  to  a  number  of  analytical  concepts  initially  developed  by  Italian   Marxist  Antonio  Gramsci,  some  of  which  are  highlighted  by  Robert  Cox  in  his  second   ground-­‐breaking  paper,  Gramsci,  hegemony,  and  international  relations:  an  essay  in   method  (Cox  1983),  and  whose  meanings  are  examined  in  more  detail  by  Gramscian   experts  such  as  Peter  Thomas  (2009,  2013a,  2013b)  and  Adam  Morton  (2007).55     As  Peter  Thomas’s  and  Adam  Morton’s  extremely  detailed  scholarly  work  focusing   on  deep  textual  analyses  of  Gramsci’s  writings  demonstrate,  the  meanings  of  the   concepts  outlined  below  and  used  in  this  study  are  both  complex  and  contested.   Given  the  already  extensive  scope  and  purpose  of  this  research  project,  however,   the  approach  adopted  in  the  use  of  selected  Gramscian  concepts,  while  drawing  on   the  expertise  of  Gramscian  scholars  within  the  limitations  imposed  by  time  

constraints,  is  similar  to  Cox’s,  who  wrote:  “This  essay  sets  forth  my  understanding   of  what  Gramsci  meant  by  hegemony  and  these  related  concepts,  and  suggests  how   I  think  they  may  be  adapted,  retaining  his  essential  meaning,  to  the  understanding  of   problems  of  world  order.  It  does  not  purport  to  be  a  critical  study  of  Gramsci’s   political  theory,  but  merely  a  derivation  from  it  of  some  [useful]  ideas…”  (Cox  1996c,   p.  124).  The  key  analytical  Gramscian  concepts  that  are  relevant  to  my  study  are   hegemony;  forms  of  state;  integral  state;  historic  blocs;  world  order;  organic  crises;                                                                                                                  

54  It  is  interesting  to  consider  the  ways  in  which  a  changing  biosphere  might  affect  not  

only  the  material  conditions  of  reproduction  and  production  (and  hence  institutions,   social  facts,  and  competing  ideas),  but  also  the  forms  of  state  and  world  orders  that  are   possible.  

55  I  emphasise  Gramsci’s  Marxism  because  this  is  the  reading  of  Gramsci  that  is  relevant  

to  my  analysis.  As  Thomas  (2013a,  p.  28)  points  out,  “…it  has  often  been  claimed  that   Gramsci  was  fundamentally  a  theorist  of  the  cultural  superstructures,  one  who  was  not   only  a  strong  critic  of  economic  determinism  but  perhaps  even  ignorant  of  economic   theory.  Sometimes,  it  has  even  been  asserted  that  Gramsci’s  concept  of  hegemony   represents  the  beginning  of  a  ‘post-­‐Marxism’,  which  logically  should  reject  the  Marxist   critique  of  political  economy  and  its  emphasis  upon  class.  Such  readings,  however,   neglect  the  totality  of  the  Prison  Notebooks,  which  contain  extensive  notes  dedicated  to   discussions  of  Marx’s  Capital  and  economic  history.  They  also  neglect  the  context  of   Gramsci’s  political  activism,  which  remained  fundamentally  directed  against  what  he   repeatedly  characterized  as  the  ‘dictatorship’  of  the  bourgeoisie,  including  and   especially  in  its  fascist  variant.”  

counter-­‐hegemony;  war  of  position  and  war  of  manoeuvre;  passive  revolution  and   trasformismo;  organic  intellectuals;  subaltern  social  groups;  the  modern  Prince;   ‘common  sense’  and  ‘good  sense’;  and  the  ‘ethico-­‐political  sphere’  of  struggle.  These   concepts  are  used  within  the  context  of  a  historical  materialist  analysis  that  is   dialectical  and  aims  to  understand  the  nature  of  the  global  political  economy  as  it   unfolds  through  the  actions  of  various  groupings  at  a  variety  of  levels  (local,  national,   global)  and,  importantly,  within  the  overall  context  of  the  biosphere’s  material   responses  to  these  actions,  while  also  taking  into  account  how  the  material   manifestations  of  biophysical  degradation  generate  new  social  forces.  

Van  der  Pijl  (2009,  p.  198)  provides  a  concise  explanation  of  the  meaning  of  historical   materialism  as  the  premise  that  “people  create  their  own  world  out  of  nature,  but   the  different  forms  of  society  that  result,  then  constitute  a  second  nature  further   shaping  their  thoughts  and  actions.”  The  historical  materialist  method  of  analysis   begins  with  what  Marx  called  “…‘the  imagined  concrete’  (the  world  at  first  sight)  to   ever-­‐more  abstract  determinations  (which  the  thinker  actively  constructs  from   his/her  own  contradictory  experience….  [and]  from  the  abstract  determinations,  the   route  is  retraced  back  to  more  complex  constellations,  but  now  ‘enriched’  by  

understanding  [that  constitutes]….  the  thought-­‐concrete,  the  view  of  the  totality  as  it   is  at  that  moment…  ”  (Van  der  Pijl  2009,  pp.  222  -­‐  223).  Dialectical  analysis  seeks  to   understand  historical  developments  by  identifying  conflicting,  mutually  opposite   instances  (or  contradictions)  within  the  social  formation  being  studied,  and  how   these  contradictions  play  out  to  create  new  social  formations.  For  Marx,  these   contradictions  reside  “in  the  tensions  between  humanity  as  a  part  of  nature  and  as  a   historical  force;  between  the  ruling  classes  and  ideas,  and  those  arising  from  other   sources  in  society;  in  the  various  aspects  of  exploitation  (of  nature,  in  social  

relations)  and  domination”  (Van  der  Pijl  2009,  p.  204).  In  addition  to  deploying  the   Gramscian  analytical  concepts  whose  meanings  are  briefly  outlined  below,  I  use   historical  materialism  as  the  general  approach  informing  my  analysis  of  ecosocialist   contributions  to  the  unfolding  crises  engendered  by  the  expansion  and  

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