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Another  example  of  a  practice  that  has  costs  beyond  the  farm  level  is  shifting  from  fall  application  of  N   to  spring  application.  Dr.  Dan  Otto,  ISU  Extension  Economist,  estimated  the  annualized  infrastructure   cost  (storage,  handling  and  application  equipment)  to  shift  all  fall  fertilizer  application  from  fall  to  spring   at  $397.34  million.    

It  is  assumed  25%  of  the  nitrogen  is  applied  in  the  fall.  Twenty-­‐five  percent  of  the  estimated  state   average  application  of  171lbsN/acre  means  43lbsN/acre  is  applied  in  the  fall.  However,  the  

recommended  maximum  return  to  nitrogen  (MRTN)  is  156lbsN/acre.  Reducing  N  application  rates  to  the   MRTN  level  means  it  is  not  necessary  to  build  the  entire  additional  infrastructure  Otto  assumed  would   be  needed,  thus  lowering  the  needed  investment.    

The  industry  currently  applies  an  estimated  128lbsN/acre  in  the  spring.  The  difference  between  the   156lbsN/acre  capacity  and  the  current  128lbsN/acre  is  28lbsN/acre.  This  is  65%  of  the  43lbsN/acre   capacity  that  Otto  recommended  building.  Otto’s  estimate  was  $397.34  million  annually  for  the  added   capacity,  but  only  75%  of  that  was  for  nitrogen,  or  $297.75  million.  At  65%  of  that  capacity  is  $194   million  annually  for  infrastructure  costs  that  would  need  to  be  added  to  move  to  spring-­‐only  application.  

Moving  application  of  liquid  swine  manure  from  fall  to  spring  creates  added  costs  for  pork  producers   and  commercial  manure  applicators.  Most  manure  storage  is  built  to  hold  a  year’s  supply  or  more  of   manure.  Shifting  from  fall  to  spring  will  cause  logistical  problems  in  the  transition  year  because  there  is   typically  not  enough  storage  to  forgo  fall  pump  out  and  additional  land  will  be  required  to  empty   storage  in  the  spring  after  manure  had  been  applied  to  the  fields  in  the  fall.  The  application  time   window  is  narrower  in  the  spring  than  the  fall.  It  will  require  additional  equipment  and  labor  to  apply   the  same  amount  of  manure  in  fewer  days  and  thus  increase  the  cost  of  manure  application.  

An  additional  consideration  in  changing  from  fall  to  spring  fertilizer  application  is  timeliness  of  farming   operations.  If  fertilization  is  moved  to  a  spring  application  without  changing  spring  operations,  there  will   be  less  time  available  for  planting  the  crop.  Conversely,  if  tillage  operations  change,  there  may  be  more   time  available.  The  two  main  factors  to  consider  when  evaluating  the  impact  of  changing  field  

operations  are  the  number  of  days  suitable  for  fieldwork  and  the  time  it  takes  for  each  operation   performed.  The  time  it  takes  per  operation  and  to  a  lesser  extent,  the  days  available,  will  be  influenced   by  the  power  unit  and  the  size  of  the  implement.        

Corn  and  soybean  yields  have  an  optimum  planting  date.  In  the  Iowa  latitudes,  May  10  is  the  critical   planting  date  for  corn.  After  that  date,  yields  begin  to  decline.  Field  trials  by  Iowa  State  University  have   documented  this  pattern.  Planting  delayed  two  weeks  results  in  a  10%  reduction  in  yield  and  a  delay  of   four  weeks  could  lead  to  a  25%  yield  reduction.      

The  National  Agricultural  Statistics  Service  provides  a  weekly  estimate  of  the  days  suitable  for  fieldwork.   Iowa  State  University  Extension  compiled  these  estimates  from  1958  through  2007.  For  Iowa  from  April   2  through  May  13,  there  was  a  median  of  20.6  days  suitable  for  fieldwork.  Obviously  the  days  suitable   for  fieldwork  and  the  first  day  when  fieldwork  is  possible  will  vary  by  year  and  region  of  the  state.   However,  having  an  estimate  of  the  median  number  of  days  is  necessary  to  estimate  the  timeliness  cost   of  changing  operations  or  the  timing  of  the  operations.  

The  second  component  for  calculating  potential  timeliness  yield  loss  is  estimating  the  amount  of  time  

for  all  of  the  operations  performed.  ISU  Extension  publication  AgDM  A3  -­‐24,  Estimating  the  Field  

Capacity  of  Farm  Machines,  provides  an  estimate  of  the  time  for  a  variety  of  operations  and  sizes  of  

implement.  

As  an  example,  assume  a  1,500-­‐acre  farm  using  12  hours  per  day  following  a  disk/cultivate  tillage   regime.  A  33-­‐foot  tandem  disk  is  estimated  to  cover  19.2  acres  in  an  hour.  That  means  a  farmer  could   cover  230  acres  in  a  day,  so  it  would  take  6.5  days  to  tandem  disk  (1500/230).  A  50-­‐foot  field  cultivator   can  cover  33.9  acres  an  hour  or  407  acres  per  12-­‐hour  day.  With  1,500  acres  it  would  take  3.7  days.  A   24-­‐row,  30-­‐inch  planter  covers  21.8  acres  an  hour  or  262  acres  in  a  12-­‐hour  day.  Planting  would  add   another  5.7  days  for  a  1,500-­‐acre  farm.  Finally,  a  17-­‐knife  anhydrous  applicator  would  cover  16.2  acres   an  hour  or  194  acres  a  day.  This  means  for  a  1,500-­‐acre  farm  with  large  equipment  and  using  a  

disk/cultivator  tillage  system,  it  would  take  6.5  +  3.7  +  7.7  +  5.7  =  23.6  days.      

The  number  of  days  for  fieldwork  in  this  hypothetical  example  would  exceed  the  median  number  of  days   available,  assuming  the  goal  was  to  be  planted  by  May  10.  A  farmer  would  suffer  yield  loss  if  all  the   operations  had  to  be  performed  in  the  spring.    

The  fieldwork  estimate  does  not  include  maintenance  or  travel.  Therefore,  a  12-­‐hour  day  is  appropriate   for  the  examples.  The  total  number  of  days  needed  for  fieldwork  to  avoid  planting  delays  depends  on   the  size  of  the  equipment,  the  number  and  type  of  operation,  and  days  available.  The  losses  could  be   serious  in  some  situations.  With  $5  corn  and  a  1.5-­‐bushel  per  day  yield  loss,  a  farmer  with  1,500  acres  of   corn  would  lose  $11,250  for  every  day  of  delay.  In  the  example  above,  planting  would  be  at  least  three   days  beyond  May  10.  Therefore,  this  hypothetical  farmer  would  have  a  $33,750  loss  due  to  delayed  

planting.  Applying  the  yield  loss  to  the  25%  of  the  acres  that  would  shift  from  fall  to  spring  fertilizer   application  is  predicted  to  reduce  total  corn  production  by  approximately  16  million  bushels,  and  the   price  would  be  expected  to  increase  approximately  $0.02/bushel.